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Sales-Age Famitsu: FY 2021 Data & Top 20 Games(Mar 2020 - Mar 2021)

noshten

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Famitsu Sales: FY 2020 (2020 Mar 30 - 2021 Mar 28)

01./00. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2020.03.20} (¥5.980) - 4.102.444 / 6.710.861
02./00. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa mo Teiban! <TBL> (Konami) {2020.11.19} (¥6.300) - 2.072.296 / NEW
03./00. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure # <HOB> (Nintendo) {2019.10.18} (¥7.980) - 1.734.446 / 2.479.573
04./00. [NSW] Monster Hunter Rise # <ACT> (Capcom) {2021.03.26} (¥7.990) - 1.302.132 / NEW
05./00. [PS4] Final Fantasy VII Remake # <RPG> (Square Enix) {2020.04.10} (¥8.980) - 954.342 / NEW
06./00. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe <RCE> (Nintendo) {2017.04.28} (¥5.980) - 910.664 / 3.751.594
07./00. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics <TBL> (Nintendo) {2020.06.05} (¥3.980) - 668.725 / NEW
08./00. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate # <FTG> (Nintendo) {2018.12.07} (¥7.200) - 595.665 / 4.218.939
09./00. [NSW] Super Mario 3D World + Bowser's Fury <ACT> (Nintendo) {2021.02.12} (¥5.980) - 592.683 / NEW
10./00. [NSW] Super Mario 3D All-Stars <Super Mario 64 \ Super Mario Sunshine \ Super Mario Galaxy> <ACT> (Nintendo) {2020.09.18} (¥6.480) - 578.850 / NEW
11./00. [NSW] Pikmin 3 Deluxe <ACT> (Nintendo) {2020.10.30} (¥5.980) - 552.910 / NEW
12./00. [NSW] Minecraft # <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2018.06.21} (¥3.600) - 540.900 / 1.872.739
13./00. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2019.11.15} (¥5.980) - 471.852 / 4.014.376
14./00. [NSW] Splatoon 2 # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2017.07.21} (¥5.980) - 469.560 / 3.825.969
15./00. [NSW] Super Mario Party # <ETC> (Nintendo) {2018.10.05} (¥5.980) - 468.982 / 1.850.769
16./00. [PS4] Ghost of Tsushima <ADV> (Sony Interactive Entertainment) {2020.07.17} (¥6.900) - 439.739 / NEW
17./00. [NSW] Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2020.11.20} (¥7.200) - 356.416 / NEW
18./00. [NSW] Paper Mario: The Origami King <ADV> (Nintendo) {2020.07.17} (¥5.980) - 310.874 / NEW
19./00. [NSW] eBaseball Powerful Pro Baseball 2020 <SPT> (Konami) {2020.07.09} (¥6.980) - 293.242 / NEW
20./00. [PS4] Resident Evil 3 # <ADV> (Capcom) {2020.04.03} (¥7.800) - 272.004 / NEW

NSW - 17
PS4 - 3

SOFTWARE
Code:
+-------+------------+------------+
|System |  This FY   |  Last FY   |
+-------+------------+------------+
|  NSW  | 23.096.768 | 19.193.142 |
|  PS4  |  6.046.573 |  6.966.274 |
|  PS5  |    179.650 |            |
|  3DS  |    155.198 |    491.858 |
|  OTH  |     28.419 |    219.355 |
+-------+------------+------------+
|  ALL  | 29.506.608 | 26.870.629 |
+-------+------------+------------+

HARDWARE
Code:
+-------+------------+------------+-------------+
|System |  This FY   |  Last FY   |     LTD     |
+-------+------------+------------+-------------+
| NSW # |  6.001.565 |  5.225.014 |  19.085.348 |
| PS5 # |    580.211 |            |     580.211 |
| PS4 # |    432.450 |    921.752 |   9.350.779 |
| 3DS # |     56.959 |    119.853 |  24.568.276 |
| XBS # |     40.009 |            |      40.009 |
| XB1 # |      2.183 |      7.948 |             |
+-------+------------+------------+-------------+
|  ALL  |  7.113.377 |  6.281.167 |  54.784.747 |
+-------+------------+------------+-------------+
|  PS5  |    485.476 |            |     485.476 |
| PS5DE |     94.735 |            |      94.735 |
| XBS X |     30.636 |            |      30.636 |
| XBS S |      9.373 |            |       9.373 |
| NSW L |  1.517.510 |  2.009.473 |   3.526.983 |
|  NSW  |  4.484.055 |  3.215.541 |  15.558.365 |
| XB1 X |      1.508 |      4.749 |             |
| XB1 S |        675 |      3.199 |             |
|PS4 Pro|    112.283 |    336.793 |   1.575.723 |
|  PS4  |    320.167 |    584.959 |   7.775.056 |
|n-2DSLL|     54.835 |    106.288 |   1.173.331 |
| n-3DS |      2.124 |     13.565 |             |
+-------+------------+------------+-------------+

- Software sales on the Switch represented 78% of the market last year, up 20% YoY
- Software sales on the PS4/PS5 represented 21% of the market last year, down 10% YoY


source, source2
 
Last edited:

hroerekr

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Yikes at that PS5 software.
Even if we exclude the digital edition, that would be an attach rate of 0.3

Not even the most optimistic digital ratio can save this picture.
 
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ethomaz

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Source?

Because Famitsu didn’t release anything like that... unless you are using the weekly internet TOP sellers to make that list... inaccurate and lacking several data.
 
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hroerekr

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Also, the theory around PS5 low software being caused by backwards compatibility falls short of evidence.
Software is in decline even if you sum PS4+PS5
 

noshten

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Source?

Because Famitsu didn’t release anything like that... unless you are using the weekly internet TOP sellers to make that list... inaccurate and lacking several data.

Apparently these were shared by the parent company of Famitsu, the their President Hirokazu Hamamura shared this info and it has now come out.

 
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hroerekr

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Apparently these were shared by the parent company of Famitsu, the their President Hirokazu Hamamura shared this info and it has now come out.

So the data compiled from TOP30 only is actually not far from the overall data?
 

noshten

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So the data compiled from TOP30 only is actually not far from the overall data?

Pretty much, at the moment I don't really expect PS5 software to make up more than 5% for the rest of the year unless some major titles get announced.
It's also fairly obvious that the Hardware sales reported by Famitsu don't correspond to the actual size of the audience in Japan, even accounting for a generous 50% digital attach rates PS4's 800K software sales are more than twice as high.
Obviously the most rational explanation is that the PS5 hardware is being re-sold in markets where it's not officially launched like China. Gray market in China can certainly make up of 100K of the system sales in Japan, its a similar case for the Switch where it's likely at least 2 million hardware sales in Japan probably ended up on the Chinese gray market. Niko Partners had theorized that 3 million Switch units have been sold on the Chinese Gray market before Tencent announced 1 million sold official units.

 
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Woopah

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I know people in the other thread were bashing Chris for his stance on PS5 tie ratio for physical games but this pretty much proves him right (or more likely that he has access to this data already).
 

ethomaz

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I know people in the other thread were bashing Chris for his stance on PS5 tie ratio for physical games but this pretty much proves him right (or more likely that he has access to this data already).
Both seems to be the TOP30 compilation.
 

Woopah

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Both seems to be the TOP30 compilation.
The President of Enterbrain said that up to the end of March PS5 physical software sales were 180,000. He has access to way more than the top 30 (and we'll see more when the White Book comes out).

To add further evidence, the totals shown in the OP are different from titles which dropped out of the top 30 at some point.
 
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hroerekr

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Pretty much, at the moment I don't really expect PS5 software to make up more than 5% for the rest of the year unless some major titles get announced.
It's also fairly obvious that the Hardware sales reported by Famitsu don't correspond to the actual size of the audience in Japan, even accounting for a generous 50% digital attach rates PS4's 800K software sales are more than twice as high.
Obviously the most rational explanation is that the PS5 hardware is being re-sold in markets where it's not officially launched like China. Gray market in China can certainly make up of 100K of the system sales in Japan, its a similar case for the Switch where it's likely at least 2 million hardware sales in Japan probably ended up on the Chinese gray market. Niko Partners had theorized that 3 million Switch units have been sold on the Chinese Gray market before Tencent announced 1 million sold official units.


Im not sure if this theory with units going to China adds up.

That didn't impact Switch software sales. It would have to be a great % of PS5 units to significantly impact software sales as we see.
Why are Scalpers sending so many units to China instead of reselling at a higher price right there in Japan if domestic demand is still high?

Sounds like a big stretch to me.
 
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The President of Enterbrain said that up to the end of March PS5 physical software sales were 180,000. He has access to way more than the top 30 (and we'll see more when the White Book comes out).
Sorry for the ignorance, but what Is the White Book and when it's supposed to comes out?
 

ethomaz

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Ok.
I took all my time to compilation the PS5 sales data from Famitsu TOP30... only PS5 to cross the numbers.

Results.

2020: 61908
2021: 40748

TOTAL: 102.656

With that I can draw some conclusions.

  • The Twitter data has about 70% more units sold than TOP30 Famitsu so that should be the actual based in the full Famitsu internal tracking.
  • This site uses the TOP30 to made the Yearly Ranking: https://sites.google.com/site/gamedatalibrary/games-by-year/2020-top-100
  • Cris is using the TOP30 data.
  • The graph below is based in TOP30 and the guy didn't understand the total sales... so he missed a 20-30k.
 
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ethomaz

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A bit more...

Demon's Souls and Miles Morales crossed 40k units in Week 11.
Taking the account there are more 3 weeks to finish the quarter.

We can assume with 100% that Demon's Souls + Miles Morales accounts for over 50% of physical PS5 sales.
 

Woopah

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A bit more...

Demon's Souls and Miles Morales crossed 40k units in Week 11.
Taking the account there are more 3 weeks to finish the quarter.

We can assume with 100% that Demon's Souls + Miles Morales accounts for over 50% of physical PS5 sales.
The article states that Miles Morales sold about 46,000 (as stated by the speaker, not sure how recent that figure is from) so it does seem to be doing about 1,000 copies a week
 
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ethomaz

is mad because DF didn't do a video on a video of a video of a video on PS5
Mar 19, 2013
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The article states that Miles Morales sold about 46,000 (as stated by the speaker, not sure how recent that figure is from) so it does seem to be doing about 1,000 copies a week
Yeap... it fits my data with more 3 or 4 weeks of data below the TOP30 (I'm not sure if they include Week 14 or not in the chart... that week is half March / half April).

Edit - I just checked they don't include the Week 14.

Week 11 Miles Morales: 43692
Week 11 Demon's Souls: 40489
 
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Woopah

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Yeap... it fits my data with more 3 or 4 weeks of data below the TOP30 (I'm not sure if they include Week 14 or not in the chart... that week is half March / half April).

Edit - I just checked they don't include the Week 14.

Week 11 Miles Morales: 43692
Week 11 Demon's Souls: 40489
Those two are definitely the top 2 PS5 games, I wonder what 3-5 are.