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Wkd BO 09•01-03•17 - Labor Day WEAKend box office has nothing as Bodyguard 3peats

It's time to reel in the excitement, I think.

If IT cross 350M, I'll happily sport a clown avatar (of your choice) for a month. I'm thinking 250M is where it'll end up.

If this weekend is at $120 million, 50% drops for the next 6 weekends puts just the weekends at $236 million. 60% drops for each weekend put the first 4 weekends at $195 million. You're going to be pretty wrong here.

Edit: Not to say that it's definitely going to hit 350, but it'd have to crater to end up at 250, and films with WOM this good generally do not crater.
 

Grizzlyjin

Supersonic, idiotic, disconnecting, not respecting, who would really ever wanna go and top that
Warner Bros has a nice staple of horror mega franchise now. The Conjuring, all the Wan-verse spin-offs, and now IT. Wonder how they'll try to capitalize off IT beyond Part 2. Maybe get Nightmare on Elm Street up and running again?
 

J_Viper

Member
Don't remember where I read this, but isn't WB slated to get the Friday the 13th rights back?

It's time for Freddy v Jason 2
 

milanbaros

Member?
If this weekend is at $120 million, 50% drops for the next 6 weekends puts just the weekends at $236 million. 60% drops for each weekend put the first 4 weekends at $195 million. You're going to be pretty wrong here.

Edit: Not to say that it's definitely going to hit 350, but it'd have to crater to end up at 250, and films with WOM this good generally do not crater.

It's a horror film though. Could drop 70% next weekend.
 
Warner Bros has a nice staple of horror mega franchise now. The Conjuring, all the Wan-verse spin-offs, and now IT. Wonder how they'll try to capitalize off IT beyond Part 2. Maybe get Nightmare on Elm Street up and running again?

More Stephen King horror stuff. The takeaway will be King's horror works and his other stuff doesn't. Probably another shot at The Shining. Salem's Lot, The Dark Half, and Revival are good book to adapt. I think Cujo and Pet Semetary wouldn't work anymore. Needful Things is much better as a TV show.
 

DeathyBoy

Banned
More Stephen King horror stuff. The takeaway will be King's horror works and his other stuff doesn't. Probably another shot at The Shining. Salem's Lot, The Dark Half, and Revival are good book to adapt. I think Cujo and Pet Semetary wouldn't work anymore. Needful Things is much better as a TV show.

Cujo as a lean, taut 80 minute film could work. Similar feel to Phone Booth where it never slows down once it gets going.
 
Cujo as a lean, taut 80 minute film could work. Similar feel to Phone Booth where it never slows down once it gets going.
I think King got back the film rights to Cujo recently and was planning to shop it around unless IT was a big success(which probably means WB will do it).
 
More Stephen King horror stuff. The takeaway will be King's horror works and his other stuff doesn't. Probably another shot at The Shining. Salem's Lot, The Dark Half, and Revival are good book to adapt. I think Cujo and Pet Semetary wouldn't work anymore. Needful Things is much better as a TV show.

Get Out was also huge this year, and didn't that Annabel movie do well?

Also of note, Friday I got a nice new TV, and my choice to check out the visuals was
Tron: Legacy.
 
If that holds, Deadpool's record is in play. IT would need a drop around 25% on Sunday, which is difficult at this time of year, but not impossible for breakout films.
Crazy. But I want it to break it. A horror film in September breaking that huge record.

Cujo as a lean, taut 80 minute film could work. Similar feel to Phone Booth where it never slows down once it gets going.
It would bomb because no one would pay to see a movie that short.
 

berzeli

Banned
Holy shit.

And I thought my estimate might be high.
I thought it would outperform its tracking. Not freaking double it.
NOT A RECORD!

Wait...
The box office for It would be even higher if the Houston and Florida markets weren’t affected by two of this nation’s strongest hurricanes on record.

The state of Florida alone accounts for 6.3% of the nation’s box office receipts and due to Hurricane Irma, it only accounted for 1.88%.
It could have been close.
 
More Stephen King horror stuff. The takeaway will be King's horror works and his other stuff doesn't. Probably another shot at The Shining. Salem's Lot, The Dark Half, and Revival are good book to adapt. I think Cujo and Pet Semetary wouldn't work anymore. Needful Things is much better as a TV show.

You really think someone is going to try and tackle The Shining? You really think someone will want that Kubrick albatross across their neck?
 
You really think someone is going to try and tackle The Shining? You really think someone will want that Kubrick albatross across their neck?

Hollywood has made, remade, and followed-up in projects that were clearly much worse ideas from the jump. Someone will think they can carry that football across the end zone.
 

kswiston

Member
ERC has some weekend stats for IT:

Budget was $35M
IMAX earnings were $7M
65% of the audience was over 25
51% of the audience was female
Cinemascore was a B+ (which is actually decent for horror)
 

Slayven

Member
I like the ABC Shining remake better then the original movie

there is a Marry Poppins sequel in post-production.

crop-1-755x400.jpg
 

Bronx-Man

Banned
- Thanks to a run of terrible weeks at the box office, Spider-Man Homecoming will become one of those rare films that manages 10 straight weekends in the Top 10.
Spider-Man Homecoming passed the $50M mark in China after 2 days. This probably puts the worldwide total over $800M by the end of today. Its opening weekend there will certainly be over $70M now. The only MCU films with bigger openings in China were Age of Ultron and Civil War.
but gaf told me homecoming was bomba of the year
 
Biggest problem with The Shining is that Jack starts off crazy to start with. The fist half of the book is much better. The second half of the movie is way better than the end if the book though.
 

kswiston

Member
Weekend Studio Estimates

1) IT - $117.2M
2) Home Again - $9.0M
3) The Hitman's Bodyguard - $4.9M (-54%) - $65M total
4) Annabelle Creation - $4.0M (-47%) - $96M total
5) Wind River - $3.2M (-49%) - $25M total
6) Leap! - $2.5M (-48%) - $16M total
7) Spider-Man Homecoming - $2.0M (-45%) - $328M total
8) Dunkirk - $2.0M (-55%) - $183M total
9) Logan Lucky - $1.8M (-59%) - $25M total
10) The Emoji Movie - $1.1M (-57%) - $83M total

14) Wonder Woman - $662k (-68%) - $410.5M total


WB is predicting a 55% drop for IT today, which is extremely high. I wouldn't be surprised if the actuals go up more than $5M.

IT made an estimated $179M worldwide this weekend. That should increase with the actuals as well.
 

FTF

Member
Weekend Studio Estimates

1) IT - $117.2M
2) Home Again - $9.0M
3) The Hitman's Bodyguard - $4.9M (-54%) - $65M total
4) Annabelle Creation - $4.0M (-47%) - $96M total
5) Wind River - $3.2M (-49%) - $25M total
6) Leap! - $2.5M (-48%) - $16M total
7) Spider-Man Homecoming - $2.0M (-45%) - $328M total
8) Dunkirk - $2.0M (-55%) - $183M total
9) Logan Lucky - $1.8M (-59%) - $25M total
10) The Emoji Movie - $1.1M (-57%) - $83M total

14) Wonder Woman - $662k (-68%) - $410.5M total


WB is predicting a 55% drop for IT today, which is extremely high. I wouldn't be surprised if the actuals go up more than $5M.

IT made an estimated $179M worldwide this weekend. That should increase with the actuals as well.

Ok yeah that answers my question and yeah that's a huge drop. I know it's first sunday of nfl, but I don't think it drops that much. A 45% drop and it's a $25m Sun instead of $20m estimate.
 

Cooter

Lacks the power of instantaneous movement
Weekend Studio Estimates

1) IT - $117.2M
2) Home Again - $9.0M
3) The Hitman's Bodyguard - $4.9M (-54%) - $65M total
4) Annabelle Creation - $4.0M (-47%) - $96M total
5) Wind River - $3.2M (-49%) - $25M total
6) Leap! - $2.5M (-48%) - $16M total
7) Spider-Man Homecoming - $2.0M (-45%) - $328M total
8) Dunkirk - $2.0M (-55%) - $183M total
9) Logan Lucky - $1.8M (-59%) - $25M total
10) The Emoji Movie - $1.1M (-57%) - $83M total

14) Wonder Woman - $662k (-68%) - $410.5M total


WB is predicting a 55% drop for IT today, which is extremely high. I wouldn't be surprised if the actuals go up more than $5M.

IT made an estimated $179M worldwide this weekend. That should increase with the actuals as well.
It is the first NFL Sunday. Maybe that has something to do with it?
 

kswiston

Member

berzeli

Banned
In Paramount Doom Watch™ news:
Paramount CEO: Still Waiting For Huahua Cash, But With A ”Replacement" Plan
Viacom's Paramount Pictures is still waiting for an overdue payment from China's Huahua Media — part of a $1 billion, three-year film finance deal made this year — studio CEO Jim Gianopulos told an investor group today. But ”very shortly, we'll know" whether it's coming, he said. And, if it isn't, then Paramount could ”replace it in a timely and immediate fashion." Gianopulos made the remarks at the Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2017 Media, Communications and Entertainment Conference.
In non-Paramount Doom Watch™ news:
Wyck Godfrey Is Named Paramount Pictures Motion Picture Group President
After working in the business for 20 years, both as a producer and creative executive, Wyck Godfrey has been tapped to replace Marc Evans as Motion Picture Group President at Paramount Pictures. He will begin his job in January. Evans, as Deadline reported last night, is seguing into a producing deal. Godfrey comes to the job after a prolific run as producer and partner with Marty Bowen in Temple Hill. His producing credits include The Maze Runner and Twilight Saga franchises, the latter of which was dropped by Paramount.
Godfrey also produced: Paper Towns and The Fault in Our Stars. Basically what I'm saying is that don't be shocked if Paramount announces a YA adaptation in the near future.
 
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