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[A Human Becoming]

Everything to know about New Hampshire in one song!

Streams:
http://abcnews.go.com/live
http://www.wmur.com/politics/live-2016-new-hampshire-primary-election-coverage/37903694
http://pluto.tv/watch/nbc-news-and-msnbc

What: The citizens of New Hampshire will pick their presidential nominee from their declared party. If they're not registered with a party they can choose the ballot for either one.
When: February 9th, 2016
Where: Town voting locations with varied times that must start no later than 11AM and end no earlier than 7PM
Why: It's state law that the primary must be held "on the Tuesday at least seven days immediately preceding the date on which any other state shall hold a similar election, whichever is earlier."

Results (will be updated)

[u]Republicans[/u]
Donald Trump 	100,360	35.3%
John Kasich	44,907	15.8%
Ted Cruz	33,189	11.7%
Jeb Bush	31,309	11.0%
Marco Rubio	30,030	10.6%
Chris Christie	21,068	7.4%
Carly Fiorina	11,705	4.1%
Ben Carson	6,509	2.3%
Jim Gilmore	133	0.0%
Other People	4,898	1.7%

[u]Democrats[/u]
Bernie Sanders 	151,573	60.4%
Hillary Clinton	95,242	38.0%
Other People	4,147	1.7%

Thanks to the National Review for the drawings

Bernie Sanders

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Marco Rubio

John Kasich

Ted Cruz

Jeb

Chris Christie

Carly Fiorina

Ben Carson

Jim Gilmore

New Hampshire Primary History
Candidates in bold went on to win the nomination.

Democrats

Republicans

Iowa Results and Delegate Count

Unlike Iowa, delegates are rewarded based on voting percentage. Republicans have a 10% minimum and Democrats a 15% minimum threshold.

Thanks to Poli-GAF, Wikipedia and FiveThirtyEight

 

[NH Apache]

Nice OP! It'd be great to see Bernie win one of these things.

Also, the first REAL primary. NH GOAT

 

[PBY]

When did accurate calls/predictions/results start rolling in last year?

 

[massoluk]

I'm disappointed you don't have Marco Robo for the OP.

 

[Veritigo_X]

I'm disappointed you don't have Marco Robo for the OP.

No, Boots is the GOAT attack ad. OP made the right choice.

 

[Bronx-Man]

Let's dispel the notion that A Human Becoming doesn't know what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Let's dispel with this fiction that Barack Obama doesn't know what he's doing. Obama knows EXACTLY what he's doing!

 

[rjinaz]

I'm disappointed you don't have Marco Robo for the OP.

Same.

It will be nice to see Bernie have a win. Even if expected. I'm hoping Trump gets one as well this go around.

 

[studyguy]

One step closer to the end, thank god.

 

[rjinaz]

Let's dispel the notion that A Human Becoming doesn't know what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing.

Let's dispel the notion that A Human Becoming doesn't know what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing. Let's dispel the notion that A Human Becoming doesn't know what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing. Let's dispel the notion that A Human Becoming doesn't know what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing. Let's dispel the notion that A Human Becoming doesn't know what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing.

 

[Pop-O-Matic]

The important this is that we dispel this notion that Barack Obama doesn't know what he's doing. He know's exactly what he's doing!

 

[A Human Becoming]

I'm disappointed you don't have Marco Robo for the OP.

Has there been an attack ad out for that yet?

EDIT: Whoops, left out the Republican polling in the OP.

 

[Miles X]

The important this is that we dispel this notion that Barack Obama doesn't know what he's doing. He know's exactly what he's doing!

I never even got this, it was such a dumb thing to say. I bet Obama was at home thinking .. well yeah, duh.

 

[massoluk]

Has there been an attack ad out for that yet?

Ok, I'd like to dispel the notion that A Human Becoming doesn't know what he's doing. He knows exactly what he's doing.

 

[Veritigo_X]

I never even got this, it was such a dumb thing to say. I bet Obama was at home thinking .. well yeah, duh.

He was trying to say that first term senators can be competent at being president since he is a first term senator himself.

 

[gutter_trash]

 

[Pop-O-Matic]

I never even got this, it was such a dumb thing to say. I bet Obama was at home thinking .. well yeah, duh.

The important this is that we dispel this notion that Barack Obama doesn't know what he's doing. He know's exactly what he's doing!

Serious answer: It's easier to rally the Republican base against the Liberal menace by trying to paint them as evil conspirators seeking to destroy 'Murica from the inside rather than well meaning incompetents.

He was trying to say that first term senators can be competent at being president since he is a first term senator himself.

Also this.

 

[GavinGT]

I want the people at home to think about this. That is what NeoGAF does. The drive by shot at the beginning with incorrect and incomplete information and then the gifs for each candidate that are exactly what his advisers gave him.

 

[A Human Becoming]

Nice OP! It'd be great to see Bernie win one of these things.

Also, the first REAL primary. NH GOAT

Just noticed this. Couldn't have had a more fitting first post.

 

[Bronx-Man]

I want the people at home to think about this. That is what NeoGAF does. The drive by shot at the beginning with incorrect and incomplete information and then the gifs for each candidate that are exactly what his advisers gave him.

Perfection.

 

[ngower]

I studied Political Science. I'm a fan of the political process. But uggghhh I have to either vote between 6:00a/p-8:00a/p. Gonna charge up the 3DS and take it with me after work, methinks.

 

[Miles X]

So I'm guessing we'll get results much later than Iowa. Like Wednesday?

 

[Kaladin]

Round 2 of the Presidential Primary Death Cycle. Who is eliminated this week?

I'm hoping Rubio goes after that abysmal debate.

 

[HylianTom]

Sanders is going to schlong Hillary. 30% blowout!

At least Trump should get his groove back. And the fight for second should be really fun and fascinating. Glad I took Wednesday off.

 

[Morat]

Live free or whinge

Spoiler

Bill Bryson

 

[Bronx-Man]

Round 2 of the Presidential Primary Death Cycle. Who is eliminated this week?

I'm hoping Rubio goes after that abysmal debate.

I'm guessing Carly & Jim are the next ones to go.

 

[Veritigo_X]

I'm guessing Carly & Jim are the next ones to go.

Gilmore isn't going anywhere. I think he's a troll candidate at this point.

 

[KuwabaraTheMan]

Gilmore isn't going anywhere. I think he's a troll candidate at this point.

You won't be laughing when he wins the brokered convention.

 

[TumblingHippo]

Repub media is spinning that Rubio didn't make any mistakes during the debate, wonder what impact it'll have, but so many are echoing his talking point, too.

 

[Black Republican]

please tell me this is real ad, epic

 

[Amir0x]

Repub media is spinning that Rubio didn't make any mistakes during the debate, wonder what impact it'll have, but so many are echoing his talking point, too.

It feels like basically the Republican party is the titanic and after seeing Cruz and Trump at the top in Iowa for real, now they're desperately trying to steady the ship by taking out the water with little Styrofoam cups.

"oh god Rubio is our best alternative? oh god. Oh fuck... hey, yea, Rubio did great in the debate! No mistakes whatsoever, no sir..."

 

[Flo_Evans]

Repub media is spinning that Rubio didn't make any mistakes during the debate, wonder what impact it'll have, but so many are echoing his talking point, too.

He was still standing rocky style after getting worked by Christie so I guess thats a win lol.

 

[Slayven]

It feels like basically the Republican party is the titanic and after seeing Cruz and Trump at the top in Iowa for real, now they're desperately trying to steady the ship by taking out the water with little Styrofoam cups.

"oh god Rubio is our best alternative? oh god. Oh fuck... hey, yea, Rubio did great in the debate! No mistakes whatsoever, no sir..."

In a perfect world, without Carson and Trump, would Rubio be the front runner?

 

[Veritigo_X]

Repub media is spinning that Rubio didn't make any mistakes during the debate, wonder what impact it'll have, but so many are echoing his talking point, too.

Which ones? Fox?

Farther right sources seem to be framing the debate as a Rubio loss.

 

[Black Republican]

My final prediction:

1. Trump
2. Rubio
3. Kasich
4. Jeb
5. Christie
6. Cruz
7. Carson
8. Fiorina
9. Gilmore

 

[thiscoldblack]

No more coin tosses, please.

 

[Mengy]

Repub media is spinning that Rubio didn't make any mistakes during the debate, wonder what impact it'll have, but so many are echoing his talking point, too.

Lets dispel this notion that Repub media doesn't know what it's doing. Repub media knows exactly what it is doing.

 

[Sir_Crocodile]

Man, the media are gonna love this. Trump/Sanders is a story they love to pull out, and they're both likely to win here.

Repub media is spinning that Rubio didn't make any mistakes during the debate, wonder what impact it'll have, but so many are echoing his talking point, too.

Only fox, but then he's their guy. check out breitbart for example.

 

[Blader]

Didn't Fox hammer on the Rubio repetition on Saturday night? Maybe Roger Ailes straightened the ship after ward...

Lets dispel this notion that Repub media doesn't know what it's doing. Repub media knows exactly what it is doing.

lol

 

[Orbis Tabula]

Lol, great gifs. Trump's got this state so I think all that matters is where Rubio lands. I hope he underperforms. Fourth place, please. On the Democratic side, we all know this is Sanders turf. All that's up in the air is Hillary's margin. Should be fun to watch!

 

[Veritigo_X]

My final prediction:

1. Trump
2. Rubio
3. Kasich
4. Jeb
5. Christie
6. Cruz
7. Carson
8. Fiorina
9. Gilmore

Jebmentum/Kasichmentum nonbeliever?

Honestly, I think 2nd place is too much of a crapshoot to predict.

 

[Amir0x]

In a perfect world, without Carson and Trump, would Rubio be the front runner?

I think the establishment was hoping they'd get a Jeb or a Rubio, since they feel they could work with such candidates. Without Trump or Carson, it's hard to know if all those votes would have gone to Cruz or if they would have benefited Rubio. I'm guessing Cruz would win that one, since he's anti-establishment candidates w/ Trump. If Cruz also wasn't in the mix, then yeah I could see Rubio pulling it out: swing state, young and fresh, and of course a member of the Cuban minority. And he says the right things, if he avoids Immigration entirely.

Of course in this world, Rubio's face just got mauled off by Christie. Now it's probably not so good his prospects

 

[Mugsy]

As a note for the OP, the democratic forecast is using polls only while the republican forecast is using polls plus. You should probably stick to one version or the other. Other than that great OP.

 

[davepoobond]

Looking forward to this.

 

[Grover]

*crosses fingers* not cruz, not cruz, not cruz

 

[TylerD]

So Jim Gilmore is ISIS? Don't like his chances!

 

[OrangeGrayBlue]

My thoughts:

1) Trump
2) Kasich
3) Cruz
4) Rubio
5) Jeb
6) Christie
7) Carson

 

[RastaMentality]

As a note for the OP, the democratic forecast is using polls only while the republican forecast is using polls plus. You should probably stick to one version or the other. Other than that great OP.

It doesn't matter since both forecasts are the same on the Dem side.

 

[studyguy]

Cruz doesn't have his evangelicals any longer.
Iowa already going for that 0 for 3 on GOP candidates, fading into irrelevance as it very well should.

 

[User 85168]

As a note for the OP, the democratic forecast is using polls only while the republican forecast is using polls plus. You should probably stick to one version or the other. Other than that great OP.

You're correct, but on the Democratic side, it's 99% chance to win for Bernie on both sides.