rokkerkory
Member
Looking at a bloodbath this month. I expect Wii U to outsell X1 now too.
When did you change your avatar?
So, since MK8 and its potential hardware boost only has two days of tracking, does that mean that the next month should produce "better" results?
Last night. Tried to delay the inevitable pony love punishment as long as possible.
So this will be the Wii U sales from May 1 - May 30?
I expect Wii U sales for June to probably be better than May. So I guess we'll have to wait for next month NPD.
So this will be the Wii U sales from May 1 - May 30?
I expect Wii U sales for June to probably be better than May. So I guess we'll have to wait for next month NPD.
[URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00BGA9WK2/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]PS4[/URL]------------------> 6
[URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00IIHU44E/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]XB1 TF SKU[/URL]-----------> 39
[URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00HLT0YT0/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]PSV BL SKU[/URL]-----------> 43
[URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00FXOP1JI/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]3DS XL SIL SKU[/URL]-------> 58
[URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00G0OYHCW/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]Wii U M&L Deluxe SKU[/URL]-> 60
[URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00D9EPI38/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]X360 4GB[/URL]-------------> 87
Last night. Tried to delay the inevitable pony love punishment as long as possible.
I do think that 2 days isn't enough of a sample to accurately represent launch demand.
I talked with a Target manager on May 31st about demand...and he said that his initial launch shipment of MK8 copies had all been sold-through on the first day, and they were waiting for the next one to come in.
I think there are instances where we'll see the force of that launch demand be fully realised at retail with about two weeks of extra tracking.
So in that regard, yes...I do believe we'll see elevated performances in June. Reggie / NOA is excited about June NPD as well.
Oh I'm pretty damn certain that Vita will have the largest relative increase MOM of any platform for May but that's more due to the fact that it sold ~3K last month...
I think 70k is the absolute floor. I didn't change my 110 prediction because I suspect there was a bump during the prerelease MK8 buzz (obviously could be wrong). This was the case in Japan, though to be fair in Japan there was no MK8 hardware bundle. Should be interesting.
Over/under 20k? What do you guys think?
I also think that Amazon might not be a good measure for Wii U's performance as I guess Amazon didn't have the MK8 Wii U bundle available?
So best I can tell Amazon US has some odd placements for May
http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/2014-05/videogames/?tag=viglink129408-20#1
Code:[URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00BGA9WK2/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]PS4[/URL]------------------> 6 [URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00IIHU44E/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]XB1 TF SKU[/URL]-----------> 39 [URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00HLT0YT0/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]PSV BL SKU[/URL]-----------> 43 [URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00FXOP1JI/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]3DS XL SIL SKU[/URL]-------> 58 [URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00G0OYHCW/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]Wii U M&L Deluxe SKU[/URL]-> 60 [URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00D9EPI38/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]X360 4GB[/URL]-------------> 87
Perhaps I missed some console SKUs? I did look over the bestsellers a couple of times though
I think I might regret putting XB1 so low :\
Albeit I do think the PSV placement in the charts is likely due to lack of adequate supply at many retail stores.
I also think that Amazon might not be a good measure for Wii U's performance as I guess Amazon didn't have the MK8 Wii U bundle available?
Last night. Tried to delay the inevitable pony love punishment as long as possible.
I do think that 2 days isn't enough of a sample to accurately represent launch demand.
I talked with a Target manager on May 31st about demand...and he said that his initial launch shipment of MK8 copies had all been sold-through on the first day, and they were waiting for the next one to come in.
I think there are instances where we'll see the force of that launch demand be fully realised at retail with about two weeks of extra tracking.
So in that regard, yes...I do believe we'll see elevated performances in June. Reggie / NOA is excited about June NPD as well.
Do they sell Nintendo hardware themselves, yet? Thought they had started selling 3DSs again after more than a year of really not, but don't think they sell Wii Us, at this point. That'd make the MK8 bundle third-party sellers, then.
The vita bundle was/is still sold out directly from amazon, and is only available from 3rd party resellers. I think that probably suppressed it's ranking in May.
Maybe even too much, reading that interview. But, as schuelma pointed out, another interview with Reggie made it sound like the MK8 boost is still having an effect right now, or at least that's what the wording seems to imply. Let's see if I can find it. Or maybe it was in the same article? Don't remember now.
We announced not just that weve sold 1.2 million units on a global basis, but we announced to the financial community here in the United States that Mario Kart 8 has increased the sell-through of the Wii U hardware business by a factor of four. In the two weeks prior to the launch, versus what weve seen now following the launch, were selling at a daily rate four times higher than where we were before.
Wow, wonder if the Bone will be 3rd for the month.
"#Nintendo said MK8 attach rate in US was 18% versus 7% for MK7. MK8 boosted WiiU sales 4.1x week over week v. MK7 2.4x"
Wii U did 48K in a 4-week period in April.
That's an average of 12K per week.
Assuming the same average constant throughout May NPD:
Week 1 (May 5th - May 11th): 12K (12K total)
Week 2 (May 12th - May 18th): 12K (24K total)
Week 3 (May 19th - May 25th): 12K (36K total)
Week 4 (May 26th - June 1st): 49K (12K * 4.1) (85K total)
Therefore, it would be wise for me to adjust my 98K prediction down to 85K.
"#nintendo in analyst meeting said in usa sold 450k of MK8 in 3 days versus 250k on MK7."
It works with the 18% attach rate claim like this:
Mario Kart -> 450K in May -> 18% attach rate
Wii U sales in USA through April: 2.35 million
Assumption for May sales: 0.085 million
Total LTD assumption: 2.44 million
450K / 2440K = 18.44% attach rate
This is supposing Nintendo rounded 18.44% down to 18%, of course.
Ahh, the fresh smell of a brand new NPD.
Data release should be in around two hours.
Then we wait 4 1/2 hours for PR, and even longer for leakers to share some data.
Remember, GAF leakers prefer to share when the thread isn't moving a mile a minute and gathering tons of attention all around the Internet. You know, in the twilight hours. ;-)
That's not new information.
Here is my reaction to it:
Ah I forgot about that. All Nintendo Hardware SKUs I can find including the half dozen 3DS SKUs are sold by 3rd party sellers so I guess no?
Maybe. I am not crazy optimistic on the Vita though and can only imagine it possibly outselling the PS3 in some crazy happenstance thus it's placement in Amazon rankings still seems a bit misleading
Still doesn't change my inquiry.
That's not new information.
Here is my reaction to it:
So best I can tell Amazon US has some odd placements for May
http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/2014-05/videogames/?tag=viglink129408-20#1
Code:[URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00BGA9WK2/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]PS4[/URL]------------------> 6 [URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00IIHU44E/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]XB1 TF SKU[/URL]-----------> 39 [URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00HLT0YT0/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]PSV BL SKU[/URL]-----------> 43 [URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00FXOP1JI/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]3DS XL SIL SKU[/URL]-------> 58 [URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00G0OYHCW/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]Wii U M&L Deluxe SKU[/URL]-> 60 [URL="http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00D9EPI38/?tag=neogaf0e-20"]X360 4GB[/URL]-------------> 87
Perhaps I missed some console SKUs? I did look over the bestsellers a couple of times though
I think I might regret putting XB1 so low :\
Albeit I do think the PSV placement in the charts is likely due to lack of adequate supply at many retail stores.
I also think that Amazon might not be a good measure for Wii U's performance as I guess Amazon didn't have the MK8 Wii U bundle available?
Well, 115K is a very recent scenario where Xbox One sold 4 full weeks without any notice of a price drop.
Announcements of price drops always hurt existing sales. We know from retail impressions that Xbox One sales were quite slow throughout May.
And for May NPD, only 8 of those 28 days were unaffected by a price drop announcement. That's 71% of the reporting month in a scenario where major retailers actively advertised a $399 future price.
It's very probable that the net decline from all of that activity will be >30K from 115K, implying a PS4 > Wii U > Xbox One scenario.
Right, but everything factored in, if the WiiU outsold the Xbone, it would be a big deal. Positively for one, horribly for the other. Being dead last for a month in this console gen with the WiiU is not a good thing.
So results in 40 minutes?
Amazon's rankings are pretty bad for telling where the XB1 is at. Ususally it's wallowing in the 40's while PS4 is near the top no matter what NPD turns out to be, even in March where XB1 sales were 90% of PS4 sales.
For NeoGAF? Sure, it'll be huge.
For NeoGAF? Sure, it'll be huge.
Oh that's disturbing. I hope it was just a small publisher that can't afford NPD / GfK subscriptions and not a major one.
The power that ioi commands over his manufactured data is ridiculous. I just can't believe he continues to make a living wage over the whole ordeal.
Do you really think so though? I am under the impression most people are kinda expecting the xbox to tank in may and the wii u to surge to to MK8. Doesn't seem like the type of news that will generate meltdowns.
Do you really think so though? I am under the impression most people are kinda expecting the xbox to tank in may and the wii u to surge to to MK8. Doesn't seem like the type of news that will generate meltdowns.
Vita to outsell Xbox!
Amazon's rankings are pretty bad for telling where the XB1 is at. Ususally it's wallowing in the 40's while PS4 is near the top no matter what NPD turns out to be, even in March where XB1 sales were 90% of PS4 sales.
Vita to outsell Xbox!
Not true at all.
Stanley Cup. I'm a Rangers fan.
....Didn't work out so well when they got slaughtered by LA.
:-(
That would be pretty crazy.
Vita to outsell Xbox!