NeoGAF

Chris1964 · 12:07 PM

Media Create June 7-13

01. / 00. [WII] Xenoblade (Nintendo) - 82.952 / NEW
02. / 01. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 73.480 / 518.530 (-30%)
03. / 00. [PS3] Grand Theft Auto IV: Episodes from Liberty City (Rockstar Games) - 64.249 / NEW
04. / 00. [NDS] Mega Man Zero Collection (Capcom) - 21.736 / NEW
05. / 03. [NDS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 2 (Square Enix) - 19.593 / 1.141.582 (-16%)
06. / 00. [PS3] Just Cause 2 (Square Enix) - 18.795 / NEW
07. / 02. [PSP] Fairy Tail: Portable Guild (Konami) - 13.586 / 48.557 (-61%)
08. / 09. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2010: Blue Samurai Challenge (Konami) - 12.617 / 106.055 (-10%)
09. / 10. [NDS] Friend Collection (Nintendo) - 12.229 / 3.263.000 (-12%)
10. / 11. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) - 11.864 / 3.885.000 (-9%)

11. / 04. [NDS] Let's Make a Pro Soccer Club! DS World Challenge 2010 (Sega)
12. / 05. [PS3] Lost Planet 2 (Capcom)
13. / 15. [WII] Wii Fit Plus (Nintendo)
14. / 07. [PSP] Metal Gear Solid: Peace Walker (Konami)
15. / 08. [NDS] Medarot DS: Kabuto / Kuwagata (Rocket Company)
16. / 13. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo)
17. / 14. [PSP] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2010: Blue Samurai Challenge (Konami)
18. / 00. [360] Grand Theft Auto IV: Episodes from Liberty City (Rockstar Games) - 9.000 / NEW
19. / 19. [PSP] Monster Hunter Freedom Unite [PSP the Best Reprint] (Capcom)
20. / 06. [PSP] Hisshou Pachinko Pachislot Kouryaku Series Portable Vol. 1: CR Neon Genesis Evangelion - Tamashii no Kiseki (D3 Publisher)
21. / 20. [PS2] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2010: Blue Samurai Challenge (Konami)
22. / 21. [WII] Wii Sports Resort (Nintendo)
23. / 22. [NDS] New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo)
24. / 00. [360] Just Cause 2 (Square Enix)
25. / 00. [PSP] Wand of Fortune Portable (Idea Factory)
26. / 27. [WII] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2010: Blue Samurai Challenge (Konami)
27. / 24. [PSP] Pro Baseball Spirits 2010 (Konami)
28. / 18. [NDS] Hisshou Pachinko Pachislot Kouryaku Series DS Vol. 5: CR Neon Genesis Evangelion - Tamashii no Kiseki (D3 Publisher)
29. / 16. [NDS] Super Robot Wars OG Saga: Masou Kishin - The Lord of Elemental (Bandai Namco)
30. / 28. [PS3] 2010 FIFA World Cup: South Africa (Electronic Arts)
31. / 32. [NDS] Pokemon Ranger: Tracks of Light (Pokemon Co.)
32. / 26. [PS3] Super Street Fighter 4 (Capcom)
33. / 33. [NDS] The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks (Nintendo)
34. / 25. [NDS] Pokemon Heart Gold / Soul Silver (Pokemon Co.)
35. / 12. [NDS] Kaidan Restaurant: Ura Menu 100-Sen (Bandai Namco)
36. / 36. [NDS] Dragon Quest IX: Sentinels of the Starry Skies [Ultimate Hits] (Square Enix)
37. / 31. [PSP] Fullmetal Alchemist: To the Promised Day (Bandai Namco)
38. / 43. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 2: Threat of the Invaders - Fire / Blizzard (Level 5)
39. / 29. [PS3] NieR Replicant (Square Enix)
40. / 17. [PSP] Clannad: Mitsumi Mamoru Sakamichi de - Joukan (Prototype)
41. / 39. [PS3] Demon's Souls [PlayStation 3 the Best] (SCE)
42. / 41. [WII] One Piece: Unlimited Cruise 2 - Awakening of the Hero [Everyone's Recommendation Selection] (Bandai Namco)
43. / 40. [NDS] Mario Kart DS (Nintendo)
44. / 00. [WII] Taiko Drum Master Wii 2 (Bandai Namco)
45. / 37. [NDS] Captain Tsubasa: Gekitou no Kiseki (Konami)
46. / 48. [WII] Super Smash Bros. Brawl (Nintendo)
47. / 45. [PS3] Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots [PlayStation 3 the Best] (Konami)
48. / 47. [NDS] Puyo Puyo 7 (Sega)
49. / 34. [PSP] Blaze Union: Story to Reach the Future (Atlus Co.)
50. / 49. [PSP] Hakuouki Portable (Idea Factory)

00. / 00. [ALL] Weekly Software Sales (All Publishers) - 729.218 / 24.676.915 (+8%)

NDS - 17
PSP - 11
WII - 10
PS3 - 9
360 - 2
PS2 - 1

HARDWARE

Code:

__________________________________________________________________
|System |  This Week  |  Last Week  |        YTD  |         LTD  |
------------------------------------------------------------------
|  NDS  |     24.418  |     20.699  |  1.006.235  |  30.285.315  |
|  PSP  |     22.380  |     24.614  |  1.030.089  |  14.773.177  |
|  WII  |     20.588  |     18.818  |    758.821  |  10.364.020  |
|  PS3  |     17.676  |     18.951  |    699.495  |   5.200.862  |
|  360  |      3.225  |      3.258  |     79.236  |   1.288.908  |
|  PS2  |      1.291  |      1.316  |     40.680  |  21.650.857  |
------------------------------------------------------------------
| DSiLL |     11.138  |     10.737  |    523.596  |   1.030.503  |
|  DSi  |     10.172  |      8.219  |    381.592  |   4.720.538  |
|  DSL  |      3.108  |      1.743  |    101.047  |  17.948.803  |
------------------------------------------------------------------
|  PSP  |     21.662  |     23.588  |    995.034  |  14.662.367  |
| PSPgo |        718  |      1.026  |     35.055  |     110.810  |
------------------------------------------------------------------

Previous Media-Create Threads
2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010

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Media Create Sales: 03/29 - 04/04

ivysaur12 · (06-17-2010, 05:07 AM)

Xenoblade did well. Even though the shipment numbers were wrong, it still probably cleared a big majority of its shipment.

It really depends on how it does next week. 15k? 30k? That depends on word of mouth and a good second shipment from Nintendo. Either way, we'll know next week considering how low the top 10 is :lol

Chris1964 · (06-17-2010, 05:09 AM)

Media Create Galaxy 3rd week

[WII] Super Mario Galaxy (Nintendo) - 39.500 / 364.542

he he. Galaxy 2 won't need the holiday bump:D

ivysaur12 · (06-17-2010, 05:10 AM)

Originally Posted by Chris1964:

Media Create Galaxy 3rd week

[WII] Super Mario Galaxy (Nintendo) - 39.500 / 364.542

he he. Galaxy 2 won't need the holiday bump:D

Oh wow. Damn.

Regulus Tera · (06-17-2010, 05:17 AM)

How did Xenosaga III perform?

ivysaur12 · (06-17-2010, 05:19 AM)

Originally Posted by Regulus Tera:

How did Xenosaga III perform?

120k first week, 181 LTD

Really bad legs. We'll see how Xenoblade does.

wrowa · (06-17-2010, 05:19 AM)

Originally Posted by Regulus Tera:

How did Xenosaga III perform?

119k first week according to Famitsu.

B-Rad Lascelle · (06-17-2010, 05:21 AM)

Given the market and the difference in install base, I can't exactly view Xenoblade only outselling GTA IV's DLC by 19K on its opening week as a "good" thing.

Is it too late to rename the game Dragon Quest Mecha?

I'm sure the title was just undershipped. I'm just making a funny.

KuwabaraTheMan · 05:28 AM

Originally Posted by B-Rad Lascelle:

Given the market and the difference in install base, I can't exactly view Xenoblade only outselling GTA IV's DLC by 19K on its opening week as a "good" thing.

Is it too late to rename the game Dragon Quest Mecha?

The PS3 version of GTA IV sold over 200,000. In fact, with the best price sales included its sold over 300,000. Xenoblade is a new IP, and a spiritual successor to a franchise in which the last game sold under 200,000.

I don't see how that's bad at all. Expecting it to do triple digits in its first week was unrealistic.

Dash Kappei · (06-17-2010, 05:27 AM)

So, is it
1)UH-OH
or a
2)NOT BAD
?

edit: holi shit fuck yeah at Galaxy 2, they finally get it?

jgwhiteus · (06-17-2010, 05:27 AM)

I'm pleasantly surprised by Xenoblade - those sales have to be driven almost entirely by positive reviews and impressions, since they don't seem to have been driven by an extensive marketing and information campaign on Nintendo's part.

EDIT: Not that the numbers are objectively great overall - it's a pretty soft week - just that they could have been (and usually have been) a lot worse.

EDIT 2: And I do think changing the name from "Monado" to "Xenoblade" helped.

ivysaur12 · (06-17-2010, 05:28 AM)

Originally Posted by KuwabaraTheMan:

The PS3 version of GTA IV sold over 200,000. In fact, with the best price sales included its sold over 300,000. Xenoblade is a new IP, and a spiritual successor to a franchise in which the last game sold under 200,000.

I don't see how that's bad at all. Expecting it to do tripled digits in its first week was unrealistic.

I don't have the NPD sales on Xenosaga III, but it's worth noting that traditionally the series has performed fairly well compared to its Japanese sales.

Originally Posted by Dash Kappei:

So, is it
1)UH-OH
or a
2)NOT BAD
?

edit: holi shit fuck yeah at Galaxy 2, they finally get it?

Considering that almost 0 dollars went into the marketing budget, has most likely sold a big chunk of its initial shipment, is the spiritual successor (if that) to a series with diminishing sales and is on a platform that has had little RPG success... yeah, it's definitely B.

Originally Posted by jgwhiteus:

I'm pleasantly surprised by Xenoblade - those sales have to be driven almost entirely by positive reviews and impressions, since they don't seem to have been driven by an extensive marketing and information campaign on Nintendo's part.

EDIT: Not that the numbers are objectively great overall - it's a pretty soft week - just that they could have been (and usually have been) a lot worse.

EDIT 2: And I do think changing the name from "Monado" to "Xenoblade" helped.

Of course it did. If it comes to America, I fully expect it to be called Xenoblade.

cvxfreak · (06-17-2010, 05:36 AM)

Originally Posted by Chris1964:

Media Create Galaxy 3rd week

[WII] Super Mario Galaxy (Nintendo) - 39.500 / 364.542

he he. Galaxy 2 won't need the holiday bump:D

Be careful predicting that. Games with higher starting numbers do also tend to fall faster.

MidnightScott · (06-17-2010, 07:23 AM)

Hopefully Xenoblade will do well enough in Japan, and is being localized. I mean after all the game was revealed at E3 2009 (as Monado: Beginning of the World)

jj984jj · (06-17-2010, 07:37 AM)

Xenoblade!!!!

It did okay, right?!? Hopefully it does well next week since I don't see it hanging around too long.

Jonnyram · (06-17-2010, 07:43 AM)

Originally Posted by ivysaur12:

Considering that almost 0 dollars went into the marketing budget,

This has to be sarcasm, right?

cantona222 · (06-17-2010, 10:15 AM)

I hoped that Galaxy 2 did better

ivysaur12 · (06-17-2010, 11:08 AM)

Originally Posted by Jonnyram:

This has to be sarcasm, right?

Bebpo says the game hasn't been pushed at all in Japan and the game was only "revealed" a few months ago. Obviously it was a hyperbole.

Kurosaki Ichigo · (06-17-2010, 11:20 AM)

Can't do predictions results without GTA 360 and Famitsu leak is busted so just Dengeki or late Famitsu update choices left. Btw, pretty bad showing for GTA 360 vs PS3 edition...did the episodes release digitally on 360 before?

Respectable Xenoblade numbers, I'm glad it outdid Soma Bringer handily. Good Galaxy 2 legs, not really extreme edge start for Just Cause, WE World Cup showing some legs but at pretty low numbers. At this rate they will only sell through the first shipment (talking PS3 here) before WC is over.

Cosmonaut X · (06-17-2010, 11:29 AM)

Originally Posted by ivysaur12:

Bebpo says the game hasn't been pushed at all in Japan and the game was only "revealed" a few months ago. Obviously it was a hyperbole.

It has had TV ad spots with that idol troupe though, hasn't it? That plus a reasonable amount of coverage in Famitsu leading up to release is more than other Nintendo-published titles have received.

Nice to see it do reasonably - especially in light of the positive word-of-mouth so far - although I have my doubts as to whether it will make it much beyond 120k unless it has good legs for an RPG. Hopefully it will push Nintendo to make it a series, or at least to work more on making JRPGs a larger part of their portfolio.

Dragon · (06-17-2010, 11:33 AM)

Originally Posted by ivysaur12:

I don't have the NPD sales on Xenosaga III, but it's worth noting that traditionally the series has performed fairly well compared to its Japanese sales.

Closest thing I could find off the top of my head but it lists worldwide sales: http://www.rpgfan.com/news/2007/1058.html

Stumpokapow · (06-17-2010, 11:35 AM)

As luck would have it, someone leaked a number of NPD LTDs in January 2008 on a public forum (not GAF, although I have no special secrets or sources).

As of January 2008, US NPD sales:
Xenosaga 1 - 513,000
Xenosaga 2 - 268,000
Xenosaga 3 - 115,000

ivysaur12 · (06-17-2010, 11:42 AM)

Originally Posted by Stumpokapow:

As luck would have it, someone leaked a number of NPD LTDs in January 2008 on a public forum (not GAF, although I have no special secrets or sources).

As of January 2008, US NPD sales:
Xenosaga 1 - 513,000
Xenosaga 2 - 268,000
Xenosaga 3 - 115,000

Interesting. American numbers are fairly consistant with their Japanese counterparts. Xeno 1 and Xeno 2 were higher, while 3 was about 65k lower. Maybe that is some sort of barometer for success in America? I have no idea.

schuelma · (06-17-2010, 12:01 PM)

Better than I expected for Xenoblade, definitely. Not too horrible. About 2 years too late, but that's another argument.

And I believe Dragona has officially lost the prediction :(

duckroll · (06-17-2010, 12:07 PM)

I called Xenoblade's first week pretty well. My GTA predictions weren't too hot though.

onken · (06-17-2010, 12:16 PM)

lol I was miles off on everything, GTA did a lot better than I thought. Not bad for Xenosaga.

Cosmonaut X · (06-17-2010, 12:31 PM)

Originally Posted by schuelma:

Better than I expected for Xenoblade, definitely. Not too horrible. About 2 years too late, but that's another argument.

Pretty much. The system still has life in it, and I'm glad games like Xenoblade can still do reasonably well (although this is definitely not an outstanding performance) but it's amazing how poorly the system has been handled in certain respects.

Quote:

And I believe Dragona has officially lost the prediction :(

Heh :-) What was it again - 80k combined for Xenoblade and The Last Story? Or was the figure slightly lower?

Chris1964 · (06-17-2010, 12:32 PM)

Originally Posted by cvxfreak:

Be careful predicting that. Games with higher starting numbers do also tend to fall faster.

I predicted Galaxy 2 will have a LTD similar to Galaxy 1 long time before Galaxy 2 comes out.

Famitsu (as of 06/06/10)

Code:

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
|    |[GCN]Mario Sunshine| [WII]Mario Galaxy |[WII]Mario Galaxy 2|       difference      |
|    |     (19/07/02)    |    (01/11/07)     |     (27/05/10)    |                       |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
|Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |  SMG2-SMS |  SMG2-SMG |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
|  1 |  280.610|  280.610|  256.431|  256.431|  337.569|  337.569|     56.959|     81.228|
|  2 |  102.576|  383.186|   78.439|  334.690|  116.153|  453.722|     70.536|    119.032|
|  3 |   59.975|  443.161|   43.317|  378.007|         |         |           |           |
|  4 |   39.562|  482.723|   37.484|  415.491|         |         |           |           |
|  5 |   43.921|  526.644|   36.354|  451.845|         |         |           |           |
|  6 |   22.794|  549.438|   48.750|  500.595|         |         |           |           |
|  7 |   18.588|  568.026|   70.541|  571.136|         |         |           |           |
|  8 |   13.739|  581.765|  109.029|  680.165|         |         |           |           |
|  9 |    9.891|  591.656|   67.519|  747.684|         |         |           |           |
| 10 |    8.929|  600.585|   62.017|  809.701|         |         |           |           |
| 11 |    8.820|  609.405|   17.617|  827.318|         |         |           |           |
| 12 |    6.827|  616.232|   16.643|  843.961|         |         |           |           |
| 13 |    5.927|  622.159|    9.056|  853.017|         |         |           |           |
| 14 |    6.146|  628.305|    7.234|  860.251|         |         |           |           |
| 15 |    5.194|  633.499|    6.344|  866.595|         |         |           |           |
| 16 |    5.112|  638.611|    5.868|  872.463|         |         |           |           |
| 17 |    4.366|  642.977|    4.357|  876.820|         |         |           |           |
| 18 |    2.156|  645.133|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
| 19 |    2.651|  647.784|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
| 20 |    2.721|  650.505|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
| 21 |    3.481|  653.986|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
| 22 |    4.446|  658.432|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
| 23 |    9.965|  668.397|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
| 24 |    9.043|  677.440|        -|        -|         |         |           |           |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
|Year|   YTD   |   LTD   |   YTD   |   LTD   |   YTD   |   LTD   |  SMG2-SMS |  SMG2-SMG |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
|  1 |  677.440|  677.440|  747.684|  747.684|  453.722|  453.722|   -223.718|   -293.962|
|  2 |   84.358|  761.798|  197.442|  945.106|         |         |           |           |
|  3 |   28.191|  789.989|         |         |         |         |           |           |
|  4 |        -|        -|         |  977.178|         |         |           |           |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
| LTD|        -|  789.989|        -|  977.178|        -|  453.722|   -336.267|   -523.456|
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. [N64] Super Mario 64 (Nintendo) - 162.111 / 1.639.921
2. [NDS] Super Mario 64 DS(Nintendo) - 120.062 / 1.162.478
3. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy (Nintendo) - 256.431 / 977.178
4. [GCN] Super Mario Sunshine (Nintendo) - 280.610 / 789.989
5. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 337.569 / 453.722

Stumpokapow · (06-17-2010, 12:34 PM)

Originally Posted by Cosmonaut X:

Heh :-) What was it again - 80k combined for Xenoblade and The Last Story? Or was the figure slightly lower?

IIRC it was 100k for Xenoblade, TLS, and Reginleiv combined.

Cosmonaut X · (06-17-2010, 12:47 PM)

Originally Posted by Stumpokapow:

IIRC it was 100k for Xenoblade, TLS, and Reginleiv combined.

Ah, poor Dragona - I thought she was being rather OTT, and given that just between Xenoblade's week 1 figures and Reginleiv's last known total we're already sitting at 112k, I think there's a touch of crow in order ;-)

cvxfreak · (06-17-2010, 12:51 PM)

Originally Posted by Chris1964:

I predicted Galaxy 2 will have a LTD similar to Galaxy 1 long time before Galaxy 2 comes out.

Monster Hunter 3 has a similar LTD to the original Galaxy, and that one has much been bigger than Galaxy 2 in their first three weeks. Do you really think Galaxy 2 will have extraordinary legs to double its LTD in the next 6-12 months?

I should also mention that store promos/advertising for the game is slowly dwindling away in favor of Blue Ocean titles and Xenoblade.

----

[IMG]http://i48.************/2m4sua1.jpg[/IMG]

Uploaded this on my Twitter earlier (I use it to post sales musings from time to time before posting on GAF). When I initially saw the sign, I thought Xenoblade was sold out. But then upon closer inspection, the sold out sign actually refers to a Love Plus+ DSi LL hardware bundle that could only be pre-ordered on Yodobashi's online website. Guess they had nothing else to support the sign with. :lol :lol

d[-_-]b · (06-17-2010, 12:56 PM)

Originally Posted by cvxfreak:

Monster Hunter 3 has a similar LTD to the original Galaxy, and that one has much been bigger than Galaxy 2 in their first three weeks. Do you really think Galaxy 2 will have extraordinary legs to double its LTD in the next 6-12 months?

I should also mention that store promos/advertising for the game is slowly dwindling away in favor of Blue Ocean titles and Xenoblade.

----

[IMG]http://i48.************/2m4sua1.jpg[IMG]

Uploaded this on my Twitter earlier (I use it to post sales musings from time to time before posting on GAF). When I initially saw the sign, I thought Xenoblade was sold out. But then upon closer inspection, the sold out sign actually refers to a Love Plus+ DSi LL hardware bundle that could only be pre-ordered on Yodobashi's online website. Guess they had nothing else to support the sign with. :lol :lol

:lol well glad to see Xenoblade is off to a good start for a new IP... hopefully this will convince NOA to bring it stateside...

Yamauchi · (06-17-2010, 01:07 PM)

Xenoblade won't have any legs, though.

Chris1964 · (06-17-2010, 01:20 PM)

Originally Posted by cvxfreak:

Monster Hunter 3 has a similar LTD to the original Galaxy, and that one has much been bigger than Galaxy 2 in their first three weeks. Do you really think Galaxy 2 will have extraordinary legs to double its LTD in the next 6-12 months?

Sure, why not. These are usual legs for Mario games. It's already performing way better than Galaxy without the price drops the original had. A big piece of December sales is already covered.

Monster Hunter 3 is a completely different situation. Overshipped, with price drops and very frontloaded. The only similarity there is with Galaxy is that they both are million sellers.

cvxfreak · (06-17-2010, 01:45 PM)

Originally Posted by Chris1964:

Sure, why not. These are usual legs for Mario games. It's already performing way better than Galaxy without the price drops the original had. A big piece of December sales is already covered.

Monster Hunter 3 is a completely different situation. Overshipped, with price drops and very frontloaded. The only similarity there is with Galaxy is that they both are million sellers.

There are plenty of reasons for "why not." :)

I disagree with the present assessment that these legs are "usual" for Mario games when every 3D Mario game has been released under a different environment. Sure, Mario games do sell for a decent period of time, but in the context of Mario, I consider only SM64, SM64DS, NSMB, and NSMB Wii to have real legs (as well as MK Wii, MP series).

I simply am still baffled as to how anyone can expect Galaxy 2 to match Galaxy 1 right now. Galaxy 2 basically has to catch up to many games that had even higher debuts than it did but did not sell 1 Million (Dissidia, Crisis Core, Peace Walker, MH3, etc). I don't buy the notion that all those games are too different to compare. Galaxy 2 is not a Blue Ocean game, so it certainly can't be compared to those games either. But good luck.

schuelma · (06-17-2010, 01:49 PM)

Originally Posted by cvxfreak:

I simply am still baffled as to how anyone can expect Galaxy 2 to match Galaxy 1 right now. Galaxy 2 basically has to catch up to many games that had even higher debuts than it did but did not sell 1 Million (Dissidia, Crisis Core, Peace Walker, MH3, etc). I don't buy the notion that all those games are too different to compare. Galaxy 2 is not a Blue Ocean game, so it certainly can't be compared to those games either. But good luck.

Hmm. I do think that a Mario/Nintendo game is just inherently going to have better legs than the games you listed. But I also think its too early to say that SMG2 will reach 1. Yes, it looks good now, but I think Chris is underestimating the December weeks still to come for the first Galaxy.

I'll wait a few more weeks before making any firm pronouncements, but for now I'll stick with a 900Kish prediction.

Chris1964 · (06-17-2010, 01:57 PM)

Just to be clear I never said Galay 2 will reach for sure 1 million, but that it will have a LTD similar to Galaxy. With that I meant 900k, 1000k or 1100k. Weekly sales (and especially 3rd week) so far are very good.

Sunshine is a good game to compare Galaxy 2 sales trend. Dissidia, Crisis Core, Peace Walker will be outsold from Galaxy 2 even though they had much bigger openings.

cvxfreak · (06-17-2010, 02:07 PM)

Originally Posted by schuelma:

Hmm. I do think that a Mario/Nintendo game is just inherently going to have better legs than the games you listed. But I also think its too early to say that SMG2 will reach 1. Yes, it looks good now, but I think Chris is underestimating the December weeks still to come for the first Galaxy.

I'll wait a few more weeks before making any firm pronouncements, but for now I'll stick with a 900Kish prediction.

Yeah. It's down to whether Galaxy 2 will have the legs to override its present lag (relative to those games). The thing about the games I've mentioned is that they have what I'd call "mini-legs." They have big debuts, and last some weeks, but don't have the fuel for long term sales. But they're not dead-after-arrival games, either. Typically, they're games above 400K (350K also acceptable) but with first week to LTD ratios of below 60%. And they tend to sell outside the Top 30/50. I consider Galaxy 2 a good candidate for mini-leg status. Galaxy 1 had inflated legs, by comparison, thanks to the holiday.

RPG_Fanatic · (06-17-2010, 02:08 PM)

Originally Posted by Chris1964:

Media Create Galaxy 3rd week

[WII] Super Mario Galaxy (Nintendo) - 39.500 / 364.542

he he. Galaxy 2 won't need the holiday bump:D

This makes me smile. :D
Also glad to see Xenoblade doing decent numbers. It well definitely pass 100k.

thestopsign · (06-17-2010, 02:56 PM)

I'm thinking over the next few weeks Galaxy 2 goes something like 55k ---> 35k ---> 25k ---> 20k ---> 15k (then it will get a boost for Obon near the end of July/early August)

LTD wise, probably over 800k and under 850k.

Chris1964 · (06-17-2010, 05:39 PM)

Next week releases (24/06/10)

[NDS] Love Plus + (Konami)
[NDS] Tokimeki Memorial: Girl's Side 3rd Story (Konami)
[NDS] Maru Goukaku Shikaku Dasshu! Financial Planning Ginou Kentei Shiken 2-Kyuu 3-Kyuu (Media 5)

[PSP] My Summer Vacation Portable 2: Nazo Nazo Shimai to Chinbotsusen no Himitsu (SCE)
[PSP] Chaos; Head Noah (5pb.)
[PSP] Army of Two: The 40th Day Portable (Electronic Arts)
[PSP] Prince of Persia: The Forgotten Sands (Ubisoft)
[PSP] The King of Fighters Portable '94-'98: Chapter of Orochi (SNK Playmore)
[PSP] D.C. Girl's Symphony Pocket (Idea Factory)
[PSP] Starry Sky: In Spring - PSP Edition (Asgard)
[PSP] Uta no Prince-Sama (Broccoli)
[PSP] Narcissus: Moshimo Ashita ga Runara (Kadokawa Shoten)
[PSP] Daisenryaku Perfect: Senjou no Hasha (System Soft Alpha)
[PSP] Hatsune Miku: Project Diva [Dekkai Ohaidoku-han] (Sega)
[PSP] Hatsune Miku: Project Diva [Ohaidoku-han] (Sega)
[PSP] SNK Arcade Classics Vol. 1 [SNK Best Collection] (SNK Playmore)

[WII] SD Gundam: Gashapon Wars (Bandai Namco)

[PS3] Atelier Totori: Alchemist of Arland 2 (Gust)
[PS3] Prince of Persia: The Forgotten Sands (Ubisoft)
[PS3] White Album: Tsuzurareru Fuyu no Omoide (Aqua Plus)

[360] Monster Hunter Frontier Online (Beginner's Package) (Capcom)
[360] Prince of Persia: The Forgotten Sands (Ubisoft)
[360] Sengoku Hime 2 (System Soft Alpha)

[PS2] Moujuutsukai to Oujisama (Idea Factory)
[PS2] The King of Fighters 2002: Unlimited Match (Tougeki Ver.) (SNK Playmore)

This and next 3 weeks are good for predictions.

vicissitudes · (06-17-2010, 05:56 PM)

Wow at Xenoblade. WOW at GTA Stories. First week compared with GTAIV is about 1:2 where in the US it was about 1:20.

Also just noticed, Wii hardware didn't really get a bump from Galaxy 2 the past 2 weeks huh?

AranhaHunter · (06-17-2010, 06:35 PM)

That's probably a 6-1 PS3:360 ratio for GTA Episodes, that's uncommon.

schuelma · (06-18-2010, 12:57 AM)

PSP 21,662
Wii 20,588
PS3 17,676
DSi LL 11,138
DSi 10,172
Xbox 360 3,225
DS Lite 3,108
PS2 1,291
PSP go 718

cvxfreak · (06-18-2010, 01:10 AM)

Small but noticeable rise for the Wii indeed. :)

By the way, a few of the big retailers dropped their prices on DS hardware early, hence the lack of huge drop in sales. Sales will go up with the new colors and official price drop, but the effect may be subdued.

donny2112 · (06-18-2010, 05:27 AM)

Famitsu May 31-Jun 6

01./01. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 116,153 / 453,722 (-66%)
02./00. [PSP] Fairy Tail: Portable Guild (Konami) - 37,798 / NEW
03./05. [NDS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 2 (Square Enix) - 32,570 / 1,131,853 (-23%)
04./04. [NDS] Soccer Tsuku DS 2010: World Challenge (SEGA) - 17,643 / 67,204 (-64%)
05./06. [PS3] Lost Planet 2 (Capcom) - 17,083 / 143,137 (-48%)
06./00. [PSP] Hisshou Pachinko*Pachi-Slot Kouryaku Series Portable Vol. 1: Shinseiki Evangelion: Tamashii no Kiseki (D3 Publisher) - 16,623 / NEW
07./08. [PSP] Metal Gear Solid: Peace Walker (Konami) - 14,809 / 705,881 (-35%)
08./07. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2010: Aoki Samurai no Chousen (Blue Samurai Challenge) (Konami) - 14,781 / 96,622 (-38%)
09./11. [WII] Wii Fit Plus (Nintendo) - 13,103 / 1,958,687 (-9%)
10./12. [NDS] Tomodachi Collection (Friend Collection) (Nintendo) - 12,523 / 3,286,244 (-4%)

11./00. [NDS] Kaidan Restaurant: Ura Menu 100-Sen (Namco Bandai Games) - 11,546 / NEW
12./15. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) - 11,062 / 2,754,430 (-6%)
13./03. [NDS] Medarot DS: Kuwagata/Kabuto (Rocket Company) - 10,554 / 72,610 (-83%)
14./13. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) - 10,092 / 3,863,218 (-22%)
15./00. [NDS] Hisshou Pachinko*Pachi-Slot Kouryaku Series DS Vol. 5: Shinseiki Evangelion: Tamashii no Kiseki (D3 Publisher) - 9,724 / NEW
16./02. [NDS] Super Robot Taisen OG Saga: Masou Kishin - The Lord of Elemental (Namco Bandai Games) - 9,397 / 95,502 (-89%)
17./14. [PSP] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2010: Aoki Samurai no Chousen (Blue Samurai Challenge) (Konami) - 9,079 / 41,188 (-27%)
18./00. [PSP] Clannad: Mitsumi Mamoru Sakamichi de - Joukan (On the Hillside Path that Light Watches Over - Volume 1) (Prototype) - 8,452 / NEW
19./17. [NDS] Pokemon Heart Gold/Soul Silver (Nintendo/Pokemon Co.) - 8,347 / 3,747,742 (+2%)
20./00. [PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 2 G (BEST) (Capcom) - 6,649 / 310,632
21./19. [PS2] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2010: Aoki Samurai no Chousen (Blue Samurai Challenge) (Konami) - 5,405 / 26,332 (-29%)
22./22. [WII] Wii Sports Resort (Nintendo) - 4,827 / 1,897,683 (-15%)
23./27. [NDS] The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks (Nintendo) - 4,780 / 690,422 (+10%)
24./18. [PSP] Hagane no Renkinjutsushi - Fullmetal Alchemist: Yakusoku no Hi e (To the Promised Day) (Namco Bandai Games) - 3,861 / 32,111 (-49%)
25./24. [PS3] Super Street Fighter IV (Capcom) - 3,814 / 124,968 (-30%)
26./00. [NDS] New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) - 3,624 / 5,831,107 (-14%)
27./29. [WII] Winning Eleven Playmaker 2010: Aoki Samurai no Chousen (Blue Samurai Challenge) (Konami) - 3,364 / 14,546 (-21%)
28./25. [PSP] Pro Yakyuu Spirits 2010 (Konami) - 3,318 / 172,073 (-28%)
29./00. [PS3] Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriot (BEST) (Konami) - 3,293 / 140,571
30./10. [360] Alan Wake (Microsoft Game Studios) - 3,268 / 19,321 (-80%)

Bar Chart May 31-Jun 6 (thanks to JoshuaJSlone/garaph.info)

Note: Image may be delayed from the time of this post, but will automatically show once the data is ready.

30,075 until New Super Mario Bros. Wii is the best-selling console game released in the last 15 years in Japan.

Recent Famitsu Top 30s

May 3-9, 2010
May 10-16, 2010
May 17-23, 2010
May 24-30, 2010

Zen · (06-18-2010, 05:30 AM)

Metal Gear!

Oh well, it did really well, even if it probably has no chance of meeting the LTD of Snake Eater.

Nirolak · (06-18-2010, 05:34 AM)

Originally Posted by schuelma:

PSP 21,662
Wii 20,588
PS3 17,676
DSi LL 11,138
DSi 10,172
Xbox 360 3,225
DS Lite 3,108
PS2 1,291
PSP go 718

Under 40,000 PSP go's left!

Just another 55 weeks and it will finally sell out.

Originally Posted by cvxfreak:

Small but noticeable rise for the Wii indeed. :)

By the way, a few of the big retailers dropped their prices on DS hardware early, hence the lack of huge drop in sales. Sales will go up with the new colors and official price drop, but the effect may be subdued.

I wonder how long the DS price drop effect will last.

These platforms don't seem to be effected by much anymore, so it will be interesting to see how much of a sustainable boost price cuts can give.

Jonnyram · (06-18-2010, 05:47 AM)

Originally Posted by ivysaur12:

Bebpo says the game hasn't been pushed at all in Japan and the game was only "revealed" a few months ago. Obviously it was a hyperbole.

Bebpo doesn't live in Japan, though. There's been lots of TV ads featuring AKB48 stars, they've been handing out A4 brochures and loads of flyers and stuff. The marketing is probably a bit behind NSMB and Mario Kart Wii, but still way above other stuff they've released in the last year.

enishi · (06-18-2010, 07:49 AM)

Originally Posted by cvxfreak:

Small but noticeable rise for the Wii indeed. :)

By the way, a few of the big retailers dropped their prices on DS hardware early, hence the lack of huge drop in sales. Sales will go up with the new colors and official price drop, but the effect may be subdued.

Next week will be really big for DSi, considering the already-sold-out Love++ DSi bundle...