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June 2017 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes Tuesday, July 11th

Sterok

Member
3 fighting games in the top 5. Not a hard guess, but the genre is seeing some resurgence nevertheless. Zelda has beaten For Honor for the year. Really great legs for it and Mario Kart.
 

jroc74

Phone reception is more important to me than human rights
PS4 sold almost 400k cause of summer of play and Crash.
Switch did do over 200k probably due to an increase in stock.
Xbox One trying to hold itself before Scorpio
lol at trying to hold itself.

And I keep forgetting its revenue based. GTA will be there until they shut down the servers.

What's wild is even if it didn't get switched to revenue, GTA would probably still be on this list.
 
Oh that is a juicy leak.

PS4
Jan: 210,665
Feb: 398,407
Mar: 396,726
Apr: 206,247
May: 187,182
Jun: 381,196

XB1
Jan: 157,545
Feb: 215,418
Mar: 243,514
Apr: 109,950
May: 109,130
Jun: 153,389

Switch
Mar: 910,545
Apr: 280,897
May: 165,038
Jun: 215,582

Thanks go to jal356

Nice to see the market supporting three "home" console platforms at once. Crazy to think back in the day you PS2, PS3, PSP, Xbox 360, Nintendo Wii and Nintendo DS all selling relatively well at the SAME TIME!.
 
Oh that is a juicy leak.

PS4
Jan: 210,665
Feb: 398,407
Mar: 396,726
Apr: 206,247
May: 187,182
Jun: 381,196

XB1
Jan: 157,545
Feb: 215,418
Mar: 243,514
Apr: 109,950
May: 109,130
Jun: 153,389

Switch
Mar: 910,545
Apr: 280,897
May: 165,038
Jun: 215,582

Thanks go to jal356

Wow, considering the supply issues, the Switch is holding against the other two WAY better than I thought. Just imagine how it'll do once that's all sorted out.
 
I'm sure someone has stated this already, but I'd like to state it again. I don't think the XB1X is going to do that well this fall, based solely on pricepoint.

For $500:
XB1S, PS4, Switch (pick 2) —OR— XB1X

It'll definitely sell, mainly to Xbox fans who are looking to upgrade, but to the average consumer... the above math makes the unit much less enticing.

Also, I can't wait for Crash numbers. Bring on CTR!

I think that's all MS has ever said publicly that they expect from the XB1X. They've never said that they were making this to expand their userbase. For that, they have the XB1S. They've always said this is just for the niche enthusiast market.
 

Thorrgal

Member
Can finally post charts again!

This Sony/MS gen vs. last Sony/MS gen(s):

Cumulative from launch
PtpkfQj.png


Trailing 12 months
ywXrPjm.png



PS4 vs. XB1:

Annual gap (starts at 0 each year)
JYbGS9d.png


PS4 lead as % of XB1 LTD (i.e. relative lead for PS4 over XB1)
ib5paem.png

Thanks for those...so much for MS closing the gap.

There's no way Sony is gonna end this slaughter before 2021/22
 
Oh that is a juicy leak.

PS4
Jan: 210,665
Feb: 398,407
Mar: 396,726
Apr: 206,247
May: 187,182
Jun: 381,196

XB1
Jan: 157,545
Feb: 215,418
Mar: 243,514
Apr: 109,950
May: 109,130
Jun: 153,389

Switch
Mar: 910,545
Apr: 280,897
May: 165,038
Jun: 215,582

Thanks go to jal356
3 months of Xbone sales in 1 P$4 month is just crazy this far out. So glad I missed this months prediction thread
 

samar11

Member
Wow, considering the supply issues, the Switch is holding against the other two WAY better than I thought. Just imagine how it'll do once that's all sorted out.

Xbox sales are just tanking and its not holding up well against PS4 at all, its almost 2:1 dude lol
 

Noctix

Member
I think once Crash release on Xbox One and is successfully. Hopefully we can expect Microsoft to look at the success and greenlight Banjo/viva pinata/conker etc. fingers crossed.
 

allan-bh

Member
I think once Crash release on Xbox One and is successfully. Hopefully we can expect Microsoft to look at the success and greenlight Banjo/viva pinata/conker etc. fingers crossed.

Crash is very associated with Playstation. I don't think Xbox One owners will respond with such excitement to this remaster simply because they don't care, plus because will be coming later to the system.
 

xabbott

Member
I think once Crash release on Xbox One and is successfully. Hopefully we can expect Microsoft to look at the success and greenlight Banjo/viva pinata/conker etc. fingers crossed.

I don't think Banjo or Conker would do as well especially since they have remasters/re-releases already. After how Yooka Laylee did I don't expect a new one either.
 

Hellshy.

Member
Crash is very associated with Playstation. I don't think Xbox One owners will respond with such excitement to this remaster simply because they don't care, plus because will be coming later to the system.

Has Activision said it is coming to other platforms?
 

Rymuth

Member
I think once Crash release on Xbox One and is successfully. Hopefully we can expect Microsoft to look at the success and greenlight Banjo/viva pinata/conker etc. fingers crossed.

In the UK, Tekken on XBO completely dropped off the charts in the second week. The PS4 version, on the other hand, is still charting. Tekken, like Crash and Tomb Raider, is a franchise closely associated with Playstation

Not saying any potential XBO version of Crash will bomb, it just will never replicate this kind of success ergo, it won't make MS take note.
 
Has Activision said it is coming to other platforms?
Not explicitly, but I guess we can read into the "exclusive" shenanigans with PS4. They aren't just outright saying it is exclusive to PS4 and listings for a X1 version have popped up at some retailers.

I'm assuming it will just be a timed exclusive for PS4. I do wonder if there was some kind of clause about the game remaining exclusive if Crash sold a certain amount of copies. Or maybe something else beneficial to Sony if it sold X amount or more.
 

jeffram

Member
Oh that is a juicy leak.

PS4
Jan: 210,665
Feb: 398,407
Mar: 396,726
Apr: 206,247
May: 187,182
Jun: 381,196

XB1
Jan: 157,545
Feb: 215,418
Mar: 243,514
Apr: 109,950
May: 109,130
Jun: 153,389

Switch
Mar: 910,545
Apr: 280,897
May: 165,038
Jun: 215,582

Thanks go to jal356
PS4 knocking on the door of 400k in 3/6 months this year is insane.
 
Super late, but thank you Donny^^ There is no greater feeling than betting on optimism for sales and then still being conservative when all is said and done. Really great month for PS4 and is making for a pretty engaging NPD thread^^
 
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