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August 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes September 9th

donny2112

Member
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, September 9th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: August 3-30, 2014 (4 weeks, July was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: Thursday, September 11th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Format:
Note: PS3 and WIU will only be counted for unit results and cardinal order bonus. They are not included for point results.

[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]

Good/Bad Formatting
Code:
Good              Bad
[PS4] 300K       [PS4] 300 thousand
[PS4] 300,000    [PS4] 300.000
[PS4] 300000     [PS4] - 300000


Potential hardware impacting events in August:
Madden NFL 15 PS4/XB1 - August 26 (5 days)
Madden NFL 15 XB1 Bundle - August 26 (5 days)

July's Results - thanks to various angles
PS4 - 187K
XB1 - 131k
3DS - 108k
Wii U - 81k
360 - 54k
PS3 - 32k

July 2013 NPD thread
August 2013 NPD thread

NPD Prediction Thread Archive

Another potentially busy weekend, so putting it up early this month to make sure it's not late. :)
 

Jashobeam

Member
PS4 - 187K
XB1 - 131k
3DS - 108k
Wii U - 81k
360 - 54k
PS3 - 32k

[PS4] 158k
[XB1] 125k
[3DS] 97k
[WIU] 74k
[360] 48k
[PS3] 30k

should be lower numbers due to slow release month but who knows, maybe Diablo 3 : UEE pushed some systems.
 
[PS4] 145k
[XB1] 130k
[3DS] 70k
[WIU] 55k
[360] 40k
[PS3] 35k

I think these Madden bundles combined with a proper Madden game are really
 

robo

Member
[360] 51k
[3DS] 98k
[PS3] 37k
[PS4] 196k
[WIU] 55k
[XB1] 120k

think the PS4 will be low this month as people use the Sep destiny Bundle to get a PS4.
 

donny2112

Member
think the PS4 will be low this month as people use the Sep destiny Bundle to get a PS4.

I'm thinking that that brought down July's numbers a bit, but that August should be back to the baseline + a small Madden boost. 1st Madden of the new gens probably get a few people upgrading, I think.

PS4 - 212K
XB1 - 103K
3DS - 97K
Wii U - 72K
360 - 39K
PS3 - 27K

Use the format in the OP, if you want your entry counted.
 
After last month I have no idea what to expect of any of the platforms, I was way to optimistic! However I don't expect this month will change much, so I'm cutting down the numbers a bit.

[PS4] 193K
[XB1] 136k
[3DS] 101k
[WIU] 77k
[360] 51k
[PS3] 30k
 

Blanquito

Member
Yay, predictions!

Keeping in mind that the monthly console ranking on Amazon has always been correct (AFAIK), here is what we're currently looking at for August on Amazon.

[5] PS4
[6] Destiny XBO
[9] Diablo PS4
[11] PS4 White + Destiny Bundle**
[12] TLoU:R PS4
[14] Destiny PS4
[15] MK8
[16] Madden PS4
[29] Madden Ultimate Bundle XBO
[30] Diablo 3 XBO
[32] MCC
[34] Madden XBO
[48] Madden Ultimate Bundle PS4
[49] XBO + Madden Bundle
[52] Xbox One
[74] XBO 1TB + CoD Bundle**
[100] XBO + Sunset Overdrive Bundle**

** Will not count towards this month's NPD, but still interesting to see.

Also of note are two things:

1. The last month that had multiple XBO SKUs that sold well (June with the Titanfall Bundle and Kinectless Bundle) they were ranked 50th and 49th, respectively. PS4 was ranked 8th. The month ended with PS4 269k vs XBO 197k (it was a 5 week period, whereas this month is a 4 week period).

2. Since announcement, the White PS4 + Destiny bundle has outsold all other individual XBO consoles and/or bundles (to see this, look at each month's standings going back to when it was announced).

Edit: These are now the final positions. The Madden bundle has sold well, and it brings us to a similar position as June as noted in point 1 above.
 

shwimpy

Member
Xbone was the 51st best selling gaming item for the month of August? Sheesh... I guess people just stopped buying them after all those bundles were announced at Gamescom.
 

Blanquito

Member
Xbone was the 51st best selling gaming item for the month of August? Sheesh... I guess people just stopped buying them after all those bundles were announced at Gamescom.

Actually for the past couple of months it has been around mid forties or fifties. The thing to remember with Amazon rankings is that you can't get too much of a prediction of actual numbers off of them, only overall sales rankings (such as PS4 > XBO)
 
Wow Plants VS Zombies GW seems to have bombed in the US too on PS4/PS3. Did EA have any marketing for the SKUs?

Neither breached the Amazon Top 100 for the month when things like Super Smash Bros. Brawl did 0_0
 

Tripon

Member
If I remember right, August tends to be a slow month for gaming

[360] 45K
[3DS] 95K
[PS3] 25K
[PS4] 180K
[WIU] 85K
[XB1] 140K
 
Wow Plants VS Zombies GW seems to have bombed in the US too on PS4/PS3. Did EA have any marketing for the SKUs?

Neither breached the Amazon Top 100 for the month when things like Super Smash Bros. Brawl did 0_0
It would have done a lot better if it came out when there wasn't much else like the Xbox version. I wonder how many sales were lost by being exclusive for a while and whether it was worth it for EA.
 

Bgamer90

Banned
The Madden XB1 bundle has apparently done pretty solid. Don't think it will be enough for the system to be #1 this month though.

[PS4] 190K
[XB1] 150K
[3DS] 85K
[WIU] 75K
[360] 48K
[PS3] 30K
 
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