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Sales-Age Famitsu sales week 10: Nintendo Switch domination

Bodomism

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Jun 1, 2020
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Software Sales (followed by lifetime sales)

  1. [NSW] Super Mario 3D World + Bowser’s Fury (Nintendo, 02/12/21) – 53,603 (476,387)
  2. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous, 02/25/21) – 33,677 (236,073)
  3. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa mo Teiban! (Konami, 11/19/20) – 31,760 (2,006,555)
  4. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo, 10/18/19) – 20,197 (2,433,274)
  5. [NSW] Bravely Default II (Square Enix, 02/26/21) – 19,841 (112,902)
  6. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo, 04/28/17) – 14,684 (3,714,231)
  7. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo, 12/07/18) – 12,052 (4,187,325)
  8. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo, 03/20/20) – 11,731 (6,680,145)
  9. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield (The Pokemon Company, 11/15/19) – 10,094 (3,990,761)
  10. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft, 06/21/18) – 8,760 (1,843,633)
Rankings 11 to 30 will be announced on March 12.

Hardware Sales (followed by lifetime sales)
  1. Switch – 57,148 (15,276,702)
  2. Switch Lite – 32,779 (3,379,435)
  3. PlayStation 5 – 18,622 (375,345)
  4. PlayStation 5 Digital Edition – 3,887 (70,063)
  5. PlayStation 4 – 3,131 (7,767,415)
  6. New 2DS LL (including 2DS) – 790 (1,157,505)
  7. Xbox Series X – 543 (28,426)
  8. Xbox Series S – 23 (7,657)
  9. PlayStation 4 Pro – 14 (1,575,676)
 

noshten

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Momotaro becomes the first third party game to surpass 2 million sales physically on the Switch, Monster Hunter Rise and Minecraft should follow it's lead in the coming weeks(MHR), months(Minecraft)

Big drop for Olive Town as expected, that patch can't come fast enough. Usually games like this with good WOM manage around 60% drops. Hope they delay Rune Factory 5 if it's facing similar problems.

In terms of Bravely Default 2 this means that the initial shipment was sold out, so it will be interesting what type of third week it will have - I'm expecting it to drop very slightly and manage over 15K sales next week, also to be ahead of Olive Town's third week result. Seems the game isn't having the large scale shortages Octopath experienced so it's path to 200K will be pretty straight forward.


On the hardware side with three weeks left to go to the Quarter all signs are pointing towards Q1 2021 > Q1 2020, this should will be the trend through-out this year by the looks of things. With the Pro expected to drop later this year and a lot of momentum from games launching on the system.
The main thing is not whether it will clear 1.7 million Switch did in 2020 but whether it will be able to surpass DS's best Q1 result of over 1.9 million, with Famitsu not tracking the Nintendo Store it's looking likely that shipments for Japan will probably break some all time records for Nintendo for Q1 in the country for a single system.
 
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Rat Rage

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Software Sales (followed by lifetime sales)

  1. [NSW] Super Mario 3D World + Bowser’s Fury (Nintendo, 02/12/21) – 53,603 (476,387)
  2. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous, 02/25/21) – 33,677 (236,073)
  3. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa mo Teiban! (Konami, 11/19/20) – 31,760 (2,006,555)
  4. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo, 10/18/19) – 20,197 (2,433,274)
  5. [NSW] Bravely Default II (Square Enix, 02/26/21) – 19,841 (112,902)
  6. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo, 04/28/17) – 14,684 (3,714,231)
  7. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo, 12/07/18) – 12,052 (4,187,325)
  8. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo, 03/20/20) – 11,731 (6,680,145)
  9. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield (The Pokemon Company, 11/15/19) – 10,094 (3,990,761)
  10. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft, 06/21/18) – 8,760 (1,843,633)

Let's see if we can find a PS4/PS5 game in there somewhere...



NNNOPE!
 

noshten

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Let's see if we can find a PS4/PS5 game in there somewhere...



NNNOPE!

According to Tsutaya we should expect a PS5 game for the first time in the Top 30 in 2021!
Yakuza: Like a Dragon's launch will likely be between 4K to 8K, congratulations are due to Sega for this amazing feat!
After the amazing success of Sakura Wars they are on a roll.

Tsutaya Ranking: Week 9, 2021 (1 Mar - 7 Mar)

12./00. [PS5] Yakuza: Like a Dragon <ADV> (Sega) {2021.03.02} (¥5.990)
 
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Bodomism

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Momotaro with 2M physical copies sold is an awesome news for all gamers around the world.
 

Bwahaha

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silpheed-mcd

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  1. [NSW] Super Mario 3D World + Bowser’s Fury (Nintendo, 02/12/21) – 53,603 (476,387)
  2. [NSW] Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous, 02/25/21) – 33,677 (236,073)
  3. [NSW] Momotaro Dentetsu: Showa, Heisei, Reiwa mo Teiban! (Konami, 11/19/20) – 31,760 (2,006,555)
  4. [NSW] Ring Fit Adventure (Nintendo, 10/18/19) – 20,197 (2,433,274)
  5. [NSW] Bravely Default II (Square Enix, 02/26/21) – 19,841 (112,902)
  6. [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo, 04/28/17) – 14,684 (3,714,231)
  7. [NSW] Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (Nintendo, 12/07/18) – 12,052 (4,187,325)
  8. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (Nintendo, 03/20/20) – 11,731 (6,680,145)
  9. [NSW] Pokemon Sword / Shield (The Pokemon Company, 11/15/19) – 10,094 (3,990,761)
  10. [NSW] Minecraft (Microsoft, 06/21/18) – 8,760 (1,843,633)
  11. [NSW] Splatoon 2 (Nintendo, 07/21/17) – 8,268 (3,804,870)
  12. [NSW] Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics (Nintendo, 06/05/20) – 5,075 (654,740)
  13. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo, 03/03/17) – 4,839 (1,789,500)
  14. [NSW] Super Mario Party (Nintendo, 10/05/18) – 4,533 (1,838,142)
  15. [NSW] Super Mario 3D All-Stars (Nintendo, 09/18/20) – 3,960 (568,992)
  16. [NSW] Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco, 02/10/21) – 3,953 (41,938)
  17. [NSW] Dragon Quest XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age Definitive Edition (New Price Version) (Square Enix, 12/04/20) – 3,669 (76,868)
  18. [PS4] Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco, 02/10/21) – 3,096 (22,922)
  19. [PS5] Yakuza: Like a Dragon (Sega, 03/02/21) – 2,861 (New)
  20. [NSW] Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan, 06/25/20) – 2,097 (124,843)
  21. [NSW] Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo, 11/20/20) – 2,081 (351,561)
  22. [NSW] Pikmin 3 Deluxe (Nintendo, 10/30/20) – 2,045 (547,171)
  23. [NSW] Fitness Boxing 2: Rhythm & Exercise (Imagineer, 12/03/20) – 2,016 (78,054)
  24. [PS4] Ar nosurge: Ode to an Unborn Star DX (Koei Tecmo, 03/04/21) – 2,008 (New)
  25. [NSW] Ar nosurge: Ode to an Unborn Star DX (Koei Tecmo, 03/04/21) – 1,986 (New)
  26. [NSW] New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (Nintendo, 01/11/19) – 1,973 (1,041,106)
  27. [NSW] Super Mario Maker 2 (Nintendo, 06/28/19) – 1,944 (1,073,393)
  28. [NSW] Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous, 11/12/20) – 1,882 (144,082)
  29. [PS4] NieR: Automata Game of the YoRHa Edition (Square Enix, 02/21/19) – 1,815 (110,680)
  30. [NSW] Ciel nosurge: Requiem for a Lost Star DX (Koei Tecmo, 03/04/21) – 1,805 (New)

NSW: 26
PS4: 3
PS5: 1
 
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Trimesh

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Jun 8, 2019
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a stupid pun about trains and a Japanese folk legend/game series turned into a board game about trains, apparently quite popular when played on trains

I think changing 伝説 (densetsu "legend") to 電鉄 (dentetsu "electric railway") is pretty minor considering that Hudson are so train-crazed that they even named the company after the JNR Class C62 4-6-4 "Hudson" locomotive. Oh, and when they designed the PC engine they assigned part numbers starting with "HuC62" to the custom chips, also named after the train.
 

Lupin3

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Imagine if we had seen a +10 years old game in the top 10 on a constant basis. That would've been amazing.
 

S0ULZB0URNE

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so when it passes the ps2 comfortably next year will it still be pretty bad? or the year after that when it tops the 3ds?
They haven't counted PS2 sales since 2013.
3DS is a portable and portables are the most popular thing over there hence the Switch sales.

Gaming isn't big over there anymore period.
 

reksveks

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Jun 4, 2020
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They haven't counted PS2 sales since 2013.
3DS is a portable and portables are the most popular thing over there hence the Switch sales.

Gaming isn't big over there anymore period.
Console gaming ain't big over there any more but I get the feeling that you like to conflate Gaming with some restricted view of what gaming 'is'
 

S0ULZB0URNE

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Jan 27, 2020
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Console gaming ain't big over there any more but I get the feeling that you like to conflate Gaming with some restricted view of what gaming 'is'
Yes I do as portable gaming(although improved) has a long way to go to even be considered in serious gaming talk. 🤭
 

MrA

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Yes I do as portable gaming(although improved) has a long way to go to even be considered in serious gaming talk. 🤭
I see, you only care big games for big boys who use the potty by themselves, real proper games Like people play on the playstation like fifa call of duty and madden
 
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S0ULZB0URNE

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I see, you only care big games for big boys who use the potty by themselves, real proper games Like people play on the playstation like fifa call of duty and madden
I don't like any of those games.
Nice try though.... BUT I will take them over the top selling 2020 Japan games.
 

noshten

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TOP 20 2020 Switch Famitsu Q1:
  1. Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 2.608.417 NEW
  2. Pokemon Sword / Shield - 554.390
  3. Ring Fit Adventure - 249.488
  4. Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX - 218.394 NEW
  5. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 185.900
  6. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 181.921
  7. Smash Ultimate - 170.222
  8. Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training for Nintendo Switch - 151.351
  9. Super Mario Party - 118.077
  10. Luigi's Mansion 3 - 117.482
  11. Splatoon 2 - 103.649
  12. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games (Sega) - 97.772
  13. Super Mario Maker 2 - 82.915
  14. Hatsune Miku: Project Diva MegaMix (Sega) - 78.558 NEW
  15. Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 76.921
  16. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 69.378
  17. Persona 5 Scramble (Atlus) - 65.653 NEW
  18. One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 (Bandai Namco) - 61.571 NEW
  19. New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 58.899
  20. Taiko no Tatsujin: Drum 'n' Fun! (Bandai Namco) - 39.804
TOTAL: 5.290.762
TOTAL HARDWARE: 1.700.352


TOP 20 2021 Switch Famitsu:
  1. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 773.532
  2. Super Mario 3D World + Bowser's Fury - 476.387 NEW
  3. Ring Fit Adventure - 346.269
  4. Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 302.042
  5. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 257.048
  6. Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 236.073 NEW
  7. Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 174.151
  8. Pokemon Sword / Shield + Expansion Pass - 158.144
  9. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 140.712
  10. Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics - 135.091
  11. Splatoon 2 - 116.481
  12. Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 112.902 NEW
  13. Super Mario Party - 108.346
  14. Pikmin 3 Deluxe - 84.365
  15. Super Mario 3D All-Stars - 76.372
  16. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 61.463
  17. Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 59.268
  18. New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 57.248
  19. Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 46.598
  20. Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 45.259
TOTAL: 3.767.751
TOTAL HARDWARE: 1.315.763
  • Three Weeks left Hardware Gap is 384.589, on average Switch needs 130K sales per week to be the 2nd best result ever in Q1 behind DS's 1.95 million
  • In terms of Software the gap is 1.5 million so I won't be surprised with Monster Hunter Rise launch the Top 20 to surpass 6 million
  • Momotaro has greatly outperformed previous evergreen titles on the Switch in Q1, game is heading towards at least 1.5 million sales this year
  • Ring Fit and Mario Kart 8 will greatly outperform their last year result, in the case of Ring Fit it's still supply constrained and selling at a premium

TOP 20 Switch Famitsu 2020 H1:
  1. Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 5.004.720
  2. Pokemon Sword / Shield - 650.859
  3. Ring Fit Adventure - 577.875
  4. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 346.034
  5. Smash Ultimate - 284.717
  6. Minecraft - 280.662
  7. Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX - 259.513
  8. Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training for Nintendo Switch - 219.039
  9. Splatoon 2 - 217.875
  10. Super Mario Party - 212.515
  11. Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics - 171.620 NEW
  12. Luigi's Mansion 3 - 152.239
  13. Super Mario Maker 2 - 130.369
  14. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 122.091
  15. Xenoblade Chronicles: Definitive Edition - 120.497 NEW
  16. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games: Tokyo 2020 - 119.007
  17. One Piece: Pirate Warriors 4 - 117.954
  18. Fishing Spirits - 111.474
  19. New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe - 109.584
  20. Trials of Mana - 100.451 NEW
TOTAL: 9.309.095
TOTAL HARDWARE: 2.666.882
  • The Actual sales in Q2 2020 in terms of Hardware were just shy of 1 million
  • Software momentum came mainly from New Horizon
  • Only three new games managed more than 100K sales
 
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noshten

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Third Party 3DS Top 20 2014
  1. Yo-kai Watch 2: Ganso / Honke (Level 5) - 3.050.178
  2. Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate (Capcom) - 2.381.177
  3. Yo-kai Watch 2: Shin Uchi (Level 5) - 2.007.327
  4. Yo-kai Watch (Level 5) - 994.346
  5. Dragon Quest Monsters 2 (Square Enix) - 748.139
  6. Puzzle & Dragons Z (GungHo) - 442.780
  7. Persona Q: Shadow of the Labyrinth (Atlus) - 254.631
  8. Monster Hunter 4 (Capcom) - 248.832
  9. Harvest Moon: Linking The New World (Marvelous) - 243.000
  10. Taiko no Tatsujin: Don to Katsu no Jikuu Daibouken (Bandai Namco) - 236.456
  11. Final Fantasy Explorers (Square Enix) - 212.204
  12. J-Stars Victory Vs (Bandai Namco) - 185.996
  13. Dragon Ball Heroes: Ultimate Mission 2 (Bandai Namco) - 181.751
  14. Battle For Money Sentouchuu (Bandai Namco) - 170.276
  15. Dragon Quest X Online (Square Enix) - 141.845
  16. Theatrhythm Final Fantasy (Square Enix) - 140.105
  17. Attack on Titan: The Last Wings of Mankind (Spike Chunsoft) - 128.573
  18. Inazuma Eleven Go Galaxy (Level 5) - 107.340
  19. Derby Stallion Gold (Kadokawa) - 104.675
  20. Puyo Puyo Tetris (Sega) - 100.116
TOTAL: 12.079.747

TOP 5 THIRD PARTY PUBLISHERS
  1. Level 5 – 6.159.191
  2. Capcom – 2.630.009
  3. Square Enix – 1.242.293
  4. Bandai Namco – 774.479
  5. GungHo - 442.780

Famitsu Switch 3rd Parties 2020 Top 10:
  1. Momotaro Dentetsu (Konami) - 773.532
  2. Story of Seasons: Pioneers of Olive Town (Marvelous) – 236.073
  3. Minecraft (Microsoft) - 140.712
  4. Bravely Default II (Square Enix) – 112.902
  5. Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin (Marvelous) - 59.268
  6. Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity (Koei Tecmo) - 46.598
  7. Fitness Boxing 2 (Imagineer) - 45.259
  8. Dragon Quest XI S (Square Enix) - 43.429
  9. Little Nightmares II (Bandai Namco) - 41.938
  10. Human Fall Flat (Teyon Japan) - 37.403
  11. Puyo Puyo Tetris 2 (Sega) - 33.546
  12. Disgaea 6 (Nippon Ichi) -25.744
  13. Family Trainer (Bandai Namco) -17.151
  14. Fishing Spirits (Bandai Namco) - 15.414
  15. Derby Stallion (GameAddict) - 13.170
  16. Taiko no Tatsujin: Rhythmic Adventure Pack (Bandai Namco) - 12.327
  17. Uta no Prince-sama (Broccoli) – 10.588
  18. Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games (Sega) - 7.696
  19. Umineko no Naku Koro ni Saku (Entergram) - 5.821
  20. Darius Cozmic Revelation (Taito) - 5.341
TOTAL: 1.683.912

Top 5 Publishers
  1. Konami - 773.532
  2. Marvelous – 295.341
  3. Square Enix - 156.331
  4. Microsoft - 140.712
  5. Bandai Namco - 86.830
This year is definitely the peak so far for the Switch Third Party support, so the 2014 peak of the 3DS will be an interesting comparison.
Level 5 had an year that I think can be matched by Capcom in 2021, while Konami is looking likely to be able to match Capcom's result, and Marvelous so far is the publisher that is most likely come into third place.
With the Pro coming out in the second half of the year and largely unclear line up for third parties it will be a very interesting to track how the Top 20 performs against 2014. At the moment Third Party Sales account for about 16% compared to 2014's Total and it remains to be see if Capcom will be able to match Level 5 due to Monster Hunter Rise, Stories 2 and the rumored Ace Attorney game.
Overall Risé's opening should put this Quarter to around 4 million, Densha GO! is the other game that could do well, Bravely Default 2 & Little Nightmares 2 continue to have stock issues, so they could end up higher compared to their current total.
 
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Woopah

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Everyone moved out and Nintendo is the only guy left in a ghost town.

No wonder Nintendo market cap has fallen 20% since 2007 while Sony's has tripled in the same period.

What is the exact point you're trying to make here? That shipments of physical games were lower in 2010-2019 than they were in 1996-2005? Given the appearance of digital I'd say that's almost an inevitability.
 

MrA

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What is the exact point you're trying to make here? That shipments of physical games were lower in 2010-2019 than they were in 1996-2005? Given the appearance of digital I'd say that's almost an inevitability.
It also ignores japan's aging population, japan's population of young people (under 30) has dropped like 25% since then
 

Woopah

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It also ignores japan's aging population, japan's population of young people (under 30) has dropped like 25% since then
Having games appeal to people of all ages has become more important than ever.
 

noshten

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In terms of Monster Hunter Rise, it will be interesting how much Capcom is able to ship for it's launch.

Top 10 Launches Switch/PS4/3DS
  1. [3DS] Pokémon X / Y (2013) - 2.096.050 <80-100%>
  2. [3DS] Pokemon Sun / Moon (2016) - 1.905.107 <80-100%>
  3. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (2020) - 1.880.626 <80-100%>
  4. [3DS] Monster Hunter 4 (2013) - 1.875.115 <80-100%>
  5. [3DS] Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate (2014) - 1.617.949 <80-100%>
  6. [3DS] Monster Hunter Generations (2015) - 1.542.104 <80-100%>
  7. [3DS] Pokémon Omega Ruby / Alpha Sapphire (2014) - 1.534.593 <60-80%>
  8. [NSW] Pokémon Sword / Shield (2019) - 1.364.544 <60-80%>
  9. [PS4] Monster Hunter World (2018) - 1.350.412 <80-100%>
  10. [3DS] Yo-kai Watch 2: Bony Spirits / Fleshy Souls (2014) - 1.281.096 <80-100%>

Difficult to envision them shipping over 2 million with digital also being a factor but I can see the initial shipment being at least 1.75 million
Overall they wouldn't go wrong with a shipment that's larger than New Horizon, all signs point to this competing with the biggest launch on the system in Japan if there is enough supply. There is a small chance they ship more than Pokemon Company did for X / Y, but that really would depend on retailers pushing for a larger shipment knowing that they would need to be able to meet demand and not have stock problems for the game.
The save prognosis would be for the launch to land between MH4 Ultimate & Sun / Moon
 
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Woopah

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In terms of Monster Hunter Rise, it will be interesting how much Capcom is able to ship for it's launch.

Top 10 Launches Switch/PS4/3DS
  1. [3DS] Pokémon X / Y (2013) - 2.096.050 <80-100%>
  2. [3DS] Pokemon Sun / Moon (2016) - 1.905.107 <80-100%>
  3. [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons (2020) - 1.880.626 <80-100%>
  4. [3DS] Monster Hunter 4 (2013) - 1.875.115 <80-100%>
  5. [3DS] Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate (2014) - 1.617.949 <80-100%>
  6. [3DS] Monster Hunter Generations (2015) - 1.542.104 <80-100%>
  7. [3DS] Pokémon Omega Ruby / Alpha Sapphire (2014) - 1.534.593 <60-80%>
  8. [NSW] Pokémon Sword / Shield (2019) - 1.364.544 <60-80%>
  9. [PS4] Monster Hunter World (2018) - 1.350.412 <80-100%>
  10. [3DS] Yo-kai Watch 2: Bony Spirits / Fleshy Souls (2014) - 1.281.096 <80-100%>

Difficult to envision them shipping over 2 million with digital also being a factor but I can see the initial shipment being at least 1.75 million
Overall they wouldn't go wrong with a shipment that's larger than New Horizon, all signs point to this competing with the biggest launch on the system in Japan if there is enough supply. There is a small chance they ship more than Pokemon Company did for X / Y, but that really would depend on retailers pushing for a larger shipment knowing that they would need to be able to meet demand and not have stock problems for the game.
The save prognosis would be for the launch to land between MH4 Ultimate & Sun / Moon
I'm going to go with a 1.65 million opening myself, but over two million when digital is added in.

The real advantage for Rise is that it should have very strong legs since Switch hardware sales are going to be pretty high this year.