Vestal
Gold Member
Hmm think I picked the wrong image. let me look it up again. below is the one I could find from GEFS yesterday.
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Atlantic Hurricane season 2017 |OT|
- Thread starter perfectchaos007
- Start date
Hmm think I picked the wrong image. let me look it up again. below is the one I could find from GEFS yesterday.
Not to freak any of my fellow floridians out but.....
A look into the future.
12z GFS run has this at 312hrs.(Next Thursday)
That's a separate system that the GFS hasn't developed since that run.
Vestal
Gold Member
VanMardigan
has calmed down a bit.
For reference, that hotel is on the north east side and the closest approach currently for the eye is south west side. So that won't be the hardest hit area but it'll give you a great idea of what's happening. I'm actually on a hill and I have a beautiful view of the south side of the island but it's dark and of course I'm not going outdoors and my windows are shuttered.
Insane Metal
Member
17 Seconds
Banned
"not to freak anyone out, but here's some completely erroneous shit"
So am I correct in my understanding that while earthquakes can occur for any number of other reasons, it's more than just a fringe hypothesis that hurricanes may be able to influence the occurrence of earthquakes due to the low pressure affecting something as huge as the continental plates?
Nightcrown
Member
I know there is still a few hours until Maria hits PR but I'm gonna go bunker up guys. Everyone be safe and for those not in PR pray for us.
Smiles and Cries
Member
never heard of such a connection, that is too wild to be science man too wild
Vestal
Gold Member
Vestal
Gold Member
Be safe Night.. What part of the island are you in?
Epsilon-delta
Banned
It must be fringe because my mind can't wrap how a hurricane can influence earthquakes where some occur hundreds of kilometers below the Earth's surface.
It's something that probably should be looked into after the Irma/Maria connection. Hell of a coincidence to coincide twice.
Nightcrown
Member
I'm in Caguas. I'm actually impressed I still have electricity since with less stronger winds we didn't have electricity when Irma was near.
We can only hope it's completely wrong in the end. It's bad enough to think that we're adding fuel to the figurative fire of destruction from above. If it was actually helping aggravate destruction from below...
WTF
Thoughts are with you man. I've been to PR, it's only like an hour's flight away in a prop plane, gorgeous place. Hope the damage isn't too severe.
Be safe and don't let your island shoot this thing to the west at us!
vonStirlitz
Unconfirmed Member
Interesting, but correlation does not equate with causation. You need to look at the whole picture, number and intensity of earthquakes over time, with or without hurricanes. Might actually be the case that there is only 0.1% correlation. Taking facts out of historical context isnt that useful. Interesting, but not useful.
Vestal
Gold Member
Wifes family is down in Ponce, Mom/Grandma/little Sister/MiddleBigSister in San Patricio, oldest sis went with her kids to work at her hospital, and my dad the stubborn fuck is staying at his APT in Condado right in front of the water on a 14th floor with Storm Shutters.
StopMakingSense
Member
Went from cat 1 to 5 in one day.
Wow, the 11pm update from NHC does nothing for poor Puerto Rico (too late for that I'm afraid) but it moves the path significantly further east of the Turks, which is great. Looks like it'll miss me completely at the moment.
11pm:
vs
8pm:
Looking pretty good unless something weird happens as it passes over the island.
11pm:
vs
8pm:
Looking pretty good unless something weird happens as it passes over the island.
PositiveGamer
Member
Wow, the 11pm update from NHC does nothing for poor Puerto Rico (too late for that I'm afraid) but it moves the path significantly further east of the Turks, which is great. Looks like it'll miss me completely at the moment.
11pm:
vs
8pm:
Looking pretty good unless something weird happens as it passes over the island.
Great news!! You just dealt with crap 2 weeks ago.. we all deserve a break.
Still have power in NW PR. Totally surprised. Winds are really picking up though, and she's still far away. The winds are coming straight at my north side windows and I am trying to sleep but no go. The noise is strong. And I repeat.... I am the farthest away from her. Strong tropical storm gusts. Stay safe PR 
Pesmerga00
Member
WTF is going on this year? Global warming? So many powerful storms in succession. I thought I dodged a bullet with Irma, but what will next week bring?
maabus1999
Member
Recon has the Outer Eyewall at 120 mph wind speed.
Other words...This is a Cat 5 surrounded by a Cat 3 Hurricane.
Other words...This is a Cat 5 surrounded by a Cat 3 Hurricane.
Vestal
Gold Member
Combination of that along with no sand from the zahara desert and a lack of shear across the Atlantic = a very favorable environment for storm development.
Still have power in NW PR. Totally surprised. Winds are really picking up though, and she's still far away. The winds are coming straight at my north side windows and I am trying to sleep but no go. The noise is strong. And I repeat.... I am the farthest away from her. Strong tropical storm gusts. Stay safe PR
Lights just went out for us here in the Northwest, and yea wind seems pretty strong considering how far she is. If they feel Ike this I don't want to know how they're going to be when the eye passes over us
maabus1999
Member
Which goes against some of the models thinking he'd intensify...
Which also increases possible Westerly steering currents for Maria in a few days...
Here is the PR wind map tomorrow for Gusts (as I said in the other thread, there better be a large Naval aid mission being planned):
From Caguas here, we are starting to feel some strong winds here now.
Good lord.
184mph???Which goes against some of the models thinking he'd intensify...
Which also increases possible Westerly steering currents for Maria in a few days...
Here is the PR wind map tomorrow for Gusts (as I said in the other thread, there better be a large Naval aid mission being planned):
Good lord.
Vestal
Gold Member
Sister just texted me, reports that power in PR is starting to fail in a large portion of the island. Reports of up to 85% of the island without power and the real thing is not there yet.
Side note: she got her info from NotiUno a few minutes ago(for those not in PR NotiUno is one of the major radio stations in PR)
Edit:
Apparently notiuno had it wrong.(not surprised) 85% was still with power..
perfectchaos007
Member
Good news: Maria is no longer undergoing rapid intensification
Bad news: Maria is still intensifying
mingoguaya
Member
Yup. I don't think it's coming back. Liberty has already gone down so now we have to rely on cell networks for internet access only.
SixStringPsycho
Member
Getting windy in Bayamon and raindrops hitting the Miami Windows
aspiegamer
Member
Maybe catching a little luck getting an eyewall replacement cycle for a little weakening as we're getting to PR proper, and might not have a chance to put itself back together entirely. Maybe. Hopefully. Pressure is up a little but still well within category 5 territory.
More specifically, the original inner eyewall is starting to open up, and the strongest winds were now found in the new, larger wall.
More specifically, the original inner eyewall is starting to open up, and the strongest winds were now found in the new, larger wall.
Carolina here. We lost power a few hours ago, not from the storm itself but cause a power transformer going boom near us. Internet service from Liberty finally went out just around an hour ago. Only reason cell service holds up is cause every sane person is fast asleep, lol.
This feels very much like how Georges was like when I was a kid, though in a much safer house. At least there are no trees next to us...
This feels very much like how Georges was like when I was a kid, though in a much safer house. At least there are no trees next to us...
Miggytronz
Member
I have family in Sabana Grande. How are things there?
vonStirlitz
Unconfirmed Member
Man I feel so bad for you all. Stay safe PR.