[Dragon]

And as the ps3's first months showed there are a lot fewer of those type of people than anyone expected

The price isn't as extreme as the PS3 though. It will certainly struggle just like 3DS did in its first few months.

[lunchwithyuzo]

Kingdom hearts will no way sell a million in Japan alone

KH2 did and BBS wasn't far off (it actually did if you include it's Final Mix). I think it's fair to say there's at least potential there.

I also wouldn't be surprised if stuff like Nintendogs + Cats or Girl's Mode 2 crawl past a million over the long haul either though. There's a lot of DS owners 3DS hasn't touched yet, and when they jump in I think we could see these sorts of games rising with the expanded base. I could also see OOT3D pulling a Mario 64DS, and slowly legging it to platinum.

[electroplankton]

Future potential million sellers (announced games only) imo: Kingdom Hearts 3D: Dream Drop Distance (Square Enix) spring 2012 Animal Crossing (Nintendo) 2012 Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (Square Enix) 2012 Monster Hunter 4 (Capcom) tba Tomodachi Collection (Nintendo) tba

No way for Kingdom Hearts, more in the 600-700k range.
More plausible Nintendogs + cats (in a decade).

[marc^o^]

Mario Tennis will probably have an online mode and be awesome. It could reach a million.

[Man God]

Kingdom hearts will no way sell a million in Japan alone

Maybe if the packaging read Kingdom Hearts III












DS

Instead of silly subtitle and no number.

[frankie_baby]

No way for Kingdom Hearts, more in the 600-700k range. More plausible Nintendogs + cats (in a decade).

Maybe not that long for nintencats I can imagine it'll be picking up pretty well over xmas though not well enough we get numbers, might limp there by late next year

[lunchwithyuzo]

Mario Tennis will probably have an online mode and be awesome. It could reach a million.

I think that one might too actually. Didn't MT64 sell a million in Japan?

[marc^o^]

The price isn't as extreme as the PS3 though. It will certainly struggle just like 3DS did in its first few months.

3DS struggled until a huge price cut. Vita will need one just as much.

[saichi]

Which 3DS game reaches 1 million first? Mario 3D Land, Mario Kart 7 or Monster Hunter 3G?

Probably in this order... MK7, MH3rdG, SM3DL

[idwl]

how did nintendogs(as a franchise) die so quick?

[slaughterking]

Mario Tennis will probably have an online mode and be awesome. It could reach a million.

According to garaph Mario Tennis on the N64 is the only Mario Sports game that even came close to selling a million (969,888 to be precise). I could see a new Mario Tennis selling really well in todays environment.

[lunchwithyuzo]

Maybe if the packaging read Kingdom Hearts III DS Instead of silly subtitle and no number.

It reads Kingdom Hearts 3D: Dream Drop Distance! lol

[Mpl90]

I think that one might too actually. Didn't MT64 sell a million in Japan?

[N64] Mario Tennis 64 (Nintendo) - 213.422 / 833.908 / 25,59% 21/07/00

Seeing how much the Mario brand regained popularity, even with the mere sport spin-off titles...possible.

[Gravijah]

skyrim~ mk7~

[Gianni Merryman]

01./00. [WII] Monster Hunter 3 (Capcom) - 520,138 / NEW 01./00. [3DS] Monster Hunter 3G # <ACT> (Capcom) {2011.12.10} (¥5.800) - 521.959 / NEW Holy shit :lol

If you get all the charts handy, how did perform Wii sales-wise back then, compared to 3DS?
And when exactly did Tri launch, was it in Summer or Autumn perhaps?

[Mpl90]

If you get all the charts handy, how did perform Wii sales-wise back then, compared to 3DS? And when exactly did Tri launch, was it in Summer or Autumn?

WII | 95,357 LTD: 8,288,417

It launched on 1st August 2009, two days counted like MH3G.

[electroplankton]

how did nintendogs(as a franchise) die so quick?

One-hit wonder: sometimes it is impossible to replicate a success because based on conditions which are not always present. Anyway, Nintendogs saw a huge success in the West, while in Japan it sold well but not extremely well (barely 2mln copies, when Animal Crossing, Brain Training 2, Mario e Pokémon are all above 5mln). Anyway, it must be evaluated in the long-run, since it won't get a sequel anytime soon on 3DS and it will have the chance to sell until the end of the console lifetime.

[Mrbob]

Wow, I didn't realize that pink marshmallow was more popular in Japan! Kirby games do tend to feel more unique than Zelda, though. So maybe it isn't entirely shocking. Playing Mass Attack right now on my 3DS, very cool game.

[Gravijah]

nintendogs+cats was also a really lazy sequel. so disappointing.

[saichi]

And when exactly did Tri launch, was it in Summer or Autumn perhaps?

Tri launched in summer (Aug I think).

EDIT: beaten

[marc^o^]

how did nintendogs(as a franchise) die so quick?

The game is merely prettier. It's more polished but has less interesting activities than the first (the obstacle course was the best part and it has been removed). Few people would recommend the 3DS version to someone who already has Nintendogs.

[frankie_baby]

how did nintendogs(as a franchise) die so quick?

It hasn't really died it was more of a mistimed release, it should've launched later (maybe this xmas) when the userbase was larger and there were more casuals, as it is its still chugging along consistently and will surely eventually hit a million maybe more

[DR2K]

04./00. [PS3] The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim <RPG> (Bethesda Softworks) {2011.12.08} (¥7.980) - 75.865 / NEW

Sorry Japan.

[pramath]

Fucking fuck, what am I seeing?
The Wii rises out of its slump, the 3DS kills everything else, 75% of the software chart is Nintendo, the PSP is selling in spite of the Vita's impending release, the triple punch on the 3DS is dominating, Skyward Sword bombing, Skyrim selling...

Madness.

[Gianni Merryman]

WII | 95,357 LTD: 8,288,417 It launched on 1st August 2009, two days counted like MH3G.

Thank you for your prompt reply!

So Monster hunter tri did no effect Wii hardware sales, whereas conversely MH3G's attach rate is quite impressive!

[Refreshment.01]

So 75.865 users got a defective product, "it supplies me to an extreme degree with" a bit of sadness. So how can people be protected in this case?

Of course im assuming the games become as unplayable as they say.

[Anasui Kishibe]

now there only need to be the next Pokemon and game's closed

[lunchwithyuzo]

Okay, so reconsidering it all:

Guaranteed 3DS million sellers
-Animal Crossing (Nintendo)
-Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (Square Enix)
-Mario Kart 7 (Nintendo)
-Monster Hunter 4 (Capcom)
-Monster Hunter Tri G (Capcom)
-Super Mario 3D Land (Nintendo)
-Tomodachi Collection (Nintendo)

Potential/possible 3DS million sellers
-Kingdom Hearts 3D: Dream Drop Distance (Square Enix)
-Mario Tennis (Nintendo)
-nintendogs + cats (Nintendo)
-Style Savvy (Nintendo)
-The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 3D (Nintendo)


Does that seem fair? Anything I'm overlooking (lolIEGo)?

[Celine]

Thank you for your prompt reply! So Monster hunter tri didd no effect Wii hardware sales, whereas conversely MH3G's attach rate is quite impressive!

95K in August is a good number.
Also around that time Wii ecosystem began to fold in Japan.

[DCharlie]

da fuk @ these charts Some insanity going on all up in here. Also, :lol @ DCharlie

not at 800k yet, don't count your bacon just yet






(you may count your bacon)

[Mrbob]

Fucking fuck, what am I seeing? The Wii rises out of its slump, the 3DS kills everything else, 75% of the software chart is Nintendo, the PSP is selling in spite of the Vita's impending release, the triple punch on the 3DS is dominating, Skyward Sword bombing, Skyrim selling... Madness.

Yeah PSP selling a bunch heading into the Vita launch makes me wonder if that is a good or bad thing. Could just be the holiday bump though.

[lunchwithyuzo]

It hasn't really died it was more of a mistimed release, it should've launched later (maybe this xmas) when the userbase was larger and there were more casuals, as it is its still chugging along consistently and will surely eventually hit a million maybe more

I wonder if launching now also wouldn't have helped Layton?

[pramath]

Yeah PSP selling a bunch heading into the Vita launch makes me wonder if that is a good or bad thing. Could just be the holiday bump though.

I don't know, wouldn't people be holding off for one week to buy the latest and greatest system instead of the PSP now?
If someone lives in Japan, what's the general mood regarding the Vita like?

[BurntPork]

So 75.865 users got a defective product, it feels me with a bit of sadness. So how can people be protected in this case? Of course im assuming the games become as unplayable as they say.

[AniHawk]

wouldn't have thought 3d land would perform more like a 2d title.

[Anasui Kishibe]

just noticed SM3DL and Kirby bumps. looks like Mario's gonna stay on chart for a long time

[Spiegel]

not at 800k yet, don't count your bacon just yet (you may count your bacon)

Don't feel bad. You can always say that you forgot to take into account the growth of the franchise. MH has grown a 26% in sales since MH3 was released (3.4M -> 4.6M).

[Gianni Merryman]

Okay, so reconsidering it all: Guaranteed 3DS million sellers -Animal Crossing (Nintendo) -Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (Square Enix) -Mario Kart 7 (Nintendo) -Monster Hunter 4 (Capcom) -Monster Hunter Tri G (Capcom) -Super Mario 3D Land (Nintendo) -Tomodachi Collection (Nintendo) Potential/possible 3DS million sellers -Kingdom Hearts 3D: Dream Drop Distance (Square Enix) -Mario Tennis (Nintendo) -nintendogs + cats (Nintendo) -Style Savvy (Nintendo) -The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 3D (Nintendo) Does that seem fair? Anything I'm overlooking (lolIEGo)?

What about Super Smash bros?
It will be its first time ever on a handheld console so it's something unprecedented, but Jump Superstar did quite well on DS, didn't it?

[GCX]

So what are the expectations for Inazuma Eleven 3DS? It's releasing this week, right?

[lunchwithyuzo]

What about Super Smash bros? It will be its first time ever on a handheld console so it's something unprecedented, but Jump Superstar did quite well on DS, didn't it?

I forgot! I think it's probably a sure thing, depending on how Sora handles it.

[lunchwithyuzo]

So what are the expectations for Inazuma Eleven 3DS? It's releasing this week, right?

400k shipment iirc, probably going to do like half that I think.

[gamergirly]

Stinkin Japanese. Buy Zelda x_x

[slaughterking]

Okay, so reconsidering it all: Guaranteed 3DS million sellers -Animal Crossing (Nintendo) -Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (Square Enix) -Mario Kart 7 (Nintendo) -Monster Hunter 4 (Capcom) -Monster Hunter Tri G (Capcom) -Super Mario 3D Land (Nintendo) -Tomodachi Collection (Nintendo) Potential/possible 3DS million sellers -Kingdom Hearts 3D: Dream Drop Distance (Square Enix) -Mario Tennis (Nintendo) -nintendogs + cats (Nintendo) -Style Savvy (Nintendo) -The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 3D (Nintendo) Does that seem fair? Anything I'm overlooking (lolIEGo)?

I demand Ace Attorney vs. Layton to be on the "guaranteed" list, because I want it to sell that much.

[Sadist]

A 21% increase for 3D Land? Impressive.

And look @MonHun go.

[Man God]

Okay, so reconsidering it all: Guaranteed 3DS million sellers -Animal Crossing (Nintendo) -Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (Square Enix) -Mario Kart 7 (Nintendo) -Monster Hunter 4 (Capcom) -Monster Hunter Tri G (Capcom) -Super Mario 3D Land (Nintendo) -Tomodachi Collection (Nintendo) Potential/possible 3DS million sellers -Kingdom Hearts 3D: Dream Drop Distance (Square Enix) -Mario Tennis (Nintendo) -nintendogs + cats (Nintendo) -Style Savvy (Nintendo) -The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 3D (Nintendo) Does that seem fair? Anything I'm overlooking (lolIEGo)?

While it seems very PS3 list ish, adding whatever game The Pokémon Company is going to release next year is a pretty safe bet.

[test_account]

Seeing the ~50k difference between Famitsu and Media Create on TriG, i wonder how the 2nd week will look on both trackers.

I'd say Mario Kart 7.

I think so too. Unless TriG gets a huge shipment soon :)

[Pocks]

last week for reference: http://i.imgur.com/zCxoC.png

[Road]

KH2 did and BBS wasn't far off (it actually did if you include it's Final Mix).

You're probably confusing entries.

Famitsu, combining all releases:

KH - 1.48
KH2 - 1.58
KHBBS - 0.86

million units.

[Busaiku]

There sure were a lot of increases.
Seems the Kirby effect is in full swing.

[jman2050]

Here we go again