Originally Posted by Elios83
Vita's future depends on how convincing Sony's arguments can be and how much they're willing to invest to make it a success.
They have to stage a full relaunch to make a comeback. It's not something ordinary, but it's far from impossible. There have been good signs with the latest Vita software announcements.
Latest Vita software announcements are pure illusion. Multi with PS3 and ultra-niche games that will be lucky to sell 20k units... Hell, even the GC had a better line-up in terms of sales at a certain point.
Also there are unpredictable variables such as new original games which become unexpected hits and people start buying hardware to play them.
Hoping to rely on "unexpected" hits is like hoping Vita will be successful thanks to Sony board of directors' prayers.
PS3 at some point was selling 4k units weekly and was struggling to reach 1m units LTD in Japan. Even PSP success in Japan came much later in the lifecycle and when it happened it was explosive, the same happened to the Nintendo DS but in the west, initially sales were poor then things changed completely with the DSi and a few specific games.
1. PS3 had big hits planned for it: MGS4, RE5, Yakuza, FFXIII, and basically all the top-tier support from third parties minus MH (which wasn't big back then), DQ and KH. Vita has none of them, and nothing comparable. Also: PS3 sold 4k units only before price-drops and new models.
2. PSP was selling reasonably after the launch, and never bad as Vita.
3. DS never sold as shitty as Vita. DS had Nintendo IPs, Vita has not.
So no it's far too soon to draw conclusions.