What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Monday, December 9th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: November 3-30 (4 weeks, October was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: Thursday, December 12th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)
Format:
Note: PSV will only be counted for unit results and cardinal order bonus. PSV is not included for point results.
[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[PSV]
[WIU]
[XB1]
Good/Bad Formatting
Potential hardware impacting events in November:
PS4 launched @ $400 - Nov. 15 (14 days)
XB1 launched @ $500 - Nov. 22 (7 days)
Black "Friday" - Nov. 28 (3 days)
Various bundles for all systems
October's Results - thanks to various angles
October 2012 NPD thread
November 2012 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive
November Notes:
PS4 sells 1 million in first 24 hours in North America
XB1 sells 1 million in first 24 hours worldwide (Based on 360 sales, probably most in U.S. and U.K. with U.K. selling 150K in first 48 hours)
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Monday, December 9th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.
NPD Coverage: November 3-30 (4 weeks, October was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: Thursday, December 12th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)
Format:
Note: PSV will only be counted for unit results and cardinal order bonus. PSV is not included for point results.
[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[PSV]
[WIU]
[XB1]
Good/Bad Formatting
Code:
Good Bad
[PS4] 1000K [PS4] 1 million (or 1m)
[PS4] 1,000,000 [PS4] 1.000.000
[PS4] 1000000 [PS4] - 1000000Potential hardware impacting events in November:
PS4 launched @ $400 - Nov. 15 (14 days)
XB1 launched @ $500 - Nov. 22 (7 days)
Black "Friday" - Nov. 28 (3 days)
Various bundles for all systems
October's Results - thanks to various angles
Going with the below from the NPD thread. Assuming the ranges given are good, so if something is drastically wrong, let me know.
3DS - 452K
360 - 166K
PS3 - 120K
WIU - 50K
PSV - 25K (< 30K, and it's only used for units, so not too critical to get it as exact)
October 2012 NPD thread
November 2012 NPD thread
NPD Prediction Thread Archive
November Notes:
PS4 sells 1 million in first 24 hours in North America
XB1 sells 1 million in first 24 hours worldwide (Based on 360 sales, probably most in U.S. and U.K. with U.K. selling 150K in first 48 hours)
