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April U.S. Primaries |OT| Vote in 20 Turns for World Leader
- Thread starter dramatis
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davepoobond
you can't put a price on sparks
every sentence has like 30 seconds between it.
Now you know how I feel when I talk to you guys.
No, not really?
maabus1999
Member
So she most likely gets 2/3 of those, and thats a net of 50+ delegates over Sanders.
At this stages in the race, that basically would wipe out his delegate gains for several of the last races.
LordOfChaos
Member
Lol this Cruz speech. "Join us as we join Republicans, and Libertarians, and [something] and Reagan Democrats", one of those had quite the qualifier lol
How could I forget? We exiled all the black people when I was living there. I guess it's been a few years and I forgot the state became "whites only" just like Hawaii is "not very diverse".
maabus1999
Member
Yeah not exactly how it works, and it is closer to 60% more than 55%.
eBay Huckster
Member
True, but I'm not sure why we're talking about DC/PR when NY/CT alone will probably provide the same margin in just a couple weeks
davepoobond
you can't put a price on sparks
any other examples? Hawaii is an awful one considering they act like their own country.
You didn't follow that with a "heres why".
maabus1999
Member
True, but I'm not sure why we're talking about DC/PR when NY/CT alone will probably provide the same margin in just a couple weeks
Oh I agree, I just am reminding some of the other people who are fantasizing that Sanders has a chance with small wins.
It was 58 before Alaska. Should be down a point or two by now.
Just a shame for Bernie the caucuses are over and NY, PA, NJ, PR, MD and CA are going to make that sort of win impossible.
eBay Huckster
Member
it's about 57.5 at this point, which has a 56-44 margin tonight baked in
everything after saturday this month alone should tell you that's not happening
maabus1999
Member
So Delegate math is very fluid but the last target analysis for Bernie 7 days ago was +13 average, which is still 58 last I looked.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-really-hard-to-get-bernie-sanders-988-more-delegates/
And a lot of those margins have no chance of happening, so he needs to increase it in others (like DC and Puerto Rico)
Bruce Springsteen
Member
Woah, trump got crushed
If we squeal "YAS QUEEN" over and over and over again at an annoying decibel level, we can prove Hillary's the better candidate!
No problem for Abuelo. He's going to win NY so hard.
He nets 6 delegates from this win. He needs well over 200.
legacyzero
Banned
Im sure some will spin it some how.
That's the new spin?
I remember Hillary supporters here talking about how Hawaii was going to be a blowout for Hillary 'cause only white people like Sanders.
No, it's not. Sanders is a 74 year old Jewish socialist. He's made it far more of a race than it should have been. Ultimately he'll lose but it's a positive sign for the party, from where I'm sitting.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008#/media/File%3ADemocratic_presidential_primary%2C_2008.svg
2008 for reference. Purple Obama, look at all the states he lost then.
eBay Huckster
Member
re
ceipts
(and who knows what the actual margins would've been in any of those states using caucuses if they actually used a method that didn't depress the shit out of turnout, like a primary?)
Not only will Bernie take New York, but Game of Thrones will return.
It is going to be a great week for Bernie supporters.
loki 16
Member
lol
Shows how slimey Bernie really is, he doesn't care about democracy if he wants an open convention despite losing fair and square (I mean this doesn't even involve super delegates) he wants to overide pledged delegates decision.
He doesn't give a shit about what he's doing, he'll try anything to get into power.
Mango Positive
Member
The point is it's not over, like the opposition has been saying since day 1. How long can a point-of-view be wrong before folk start discounting it?
By winning Wyoming.
maabus1999
Member
Were you born after 2008 by chance?
Damerman
Member
Wouldn't this argument inherently mean that bernie would perform better in a general election since he does better in open primaries?
If Bernie wins every single solitary state going forward the way he won wisconsin, he still has less delegates than Clinton. Saying it's not over is delusional. But, whatever.
He does better in open primaries in states that favour him.
He only ever excels in caucuses and his home state/area.
eBay Huckster
Member
On one hand:
Looking at the polls so far, their trend lines as we get closer to E-day, and their demographics, it's vanishingly unlikely that Sanders wins any of the six primaries that end this month (and if he does win any it's gonna be RI, by a margin too small to gain any delegates); a tie in each state makes the delegate math so absurd that he would now need to sweep every remaining state and territory by an average of 61-39.
On the other hand:
He can technically still reverse the margin! It's not over!
them's some watery-ass tea if pigeon's the only guy saying that, though
Wow, is that it? He's hardly predicting a blowout either. Talk about grasping for straws.
maabus1999
Member
He probably didn't know it was a Caucus which right now heavily favors Sanders by a huge amount. I think there is a good story from the Seattle Times pointing out how un-diverse a caucus really is.
legacyzero
Banned
I see CNN is staying put on Bernie this time.
At least they're done as of Saturday, the end of Bernies high digit wins.
It's not over it's just incredibly unlikely right now. The math right now is not in his favor. He has to win big in every state from here on out. Do you think he is actually going to win big in NY, PA, and CA? Because I don't and anyone looking at this objectively should reach the same conclusion. It's really over for Bernie barring some miracle.
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