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Dude, where's my Congressional Seat? (Blue to Red Flip in CA-25th!)

Havoc2049

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Mar 30, 2011
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Dude, where's my Congressional Seat?
\




CANDIDATEVOTESPERCENT
Mike Garcia (R)80,33756.05%
Christy Smith (D)62,99843.95%
100.00% reporting (292 of 292 precincts)
|
143,335 total votes

The Winner! Edit: The real winner is the American people ;-)


Republican Tom Tiffany also won the Wisconsin 7th special election.
Candidate Party Votes Percent of vote
Tom Tiffany Republican 109,594 57.22%

Tricia Zunker Democratic 81,926 42.78%


 
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monegames

Member
Sep 26, 2014
2,976
3,188
615
Dude, where's my Congressional Seat?
\




CANDIDATEVOTESPERCENT
Mike Garcia (R)80,33756.05%
Christy Smith (D)62,99843.95%
100.00% reporting (292 of 292 precincts)
|
143,335 total votes

The Winner! Edit: The real winner is the American people ;-)


Republican Tom Tiffany also won the Wisconsin 7th special election.
Candidate Party Votes Percent of vote
Tom Tiffany Republican 109,594 57.22%

Tricia Zunker Democratic 81,926 42.78%


Wow those are big wins too. I was expecting a 2 to 4 point win in each maybe a bit more in Wisconsin. Both being double digit wins is pretty surprising to see. That Cali win is essentially a 22 point swing.
 
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Zefah

Gold Member
Jan 7, 2007
37,508
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Wow, a 56 to 43 win is a lot bigger than I expect for Mike Garcia.

Katie Hill won the seat 54 to 45 in 2018 with around 100,000 more voters turning out. Interesting.
 
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infinitys_7th

Gold Member
Oct 1, 2006
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Dude, where's my Congressional Seat?
\




CANDIDATEVOTESPERCENT
Mike Garcia (R)80,33756.05%
Christy Smith (D)62,99843.95%
100.00% reporting (292 of 292 precincts)
|
143,335 total votes

The Winner! Edit: The real winner is the American people ;-)


Republican Tom Tiffany also won the Wisconsin 7th special election.
Candidate Party Votes Percent of vote
Tom Tiffany Republican 109,594 57.22%

Tricia Zunker Democratic 81,926 42.78%


I didn't know Ma'am was elected to Congress.
 

Zefah

Gold Member
Jan 7, 2007
37,508
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This is bad. Pelosi is just going to make her nephew punish the district by increasing their lockdown.
They're going mail in ballots, so that's really only going to depress the lazy younger vote...
 

pramod

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Oct 24, 2017
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It's hilarious that the media hasn't called the election yet. What are they waiting for?
 
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OmegaSupreme

Member
Apr 17, 2019
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Is California turning red? lol. Not in a million years. Neat to see though. Was the other candidate just that bad or is this just the result of more conservative voters getting out?

Edit: obviously more conservative voters got out. You know what I mean though. lol
 
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Havoc2049

Member
Mar 30, 2011
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Arizona
The whole Katie Hill scandal probably pushed many Independents back into voting Republican in the CA-25th , while also energizing the Republican base.

The Republicans also have some really strong congressional candidates in the seats they lost in 2018. I think they have a solid chance of picking up another two seats in Orange County this fall, for a net gain of three seats in California.
 
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ThePiddle

Member
May 6, 2019
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So the California 25th was polled as being "too close to call", but was won by 13%?

That should be a red flag. Either people are trolling during polling, or the demographics used in polling are not right.
They're in complete denial. Remember 2016 when those Florida numbers started coming in?

I hate Republicans and even I cheer when the GOP pwns the libs.
 

Plague Doctor

Member
Mar 23, 2015
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They're in complete denial. Remember 2016 when those Florida numbers started coming in?

I hate Republicans and even I cheer when the GOP pwns the libs.
I know these feels.

I am just for dismantling the Democrats and a hardcore reform from top to bottom.
 
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Zangiefy360

Cross Forum Drama ..........Queen
Aug 30, 2018
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So the California 25th was polled as being "too close to call", but was won by 13%?

That should be a red flag. Either people are trolling during polling, or the demographics used in polling are not right.
With ballot harvesting, for Republicans it has to be a 25%+ difference for it not to be too close to call.
 

down 2 orth

Member
Oct 27, 2013
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Understandable since a lot of people in California want to do away with the Covid lockdown. This is going to put even more pressure on Newsom, which is quite nice to see.
 

Guileless

Temp Banned for Remedial Purposes
Jun 7, 2004
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Not a flattering photo - Katie Hill reminds me of that Seinfeld episode where Jerry was dating a woman that alternately looked hot or ugly depending on the lighting.

But anyway, the media fawning over a congressman who slept with her subordinates was fucking gross. Good riddance!
 

KINGMOKU

Member
May 16, 2005
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This fucking snapper head.
Apparently it was some kind of plot;

The former congresswoman blamed her resignation on an ex who “gave nonconsenual(sic) nude pics of me to the ppl who wanted this seat- people who were backing Garcia when he was my opponent.”

Interesting take that her resignation was caused by the leak of the photos, not her actions.
 

zeorhymer

Gold Member
Nov 9, 2013
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San Francisco, CA
Gotta put on a little bit of the brakes here. The district Katie is in, historically has been an R+4. This may just be going back to being an R district. It can also be a sign that there is a low turnout among the Dem party. During special elections, it's usually D that don't turn up in volume. Let's see how the media will play this out.
 

#Phonepunk#

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Sep 4, 2018
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funny how i always hear how she was the "victim" of "revenge pr0n" but the media loves to ignore the fact she was sleeping with her staff. like, she broke the fucking law. it doesn't matter if she had a bad husband or was treated bad by the press or anything, the fact is she broke the law. you can't do that. i have a real hard time being upset that someone called her out for breaking the law. but usually when you are IN CONGRESS you shouldn't be BREAKING THE LAW.
 
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DunDunDunpachi

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Apr 18, 2018
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Could you just imagine California going red? I doubt it would ever happen, but just imagine. The Liberals would say it's worse than the holocaust
If you want an event that will finally get Dems to take voter registration seriously -- because there's no way they'd accept the idea without accusations of racism against minorities -- let California go Red. The news cycle would go insane.
 
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Ornlu

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Oct 31, 2018
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Lol, that would be blatant to nearly the level of when Putin's party won 99% of the vote in Chechnya in 2011.
 

pramod

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Oct 24, 2017
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This is probably the best and most useful "predictive" election for 2020 and the media continues to completely downplay its significance. Gee I wonder why? Could it be that a Republican just won by 10 points that a Dem last won by 9? That is a NINETEEN point flip, people.

I wonder what if the opposite happened?
 
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Sejan

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Sep 28, 2018
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This is probably the best and most useful "predictive" election for 2020 and the media continues to completely downplay its significance. Gee I wonder why? Could it be that a Republican just won by 10 points that a Dem last won by 9? That is a NINETEEN point flip, people.

I wonder what if the opposite happened?
For what its worth, special elections are not necessarily a good barometer of general elections. They can be telling, but they can also be wildly different. With the current situation of recession and COVID-19, I doubt if anyone would claim to know what this means. Either way, I highly doubt most main stream media would want to give Trump supporters any hint of good news. With that said, it would be interesting to compare any pre-election polling with the final results.
 

HeresJohnny

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infinitys_7th

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And the hits just keep on coming.
But the media is talking about how popular Ralph "Gets Cross When He Can't Burn a Cross" Northam is and how Trump is surely going to lose it.

Something is fucking weird with these polls.
 
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