• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

In the US, Switch is 1.1M behind PS2 ltd, PS5 +7% vs PS4 Aligned, and Xbox Series "holding close" with Xbox 360 and has passed OG Xbox

jm89

Member
Xbox is going to make a new Gen in 2026. These numbers don't matter to them.
images
 

Woopah

Member
The console market has been doomed since the PS3 gen somehow lmao.

Yet PS5 is Sony's 2nd biggest console so far (at this point in its like cycle), Nintendo is having its 2nd best selling console ever, and Xbox is...there.

Two of these brands are healthy as fuck.
Its likely to be Nintendo's 1st best selling console ever.
Nintendo will have the same problem with their next console. Games will take longer to develop and they won't have Wii U ports to rely on.
Lack of Wii U ports won't be an issue now that they are concentrated on a single ecosystem.

Development times will indeed increase, but they are making investments/partnerships to offset that.
So if Switch is 10, 15, 20m units behind PS2 but it only needs 1.1m to overtake it in USA, where are the other millions? Japan? Europe? Australia?
PS2 did really well in Europe and developing markets. Outside the main markets, Nintendo's distribution network is pretty week (though they are working to improve it).

Apparently it’s College Football, he’s delusional.
Why is he delusional?
It's not in competition with home consoles, it's in competition with the DS
Switch is classed as a home console by Circana (I imagine due to the hardware and software pricing).
 

Tiago Rodrigues

Gold Member
ps5 isnt going to sell more than ps4, even sony said it didnt sell to their expectations. xbox is behind even the xbox one which was a failure. only nintendo is doing well.
You do know ps5 is selling above the ps4 in the USA, the only country that it didn’t suffer a price increase, right?

There’s still most exclusive titles to be released, all studios are currently working on ps5 games, there’s the PRO, there’s the GTA VI effect, theres the eventual price decrease, etc. PS5 most eventful years will be its second half. PS4 also took a while to have decent content. The ps5 is taking longer because of longer development cycles.

Also sony never even once mentioned that the ps5 isn’t surpassing the ps4 in sales.
 

LakeOf9

Member
Switch catching up to PS2, PS5 holding on and more or less keeping up with PS4, Xbox struggling.

What's the difference?

I think the primary differences that I would characterize are these:
  • In the US, the Series is keeping pace with Xbox 360; everywhere else in the world it has fallen FAR behind every other Xbox
  • In the US, PS5 is outpacing PS4; everywhere else in the world it has fallen behind by ~1.5-2 million
  • In the US, the Switch has not yet outsold the PS2 but is only a million or so behind. Globally, this is not the case (it has outsold PS2 in Japan and certain continental EU markets, but globally cumulatively, it is still a year's worth of sales behind the PS2)
 

demigod

Member
I think the primary differences that I would characterize are these:
  • In the US, the Series is keeping pace with Xbox 360; everywhere else in the world it has fallen FAR behind every other Xbox
  • In the US, PS5 is outpacing PS4; everywhere else in the world it has fallen behind by ~1.5-2 million
  • In the US, the Switch has not yet outsold the PS2 but is only a million or so behind. Globally, this is not the case (it has outsold PS2 in Japan and certain continental EU markets, but globally cumulatively, it is still a year's worth of sales behind the PS2)
It’s not keeping pace in the US. If you check the history, it’s selling about 70k less per month than the 360.
 
Last edited:

nial

Member
Switch is classed as a home console by Circana
Kinda problematic since it also includes NSW Lite sales, which is objectively not a home console. This is a problem the Vita would have had in sales discourse if it was actually successful (with the Vita TV, which is objectively not a handheld console).
 
Last edited:
The PS5 being +7% over PS4 means roughly 20.7m for PS5 and Switch being 1.1m behind PS2 means 45.24m, not too far off with estimations below but the numbers need adjusting slightly.

Estimations for 2024


MonthPS5XBSNSW
January425,000210,000250,000
February410,000195,000220,000
March525,000205,000235,000
April250,000105,000140,000
May230,000110,000130,000
June340,000165,000185,000
Total2,180,000990,0001,160,000
Lifetime20,860,00014,540,00045,340,000

1995 to 2022 is official NPD data, 2023 and 2024 are estimations from IB. * 2024 numbers are as of June.

Current Platforms


YearPS5PS5 TotalXBSXBS TotalNSWNSW Total
2024*2,180,00020,860,000990,00014,540,0001,160,00045,340,000
20236,780,00018,680,0003,850,00013,550,0004,770,00044,180,000
20225,660,00011,900,0004,480,0009,700,0005,830,00039,410,000
20214,280,0006,240,0003,730,0005,220,0007,610,00033,580,000
20201,960,0001,960,0001,490,0001,490,0008,980,00025,970,000
2019--6,480,00016,990,000
2018--5,640,00010,510,000
2017--4,870,0004,870,000

Legacy Platforms

YearPS4 - 34,760,000XBO - 29,000,000Wii U - 5,510,0003DS - 23,390,000PSV - 2,440,000
202250,000----
2021600,00010,000---
20202,000,0001,460,000-200,000-
20193,830,0003,040,000-560,000-
20185,290,0004,360,000-1,470,000-
20175,420,0004,280,000-2,180,000-
20165,100,0004,730,000510,0002,490,00060,000
20155,720,0004,930,0001,340,00002,400,000280,000
20144,680,0004,370,0001,560,0002,570,000320,000
20132,000,0001,820,0001,210,0003,810,000500,000
2012--890,0003,630,0001,280,000
2011---4,080,000-

YearPS3 - 26,870,000X360 - 43,220,000Wii - 41,780,000DS - 53,530,000PSP - 19,990,000
201710,00020,000---
2016190,000250,000---
2015360,000570,00040,000--
2014750,0001,330,000240,00010,00020,000
20132,180,0003,070,000810,000520,000130,000
20123,410,0005,300,0001,960,0001,980,000240,000
20114,520,0007,280,0004,530,0003,840,0001,120,000
20104,330,0006,760,0007,070,0008,580,0001,660,000
20094,330,0004,770,0009,590,00011,190,0002,490,000
20083,540,0004,740,00010,170,0009,950,0003,820,000
20072,560,0004,620,0006,290,0008,430,0003,830,000
2006690,0003,900,0001,080,0005,320,0003,050,000
2005-610,000-2,580,0003,630,000
2004---1,230,000-

YearPS2 - 46,340,000Xbox - 14,500,000GCN - 11,810,000DC - 4,010,000GBA - 35,700,000
201250,000----
2011290,000----
2010750,000----
20091,800,000----
20082,500,000---420,000
20073,940,000-10,000-1,120,000
20064,840,000400,0001,120,000-3,240,000
20055,510,0002,420,0001,560,000-4,370,000
20044,680,0004,010,0002,290,0000-7,080,000
20036,310,0003,100,0003,270,000-7,780,000
20028,390,0003,170,0002,260,0001,250,0006,940,000
20016,180,0001,400,0001,210,0001,280,0004,750,000
20001,100,000--1,480,000-
1999-----

YearPS1 - 30,180,000N64 - 17,990,000Saturn - 1,360,000GBC - 17,270,000
200540,000---
2004710,000---
20031,150,00010,000--
20022,200,000150,000-60,000
20012,240,0001,160,000-2,950,000
20003,230,0002,530,000-6,820,000
19995,850,0003,540,000-6,450,000
19987,110,0004,140,00050,000990,000
19975,050,0004,490,000240,000-
19961,990,0001,970,000780,000-
1995600,000-290,000-
 
Last edited:
So after year 4 the XBS was roughly 0.22 million behind the X360 so maybe 0.75 million behind now midway through year 5, less than a million would be considered "holding close" but X360 still had it's best years ahead of it and XBS sales are declining every year.

Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8
2005 - X3600.613.904.624.744.776.767.285.30
2020 - XBS1.493.734.483.85
 
Last edited:

Mozza

Member
ps5 isnt going to sell more than ps4, even sony said it didnt sell to their expectations. xbox is behind even the xbox one which was a failure. only nintendo is doing well.
I thought the PS5 was going to outslell the PS4 at least, there were people on here saying they Sony would have dold as many as they could have made, and you could not get a PS5 through regular channels of over a year or so, perhaps two. So we are thinking Sony did kind of make enough, and it was the sacalpers creating a shortage, that when Sony managed to get production levels up, the demand simply dried up a little.
 

MrA

Member
I thought the PS5 was going to outslell the PS4 at least, there were people on here saying they Sony would have dold as many as they could have made, and you could not get a PS5 through regular channels of over a year or so, perhaps two. So we are thinking Sony did kind of make enough, and it was the sacalpers creating a shortage, that when Sony managed to get production levels up, the demand simply dried up a little.
Sony definitely wasn't making enough as the covid lock downs spiked demand, they probably could have sold 20 million consoles in 2021 instead of the 13 million they did
But it was never going to sell the 40 million a year some were insisting here
 

Mozza

Member
Sony definitely wasn't making enough as the covid lock downs spiked demand, they probably could have sold 20 million consoles in 2021 instead of the 13 million they did
But it was never going to sell the 40 million a year some were insisting here
I am not so sure, I just think they changed the places people bought them, I think they still sold around 17 million in the first year.
 

Woopah

Member
Kinda problematic since it also includes NSW Lite sales, which is objectively not a home console. This is a problem the Vita would have had in sales discourse if it was actually successful (with the Vita TV, which is objectively not a handheld console).
I see the logic, but don't think it matters too much since they are all counted as consoles anyway.

If we go back to earlier NPDs for instance, home consoles and portable consoles were all counted in the same ranking (for both hardware and software). They weren't seperate rankings.
 
Last edited:

LakeOf9

Member
I see the logic, but don't think it matters too much since they are all counted as consoles anyway.

If we go back to earlier NPDs for instance, home consoles and portable consoles were all counted in the same ranking (for both hardware and software). They weren't seperate rankings.
Additionally, the key thing is the Switch has sold hardware and software at home console prices, unlike past handhelds which were budget options to home console gaming. So at this point, from a statistical and tracking point of view, the distinction is moot.
 

Mibu no ookami

Demoted Member® Pro™
He needs to provide that Xbox number for transperancy just like he's able to provide us with a sales number for the Switch and a percentage for the PS5.

I mean he's largely already told us everything that he is allowed to tell us.

Microsoft doesn't publish these numbers for a reason.

Saying it is on pace with the 360 is literally saying nothing. The 360 got off to a relatively slow start and there is some evidence to suggest that its overall performance in North America was heavily assisted by the RROD forcing many consumers to buy a new Xbox 360 later into the generation.

The X1 on the other hand got off to a fast start and quickly faded, but there is no comparison to the X1 here. The XBS is almost certainly on a worse trajectory than the X1 after it fell off. It's performing significantly worse in Europe and Asia.

CF25 might give it a slight bump with people jumping from X1, but it's not going to be sustained, if anything it might hurt sales later in the year when they likely were going to happen anyways.

PS5 is in for a weak summer, but it'll be worse for XBS.
 

Mibu no ookami

Demoted Member® Pro™
I see the logic, but don't think it matters too much since they are all counted as consoles anyway.

If we go back to earlier NPDs for instance, home consoles and portable consoles were all counted in the same ranking (for both hardware and software). They weren't seperate rankings.

The primary reason why consoles and handhelds aren't often combined is because there is general consensus that the comparison is not apples to apples.

The Switch Lite costs 200 dollars compared to the PS5 that costs 500 or the digital that costs 400/450. Technology is making comparisons more difficult, but that price point is about as different as it has always been between handhelds and consoles.
 

TGO

Hype Train conductor. Works harder than it steams.
Note that one of the big things with the PS2 isn't that it sold that much during its lifespan. Its the fact that it kept sealing just as well long after the Ps3 hit the market. Final revision being in 2008!
That and it sold most of it's numbers & dominated the competition in the same generation before it's successor released.
It didn't achieve it 4 years after the competition has moved on.
 

Woopah

Member
I mean he's largely already told us everything that he is allowed to tell us.

Microsoft doesn't publish these numbers for a reason.

Saying it is on pace with the 360 is literally saying nothing. The 360 got off to a relatively slow start and there is some evidence to suggest that its overall performance in North America was heavily assisted by the RROD forcing many consumers to buy a new Xbox 360 later into the generation.

The X1 on the other hand got off to a fast start and quickly faded, but there is no comparison to the X1 here. The XBS is almost certainly on a worse trajectory than the X1 after it fell off. It's performing significantly worse in Europe and Asia.

CF25 might give it a slight bump with people jumping from X1, but it's not going to be sustained, if anything it might hurt sales later in the year when they likely were going to happen anyways.

PS5 is in for a weak summer, but it'll be worse for XBS.
The 360 did indeed get a big boost in its later life, but that was more to do with Kinect than RROD.
The primary reason why consoles and handhelds aren't often combined is because there is general consensus that the comparison is not apples to apples.

The Switch Lite costs 200 dollars compared to the PS5 that costs 500 or the digital that costs 400/450. Technology is making comparisons more difficult, but that price point is about as different as it has always been between handhelds and consoles.
That's why Circana now does a revenue ranking and a unit ranking.

But if you go back to prior NPD reports they would put all platforms in the same ranking, even though the price points for DS, 360, Wii, PSP and PS3 were very different.

The top selling platform for each month could be a handheld console or a home console. They didn't have seperate hardware and software rankings for the different types.
 

LakeOf9

Member
That and it sold most of it's numbers & dominated the competition in the same generation before it's successor released.
It didn't achieve it 4 years after the competition has moved on.
The PS2 sold less than half its global numbers before the PS3 came out

The Switch doesn't have any direct competition, it is achieving those numbers on its own time. Sorry that pisses you off?
 

TGO

Hype Train conductor. Works harder than it steams.
The PS2 sold less than half its global numbers before the PS3 came out

The Switch doesn't have any direct competition, it is achieving those numbers on its own time. Sorry that pisses you off?
Sony (Research) has sold more than 101 million PS2s (compared to only 24 million Xboxes and 21 million units for GameCube). Sony said approximately 1 billion games have been sold for the system.
101mill in 2006
How is that less then half 🤔
 
Last edited:

LakeOf9

Member

101mill in 2006
How is that less then half 🤔
Okay, fair, I remembered it crossing 100 million in March 2007

Still, it got a significant portion of its sales after the generation ended, its longevity is what made it so unassailable for this long. It makes total sense the only other system that would be able to beat it would be similarly long lived.
 
The US is the biggest Xbox market. The rest of the world, outside of a few countries, has large biases against Microsoft and Xbox.
There's no bias.
The xbox simply isnt an attractive enough product for people in those markets.
And that's a direct result of Microsoft's handling of the xbox brand.
 

Mibu no ookami

Demoted Member® Pro™
The 360 did indeed get a big boost in its later life, but that was more to do with Kinect than RROD.

Then why did Europe not see a boost? My theory is because European countries had significantly stronger consumer protections and people were able to get their 360s replaced. There is no evidence of high selling kinect games apart from Kinect adventures which was bundled with the 360.

That's why Circana now does a revenue ranking and a unit ranking.

But if you go back to prior NPD reports they would put all platforms in the same ranking, even though the price points for DS, 360, Wii, PSP and PS3 were very different.

The top selling platform for each month could be a handheld console or a home console. They didn't have seperate hardware and software rankings for the different types.

That's because they track video game systems collectively. That doesn't mean handhelds are consoles.
 

Woopah

Member
Then why did Europe not see a boost? My theory is because European countries had significantly stronger consumer protections and people were able to get their 360s replaced. There is no evidence of high selling kinect games apart from Kinect adventures which was bundled with the 360.



That's because they track video game systems collectively. That doesn't mean handhelds are consoles.
If you have Europe numbers/stats I'd love to see them!

In the US at least we saw Kinect contribute significantly to 360's success when it launched. Holiday 2010 had very high sales and in December 2010 360 achieved by far it's highest monthly sales (half of which were the Kinect model).

Then in Feb 2011 we saw 360 achieve it's highest ever non-holiday monthly sales, two thirds of which were the Kinect model.

I would expect RROD to effect 360 sales over the long term, not cause a sudden incresse in sales in its 6th and 7th years (of course Kinect was not the only factor, but it was an important one).

That's because they track video game systems collectively. That doesn't mean handhelds are consoles.

That's what I'm saying. Handheld consoles and home consoles are all tracked together as dedicated video game systems.
And it's not getting better.
I do expect that % to increase.
 

Mibu no ookami

Demoted Member® Pro™
Luminoth-4545 Luminoth-4545 We got official LTD numbers from NPD/Circana via Mat Piscatella for PS2, PS3, Wii and 360:
  • PS2: 46.5M
  • X360: 42.7M
  • Wii: 41.7M
  • PS3: 26.7M





Woopah Woopah these numbers kind of tell the whole story here.

There is no way that the 360 nearly outsold the PS2 (best selling console in history) in addition to the competition it got from the PS3 and even the Wii.

The "growth" we would have had to see that generation, certainly didn't carry over to the next generation, nor are those numbers represented elsewhere.

Microsoft gave a 3 year warranty from time of purchase in 2007 and the numbers started to spike up in 2010 and 2011 when people had to do out of warranty replacements.

Again, not a single Kinect game in the top selling lists outside of the bundled games, so Kinect was not this feature that drove the sales.
 

SkylineRKR

Member
There are a few caveats here.

Despite beating Sony and Nintendo to the market Xbox 360 only sold kind of decent for its first 3 FY. It outsold the PS3, which sold bad. And it outsold the original Xbox. It had a good narrative. So yeah, I understand why MS would say Series outperforms 360, because 360 is their most succesful system to date. But in reality it sales weren't spectacular at first (even X1 outsold it).

The PS5 ofcourse suffered from the pandemia. Even though the demand was high, there was the problem with microchips too. The industry was crippled for a while.

The PS5 actually had a price raise, instead of going down in price. We are about 4 years in, and its more expensive than it was in 2020. Price drops seem to be a thing of the past. These systems basically generate their LTD numbers based on their actual launch RRP. Which is kind of impressive perhaps.
 

ThaGuy

Member
Woopah Woopah these numbers kind of tell the whole story here.

There is no way that the 360 nearly outsold the PS2 (best selling console in history) in addition to the competition it got from the PS3 and even the Wii.

The "growth" we would have had to see that generation, certainly didn't carry over to the next generation, nor are those numbers represented elsewhere.

Microsoft gave a 3 year warranty from time of purchase in 2007 and the numbers started to spike up in 2010 and 2011 when people had to do out of warranty replacements.

Again, not a single Kinect game in the top selling lists outside of the bundled games, so Kinect was not this feature that drove the sales.
If you can mention rrod having an impact on sales then I would mention that the PS2's DRE's problems were just as bad. And I don't even think Sony ever acknowledged it even though it was a common problem.
 

DenchDeckard

Moderated wildly
I never knew the PS3 performed so badly in the US. At least the rest of the world knew it was a great console.
 
Luminoth-4545 Luminoth-4545 We got official LTD numbers from NPD/Circana via Mat Piscatella for PS2, PS3, Wii and 360:
  • PS2: 46.5M
  • X360: 42.7M
  • Wii: 41.7M
  • PS3: 26.7M




So NPD/Circana made minor adjustments to the lifetime totals (biggest being X360 from 43.2m to 42.7m) then but there are no new numbers for the individual years so we are stuck with the yearly numbers.
 
Last edited:

Woopah

Member
Woopah Woopah these numbers kind of tell the whole story here.

There is no way that the 360 nearly outsold the PS2 (best selling console in history) in addition to the competition it got from the PS3 and even the Wii.

The "growth" we would have had to see that generation, certainly didn't carry over to the next generation, nor are those numbers represented elsewhere.

Microsoft gave a 3 year warranty from time of purchase in 2007 and the numbers started to spike up in 2010 and 2011 when people had to do out of warranty replacements.

Again, not a single Kinect game in the top selling lists outside of the bundled games, so Kinect was not this feature that drove the sales.
If people were just replacing broken 360s, they would go for the standard model wouldn't they?

The 360s bought in 2006 came out of warranty in 2009, but there was no big increase in yearly sales.

Instead we see very high sales following the Kinect launch in holiday 2010, with a large amount of those sales being the more expensive Kinect bundle. Clearly showing a strong demand for Kinect.

Software wise, both Kinect Sports and Dance Central sold over 1 million copies in the US in their first two months.
 
Last edited:

Mibu no ookami

Demoted Member® Pro™
If people were just replacing broken 360s, they would go for the standard model wouldn't they?

The 360s bought in 2006 came out of warranty in 2009, but there was no big increase in yearly sales.

Instead we see very high sales following the Kinect launch in holiday 2010, with a large amount of those sales being the more expensive Kinect bundle. Clearly showing a strong demand for Kinect.

Software wise, both Kinect Sports and Dance Central sold over 1 million copies in the US in their first two months.

You're assuming that these consoles all broke immediately after the 3rd year or were all purchased at the very beginning of 2006. We know that's not true.

A million copies of Kinect sports and dance central do not explain the boost in hardware sales for Xbox relative to the PS2 which only had competition from the GameCube, OG Xbox, and Dreamcast.

That just doesn't add up. Both those games were 24th or worse on the Xbox 360 best selling chart. Games like Batman still sold better on PS3 than 360.
 
Top Bottom