Can understand the hit or miss, but he did nail nintendo direct last week. Or am I wrong on that?
He actually said "Nintendo Direct planned for the week of 6th Feb"
which could cover any day between 6th Feb and 13th Feb
Now let's look at previous Directs in February:
February 22, 2012
February 1, 2013
February 14, 2013
February 21, 2013
February 13, 2014
February 6, 2015
February 26, 2016
February 13, 2017
February 28, 2017
February 13, 2019
February 27, 2019
February 20, 2020
February 17, 2021
February 26, 2021
February 9, 2022
February 27, 2022
February 8, 2023
en.wikipedia.org
Realistically, it wasn't a massive stretch just looking at those dates alone, but if we look closer, we can see that generally Nintendo does Directs earlier in February when it hasn't done much/anything in the preceding December, but holds them later in February when they have had stuff in December.
The last
thing they had was in late November 2022 so statistically it was more likely for them to have a Direct in early February 2023.
I'm not definitively saying he doesn't have any sources, some of leaks seem to be legit but it's equally plausible that his "sources" in this particular case didn't have any insider knowledge and just made the same calculations I've laid out here.