• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

RUMOR: NX more powerful than PS4, Splatoon/Mario Maker ports in development

Status
Not open for further replies.
1865342.jpg


NX boxart leaked, new name confirmed. Nintendo Polystation is the future with over 1,000 games to play!!

I love how they threw Namco in there for whatever reason that doesn't make sense.
 
Could be that Emily's sources deliberately debunked 10ks sources even if they were accurate just to make everything about NX a mystery again prior to reveal...

Why would they say anything at all regarding rumors on neogaf? It doesn't make any sense anyone at Nintendo told Emily anything...
Probably sarcasm on the part of Zoonami here, but if not...these fanboys are crazy.

Obelixtoctotoc.jpg
 

MuchoMalo

Banned
I see no reason not to beat PS4, unless Nintendo is going for that lpddr ram that goes in 6 GB increments and chooses 6 over 12. That'd be the only way to go underspecced on RAM. For CPU/GPU, if they go with x86 as the rumors seem to be leaning, it would be hard for them to get something weaker in 2016, unless they just ordered the same chip as PS4 or X1.

I still say this thing NEEDS a second screen. How would you port Splatoon 1 otherwise? Especially having cross-compatible play on a level playing field (unless you just make people use the Gamepad, separately bought, but that will cut your audience drastically and defeat the purpose). Otherwise the gamepad users would be at an advantage if they tried to soft-emulate the touchscreen for superjumping by having the users scroll through a list of allies, the spawn point, or beacons.

And a Mario Maker port would go right out the window.

LPDDR4 can come in 1,2,3,4, or 6GB chips. Go read the post that you're thinking about again, it was edited. Nintendo would need four chips on a 256-bit bus, so you'd be looking at 8GB (4x2GB) or 12GB (4x3GB). Both would cost less than PS4's RAM did at launch.
 

MuchoMalo

Banned
10k is being hassled on twitter by so called devs wanting him to leak more stuff it seems, lol.

Poor guy. If I ever get a leak of something, I'll keep it to myself. That will never happen, but still.

Edit: Oops, double post. I meant to edit this one in, but accidentally submitted.
 

KingSnake

The Birthday Skeleton
Could be that Emily's sources deliberately debunked 10ks sources even if they were accurate just to make everything about NX a mystery again prior to reveal...

Yes, Nintendo sources wanted to debunk a positive true rumour for a hypothetical surprise reveal of ... what? Nintendo doesn't announce any kind of specs for their systems.
 

MacTag

Banned
Again he takes the fact of smaller logistics to cut cost into account.

At best his numbers are

So AT BEST your looking at $1.67 increase from $2.24 to $3.91.

That's not even counting the fact that he is going off of 3ds base numbers.

He's not even basing that # on higher capacity cards that would be needed. Plus they need to be faster since you'd be dealing with a fuck ton more data.
I'm hesitant to really state an "at best" estimate given we don't have exact costs for anything and those were explicity rough estimates. And $4 bom already seems high for 3DS sizes (4GB ceiling), given someone else just sourced 64GB flash for $3/unit at consumer volume.

Savings on logistics aren't just a one time sunk cost either, it's repeated whenever inventory is moved or stored. Not to mention the other inventory variables I mentioned within retail (shelving, destruction, etc). This helps mitigate a lot of cost all around in the supply chain.

edit: rereading Terrell's statement he's not actually referring to 3DS capacities in his estimate, only manufacturing. Which makes sense, logically a 4GB card in 2012 shouldn't cost the same in 2017.
 

Malus

Member
Edit: Holy shit, I can't even state my interpretation of something without getting dogpiled on here. :/

That's prolly because someone asked for a rundown of what's going on and you didn't mention the recent Polaris rumors or anything, just that you think it's less powerful than PS4.

A possibility I'm very much open to :D

But it's not the whole story.
 

-Horizon-

Member
wait, so what's going on now?

I'm looking at my youtube videos and gamexplain has apparently put up one saying that Emily doesn't agree with 10k's spec leaks?
 

MK_768

Member
Because it's common sense. You only think it's confirmation bias because it's something you don't want to hear. And 'people like me' are perfectly qualified to talk about trends in the industry.

Please tell me, in what world, when Nintendo's relevancy in the home console space is the worst it's ever been, does it make sense for them to release a console at a premium price? It's not as if they've just come off the back of a killer generation like Sony had with the PS2.

And now you are assuming. You act like one of those cock-sure people. You wanna debate why they should release at $299, fine. However, when you speak in absolutes you show you are close-minded to simply what you believe. It would be stupid of me to actually have a serious debate with you about this. It would be like talking to a wall.
 

diaspora

Member
I think Nintendo could release a premium platform, but it would need to be a limited release along side a normally priced SKU. Like if they released a $300~ normal system but also say an aluminum/metal premium SKU with more storage at a larger price I think they could get away with it. Like, imagine a 128GB black plastic $300 system and a $400 256GB space grey/ champagne gold/ silver coloured metal sku sold in more limited quantities would that be so bad?
 
And now you are assuming. You act like one of those cock-sure people. You wanna debate why they should release at $299, fine. However, when you speak in absolutes you show you are close-minded to simply what you believe. It would be stupid of me to actually have a serious debate with you about this. It would be like talking to a wall.

I'm perfectly willing to listen to sensible arguments. I don't know why me saying that $299 is suicide has offended you so much. Instead of trying to make assumptions of character and personal insults to a someone you don't know or have never met, tell me why you disagree.

No one knows anything for certain. Hell, I was adamant this thing would be weak af until 10k's post and changed my stance. Again, it sounds like you just don't like what I'm saying.
 
Reminder that people were throwing around the Polaris GPU around with >PS4K preform.
That's what Emily was debunking. Not sure how you could go from that to "noticeably weaker than the ps4"
It's possible, but nothing from the quote implies that.
She also didn't debunk the CPU claims
Don't expect Polaris and you should be fine.
 
He's still firmly confident about the Polaris stuff tho

He never said the GPU was a Polaris 14nm chip, and neither did his source. I think that's what Emily is "debunking" since people were posting dozens of pages talking about, specifically, a 14nm Polaris GPU.

Given 10k's posting habits, I'm willing to believe that particular source, which stated that the GPU uses some Polaris features and some Fiji features, but never gave a process size or any specific architecture. I doubt most devs would have any actual info on the specific chips being used, rather, the SDK might give them insights on the software features provided by the chips which might have been how this particular source got his info.

Again, 10k said take everything with some salt, but he seems like a pretty reasonable poster here, so if he's confident about that source's veracity than that's makes me lean towards believing it as well.


Edit: And I know absolutely nothing about what Polaris features or Fiji features could possibly be, or even what the hell Fiji is (haha) but I am good at reading comprehension and a stickler for semantics!
 

MuchoMalo

Banned
That's prolly because someone asked for a rundown of what's going on and you didn't mention the recent Polaris rumors or anything, just that you think it's less powerful than PS4.

A possibility I'm very much open to :D

But it's not the whole story.

That's true. My mistake.


Reminder that people were throwing around the Polaris GPU around with >PS4K preform.
That's what Emily was debunking. Not sure how you could go from that to "noticeably weaker than the ps4"
It's possible, but nothing from the quote implies that.
She also didn't debunk the CPU claims
Don't expect Polaris and you should be fine.

Yeah, I still have hopes for 10-20% faster than PS4, with 50% as the absolute best.
 

TunaLover

Member
Yes, Nintendo sources wanted to debunk a positive true rumour for a hypothetical surprise reveal of ... what? Nintendo doesn't announce any kind of specs for their systems.
We don't know, companies change their strategies over time, during N64 GCN era Nintendo was very happy to share system specs. Sure, they changed that since Wii but doesn't mean they have some sort of internal policy about it, they always offer conservative numbers though, that's a constant.
Furthermore with Iwata's passing we'll probably see a transitional Nintendo, for better or worse.
 

Roo

Member
He never said the GPU was a Polaris 14nm chip, and neither did his source. I think that's what Emily is "debunking" since people were posting dozens of pages talking about, specifically, a 14nm Polaris GPU.

Given 10k's posting habits, I'm willing to believe that particular source, which stated that the GPU uses some Polaris features and some Fiji features, but never gave a process size or any specific architecture. I doubt most devs would have any actual info on the specific chips being used, rather, the SDK might give them insights on the software features provided by the chips which might have been how this particular source got his info.

Again, 10k said take everything with some salt, but he seems like a pretty reasonable poster here, so if he's confident about that source's veracity than that's makes me lean towards believing it as well.

Wat?

I'm talking about what he said on twitter..
 

MK_768

Member
I'm perfectly willing to listen to sensible arguments. I don't know why me saying that $299 is suicide has offended you so much. Instead of trying to make assumptions of character and personal insults to a someone you don't know or have never met, tell me why you disagree.

No one knows anything for certain. Hell, I was adamant this thing would be weak af until 10k's post and changed my stance. Again, it sounds like you just don't like what I'm saying.

But this is my point. I'm saying you have a right to an opinion. However you spoke in absolutes. So it's not that I have a problem with what you are saying, it's that I have a problem with HOW you say it.
 

ZOONAMI

Junior Member
Yes, Nintendo sources wanted to debunk a positive true rumour for a hypothetical surprise reveal of ... what? Nintendo doesn't announce any kind of specs for their systems.

The gimmick rumor isn't positive, and the power comments are super ambiguous, NX could be more powerful than the rumors suggest, or less, based on a Emily's comments on the power level you can't really draw any conclusions, so I wouldn't say they debunked a positive rumor. Beyond that, what power level? 10ks source on power basically said ps4 level to ps4k level, "polaris-like" etc. It's not even clear what power level Emily is referring to.

Could be that Nintendos PR is sick of external leaks controlling the PR around NX, real or not, so it's fairly easy to put out info that debunks current rumors that are gaining any traction. To me, all Emily's comments really did to this thread was, "welp, back to square one," and if I were in PR at Nintendo that's exactly what where I'd lIke the messaging to be at before the actual reveal.
 

Ogodei

Member
I'm perfectly willing to listen to sensible arguments. I don't know why me saying that $299 is suicide has offended you so much. Instead of trying to make assumptions of character and personal insults to a someone you don't know or have never met, tell me why you disagree.

No one knows anything for certain. Hell, I was adamant this thing would be weak af until 10k's post and changed my stance. Again, it sounds like you just don't like what I'm saying.

$299 is the minimum. Underneath that and they would have to find something underpowered to play with.

$350 seems the sweet spot, as i agree $4 would be a hard sell even if the tech in the box is fully worth it. This device absolutely has to hit the ground running.

In keeping with the idea of brother consoles being released simultaneously, $200 for the handheld and $350 for the console, with a package being offered at $500 that includes a pack-in game for both.

I could see $250 for the handheld but Nintendo would have to make damn sure it was worth it after what happened to the 3DS.
 

Vena

Member
Probably sarcasm on the part of Zoonami here, but if not...these fanboys are crazy.

Obelixtoctotoc.jpg

I think he's serious, and he's technically not incorrect. No one at Nintendo's R&D and those with this information, would care about whatever the hell we're going in circles about. The info she has is obviously going to be second hand just as 10k's info is second-hand.

The bigger question is who is the developer who fed 10k this information (and who is feeding Emily this information, is it another developer?), as we know its a dev who told him about the Polaris-based operations within the API/SDK but never did said source claim actual Polaris and 14nm FinFET. As has been noted, that information does not actually conclude or pre-conclude 14nm/Polaris GPU, that was a conclusion that we jumped on in this thread and took to rather absurd heights.

The issue that arises from ruling out 14nm (which, I suppose, in and of itself has not been ruled out but common sense would generally err on the side of ruling out tech that is barely in production) leads to a very bizarre situation with the GPU. It, in many ways, leads to a conclusion that is effectively nonsensical unless AMD+Nintendo came up with a very bizarre but effective (both in cost and performance) amalgamation of feature sets between GCN 1.2 and 1.3. From a basic point of view, this would be MORE expensive than just making a 14nm Polaris GPU.

Of course, the way Emily worded her response could also be construed to be about Polaris 10/11 rumors that had been circulating as those are actual GPUs that one could get wrong... and are the only actual GPUs mentioned. Polaris in and of itself isn't a GPU its an architecture. You could have both rumors end up being true, end up with 14nm, but end up with a very custom GPU that is of the Polaris family but is considerably lower than Polaris 10/11 in performance and, as a consequence, price.

However, as the CPU rumor/leak hasn't been debunked and the GamerGirl information also remains un-challenged by Emily and others, one can still rather un-crazily conclude that we'll be looking at a CPU performance over the PS4 of roughly ~30-40% (or the equivalent smaller gains over the X1's CPU), and the GPU has to have had at least a 10-20% gain over the PS4's (not the X1s) to not introduce rather catastrophic bottlenecking in the opposite direction of what the twins are currently suffering from. Likewise the RAM also needs the throughput to make this feasible. All of this comes back around to Emily's notion of "specs are good".
 
Wat?

I'm talking about what he said on twitter..

He said something similar earlier in this thread too:


Both.

The quote from the dev was

So far I know this: Polaris architecture as a base, mixed with Fiji, low power consumption, raw power numbers are modest increase, performance for optimized games for NX would be easily 2x PS4 performance.

And the quote in the OP about "polaris like features" and "under the same underlying architecture".

It could very well be a 28nm Tonga or Fiji gpu with Polaris features, but thraktor stated that would be very expensive and they'd be better off just using Polaris.

But never did I say it's a pure Polaris chip.

This may be a T1 source, but this source is the most credible of mine. So although we should all take this as rumors, I'm pretty sure Emily is wrong on this one.
 

Vena

Member
For the new page:

Probably sarcasm on the part of Zoonami here, but if not...these fanboys are crazy.

Obelixtoctotoc.jpg

I think he's serious, and he's technically not incorrect. No one at Nintendo's R&D and those with this information, would care about whatever the hell we're going in circles about. The info she has is obviously going to be second hand just as 10k's info is second-hand.

The bigger question is who is the developer who fed 10k this information (and who is feeding Emily this information, is it another developer?), as we know its a dev who told him about the Polaris-based operations within the API/SDK but never did said source claim actual Polaris and 14nm FinFET. As has been noted, that information does not actually conclude or pre-conclude 14nm/Polaris GPU, that was a conclusion that we jumped on in this thread and took to rather absurd heights.

The issue that arises from ruling out 14nm (which, I suppose, in and of itself has not been ruled out but common sense would generally err on the side of ruling out tech that is barely in production) leads to a very bizarre situation with the GPU. It, in many ways, leads to a conclusion that is effectively nonsensical unless AMD+Nintendo came up with a very bizarre but effective (both in cost and performance) amalgamation of feature sets between GCN 1.2 and 1.3. From a basic point of view, this would be MORE expensive than just making a 14nm Polaris GPU.

Of course, the way Emily worded her response could also be construed to be about Polaris 10/11 rumors that had been circulating as those are actual GPUs that one could get wrong... and are the only actual GPUs mentioned. Polaris in and of itself isn't a GPU its an architecture. You could have both rumors end up being true, end up with 14nm, but end up with a very custom GPU that is of the Polaris family but is considerably lower than Polaris 10/11 in performance and, as a consequence, price.

However, as the CPU rumor/leak hasn't been debunked and the GamerGirl information also remains un-challenged by Emily and others, one can still rather un-crazily conclude that we'll be looking at a CPU performance over the PS4 of roughly ~30-40% (or the equivalent smaller gains over the X1's CPU), and the GPU has to have had at least a 10-20% gain over the PS4's (not the X1s) to not introduce rather catastrophic bottlenecking in the opposite direction of what the twins are currently suffering from. Likewise the RAM also needs the throughput to make this feasible. All of this comes back around to Emily's notion of "specs are good".

To give some thoughts.
 

Eradicate

Member
I really doubt they would completely ditch a hard drive (or SSD), since that would make it impossible for Nintendo to do any OS updates. In my hypothetical scenario, I'm thinking they would cut out the disc drive and stay with a very small and cheap HDD, something around 64gb or 128gb max, maybe with some of that reserved for OS updates. At this point I'm willing to bet such small HDDs are pretty cheap to include.

That's true about the OS. Just including a 64 GB drive would do it, everything else going to the cards. Just allow any optional USB hard drive to people to hook up and store whatever the want, digital or otherwise, and I don't see the problems!

I still say this thing NEEDS a second screen. How would you port Splatoon 1 otherwise? Especially having cross-compatible play on a level playing field (unless you just make people use the Gamepad, separately bought, but that will cut your audience drastically and defeat the purpose). Otherwise the gamepad users would be at an advantage if they tried to soft-emulate the touchscreen for superjumping by having the users scroll through a list of allies, the spawn point, or beacons.

And a Mario Maker port would go right out the window.

Well, I think the thing is from the OP that games like Splatoon and otherwise will be remastered just for the NX from now on. There would likely be no cross play between Wii U and NX versions. The only real way to facilitate that would be to have the second screen, you're right. But, it sounds like they are retooling the games. Otherwise, you could just download Splatoon onto NX digitally and pick up and play! But, it seems "different." Good points though!

Again, it's rumors vs. rumors with the power. Plus, 10k and Rogers can have different sources say different things and either one not be wrong in what they're hearing. They aren't 1st-hand privy to anything anyways, so people getting uppity about it is just a bit much.

Honestly, for $250-299 in November 2016, it's not unreasonable at all to expect the NX to be as powerful as the other systems. And there's nothing wrong with that. Even Sony and Microsoft see nothing wrong with that. Sure, they are releasing "update" systems, but they seem focused on 4K TVs (not even many people have them), VR (not even many people have them), and focused on their current install bases (who may not want to upgrade yet, thus making it important that their games be targeting the original system...it's just like Sega Genesis, 32x, CD, etc. all over again!). It'd be plenty enough competitive. We just don't know what 11th hour hardware decisions they are making anyways and some could be knowledgeable to whatever they last knew about, which could be old information.

By the by, it'd be great for 10k just to join back in. Just ignore anyone questioning your sources and such and just join in the speculation like you were doing before!

Also, go Vena!
 

ZOONAMI

Junior Member
I think he's serious, and he's technically not incorrect. No one at Nintendo's R&D and those with this information, would care about whatever the hell we're going in circles about. The info she has is obviously going to be second hand just as 10k's info is second-hand.

The bigger question is who is the developer who fed 10k this information (and who is feeding Emily this information, is it another developer?), as we know its a dev who told him about the Polaris-based operations within the API/SDK but never did said source claim actual Polaris and 14nm FinFET. As has been noted, that information does not actually conclude or pre-conclude 14nm/Polaris GPU, that was a conclusion that we jumped on in this thread and took to rather absurd heights.

The issue that arises from ruling out 14nm (which, I suppose, in and of itself has not been ruled out but common sense would generally err on the side of ruling out tech that is barely in production) leads to a very bizarre situation with the GPU. It, in many ways, leads to a conclusion that is effectively nonsensical unless AMD+Nintendo came up with a very bizarre but effective (both in cost and performance) amalgamation of feature sets between GCN 1.2 and 1.3. From a basic point of view, this would be MORE expensive than just making a 14nm Polaris GPU.

Of course, the way Emily worded her response could also be construed to be about Polaris 10/11 rumors that had been circulating as those are actual GPUs that one could get wrong... and are the only actual GPUs mentioned. Polaris in and of itself isn't a GPU its an architecture. You could have both rumors end up being true, end up with 14nm, but end up with a very custom GPU that is of the Polaris family but is considerably lower than Polaris 10/11 in performance and, as a consequence, price.

However, as the CPU rumor/leak hasn't been debunked and the GamerGirl information also remains un-challenged by Emily and others, one can still rather un-crazily conclude that we'll be looking at a CPU performance over the PS4 of roughly ~30-40% (or the equivalent smaller gains over the X1's CPU), and the GPU has to have had at least a 10-20% gain over the PS4's (not the X1s) to not introduce rather catastrophic bottlenecking in the opposite direction of what the twins are currently suffering from. Likewise the RAM also needs the throughput to make this feasible. All of this comes back around to Emily's notion of "specs are good".

Exactly, thanks!
 
From 10k's Twitter

Kevin Carreiro ‏@Tenkay23 34m34 minutes ago
Don't bother messaging me about NX info you have anymore. Not unless you want to give me your work ID and proof.

Soo yeah, I'd say seems he was having his chained pulled based what appears to be a complete lack of verification (as well as him saying some of his sources "ran away") Though he did get the 4 NX ports corroborated at the least...
 

KingSnake

The Birthday Skeleton
Going by his own post, 10k forgot to mention that his source told him that GPU is a combination of Fiji and Polaris and instead he went to post as info the speculation that it's a 14nm Polaris, which is in fact Thraktor's speculation, which fits perfectly (very close to confirmation bias) to Thraktor previously taking about Polaris being maybe used for NX (but in the handheld).

Also the developer has no access to the real devkit, just to the SDK, but he knows perfectly that it's a combination of different architectures and knows how much the performance can be optimised, again only from the SDK.

Even without trusting Emily, there are tons of red flags.

Not even touching the probability of Nintendo going for a console that costs many hundreds of dollars.
 

XenodudeX

Junior Member
Going by his own post, 10k forgot to mention that his source told him that GPU is a combination of Fiji and Polaris and instead he went to post as info the speculation that it's a 14nm Polaris, which is in fact Thraktor's speculation, which fits perfectly (very close to confirmation bias) Thraktor taking about Polaris being maybe used for NX (but in the handheld).

Also the developer has no access to the real devkit, just to the SDK, but he knows perfectly that it's a combination of different architectures and knows how much the performance can be optimised, again only from the SDK.

Even without trusting Emily, there are tons of red flags.

Not even touching the probability of Nintendo going for a console that costs many hundreds of dollars.

I'm guess that ins't possible?
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom