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(Hardware) February 2009 NPD Predictions - Closes March 8

donny2112

Member
Apr 18, 2005
18,797
1
1,590
Nicktals said:
PlayStation 2 89K
PlayStation 3 193K
PSP 180K
Xbox 360 287K
Wii 632K
Nintendo DS 475K

You need to use the correct format, if you want your prediction counted.
 

RBH

Member
Apr 19, 2007
54,199
1
1,395
pseudocaesar said:
Nothing. I just pulled random numbers out of my ass. Do you honestly expect proper business analytical attempts? Its a gaming forum, lower your expectations. Ten fold.
No, I just expect common sense.
 

donny2112

Member
Apr 18, 2005
18,797
1
1,590
NeoGAF Aggregate

Wii - 669.6K
NDS - 513.3K
360 - 285.1K
PS3 - 221.4K
PSP - 174.1K
PS2 - 95.9K
 

Masklinn

Accept one saviour, get the second free.
Sep 9, 2006
1,123
1
0
Bumpage for "did I miss the Febuary NPD or something"? I don't think I've seen the thread pop, is SonyCowboy in distress?
 

Psychotext

Member
Jun 15, 2007
35,928
0
1,175
Jun 7, 2004
21,700
3
0
48
NM USA
Psychotext said:
EEDAR article said:
However, Divnich added that the PS3’s 10-year support cycle will allow the console much opportunity, despite short-term concerns.
What a strange statement. Simply saying ten years of support will happen doesn't mean it will when the market ultimately decides what kind of active lifespan and support a platform will have against anything the manufacturer intends. Definitely a way of adding a light to the end of dark and winding tunnel that seems to only head deeper into the earth, IMO.
 

jvm

Gamasutra.
Jun 22, 2004
9,164
6
1,485
cgmr.net
NPD delayed as they were making improvements to their system. Partners were notified a few weeks ago.
 

Psychotext

Member
Jun 15, 2007
35,928
0
1,175
Quite pleased with my predictions this month. Not perfect, but other than the 360 I wasn't massively out on anything.
 

GhaleonEB

Member
Jun 7, 2004
77,906
3
1,490
Oregon
Code:
System	Me	Actual	Delta
NDS	610	588	22
PSP	175	199	24
PS3	243	276	33
PS2	92	131	39
WII	812	753	59
360	317	391	74

I did better than most months; at least I didn't blow anything by 100k+ like usual. The 360 is the one that really surprised me. I thought 300k was reasonable, though I didn't know how the economy would hit things. Near 400k? Very impressive.
 

donny2112

Member
Apr 18, 2005
18,797
1
1,590
February 2009 Unit Results

1. danwarb - 158,000
2. 1cesc - 162,000
3. N.A - 208,000
4. Gamemaster_ca_2003 - 211,000
5. Opiate - 222,000
6. LOCK - 223,000
7. rexor0717 - 228,000
8. Jokeropia - 242,000
9. GhaleonEB - 251,000
10. soujiro_seta - 253,000
11. kefka2030 - 255,683
12. Thunder Monkey - 258,000
13. Atreides - 262,000
14. Slurmer - 264,000
15. DayShallCome - 266,000
16. Orgen - 271,000
17. Narcosis - 272,000
18. bcn-ron - 273,000
19. TwinIonEngines - 277,000
20. llonesmiz - 278,000
21. BLaZiN PRopHeT - 283,000
22. Psychotext - 288,000
23. Bananakin - 291,000
23. Vinci - 291,000
25. Linkup - 293,000
26. The M.O.B - 294,000
27. apujanata - 308,000
28. JoshuaJSlone - 314,000
28. LiquidMetal14 - 314,000
30. JJConrad - 315,000
31. RattleHead_ - 318,000
31. scottnak - 318,000
33. gollumsluvslave - 324,000
34. Asherdude - 325,000
35. boontje - 329,000
36. choodi - 333,000
37. Brak - 338,000
37. starship - 338,000
37. Pachter - 338,000
40. RBH - 342,000
41. Frillen - 343,000
41. Jon - 343,000
43. Ydahs - 346,000
44. Yes Boss! - 354,000
44. Jesse2040 - 354,000
46. duderon - 362,000
47. Strike - 363,000
48. CitizenCope - 364,000
49. robotnjik - 371,000
50. lowlylowlycook - 373,000
51. Ryu Hayabusa - 377,000
52. jvm - 378,000
53. doicare - 383,000
54. Neo-Sheperd - 386,000
55. Scott32020 - 388,000
55. ultim8p00 - 388,000
57. SuperBanjo - 392,000
57. timetokill - 392,000
59. Shadowlink123 - 393,000
60. botticus - 413,000
61. ChrisGoldstein - 416,000
62. Jonsoncao - 418,000
63. Bankoiia - 420,000
64. Kinitari - 421,000
65. jj984jj - 423,000
66. jamesinclair - 425,778
67. jakncoke - 433,000
68. Omikaru - 435,000
69. John Dunbar - 436,000
70. Flakster99 - 437,000
71. hemtae - 438,000
72. Arsenic - 445,000
72. rikitikitik - 445,000
74. daegan - 448,000
75. bakemono - 458,000
76. somuchwater - 463,000
77. Saiyar - 473,000
78. D.Lo - 477,000
79. Frankfurter - 478,000
80. SilverLunar - 486,000
81. GDGF - 497,000
82. skedar897 - 506,000
83. archnemesis - 508,000
84. AzureJericho - 518,000
85. billy.sea - 520,000
86. WaltJay - 523,000
87. bmf - 529,000
88. andy_lhc - 535,000
89. Hammer24 - 537,000
90. Mojo - 538,000
91. Tashi0106 - 545,000
92. dyls - 548,000
92. gregor7777 - 548,000
94. jey_16 - 553,000
95. Gadfly - 556,000
96. donny2112 - 558,000
97. No_Style - 560,000
98. schuelma - 568,000
99. perfectchaos007 - 573,000
100. dolemite - 578,000
101. jibblypop - 580,000
102. Brakara - 583,000
103. AniHawk - 586,000
104. Rekwest - 590,000
105. Chumly - 597,000
106. rostocker - 600,000
107. SkySonata - 605,000
108. pseudocaesar - 608,000
109. _Alkaline_ - 613,000
110. kmfdmpig - 634,000
111. D4Danger - 638,000
112. gkrykewy - 642,000
113. Osuwari - 648,000
113. Wii Will Rock U - 648,000
115. Thetinman - 670,000
116. Sleeker - 683,000
117. zsidane - 717,750
118. Vargas - 718,000
119. sionyboy - 723,000
120. Kapsama - 745,000
121. HocusPocus - 818,000
122. Duxxy3 - 868,000
123. DiatribeEQ - 952,000
124. FiOSGuy - 1,028,000
125. pakkit - 1,184,000


February 2009 Point Results

Code:
     February 2009               Overall 2009
1.   danwarb            136.57   1cesc               254.56
2.   1cesc              130.55   Scott32020          243.31
3.   N.A                128.05   John Dunbar         234.45
4.   Gamemaster_ca_2003 124.61   Jokeropia           234.21
5.   LOCK               120.82   Bananakin           233.21
6.   Opiate             120.18   LOCK                232.68
7.   bcn-ron            118.27   lowlylowlycook      230.87
8.   soujiro_seta       117.31   danwarb             230.49
9.   Jokeropia          115.42   DayShallCome        229.29
10.  GhaleonEB          115.14   JoshuaJSlone        228.53
11.  Ydahs              114.96   boontje             225.66
12.  RattleHead_        113.65   The M.O.B           224.03
13.  Thunder Monkey     113.51   GhaleonEB           220.75
14.  kefka2030          113.29   bcn-ron             220.63
15.  JJConrad           113.13   Thunder Monkey      220.17
16.  Narcosis           112.73   Atreides            218.17
17.  BLaZiN PRopHeT     112.63   andy_lhc            218.06
18.  DayShallCome       112.6    duderon             216.97
19.  Psychotext         112.11   timetokill          216.15
20.  The M.O.B          111.95   Opiate              215.35
21.  Vinci              111.69   Gamemaster_ca_2003  214.89
22.  Slurmer            111.59   llonesmiz           214.65
23.  JoshuaJSlone       111.56   starship            214.03
24.  Bananakin          111.46   N.A                 213.82
25.  jvm                111.46   Brak                213.82
26.  robotnjik          111.34   Pachter             213.61
27.  Atreides           111.25   choodi              213.53
28.  llonesmiz          111.15   Frillen             212.95
29.  John Dunbar        111.08   Slurmer             212.78
30.  Orgen              111.01   doicare             212.76
31.  scottnak           110.88   BLaZiN PRopHeT      212.72
32.  starship           110.6    TwinIonEngines      212.51
33.  Omikaru            110.36   JJConrad            212.43
34.  apujanata          110.17   Strike              211.55
35.  TwinIonEngines     110.03   skedar897           210.22
36.  lowlylowlycook     109.86   apujanata           208.89
37.  Kinitari           109.61   ChrisGoldstein      207.64
38.  Pachter            108.96   Psychotext          207.54
39.  rexor0717          108.63   jamesinclair        207.35
40.  Jesse2040          108.41   kefka2030           207.32
41.  choodi             108.41   RattleHead_         207.25
42.  jj984jj            108.24   Ydahs               206.66
43.  Strike             108.14   gollumsluvslave     206.27
44.  Frillen            108.11   Jonsoncao           206.14
45.  Brak               107.89   Orgen               205.7
46.  jamesinclair       107.76   D.Lo                205.26
47.  doicare            107.31   botticus            204.19
48.  RBH                107.26   Jesse2040           204.14
49.  Scott32020         107.07   Yes Boss!           203.17
50.  botticus           107.06   jj984jj             202.97

Congratulations, danwarb! :D
 

hooijdonk17

Member
Nov 10, 2006
4,151
59
1,500
Wouldn't scoring in this 'game' make more sense in terms of percentages? 1% difference in november and december is not the same as 1% difference in july.. It would be nice to have an "alternate" scoring method :)
 
hooijdonk17 said:
Wouldn't scoring in this 'game' make more sense in terms of percentages? 1% difference in november and december is not the same as 1% difference in july.. It would be nice to have an "alternate" scoring method :)
That's the biggest part of the "points" method. You'll notice the points rankings don't always match with the one that shows purely how close people were in overall units.
http://www.angelfire.com/planet/donny2112/NeoGAF/points_main.html
Point System:

1. Correct hardware rankings - 10 pts.

2. 20 points * (percentage of correct units for hardware system); anything over 100% difference = 0 points. Maximum points: 120

3. Bonus points for finishing in the top 10 by units for the month:
#1 - 17 points
#2 - 13 points
#3 - 11 points
#4 - 9 points
#5 - 7 points
#6 - 5 points
#7 - 4 points
#8 - 3 points
#9 - 2 points
#10 - 1 point

Looking at some past results, 8 people in July 2007 got more points than the #1 person in December 2007.