Time for the conference championships! There was some hype around defense as the season turned to December, but the top defenses by DVOA in the league - Chicago (1st), Baltimore (3rd), Houston (7th), Chargers (8th), Dallas (9th), and Indianapolis (10th) all went down in the first two rounds. Even the rejuvenated Eagles could not take down the mighty Saints last week, so we're left with four of the top five offenses in the league (again by DVOA) - Kansas City (1st), Los Angeles (2nd), New Orleans (4th), and New England (5th).
Both of these games are rematches of very high scoring affairs, with New England taking down KC 43-40 in Week 6 and the Saints beating the Rams 45-35 in Week 9. So obviously expect us to end up with 12-9 and 16-10 finishes. Here are my picks for the weekend:
Kansas City over New England: Tough to bet against Belichick in January, but KC's defense is better at home, and they have the MVP in Mahomes. I like them in a close game that comes down to the wire.
New Orleans over Los Angeles: I think the Saints are the best team in the league - they've got the best defense of the final four and and offense that has looked unstoppable at times.
NFL GAF, who do you have going to the Super Bowl?