*that's not as recognized as the other big banks in most of their departments, so take it with a grain of salt. At the same time they're looking to break into Asia wealth management so maybe their coverage has improved.
Bit too optimistic, but I expect sales to spike once they kill off the god damn 3DS and focus all their studios on the Switch.
If Switch sales ever pass Wii, there will be some serious, serious crow to be had. Including by me.
I mean if Nintendo doesn't release a new handheld then the Switch just becomes handheld + console sales combined. 130 mil isn't that far of a stretch.
I'm sure Nintendo Switch will become a family of systems.
The current Switch as it is, but eventually lower price.
Switch Go (smaller 5 inch screen, joycons built in)
Switch Pro (more powerful unit, fully BC like New 3DS, DSi, GameBoy Color, etc)
I'm thinking 80m to a max of 110m lifetime sales. Betting on the lower end of that.
This is extremely bullish. Assume Switch will sell 15m by the end of 2017; this is much more than Nintendo is projecting, but let's say so. That leaves 115m in the next four years, or an average of almost 29m per year.
That average is better than the best year Wii ever had. Only two years of DS surpassed 29m, and its best four-year period didn't average this much. And if Switch hits that number on time, even a Wii-like crash afterwards wouldn't stop them from selling millions and millions more units
So in other words, Credit Suisse is predicting Switch will be the fastest-selling and best-selling video game console of all time. This isn't impossible, but it definitely doesn't match their reasoning that "it sells like a handheld console". They don't seem to understand the import of their own prediction, which makes it less likely to be well-founded in data.
Not unrealistic if the software is there. It's a damn sexy thing.
The original 70m number seems way more plausible to me.
But what do I know? I expected the thing to crash and burn like the Wii U due to the unclear messaging and price tag. Bring on 130m I guess.
The software would have to be KILLER and they'd have to get the price down.