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Media Create Sales: Week 13, 2017 (Mar 27 - Apr 02)

O

OfficerRaichu15

Member
I think the 3rd party are doing fine.
Bomberman chugging along
Puyo puyo as well
DQH with the high price should make a good profit
Now Disgea 5 and I Am Setsuna :(
 
L

LordKano

Member
OfficerRaichu15 said:
I think the 3rd party are doing fine.
Bomberman chugging along
Puyo puyo as well
DQH with the high price should make a good profit
Now Disgea 5 and I Am Setsuna :(
Click to expand...

Too bad Disgaea 5 was the one that would predict the state of future third-party on the system. It's doomed now !
 
C

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
L~A said:
Pretty impressive that even without MHXX, 3DS Software would still be flat/slightly down YoY. I mean, the line-up has been anything but stellar this Q1.
Click to expand...

Software would be 25% down without Monster Hunter. Despite Nintendo having abandoned it, 3DS doesn't want to die. One big game is enough to offset the lack of other releases so far but in the end it will see a ~50% drop YTD. Hardware might hold better though.
 
C

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
21./20. [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf - Welcome amiibo <ETC> (Nintendo) {2016.11.23} (¥2.700)
22./13. [NSW] Super Bomberman R <ACT> (Konami) {2017.03.03} (¥4.980)
23./00. [PS4] Chaos;Child: Love Chu Chu!! # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800)
24./11. [PS4] Senran Kagura: Peach Beach Splash # <ACT> (Marvelous) {2017.03.16} (¥6.980)
25./17. [3DS] Yo-Kai Watch 3: Sukiyaki <RPG> (Level 5) {2016.12.15} (¥4.800)
26./19. [PSV] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition # <ADV> (Sony Computer Entertainment) {2015.03.19} (¥2.400)
27./12. [PS4] Accel World Vs. Sword Art Online: Millennium Twilight <RPG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2017.03.16} (¥7.600)
28./16. [NSW] Dragon Quest Heroes I & II for Nintendo Switch <Dragon Quest Heroes: The World Tree's Woe and the Blight Below \ Dragon Quest Heroes II> <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.03.03} (¥8.800)
29./29. [WIU] Minecraft: Wii U Edition <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2016.06.23} (¥3.600)
30./21. [PS4] Resident Evil 7: biohazard # <ADV> (Capcom) {2017.01.26} (¥7.990)
31./22. [3DS] Poochy & Yoshi's Woolly World # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.01.19} (¥4.700)
32./18. [3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 3 - Professional <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.02.09} (¥5.250)
33./24. [NSW] Puyo Puyo Tetris <PZL> (Sega) {2017.03.03} (¥4.990)
34./27. [3DS] Mario Kart 7 <RCE> (Nintendo) {2011.12.01} (¥4.571)
35./35. [3DS] Miitopia <SLG> (Nintendo) {2016.12.08} (¥4.700)
36./00. [PSV] KLAP!! Kind Love And Punish: Fun Party # <ADV> (Idea Factory) {2017.03.30} (¥6.300)
37./33. [3DS] Kirby: Planet Robobot <ACT> (Nintendo) {2016.04.28} (¥4.700)
38./40. [PS4] Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six: Siege <ACT> (Ubisoft) {2015.12.10} (¥8.400)
39./00. [PS4] Darius Burst: Chronicle Saviours # <STG> (Kadokawa Games) {2017.03.30} (¥5.800)
40./38. [WIU] Splatoon # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2015.05.28} (¥5.700)
41./30. [3DS] Doraemon the Movie: Nobita no Nankyoku Kachikochi Daibouken <ADV> (FuRyu) {2017.03.02} (¥5.280)
42./00. [PSV] Dynamic Chord feat. Kyohso: V Edition # <ADV> (Honeybee Black) {2017.03.30} (¥5.800)
43./26. [3DS] Future Card Buddy Fight Mezase! Buddy Champion! <TBL> (FuRyu) {2017.03.16} (¥5.500)
44./45. [PS4] Final Fantasy XV # <RPG> (Square Enix) {2016.11.29} (¥8.800)
45./37. [3DS] Sumikko Gurashi: Mura o Tsukurundesu <ETC> (Nippon Columbia) {2016.07.21} (¥4.800)
46./46. [3DS] Mario Party: Star Rush <ETC> (Nintendo) {2016.10.20} (¥4.700)
47./47. [3DS] Jikkyou Powerful Pro Baseball Heroes <SLG> (Konami) {2016.12.15} (¥4.500)
48./41. [PS4] Minecraft: PlayStation 4 Edition <ADV> (Sony Computer Entertainment) {2015.12.03} (¥2.400)
49./32. [PS4] Nioh <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.02.09} (¥7.800)
50./48. [PS4] Battlefield 1 <ACT> (Electronic Arts) {2016.10.21} (¥7.800)

Top 50

PS4 - 18
3DS - 16
PSV - 8
NSW - 5
WIU - 3

SOFTWARE
Code: 
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+
|System |  This Week |  Last Week |  Last Year |     YTD    |  Last YTD  |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+
|  ALL  |    621.000 |    648.000 |    876.000 |  8.321.000 |  8.231.000 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+
 
B

BriBri

Member
Mario Sports Superstars opened at just #5 on the 3DS eShop chart so don't expect digital sales to be anything of note. Let's just hope the game has Golden Week legs...
tumblr_oo0w85ObIW1s2z1y6o2_r1_400.jpg
Click to expand...
 
L

L~A

Member
Nintendo eShop Sales: Week 13, 2017 (Mar 27 - Apr 02)

Nintendo 3DS

(=) 01. Monster Hunter XX (Capcom) [18.3.2017]
(B) 02. Shin Megami Tensei IV Apocalypse (Atlus) [10.2.2016] (on sale until April 10th)
(-1) 03. The Battle Cats POP (Ponos) [31.5.2015]
(-1) 04. Bye-Bye BoxBoy! (Nintendo) [02.2.2017]
(N) 05. Mario Sports Superstars (Nintendo) [30.3.2017]
(-1) 06. Cube Creator 3D (Arc System Works) [15.7.2015]
(+3) 07. Tank Troopers (Nintendo) [21.12.2016]
(=) 08. Pokémon Yellow Version: Special Pikachu Edition (Nintendo, Virtual Console) [27.2.2016]
(=) 09. Himouto! Umaru-chan Daratto Puzzle (FuRyu) [15.3.2017]
(B) 10. Kirby Fighters Deluxe (Nintendo) [23.7.2014]

Wii U

(=) 01. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) [03.3.2017]
(=) 02. Minecraft: Wii U Edition (Microsoft) [17.12.2015]
(=) 03. Splatoon (Nintendo) [28.5.2015]
(+2) 04. Fire Emblem (Nintendo, Virtual Console) [14.5.2014]
(+2) 05. Fire Emblem: The Binding Blade (Nintendo, Virtual Console) [02.9.2015]
(+3) 06. Super Mario Maker (Nintendo) [10.9.2015]
(-2) 07. Plantera Gardening / Plantera (Rainy Frog) [01.2.2017]
(B) 08. Super Mario World (Nintendo, Virtual Console) [27.4.2013]
(-1) 09. Mario Kart 8 (Nintendo) [29.5.2014]
(-6) 10. Bomberman ’94 (Konami, Virtual Console) [19.11.2014]

https://topics.nintendo.co.jp/c/article/7dd12eac-1992-11e7-8f53-063b7ac45a6d.html
 
W

Waji

Member
L~A said:
Since we were discussing Squeenix support yesterday, what with that Nikkei interview... Takashi Tokita teasing... something.

https://twitter.com/Takashi_Tokita/status/850225809889517569
Click to expand...
A Switch... and the beginning of a very secret mission.
If that's not teasing, what is it...

LordKano said:
Too bad Disgaea 5 was the one that would predict the state of future third-party on the system. It's doomed now !
Click to expand...
Still, when you consider how low were the sales on PS4 first week, it really doesn't look that bad on the Switch.
It was around 20K on the PS4 and 3 to 4K on the Switch. Not that far away.
 
C

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Nintendo has been steady with Switch shipments so far. There was rise only with Splatoon. This is the first week of new FY and it doesn't look they will change the pattern until Golden Week.

1 - 350.000
2 - 50.000
3 - 50.000
4 - 75.000
5 - 50.000
6 - ?
 
Z

Zedark

Member
Chris1964 said:
Nintendo has been steady with Switch shipments so far. There was rise only with Splatoon. This is the first week of new FY and it doesn't look they will change the pattern until Golden Week.

1 - 350.000
2 - 50.000
3 - 50.000
4 - 75.000
5 - 50.000
6 - ?
Click to expand...

It's all dependant on whether they can actually reach higher shipment numbers at all, of course, but do you think they would up the shipments towards Golden Week because of MK8D launching? Seems like a perfect moment to ship more and get certain returns out of it, both in Japan and worldwide.
 
C

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
If Nintendo keeps the 50k trend until Golden Week they will be in position for at least one week with 100k supply alongside Mario Kart 8 Deluxe launch.

If there is still shortage after these shipments and at the slow period of May YTD count top 4m.
 
T

thestopsign

Member
Chris1964 said:
If Nintendo keeps the 50k trend until Golden Week they will be in position for at least one week with 100k supply alongside Mario Kart 8 Deluxe launch.

If there is still shortage after these shipments and at the slow period of May YTD count top 4m.
Click to expand...

I did some rough math on my phone for what the Switch has to do the rest of the way.

4M YTD: ~88.2k/week
4M YTD w/ 1.2M in 5 weeks in December: ~65.8k/week

Definitely doable with enough supply. It has to hold a decent baseline to achieve it though. This is based off Media Create weeks.
 
F

frankie_baby

Member
Chris1964 said:
If Nintendo keeps the 50k trend until Golden Week they will be in position for at least one week with 100k supply alongside Mario Kart 8 Deluxe launch.

If there is still shortage after these shipments and at the slow period of May YTD count top 4m.
Click to expand...

thestopsign said:
I did some rough math on my phone for what the Switch has to do the rest of the way.

4M YTD: ~88.2k/week
4M YTD w/ 1.2M in 5 weeks in December: ~65.8k/week

Definitely doable with enough supply. It has to hold a decent baseline to achieve it though. This is based off Media Create weeks.
Click to expand...

Looks a little on the ambitious side but could see it not a million miles from there
 
F

frankie_baby

Member
1st Course said:
3DS did 4m with awful post launch sales.

4M for Switch shouldn't be too hard with enough supply.
Click to expand...

3ds had a bigger launch and then was much cheaper post panic mode price cut than switch is, its definitely possible but depends how the baseline holds up between the big releases
 
C

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Like I said before if Switch after Golden Week is still sold out we don't have to wait for anything else, 4m YTD are almost given. If demand goes down it will depend on big releases and what hardware they will push.
 
S

saichi

Member
We are talking about 4m for Switch this year now? In Jan, there were people who didn't think it will outsell PS4 this year.
 
M

Mr Swine

Banned
So what happens if after Golden Week and Mario Kart 8 sales start to slow down? That it starts to sell 15-25k a week instead of 50k or more? Will Nintendo do a price drop or ride it out till Splatoon 2 comes out?
 
T

thestopsign

Member
Mr Swine said:
So what happens if after Golden Week and Mario Kart 8 sales start to slow down? That it starts to sell 15-25k a week instead of 50k or more? Will Nintendo do a price drop or ride it out till Splatoon 2 comes out?
Click to expand...

Ride it out. If the cost breakdown is anything to go by, Nintendo doesn't have room to drop price currently.

They will have an E3 to prove their future worth, and a few slower weeks in the 20k range before Splatoon 2 would be fine (though I think unlikely to happen at this point).
 
L

L~A

Member
Chris1964 said:
If Nintendo keeps the 50k trend until Golden Week they will be in position for at least one week with 100k supply alongside Mario Kart 8 Deluxe launch.

If there is still shortage after these shipments and at the slow period of May YTD count top 4m.
Click to expand...

I do believe they will have more than 100k for MK8D week. If they could get 78k just for Splatoon 2 Global Testfire week, I'm sure they'll be able to ship more for the first major release since launch. Though they may have planned to spread the shipments a bit, wouldn't do to have no stock at all during GW because everything sold out during MK8D launch week-end.

antibolo said:
No Final Fantasy IV PSP?
Click to expand...

Yagami_Sama said:
No love for Final Fantasy IV : The after years, Wiiware ?
Click to expand...

I was just being facetious here. If there really is a FFIV something on Switch, it'd be port of the PSP collection (but I don't think that's what he's working on)

Mory Dunz said:
Does that wording mean he's just starting?

pft
Click to expand...

Looks like it.
 
C

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
A YTD less than 3m would be a disaster for Switch. That scenario is gone. Ourselling Wii U LTD this year would be a good start, topping 4m would be a great start.
 
N

noshten

Member
Well 100K restock for MK8D is a bit too pessimistic for me, it's a major game that comes during a period where demand seems to be high with just Zelda being a game of a similar caliber. Preorders for MK8D are doing better than MK7 and MK8, it's Golden Week and supply for the Switch prior to the release is unlikely to be meeting demand.

I'm expecting a bigger launch than MK7 the question is about how much are Nintendo going to supply. I'm thinking that 150-250K is a possibility while 100k might not meet the demand. It's up to Nintendo and retailers to decide.

Media Create Sales: Week 48, 2011 (Nov 28 - Dec 04)

01./00. [3DS] Mario Kart 7 <RCE> (Nintendo) {2011.12.01} (¥4.800) - 423.619 / NEW


System | This Week |
---------------------------------
| 3DS | 205962 |
Click to expand...

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=33254488&postcount=1
 
B

BriBri

Member
I've heard a lot of reports over the Joy-Con Wheels selling out (although Amazon today re-opened pre-orders) so it points more towards Mario Kart 8 Deluxe being a success.
 
Z

Zedark

Member
BriBri said:
I've heard a lot of reports over the Joy-Con Wheels selling out (although Amazon today re-opened pre-orders) so it points more towards Mario Kart 8 Deluxe being a success.
Click to expand...

Haha, that's quite a unique piece of evidence! Good news, hope it helps the Switch sell many hardware units.
 
J

JonnyKong

Member
1st Course said:
In one year the Switch will have:

Zelda
Mario Kart
Splatoon 2 (this will be huge)
3D Mario
Pokemon stars (rumour)
Xenoblade Chronicles 2
Arms
Fire Emblem Warriors
Ubisoft Rabbids Mario game (rumour)

This is a much better lineup compared to the 3DS 1st year.
Click to expand...

You missed some stuff ;)
 
J

JonnyKong

Member
I see, but I think having a big and varied range of games like the ones I listed will help contribute towards more sales too.
 
Z

ZSaberLink

Media Create Maven
Lol, the Switch optimism is off the charts here. I think it'll do well, but Nintendo would be crazy to release Smash and Pokemon this year. They'd be basically out of the big sellers apart from Animal Crossing for the future...

Also Chris, why are you convinced that the Switch will easily sell 3M this year? Isn't it still rather early? Sales could plummet between now and Golden Week or in the summer months still right? (We're still assuming that Nintendo will not delay ANY of their projects announced, Splatoon 2 especially).
 
S

Sandfox

Member
ZSaberLink said:
Lol, the Switch optimism is off the charts here. I think it'll do well, but Nintendo would be crazy to release Smash and Pokemon this year. They'd be basically out of the big sellers apart from Animal Crossing for the future...

Also Chris, why are you convinced that the Switch will easily sell 3M this year? Isn't it still rather early? Sales could plummet between now and Golden Week or in the summer months still right? (We're still assuming that Nintendo will not delay ANY of their projects announced, Splatoon 2 especially).
Click to expand...
Which means they'll try some more new stuff and sequels to games like Zelda and Mario.
 
E

Eliseo

Member
ZSaberLink said:
Lol, the Switch optimism is off the charts here. I think it'll do well, but Nintendo would be crazy to release Smash and Pokemon this year. They'd be basically out of the big sellers apart from Animal Crossing for the future...

Also Chris, why are you convinced that the Switch will easily sell 3M this year? Isn't it still rather early? Sales could plummet between now and Golden Week or in the summer months still right? (We're still assuming that Nintendo will not delay ANY of their projects announced, Splatoon 2 especially).
Click to expand...

Wait what? those will be ports, Nintendo will release the new entries by 2019-20. Also do you honestly believe Nintendo won't develop any new games for the next 2 years?
 
D

Dark Cloud

Member
ZSaberLink said:
Lol, the Switch optimism is off the charts here. I think it'll do well, but Nintendo would be crazy to release Smash and Pokemon this year. They'd be basically out of the big sellers apart from Animal Crossing for the future...

Also Chris, why are you convinced that the Switch will easily sell 3M this year? Isn't it still rather early? Sales could plummet between now and Golden Week or in the summer months still right? (We're still assuming that Nintendo will not delay ANY of their projects announced, Splatoon 2 especially).
Click to expand...

Animal Crossing isn't the only system seller. They can get a brand new Monster Hunter also. They combined their teams to make more games. I wouldn't be surprised to see another 3D Mario is a few years.
 
M

Mory Dunz

Member
ZSaberLink said:
Lol, the Switch optimism is off the charts here. I think it'll do well, but Nintendo would be crazy to release Smash and Pokemon this year. They'd be basically out of the big sellers apart from Animal Crossing for the future...

Also Chris, why are you convinced that the Switch will easily sell 3M this year? Isn't it still rather early? Sales could plummet between now and Golden Week or in the summer months still right? (We're still assuming that Nintendo will not delay ANY of their projects announced, Splatoon 2 especially).
Click to expand...

It certainly has reversed since a few weeks ago.
I'm taking it one step at a time. For '17, It's all about if MK8D can hold until Splatoon, and if ARMs will help in that effort.

Then of course of the rumors of Pokemon are true.
 
K

KtSlime

Member
Mr Swine said:
So what happens if after Golden Week and Mario Kart 8 sales start to slow down? That it starts to sell 15-25k a week instead of 50k or more? Will Nintendo do a price drop or ride it out till Splatoon 2 comes out?
Click to expand...

Ride it out, the month of June is a terrible month where there are no holidays, you work a lot, and you get rained on whenever you leave a building. If the numbers drop in June, it is due to how busy everyone is, not their lack of interest in the Switch. However for the record, I don't think it will drop much in June.
 
T

thestopsign

Member
ZSaberLink said:
Lol, the Switch optimism is off the charts here. I think it'll do well, but Nintendo would be crazy to release Smash and Pokemon this year. They'd be basically out of the big sellers apart from Animal Crossing for the future...

Also Chris, why are you convinced that the Switch will easily sell 3M this year? Isn't it still rather early? Sales could plummet between now and Golden Week or in the summer months still right? (We're still assuming that Nintendo will not delay ANY of their projects announced, Splatoon 2 especially).
Click to expand...

3M YTD: 62.4k/week

All it takes to reach that would be a few big weeks around Mario Kart 8 Deluxe, Splatoon 2, Dragon Quest XI, and Mario Odyssey, any sort of small holiday bump, and a base of 30k/week in between. This doesn't account for any future titles that could be plopped down in the second half of the year to bolster the line up.
 
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