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[Xbro]

There's another set of "testfires" going on from 8/3-8/9 in Japan. I'm guessing that's going to improve sales but the effects won't be seen for another 2-3 weeks.

I believe that goes along with Week 31, which is what these predictions were for.

 

[Ōkami]

PREDICTION LEAGUE AUGUST 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jul 27 to Aug 30):

[3DS] Animal Crossing Happy Home Designer (32 days) - 1230000
[PSV] IA/VT Colorful (32 days) - 80000
[PSV] KanColle Kai (4 days) - 100000
[3DS] Dragon Quest VIII (4 days) - 839000
[3DS] Super Robot Wars BX (11 days) - 90000​

 

[astrogamer]

PREDICTION LEAGUE AUGUST 2015
[3DS] Animal Crossing Happy Home Designer (32 days) - 1450000
[PSV] IA/VT Colorful (32 days) - 80000
[PSV] KanColle Kai (4 days) - 130000
[3DS] Dragon Quest VIII (4 days) - 700000
[3DS] Super Robot Wars BX (11 days) - 99000

 

[twothunder]

YSO predictions

Week 31, 2015 (Jul 27 - Aug 2)

[3DS] Animal Crossing: Happy Home Designer < 650k
[3DS] Yo-kai Watch Busters < 120k
[PSV] IA/VT: Colorful < 30k
[WIU] Splatoon < 30k

Crazy numbers for Animal Crossing: Happy Home Designer
Isabelle will be busy counting all that money

Splatoon. Same prediction as last week. Just keeps on going.

 

[test_account]

Don't want to butt into your conversation too much, just wanted to provide some figures for reference:

*numbers*

No worries, its an open forum and discussion, so feel free to say what you want =)

I know this is an older post, but I wanted to give my insight on the matter of NX's LTD, in a different light.
Let's assume Nintendo actually implement the "family of consoles" plan as we expect (thus, consoles and handhelds becoming "mere" form factors sharing functions/OS/games). In that sense, looking at NX handheld's LTD wouldn't tell the whole story, because you'd have to count NX's console (as well as possible other form factors, like a NX tablet). So, by summing all the form factors, you'd get an idea of the total installed base for NX, right? ...Sort of. I mean, there will be customers who already bought the NX handheld, who entered the ecosystem, and that will be the home device as well. Thus, the focus should shift from mere installed base to "amount of unique users", which would give a better idea of the actual situation.

Also, and this implies a realisation of the plan as expected...the concept of "generations" could change. Not in terms of hardware not evolving, but in terms of game lineup. I'll explain a little more now: in the current gaming landscape, when you release a brand new console, you start from zero in terms of games: less if you have backcompatibility, but it's still limited to the immediatly former console. Thus, all the older games (digital exclusives/eShop) need to be re-released.
Instead, on mobile devices, you surely see brand new devices coming out every year, but, once released, they already have millions of apps available when you turn them on and compatible with the new devices. Similarly, Steam's lineup is costantly increasing, without needing to restart from scratch once every 6 years. Thus, I think that, in the case of the expected execution of the plan, we'd see a costantly increasing gaming lineup, with no need to build it from zero once a new hardware arrives: so, there's a far more promising proposition for customers who want to enter the Nintendo ecosystem by buying a device at launch and would see lots of titles available from the get go.

I think these two possible consequences could change the way we look at hardware / software sales compared to the traditional model, especially if cross-buy is implemented for every game shared between different devices. But we still need to see if the family of consoles will come truth, so...is it 2016 yet?

Yeah, if there is one OS and one envoirment for multiple devices, then its how many people you can reach with the software that is the most important thing, indeed.

Going forward regarding backward compability, i think that they will see how thing goes and see if they want to build further on that or make something very different instead. The WiiU can play pretty much all (if not all) Wii games, but that didnt help on the WiiU sales. With NX, they will probably ditch the WiiU idea and try to make something different instead.

The most interesting thing is that despite all the "experts", we are reaching the end of 2015 with 3DS still beeing the dominant dedicated videogame system in Japan, despite 3DS beeing "supposed" to be replaced for quite some time by now. With 2016 beeing a further year with multi-million selling software in Japan.

As for merging userbases, for selfish and not necessarily market relevant reasons, it would be nice to see a return to "cards", and the different form factors/systems supporting the same medium. It would be very convinient to use all your handheld games also on a technical superior console, similar to Super Gameboy without any peripherals. Even better if the content is scalable to take advantage of the console hardware.

Wasnt that only like one or two guys who were speculating when the next Nintendo handheld would come out, and guessed late 2015?

 

[BriBri]

Langrisser has 8 reviews on the eShop with an average score of 1/5!

 

[Sammy Samusu]

[3DS] &#12514;&#12531;&#12473;&#12479;&#12540;&#12495;&#12531;&#12479;&#12540; &#12463;&#12525;&#12473; - 18pt

Did Comgnet miss the memo?

 

[Xbro]

[3DS] &#12514;&#12531;&#12473;&#12479;&#12540;&#12495;&#12531;&#12479;&#12540; &#12463;&#12525;&#12473; - 18pt

Did Comgnet miss the memo?

They don't live by the rules. They did the same for 4G. That game was already ripping up the charts a few days before preorders opened.

 

[Wiggy]

Comgnet Weekly Sales ranking:

Index Period: July 20 - July 26, 2015

1. [3DS] specter watch Busters white dog Corps - 187pt
2. [PS3] Sengoku BASARA4 Emperor (Japan Version) - 116Pt
3. [3DS] specter watch Busters Akaneko-dan - 110pt
4. [PS4] Sengoku BASARA4 Emperor (Japan Version) - 45Pt
5. [WiiU] Splatoon - 44pt
6. [Vita] Magic&#22730;&#31070;Trillion (Japan Version) - 38Pt
7. [Vita] Magic&#22730;&#31070;Trillion (Limited Edition) - 36pt
8. [3DS] rhythm heaven The Best + - 33Pt
9. [Vita] Main Craft: PlayStation Vita Edition - 24pt
10. [PS4] Batman: Arkham Knight - 23pt
11. [3DS] Fire Emblem if midnight sun kingdom - 21pt
12. [PS3] Sengoku BASARA4 imperial costume 21 Formula debauchery box - 17pt
13. [Vita] Taiko Drum Master V version - 16pt
14. [3DS] Dragon Ball Heroes Ultimate Mission 2 - 16pt
15. [3DS] Fire Emblem if dark night Kingdom - 13pt
16. [3DS] of large Ace Attorney Narufu-doryunokai&#20882;&#38570;(Japan Version) - 12pt
17. [3DS] Langrisser Riin Carnation - reincarnation - (Normal Edition) - 12pt
18. [WiiU] Yoshi wool world - 10pt
19. [3DS] Atsumare in ultra-or-flight strongest getaway who (Normal Edition)! - 9pt
20. [3DS] Dragon Ball Z ultra Ultimate Fighter - 7pt

 

[Xbro]

Comgnet Weekly Sales ranking:

Index Period: July 20 - July 26, 2015

• [WiiU] Splatoon - 44pt

That jump.

 

[Vena]

lol

Splatoon is now going upwards.

 

[BlowoverKing]

PREDICTION LEAGUE AUGUST 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jul 27 to Aug 30):
[3DS] Animal Crossing Happy Home Designer (32 days) - 1.385.000
[PSV] IA/VT Colorful (32 days) - 54.000
[PSV] KanColle Kai (4 days) - 112.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest VIII (4 days) - 724.000
[3DS] Super Robot Wars BX (11 days) - 98.000

 

[Eolz]

Damn, seems that I missed a lot of great discussions this week.
Since I skipped some posts, anything special to look out for this week in terms of sales/releases?

 

[Vena]

Damn, seems that I missed a lot of great discussions this week.
Since I skipped some posts, anything special to look out for this week in terms of sales/releases?

Splatoon's legs, and Yoshi's extinction.

 

[Scum]

I will personally get my arse over to NCL to bitch slap each and everyone of the higher-ups if Splatoon NX/Spla2oon does not show up on the NX Home & NX Go.
It just has to!

 

[TheXfactor]

mario maker is gonna outsell mario kart 8 in japan, thats my bold prediction

 

[Vena]

I will personally get my arse over to NCL to bitch slap each and everyone of the higher-ups if Splatoon NX/Spla2oon does not show up on the NX Home & NX Go.
It just has to!

Of course it will.

 

[thestopsign]

mario maker is gonna outsell mario kart 8 in japan, thats my bold prediction

I don't think so. We will have to see how it opens, but Mario Kart 8 has the bundled sales and legs for over a year more than Mario Maker. That will be hard to overcome.

I think it will sell very closely to wherever Splatoon ends up.

 

[Eolz]

Splatoon's legs, and Yoshi's extinction.

Lol thanks

I will personally get my arse over to NCL to bitch slap each and everyone of the higher-ups if Splatoon NX/Spla2oon does not show up on the NX Home & NX Go.
It just has to!

Of course it will, even more since it's selling even better than most expected.
Just not in the first year.

 

[NateDrake]

I will personally get my arse over to NCL to bitch slap each and everyone of the higher-ups if Splatoon NX/Spla2oon does not show up on the NX Home & NX Go.
It just has to!

Splatoon is a major worldwide success. Nintendo will continue to push this IP.

 

[Scum]

Of course it will.

Lol thanks



Of course it will, even more since it's selling even better than most expected.
Just not in the first year.

Splatoon is a major worldwide success. Nintendo will continue to push this IP.

Looks like my flight's been cancelled. :<

 

[hiska-kun]

Tsutaya's site is down for maintenance. I will post the weekly chart later today.

 

[crinale]

Lol the blog guy suspects the platform for dat game may be Nintendo. They're holding private trade show (usual one) on 29th but he's saying they usually do int on Thursday or Friday.

 

[Ōkami]

Lol the blog guy suspects the platform for dat game may be Nintendo. They're holding private trade show (usual one) on 29th but he's saying they usually do int on Thursday or Friday.

Trade show?

I know they'll be releasing their Q1 results the day after the announcement, am I missing something?

 

[random25]

PREDICTION LEAGUE AUGUST 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jul 27 to Aug 30):

[3DS] Animal Crossing Happy Home Designer (32 days) - 1,100,000
[PSV] IA/VT Colorful (32 days) - 50,000
[PSV] KanColle Kai (4 days) - 80,000
[3DS] Dragon Quest VIII (4 days) - 800,000
[3DS] Super Robot Wars BX (11 days) - 80,000

 

[crinale]

Trade show?

I know they'll be releasing their Q1 results the day after the announcement, am I missing something?

Nintendo (Sony too) holds shows for traders every once & then (that's why game store owners are invited). He's saying that show is usually Thusday or Firday. That being said people are speculating Nintendo's Q1 result announcement may be the reason, not the DQ conference. Anyway things are getting interesting

 

[hiska-kun]

Lol the blog guy suspects the platform for dat game may be Nintendo. They're holding private trade show (usual one) on 29th but he's saying they usually do int on Thursday or Friday.

I was reading the same, but i'm having hard time believing it after all the PS4 hints.

 

[random25]

YSO predictions

Week 31, 2015 (Jul 27 - Aug 2)

[3DS] Animal Crossing: Happy Home Designer < 650k
[3DS] Yo-kai Watch Busters < 120k
[PSV] IA/VT: Colorful < 30k
[WIU] Splatoon < 30k

Never doubt the power of Animal Crossing, guys.

And Splatoon is on infinite Kraken mode.

 

[sense]

Lol the blog guy suspects the platform for dat game may be Nintendo. They're holding private trade show (usual one) on 29th but he's saying they usually do int on Thursday or Friday.

oh man if that happens neogaf will be down for days since almost everyone including me is confident it will atleast be on ps4. i may have to stay away from dragon quest threads for a few days lol.

Spoiler

i am still confident it will be on ps4!!! or am i hmmmm!!!

 

[1st Course]

PREDICTION LEAGUE AUGUST 2015
[3DS] Animal Crossing Happy Home Designer (32 days) - 1000k
[PSV] IA/VT Colorful (32 days) - 50k
[PSV] KanColle Kai (4 days) - 150k
[3DS] Dragon Quest VIII (4 days) - 550k
[3DS] Super Robot Wars BX (11 days) - 80k

 

[fredrancour]

I was reading the same, but i'm having hard time believing it after all the PS4 hints.

....Multiplat? ps4 to try to convince the west to care about the brand, with 3ds (or NX portable?) to guarantee a bare minimum amount of money out of japan?

i am assuming none of those ideas are even remotely new but i don't normally wade into dq conversations.

 

[Mory Dunz]

Multiplat with everything

Everyone wins

Everyone is happy

And we can stop talking about it.

Even in that scenario there would probably still be arguments...

 

[Ōkami]

Nintendo (Sony too) holds shows for traders every once & then (that's why game store owners are invited). He's saying that show is usually Thusday or Firday. That being said people are speculating Nintendo's Q1 result announcement may be the reason, not the DQ conference. Anyway things are getting interesting

Hmmmm, do you know what has been shown on these events before?

I was reading the same, but i'm having hard time believing it after all the PS4 hints.

Maybe he's trying to throw you off.

Or maybe DQXI will be multiplat.

 

[Vena]

Lol the blog guy suspects the platform for dat game may be Nintendo. They're holding private trade show (usual one) on 29th but he's saying they usually do int on Thursday or Friday.

Nintendo almost never changes dates for things with relation to their earnings reports. In fact I would expect any Nintendo conferences over earnings and Q1 results to be possibly delayed due to Iwata's passing, not moved off schedule and sped up two days.

I was reading the same, but i'm having hard time believing it after all the PS4 hints.

Not sure what to think of this. May just be a PS4/PS3/WiiU mutliplat?

He's not usually wrong with this stuff. :/

 

[Mpl90]

Did it happen in the past that Nintendo would have a trade meeting for Japanese retailers ealier to accomodate financial results? Still, we must not forget that Q1 results are just the results, without the investor meeting / Q&A session, since Nintendo consider it the "least important quarter" for their business, IIRCC.

 

[Mpl90]

Nintendo almost never changes dates for things with relation to their earnings reports. In fact I would expect any Nintendo conferences over earnings and Q1 results to be possibly delayed due to Iwata's passing, not moved off schedule and sped up two days.



Not sure what to think of this. May just be a PS4/PS3/WiiU mutliplat?

He's not usually wrong with this stuff. :/

If Horii himself mentions NX as a future platform, I don't know how I would react. It seems impossible, though, since the platform hasn't even been announced. Currently, the game being also on (existing) Nintendo platforms seems a stretch, unless they really go the Ninokuni's route.

 

[crinale]

Did it happen in the past that Nintendo would have a trade meeting for Japanese retailers ealier to accomodate financial results? Still, we must not forget that Q1 results are just the results, without the investor meeting / Q&A session, since Nintendo consider it the "least important quarter" for their business, IIRCC.

I think if it's not DQ related then customers' (retailers in this case) fisical month will be over a day earlier so that may be the reason (a guy pointed out to me and that makes further more sense. And as someone said blog guy loves to stir things up because he knows people are watching his blog haha).

 

[Vena]

I think if it's not DQ related then customers' (retailers in this case) fisical month will be over a day earlier so that may be the reason (a guy pointed out to me and that makes further more sense. And as someone said blog guy loves to stir things up because he knows people are watching his blog haha).

His stirs are usually coded teases, lol.

 

[crinale]

His stirs are usually coded teases, lol.

Edit: NVM there seem to be code tease in that entry too, but I failed to find the meaning..

 

[Chris1964]

Comgnet Weekly Sales ranking:

Index Period: July 20 - July 26, 2015

1. [3DS] specter watch Busters white dog Corps - 187pt
2. [PS3] Sengoku BASARA4 Emperor (Japan Version) - 116Pt
3. [3DS] specter watch Busters Akaneko-dan - 110pt
4. [PS4] Sengoku BASARA4 Emperor (Japan Version) - 45Pt
5. [WiiU] Splatoon - 44pt
6. [Vita] Magic&#22730;&#31070;Trillion (Japan Version) - 38Pt
7. [Vita] Magic&#22730;&#31070;Trillion (Limited Edition) - 36pt
8. [3DS] rhythm heaven The Best + - 33Pt
9. [Vita] Main Craft: PlayStation Vita Edition - 24pt
10. [PS4] Batman: Arkham Knight - 23pt
11. [3DS] Fire Emblem if midnight sun kingdom - 21pt
12. [PS3] Sengoku BASARA4 imperial costume 21 Formula debauchery box - 17pt
13. [Vita] Taiko Drum Master V version - 16pt
14. [3DS] Dragon Ball Heroes Ultimate Mission 2 - 16pt
15. [3DS] Fire Emblem if dark night Kingdom - 13pt
16. [3DS] of large Ace Attorney Narufu-doryunokai&#20882;&#38570;(Japan Version) - 12pt
17. [3DS] Langrisser Riin Carnation - reincarnation - (Normal Edition) - 12pt
18. [WiiU] Yoshi wool world - 10pt
19. [3DS] Atsumare in ultra-or-flight strongest getaway who (Normal Edition)! - 9pt
20. [3DS] Dragon Ball Z ultra Ultimate Fighter - 7pt

If it's so difficult to post correct translated names better don't post them at all. You don't gain anything with google translation. It's lazy and annoying to read it.

 

[Orgen]

PREDICTION LEAGUE AUGUST 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jul 27 to Aug 30):

[3DS] Animal Crossing Happy Home Designer (32 days) - 1.246.000
[PSV] IA/VT Colorful (32 days) - 74.000
[PSV] KanColle Kai (4 days) - 128.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest VIII (4 days) - 779.000
[3DS] Super Robot Wars BX (11 days) - 111.000

 

[hiska-kun]

Tsutaya's Ranking Week 30 2015

01./01. [3DS] Yo-kai Watch Busters: White Dog Squad <ACT> (Level 5)
02./00. [PS3] Sengoku Basara 4: Sumeragi <ACT> (Capcom)
03./02. [3DS] Yo-kai Watch Busters: Red Cat Team <ACT> (Level 5)
04./00. [PS4] Sengoku Basara 4: Sumeragi <ACT> (Capcom)
05./03. [PS4] Batman: Arkham Knight <ADV> (Warner Entertainment Japan)
06./05. [WIU] Splatoon <ACT> (Nintendo)
07./00. [PSV] Makaigami Trillion <RPG> (Compile Heart)
08./06. [3DS] Rhythm Heaven: The Best+ <ACT> (Nintendo)
09./04. [3DS] The Great Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney - Naruhodou Ryuunosuke no Bouken <ADV> (Capcom)
10./09. [3DS] Fire Emblem Fates: White Kingdom <SLG> (Nintendo)
11./08. [PSV] Taiko no Tatsujin: V Version <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games)
12./10. [PSV] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition <ADV> (Mojang AB)
13./00. [PS3] Sengoku Basara 4: Sumeragi (Costume 21 Equation Debauchery Box) <ACT> (Capcom)
14./07. [WIU] Yoshi's Woolly World # <ACT> (Nintendo)
15./11. [3DS] Fire Emblem Fates: Black Kingdom <SLG> (Nintendo)
16./00. [3DS] Langrisser: Re:Incarnation Tensei <RPG> (Extreme)
17./14. [3DS] Super Run For Money Tousouchuu Atsumare! Saikyou no Tousou Monotachi <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games)
18./18. [3DS] Puzzle & Dragons: Super Mario Bros. Edition <RPG> (GungHo Online Entertainment)
19./00. [PS4] Sengoku Basara 4: Sumeragi (Costume 21 Equation Debauchery Box) <ACT> (Capcom)
20./12. [WIU] Yoshi's Woolly World (amiibo Set) <ACT> (Nintendo)

 

[mrjohill]

If it's so difficult to post correct translated names better don't post them at all. You don't gain anything with google translation. It's lazy and annoying to read it.

You don't want to play main craft Chris? Lol

 

[And_Gignac]

mario maker is gonna outsell mario kart 8 in japan, thats my bold prediction

People are making really bold predictions about SMM sales. I personally dont see a big audience for this game, outside of entusiasts.

And isnt Yokai Busters kind of underperforming? Isnt the game basically YW3?

 

[Magicpaint]

People are making really bold predictions about SMM sales. I personally dont see a big audience for this game, outside of entusiasts.

And isnt Yokai Busters kind of underperforming? Isnt the game basically YW3?

Wat. Busters is a spinoff based on the mini-game from YW2. YW3 was announced alongside YW Busters and isn't due until next year. Busters is doing incredibly well for a spinoff.

 

[Aostia]

I don't know what it's more weird: DQXI on Nintendo platform or SMM outselling MK8 sales.

 

[DCharlie]

01./01. [3DS] Yo-kai Watch Busters: White Dog Squad <ACT> (Level 5)
03./02. [3DS] Yo-kai Watch Busters: Red Cat Team <ACT> (Level 5)

YWB: Mighty Dog (white)
and
YWB: Red J (red)

Mighty Dog being a derivative high powered version of Komasan
Red J being a -supposed- derivative high powered version of Jibanyan - though denied in the series

in the game it's simply a skin swap - the level is identical.

Might Dog version has been hard to find - restocked just recently - yet Red J available everywhere.

And yeah - 600k for a spin off of a mini-game in YW2 ? Yeah - it's doing fine. Though it is concerning that likely for the US you will have to wait until after YW1 and then YW2 before you get to taste YWB :/

 

[L~A]

And as someone said blog guy loves to stir things up because he knows people are watching his blog haha).

I was about to say just that

Besides, it doesn't make sense... aren't retailers already invited to tomorrow's press conference?

 

[And_Gignac]

Wat. Busters is a spinoff based on the mini-game from YW2. YW3 was announced alongside YW Busters and isn't due until next year. Busters is doing incredibly well for a spinoff.

lol, now I feel extremely dumb. Thanks for the clarification.

 

[Chris1964]

PREDICTION LEAGUE AUGUST 2015

[3DS] Animal Crossing Happy Home Designer (32 days) - 1.234.567
[PSV] IA/VT Colorful (32 days) - 56.789
[PSV] KanColle Kai (4 days) - 123.456
[3DS] Dragon Quest VIII (4 days) - 567.890
[3DS] Super Robot Wars BX (11 days) - 109.876