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March 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes April 14th

slavesnyder

Member
Nov 18, 2013
4,304
0
355
1) It's not about making people believe its exclusive to one platform, its about associating that brand with a specific platform. Destiny is best on PS4, Call Of Duty is best on Xbox....etc.
This would be the second best possibility. But the best would be to make people believe that it's exclusive. And that happened with destiny a lot. The majority of people are not following gaming news at all. they watch TV ads.

2. I think it would be in EAs best interest to not take any sides with this game.
If they do not partner with anyone - so be it. But I think they will. And nice extra conditions and marketing push will of course be in the interest of EA, especially with the mad lineup of huge games all aroiund.
 

ZhugeEX

Banned
May 23, 2013
5,915
0
0
twitter.com
Sony need to get someone to write a new PR statement, it's been the same every month since forever.

“We are truly honored PlayStation 4 is the top-selling console and No. 1 in software sales again according to NPD sales data for March 2015. PS4 remains the cumulative sales leader both globally and in the United States and we want to thank gamers worldwide for their ongoing support.”
 

Rajang

Member
Nov 28, 2014
5,767
0
345
Software
Battlefield: Hardline (Xbox One, PlayStation 4, 360, PS3, PC)
Bloodborne (PS4)
Grand Theft Auto V (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3)
Mario Party 10 (Wii U) (sold 290,000 copies physical and digital, according to Nintendo)
Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
MLB 15: The Show (PS4, PS3)
Minecraft (360, PS3, Xbox One, PS4)
NBA 2K15 (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
Borderlands: The Handsome Collection (PS4, Xbox One)
Final Fantasy: Type 0 HD (PS4, Xbox One)
Yup, just as I thought.

BF #1.
BB #2.
 

Soultaker0220

Member
Nov 10, 2014
334
0
0
Sweden
Software
Battlefield: Hardline (Xbox One, PlayStation 4, 360, PS3, PC)
Bloodborne (PS4)
Grand Theft Auto V (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3)
Mario Party 10 (Wii U) (sold 290,000 copies physical and digital, according to Nintendo)
Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
MLB 15: The Show (PS4, PS3)
Minecraft (360, PS3, Xbox One, PS4)
NBA 2K15 (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
Borderlands: The Handsome Collection (PS4, Xbox One)
Final Fantasy: Type 0 HD (PS4, Xbox One)
Call of duty sold more on ps4 than x1, and gtav sold more on x1. Weird very weird
 

Bgamer90

Banned
Mar 20, 2007
20,961
0
0
Software
Battlefield: Hardline (Xbox One, PlayStation 4, 360, PS3, PC)
Bloodborne (PS4)
Grand Theft Auto V (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3)
Mario Party 10 (Wii U) (sold 290,000 copies physical and digital, according to Nintendo)
Call of Duty: Advanced Warfare (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
MLB 15: The Show (PS4, PS3)
Minecraft (360, PS3, Xbox One, PS4)
NBA 2K15 (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
Borderlands: The Handsome Collection (PS4, Xbox One)
Final Fantasy: Type 0 HD (PS4, Xbox One)
Surprised that Battlefield did better on Xbox One while COD did better on PS4. Would have expected the vice versa.
 

Kysen

Member
Oct 6, 2012
5,397
1
0
Wow type 0 bombed and BB putting in work #2. Such a shame Sony spent all that money on the Order for little return.
 

Dynomutt

Member
Jan 5, 2014
5,297
2
520
Sony need to get someone to write a new PR statement, it's been the same every month since forever.

“We are truly honored PlayStation 4 is the top-selling console and No. 1 in software sales again according to NPD sales data for March 2015. PS4 remains the cumulative sales leader both globally and in the United States and we want to thank gamers worldwide for their ongoing support.”
It's humble. They're learning from the PS3 debacle. As a PS fan I don't mind.

Anyone plan on going to PS experience this year?

I assume sarcasm.
 

Elandyll

Banned
Oct 13, 2014
7,121
0
0
Arizona
Definitely seems like there were many PS4 owners who bought both games (Battlefield & Bloodborne) last month.

If I was a betting man (I am not), I'd say there 's imo a good chance that the individual SKU of Bloodborne > PS4 SKU of Hardline. Perhaps even the XB1 as well.
 
Jun 18, 2014
1,841
0
0
Seoul, South Korea
270K 3DS? 80K WiiU? Niiiiiiiiice^^

"[3DS] 270K
[PS4] 430K
[WIU] 80K
[XB1] 280K


Edit: I am a card carrying member of optimistic Gaf, but I may be thinking too highly of the New 3DS after its (understandably strong) launch month. Down you go, prediction numbers."


Holy moly at that edit! Great start. I am still pretty confident in my Xbox1 number, so don't let me down, PS4!
 

donny2112

Member
Apr 18, 2005
18,797
1
0
270K 3DS? 80K WiiU? Niiiiiiiiice^^
"Almost 80%" I'm pegging at 78-79%, since 76-77% would've been too easy to say "over 75%." That puts 3DS at ~265K. "Over 20%", I'm going with 21-22%, which would put Wii U at 86K. However, since this isn't an exact number and I like to use multiples of 5 for uncertain stuff like that, it'd be ~85K.

Just waiting on PS4 and XB1 ... (^_^)
 
Jun 18, 2014
1,841
0
0
Seoul, South Korea
"Almost 80%" I'm pegging at 78-79%, since 76-77% would've been too easy to say "over 75%." That puts 3DS at ~265K. "Over 20%", I'm going with 21-22%, which would put Wii U at 86K. However, since this isn't an exact number and I like to use multiples of 5 for uncertain stuff like that, it'd be ~85K.

Just waiting on PS4 and XB1 ... (^_^)
I will take within 5K^^ Thanks! Still no word on the HD twins?
 

theprodigy

Member
Aug 25, 2013
24,331
0
0
so GAF aggregate overshot PS4 pretty badly, very slightly undershot 3DS, slightly overshot XB1, and nailed Wii U

not bad
 

donny2112

Member
Apr 18, 2005
18,797
1
0
Wii U: 85k (assuming)

Xbox One: 236k

PS4: 340k
Yea! (^_^)

NeoGAF Prediction Results - March 2015

Units

1. allan-bh - 30,000
2. Megadragon15 - 34,000
3. Gbpackers31 - 39,000
4. shinra-bansho - 40,000
5. vinnygambini - 47,000
6. BlackJace - 52,000
6. doicare - 52,000
8. Burbeting - 54,000
8. anexanhume - 54,000
10. Ombala - 61,000
11. freefornow - 62,000
12. CaviarMeths - 64,000
13. FullMetaltech - 67,000
13. Untalkative_Bunny - 67,000
15. 2thepoint - 69,000
15. Chobel - 69,000
15. Kill3r7 - 69,000
15. Wynnebeck - 69,000
19. Jigorath - 71,000
19. Stilton Disco - 71,000
21. metalslimer - 72,000
22. Javin98 - 74,000
22. archnemesis - 74,000
22. ascii42 - 74,000
25. ConfusedGamer - 76,000
25. Gotdatmoney - 76,000
27. Nictel - 77,000
28. Welfare - 79,000
29. Jimmyfenix - 80,000
30. Asd202 - 81,000
31. Lexxus - 82,000
32. madp0k - 83,000
33. GAF_Agg - 83,700
34. prag16 - 84,000
35. Bruno MB - 86,000
35. donny2112 - 86,000
37. Death2494 - 88,000
38. AniHawk - 89,000
39. wachie - 90,000
40. michaelius - 96,000
41. Mpl90 - 98,064
42. NateDrake - 99,000
43. bud23 - 104,000
43. onQ123 - 104,000
45. Sangetsu-II - 109,000
46. EmptySpace - 112,000
47. Elfstruck - 114,000
48. Violence Jack - 116,000
49. theprodigy - 117,000
50. I2amza - 118,000
51. Tratorn - 118,443
52. KillerMan91 - 119,000
52. Rand6 - 119,000
54. TomShoe - 120,000
55. Jamix012 - 121,000
56. Sterok - 124,000
56. Vena - 124,000
58. Conduit - 126,000
59. BlackBuzzard - 127,000
60. Intrigue - 129,000
60. Nouzka - 129,000
60. jjonez18 - 129,000
63. BlowoverKing - 136,000
63. Darth Smurf X - 136,000
63. Pillville - 136,000
66. 1st Course - 139,000
66. Bgamer90 - 139,000
68. John Bender - 144,000
68. Randolph Freelander - 144,000
68. Trust me, I'm a PhD - 144,000
68. jayu26 - 144,000
68. orfax - 144,000
68. pitseleh - 144,000
74. slavesnyder - 145,000
75. noobie - 146,000
76. Road - 148,442
77. CorporateClown - 149,000
77. Crimson_Gold - 149,000
79. RexNovis - 153,000
80. Zok310 - 154,000
80. aaronwt - 154,000
82. gtj1092 - 160,000
83. 5Twist - 164,000
83. tearsintherain - 164,000
85. Serenity - 165,000
86. ArchedThunder - 166,000
86. jroc74 - 166,000
88. Kenzodielocke - 172,000
89. Elios83 - 174,000
90. Krakn3Dfx - 178,000
91. Circinus - 179,000
91. GifGafIsTheBestGaf - 179,000
91. TheCarrotKiller - 179,000
94. harrisk954 - 186,000
95. DieH@rd - 189,000
95. Relativ9 - 189,000
97. Elandyll - 191,000
97. Muzin - 191,000
97. mejin - 191,000
100. Rymuth - 192,000
100. astrogamer - 192,000
102. Ch┐ Totoro - 193,000
103. koshunter - 194,000
104. DrWong - 196,000
105. GamerJM - 198,000
106. Akainu - 201,000
106. Griml┐ck - 201,000
108. xehanort - 203,000
109. small44 - 204,000
110. damisa - 206,000
111. Kayant - 209,000
111. ethomaz - 209,000
113. Delusibeta - 214,000
113. RamzaIsCool - 214,000
113. skedar897 - 214,000
116. Duxxy3 - 219,000
117. monegames - 229,000
118. Maxxan - 234,000
118. red720 - 234,000
120. vin-buc - 237,000
121. Dedication Through Light - 239,000
122. whateverblah - 241,000
123. KenPokesBarbie - 244,000
124. Achire - 274,000
125. Pachter - 279,000
126. ghost4soul - 284,000
127. Prototype Viktor - 285,000
128. Dodecagon - 289,000
129. IAmRandom31 - 306,000
130. Grimgrillz - 310,000
131. Zero-Crescent - 314,000
132. bananafactory - 331,000
133. wiggandylan - 343,000
134. ninjabat - 359,000
135. Hammer24 - 438,000
136. AmaterasuOni - 456,000
137. Turkoop - 476,000
138. OccamsLightsaber - 581,000


Points
Code:
     March 2015                      Overall 2015 Top (2/3)
01.  allan-bh               123.78   donny2112              219.81
02.  Megadragon15           117.85   allan-bh               217.56
03.  Gbpackers31            116.48   madp0k                 212.14
04.  shinra-bansho          115.66   shinra-bansho          211.23
05.  BlackJace              109.90   Megadragon15           210.20
06.  anexanhume             108.34   Gbpackers31            208.43
07.  Burbeting              106.27   archnemesis            206.42
08.  freefornow             103.47   Welfare                204.57
09.  2thepoint              103.38   astrogamer             201.18
10.  Wynnebeck              103.25   Untalkative_Bunny      200.28
11.  Untalkative_Bunny      103.19   prag16                 198.09
12.  Jigorath               103.05   vinnygambini           197.69
13.  madp0k                 103.03   Javin98                197.65
14.  CaviarMeths            103.01   Jamix012               197.38
15.  Javin98                102.90   doicare                196.76
16.  Nictel                 102.76   Asd202                 196.14
17.  ascii42                102.69   Final Verdict          195.95
18.  vinnygambini           102.18   Sangetsu-II            195.16
19.  FullMetaltech          101.91   freefornow             194.04
20.  Stilton Disco          101.09   RexNovis               193.97
21.  Asd202                 101.07   ascii42                193.94
22.  Chobel                 100.90   Chobel                 192.45
23.  Sangetsu-II            100.80   BlackBuzzard           192.07
24.  Death2494               99.97   michaelius             191.85
25.  prag16                  99.80   Mpl90                  191.55
26.  Mpl90                   99.73   Darth Smurf X          191.25
27.  donny2112               99.54   Ombala                 191.16
28.  doicare                 99.47   John Bender            189.42
29.  michaelius              99.09   noobie                 189.22
30.  Jimmyfenix              99.03   Lexxus                 187.68
31.  NateDrake               98.23   wachie                 187.50
32.  onQ123                  98.19   Bruno MB               186.50
33.  BlowoverKing            97.55   bud23                  185.48
34.  bud23                   97.55   ConfusedGamer          185.45
35.  Nouzka                  97.36   Kill3r7                185.42
36.  Intrigue                96.89   Rymuth                 185.38
37.  I2amza                  96.78   Pillville              185.25
38.  Violence Jack           96.36   slavesnyder            184.87
39.  Kenzodielocke           95.98   KillerMan91            184.81
40.  orfax                   95.83   skedar897              184.63
41.  Jamix012                95.80   RespectThySole         184.51
42.  RexNovis                95.71   I2amza                 183.08
43.  Sterok                  95.63   Nictel                 182.86
44.  noobie                  95.36   metalslimer            182.78
45.  Zok310                  95.33   Xando                  182.71
46.  Ombala                  95.25   CorporateClown         182.61
47.  Darth Smurf X           94.89   jayu26                 182.32
48.  John Bender             94.41   Road                   181.19
49.  EmptySpace              93.83   Zero-Crescent          181.11
50.  jroc74                  93.43   Sterok                 180.66
Congratulations, allan-bh! :D
 

ZSaberLink

Media Create Maven
Jul 29, 2010
4,415
222
1,040
Thanks for the release chart Aqua! Hope everything's going well for you :).

You quoted me just as I was editing my post about Type 0, haha. As to Mario Party... it looks like some folks picked it up, but it didn't really seem to be all that impressive.
Clearly Mario Party isn't the type of game to be bought at Best Buy (I'm assuming you would have had a more positive comment if it had looked like a 290K+ seller).
 

donny2112

Member
Apr 18, 2005
18,797
1
0
Yes, I won...second time I win a single month.

Be careful donny, I want to be annual champion again :)
PS4 held much better than I anticipated. Almost no drop from February -> March in weekly rates. Everything else was pretty much in line, though.

As for the annual ranking, I consider it a good year if I can make the Top 10 for the year. Anything higher is gravy. (^_^)

Good luck and great month!
 

allan-bh

Member
May 16, 2006
6,562
1
1,290
PS4 held much better than I anticipated. Almost no drop from February -> March in weekly rates. Everything else was pretty much in line, though.

As for the annual ranking, I consider it a good year if I can make the Top 10 for the year. Anything higher is gravy. (^_^)

Good luck and great month!
Yeah, originally my prediction was lower for PS4, all the talk around Bloodborne made me believe that helped to push the hardware.

About annual ranking, is very hard, being in top 10 is enough for be pleased.
 

GamerJM

Banned
May 19, 2013
11,841
2
0
California
Sub-100 and out of the top 50. I need to actually think about my predictions, this month I just kind of vaguely looked at trends for a couple minutes and decided from there not realizing that I was too high on everything.
 

Xenus

Member
Jul 5, 2013
1,600
0
0
Sub-100 and out of the top 50. I need to actually think about my predictions, this month I just kind of vaguely looked at trends for a couple minutes and decided from there not realizing that I was too high on everything.
Lol I did that my first month and then gracefully bowed out while I was on top.. In the top 10