July 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes August 12th

Apr 18, 2005
18,797
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#1
What is NPD?: NPD is one of the main retail tracking firms in the U.S., and also about the only one who specifically goes into detail on video games sales. This thread is to predict what the NPD hardware sales will be for the most recent month. NPD months are defined here, from jvm.
What do I win?: Bragging rights. We also keep track of predictions over the year and have an annual contest using "points." Still just bragging rights, but Sales-Agers have fun seeing how well we can do with it. See here for details on the point calculations.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, August 12th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted. Extending the deadline to 8 p.m. EDT, Wednesday, August 13th since NeoGAF was down most of Tuesday, August 12..

NPD Coverage: July 6-August 2, 2014 (4 weeks, June was 5 weeks)
NPD Release: Thursday, August 14th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Format:
Note: PS3 and WIU will only be counted for unit results and cardinal order bonus. They are not included for point results.

[360]
[3DS]
[PS3]
[PS4]
[WIU]
[XB1]

Good/Bad Formatting
Code:
Good              Bad
[PS4] 300K       [PS4] 300 thousand
[PS4] 300,000    [PS4] 300.000
[PS4] 300000     [PS4] - 300000

Potential hardware impacting events in July:

June's Results - thanks to gamecrate.com *RIP*
PS4 - 269K
XB1 - 197k
3DS - 152k
Wii U - 140k
360 - 62k
PS3 - 42k
June 2013 NPD thread
July 2013 NPD thread

NPD Prediction Thread Archive
 
Dec 9, 2008
673
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#11
But why would the 3DS drop that much? I guess June had Tomodachi life, but I don't know if that was a huge system seller. Unless I'm forgetting something...
I'm lowballing it currently based on the idea that I honestly haven't seen many 3DS commercials last month. Tomogatchi (sp?) Life was on TV like crazy during June, but nothing during July and I'm thinking the decline of handheld may be happening at a more rapid pace.

Chances are I'll increase it before the submissions end. I have to mull it over a bit and think about what I've seen.
 
Mar 26, 2013
15,673
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#14
[PS4] 204k
[XB1] 145k
[3DS] 101k
[WIU] 81k
[360] 48k
[PS3] 28k

Edit:
{08-12-2014, 08:44 PM} : [PS4] 199k -> 204K, [XB1] 138k -> 145K
 
May 24, 2012
18,812
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500
#18
COMPREHENSIVE LIST OF JULY PHYSICAL RETAIL RELEASES


JULY NPD TRACKING PERIOD:
JULY 6TH, 2014 - AUGUST 2ND, 2014 (28 DAYS / 4 WEEKS)




PS4 RELEASES



1) SKYLANDERS SWAP FORCE ULTIMATE BUNDLE STARTER PACK
DEVELOPER: VICARIOUS VISIONS
PUBLISHER: ACTIVISION
RELEASE: JULY 28TH, 2014 (6 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: XBO, 360, PS3, WIU, WII​

2) THE LAST OF US REMASTERED
DEVELOPER: NAUGHTY DOG
PUBLISHER: SONY COMPUTER ENTERTAINMENT AMERICA
RELEASE: JULY 29TH, 2014 (5 DAYS OF TRACKING)
PS4 EXCLUSIVE​




XBO RELEASES



1) SKYLANDERS SWAP FORCE ULTIMATE BUNDLE STARTER PACK
DEVELOPER: VICARIOUS VISIONS
PUBLISHER: ACTIVISION
RELEASE: JULY 28TH, 2014 (6 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: PS4, 360, PS3, WIU, WII​




360 RELEASES



1) SAINTS ROW IV: NATIONAL TREASURE EDITION
DEVELOPER: DEEP SILVER VOLITION
PUBLISHER: DEEP SILVER
RELEASE: JULY 8TH, 2014 (26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: PS3​

2) SKYLANDERS SWAP FORCE ULTIMATE BUNDLE STARTER PACK
DEVELOPER: VICARIOUS VISIONS
PUBLISHER: ACTIVISION
RELEASE: JULY 28TH, 2014 (6 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: PS4, XBO, PS3, WIU, WII​




PS3 RELEASES



1) SAINTS ROW IV NATIONAL TREASURE EDITION
DEVELOPER: DEEP SILVER VOLITION
PUBLISHER: DEEP SILVER
RELEASE: JULY 8TH, 2014 (26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: 360​

2) ONE PIECE UNLIMITED WORLD RED DAY 1 EDITION
DEVELOPER: GANBARION
PUBLISHER: BANDAI NAMCO GAMES
RELEASE: JULY 8TH, 2014 (26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: 3DS​

3) ONE PIECE UNLIMITED WORLD RED
DEVELOPER: GANBARION
PUBLISHER: BANDAI NAMCO GAMES
RELEASE: JULY 8TH, 2014 (26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: 3DS​

4) SKYLANDERS SWAP FORCE ULTIMATE BUNDLE STARTER PACK
DEVELOPER: VICARIOUS VISIONS
PUBLISHER: ACTIVISION
RELEASE: JULY 28TH, 2014 (6 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: PS4, XBO, 360, WIU, WII​




WIU RELEASES



1) WII SPORTS CLUB
DEVELOPER: BANDAI NAMCO STUDIOS, NINTENDO EAD
PUBLISHER: NINTENDO OF AMERICA
RELEASE: JULY 25TH, 2014 (9 DAYS OF TRACKING)
WII U EXCLUSIVE​

2) SKYLANDERS SWAP FORCE ULTIMATE BUNDLE STARTER PACK
DEVELOPER: VICARIOUS VISIONS
PUBLISHER: ACTIVISION
RELEASE: JULY 28TH, 2014 (6 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: PS4, XBO, 360, PS3, WII​




3DS RELEASES



1) ONE PIECE UNLIMITED WORLD RED DAY 1 EDITION
DEVELOPER: GANBARION
PUBLISHER: BANDAI NAMCO GAMES
RELEASE: JULY 8TH, 2014 (26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: PS3​

2) ONE PIECE: UNLIMITED WORLD RED
DEVELOPER: GANBARION
PUBLISHER: BANDAI NAMCO GAMES
RELEASE: JULY 8TH, 2014 (26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: PS3​

3) SCOOBY DOO & LOONEY TUNES CARTOON UNIVERSE ADVENTURE
DEVELOPER: WAYFORWARD TECHNOLOGIES
PUBLISHER: WB GAMES
RELEASE: JULY 8TH, 2014 (26 DAYS OF TRACKING)
3DS EXCLUSIVE​

4) LEGO NINJAGO NINDROIDS
DEVELOPER: HELLBENT GAMES, TRAVELLER'S TALES
PUBLISHER: TT GAMES, WB GAMES
RELEASE: JULY 29TH, 2014 (5 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: PSV​




PSV RELEASES



1) LEGO NINJAGO NINDROIDS
DEVELOPER: HELLBENT GAMES, TRAVELLER'S TALES
PUBLISHER: TT GAMES, WB GAMES
RELEASE: JULY 29TH, 2014 (5 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: 3DS​




WII RELEASES



2) SKYLANDERS SWAP FORCE ULTIMATE BUNDLE STARTER PACK
DEVELOPER: VICARIOUS VISIONS
PUBLISHER: ACTIVISION
RELEASE: JULY 28TH, 2014 (6 DAYS OF TRACKING)
ALSO ON: PS4, XBO, 360, PS3, WIU​



Note: Physical releases ONLY.

So if it says "PS3 Exclusive," it could mean there's a version for Vita that's digital-exclusive.

Also, none of these releases include a potential PC retail or PC download version. These are console listings only.



New releases archive:

January 2014 NPD Reporting Period (January 5th, 2014 - February 1st, 2014) (28 days / 4 weeks)
Nintendo Consoles February 2014 NPD Reporting Period (February 2nd, 2014 - March 1st, 2014) (28 days / 4 weeks)
March 2014 NPD Reporting Period (March 2nd, 2014 - April 5th, 2014) (35 days / 5 weeks)
April 2014 NPD Reporting Period (April 6th, 2014 - May 3rd, 2014) (28 days / 4 weeks)
May 2014 NPD Reporting Period (May 4th, 2014 - May 31st, 2014) (28 days / 4 weeks)
June 2014 NPD Reporting Period (June 1st, 2014 - July 5th, 2014) (35 days / 5 weeks)
 
Jul 18, 2014
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#22
[PS4] 205k
[XB1] 120k
[WIU] 85k
[PS3] 30k
[360] 45k
[3DS] 135k
My numbers are low because the e3 hype has dwindled.
Ps4 was averaging around 51k the last two months
Xbox One was averaging around 33k May/June
Wii U may still be riding the MK8 wave
last gen consoles saw no major releases

Thanks Swift
 
Mar 20, 2007
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#24
[360] 40K
[3DS] 95K
[PS3] 30K
[PS4] 210K
[WIU] 85K
[XB1] 140K

Everything should be lower than last month but it will be interesting to see how much The Last of Us helps the PS4.
 
May 24, 2012
18,812
119
500
#29
Predicting EARLY this time so I don't forget and my predictions don't get counted in the regular rankings.

[360] 51K
[3DS] 110K
[PS3] 31K
[PS4] 206K
[WIU] 94K
[XB1] 132K

Figures subject to change as more information comes in about retail insights.
 
Nov 30, 2007
22,332
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#30
[360] 50K
[3DS] 120K
[PS3] 30K
[PS4] 215K
[WIU] 90K
[XB1] 170K

edit: going with last months weeklies, with a small bump to XB1 for its first full month at $399
 
May 31, 2013
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#32
[PS4] 205k
[XB1] 120k
[WIU] 85k
[PS3] 30k
[360] 45k
If you want your predictions counted towards points/rankings you have to predict for all consoles, or rather any console you don't predict for, donny will assume your prediction is 0 units sold.

IE make some prediction for 3DS if you want to compete for points/rankings :)
 
Nov 2, 2013
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#37
Best Buy observations July:


Ps4 remained consistent, as it seems it will stay. It's kind of interesting seeing that we've gotten more Destiny bundle preorders, but the system hasn't really lost any steam.

XB1 is not setting the world on fire, but at least the districts I checked it's still selling, even if it's not really great numbers. We're getting fewer shipments that last longer. Most of my stores are still working off their first shipments of the kinectless bundle.

WiiU is hard to gauge... it feels like it is doing better in some stores, but it's not a universal upswell.

Vita remains mostly impossible to get solid stock... but it sells out as soon as it arrives! I asked our Sony rep, and he was noncommittal about a straight answer, as though even he's not sure.
 
Oct 27, 2013
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#41
Best Buy observations July:


Ps4 remained consistent, as it seems it will stay. It's kind of interesting seeing that we've gotten more Destiny bundle preorders, but the system hasn't really lost any steam.

XB1 is not setting the world on fire, but at least the districts I checked it's still selling, even if it's not really great numbers. We're getting fewer shipments that last longer. Most of my stores are still working off their first shipments of the kinectless bundle.

WiiU is hard to gauge... it feels like it is doing better in some stores, but it's not a universal upswell.

Vita remains mostly impossible to get solid stock... but it sells out as soon as it arrives! I asked our Sony rep, and he was noncommittal about a straight answer, as though even he's not sure.
Thanks!
 

Into

Member
Aug 20, 2012
8,460
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#44
Everything will be 15-20% lower, X factors could be that MK8 can keep Wii U from dropping that much. TLOU wont have much effect, next month it will, however significant.

Will come back with some numbers
 
Jun 1, 2013
5,534
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Parts Unknown
#46
[360] 48K
[3DS] 98K
[PS3] 32K
[PS4] 289K
[WIU] 100K
[XB1] 190K

[360] 42K
[3DS] 115K
[PS3] 36K
[PS4] 296K
[WIU] 76K
[XB1] 103K

TLOU:RE and Destiny Beta boost for PS4. Xbox One is getting back to low numbers after Kinectess SKU sales.
Even when it's a 4 week month (compared to June's 5 week month)???
And TLOU:R was only 5 days on the market.

 

Eolz

Member
Jun 1, 2014
10,185
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UK, sometimes France
#49
Thanks as always Aquamarine and Abdiel.
Any numbers for ps3/wii/360 first july?

[360] 49K
[3DS] 111K
[PS3] 28K
[PS4] 213K
[WIU] 99K
[XB1] 132K

[PSV] 8K

Subject to change obviously, as I'm lowballing a lot so far. Shame WiiU isn't included for points.