Mexico is Marvel territory. My anecdotal: went today and the lines were insane. (It's like people don't know you can buy online and reserve seats ;P). And actually, BvS did really well in its first weekend from what I can remember. That BvS number is definitely top 15ish ever, it's just anything Avengers-related is beyond absurd.
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To help dispel the "hope it makes it to $1B talk for Civil War, here are the individual territory numbers that BOM has listed, along with the first weekend numbers for BvS in the same territories.
Code:Civil War Batman v Superman Australia $10,900,000 $9,884,250 Brazil $12,300,000 $10,607,133 France $10,100,000 $8,600,000 Germany $8,100,000 $6,949,925 Hong Kong $6,800,000 $3,975,478 Japan $7,100,000 $3,288,349 Malaysia $5,100,000 $5,100,000 Mexico $20,600,000 $12,256,287 Philippines $7,500,000 $3,700,000 South Korea $28,900,000 $8,486,121 Spain $4,400,000 $3,182,560 Taiwan $8,100,000 $5,250,000 Thailand $6,000,000 $2,256,551 United Kingdom $20,500,000 $20,671,286 TOTAL $156,400,000 $104,207,940
Openings between the films are comparable in Europe (where BvS benefited from Christian holidays), but Asia and Mexico isn't even close.
Civil War's first international weekend was about $60M lower than BvS' first weekend. And that's without China, Italy, Argentina, New Zealand, Russia, India, and a bunch of smaller territories which added over $80M to BvS' first international weekend of ~$260M. If Civil War had a global launch like BvS did, I think it would have landed somewhere between $300-350M internationally (add whatever it does in its domestic OW to that).
BvS went on to have extremely shitty legs. However, it still managed to make ~$540M overseas.
If we lowball the domestic gross at $400M, Civil War only needs to beat that by $60M to hit $1B. Not much more than the opening weekend difference listed in the handful of territories above.
Over $1.5B is much more likely than under $1B.