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[gerg]

So, FFXIII is the only PS3 game in the entire top 50?

Typo. The PS3 has four games in the top 50; the PS2 only has one.

 

[Culex]

So, FFXIII is the only PS3 game in the entire top 50?

Not too surprising. Major release means everyone is going to purchase FFXIII and nothing else.

Given the trending of NSMB for the DS, 3 million is a lock for NSMBWii. It's most likely already passed 2 million as we speak. It'll be interesting to see how it holds up in week 4, too and I'm betting it's at least 300k.

 

[Chris1964]

Media Create predicts a LTD of 1,93-1,95m LTD for FFXIII, comparing it to X-2 and XII. Everything is down comparing to the same week last year (PS2 and PSP are the biggest percentage losers) except for PS3 and Wii.

 

[Cygnus X-1]

Media Create predicts a LTD of 1,93-1,95m LTD for FFXIII, comparing it to X-2 and XII. Everything is down comparing to the same week last year (PS2 and PSP are the biggest percentage losers) except for PS3 and Wii.

So, basically Media Create predicts a no-holiday effect at all. Why should it be?

 

[Chris1964]

Given the trending of NSMB for the DS, 3 million is a lock for NSMBWii. It's most likely already passed 2 million as we speak. It'll be interesting to see how it holds up in week 4, too and I'm betting it's at least 300k.

You continue to underestimate NSMBW by much. It's not going to fall below 400k next week and it will be close to 3 million two weeks from now. We can have and this week's prediction results using Media Create. Neither Famitsu gave first day sales and we have to wait one more week (or even more) for top 30.

 

[Baron Doggystyle von Woof]

damn. Nintendo DS almost at 30 million.

Japan has almost 130 million people, so that means 1 out of 4 japanese has one!

Spoiler

I know, some people rebuy it etc

 

[ksamedi]

So, basically Media Create predicts a no-holiday effect at all. Why should it be?

I think we should also take into account the limited user base of the PS3 compared to the other systems FF appeared on.

 

[Culex]

You continue to underestimate NSMBW by much. It's not going to fall below 400k next week and it will be close to 3 million two weeks from now. We can have and this week's prediction results using Media Create. Neither Famitsu gave first day sales and we have to wait one more week (or even more) for top 30.

It's tough because aren't the next two weeks after the 20th, the most sales-intensive for the year? You think it's possible that NSMBWii could sell MORE in week 4 than 3?

 

[duckroll]

There's a problem in the combined PSP LTD. It's exactly the same as the normal PSP LTD.

 

[Chris1964]

It's tough because aren't the next two weeks after the 20th, the most sales-intensive for the year? You think it's possible that NSMBWii could sell MORE in week 4 than 3?

Next two weeks are also huge weeks. NSMB can sell more than 800k if there is the supply.

Wii performance after price cut

week	 2007	 2008	 2009
 40	 20.704	 25.330	 35.392
 41	 20.575	 22.877	 30.741
 42	 24.932	 26.024	 29.965
 43	 27.502	 24.292	 25.917
 44	 37.617	 23.123	 28.888
 45	 34.546	 24.726	 31.810
 46	 36.230	 26.787	 26.764
 47	 54.362	 35.298	 32.844
 48	 74.764	 49.848	 46.673
 49	115.057	 56.702	106.555
 50	170.558	 91.641	135.898
 51	232.907	131.054	191.915
 52	152.209	134.958

WII YTD: 1.747.238
PS3 YTD: 1.654.012
DIF YTD: 93.226

 

[DarkMehm]

There's a problem in the combined PSP LTD. It's exactly the same as the normal PSP LTD.

That's not the only problem. I have 13.432.819 for PSP + PSP Go. Thats a 64k difference. :/

 

[Chris1964]

There's a problem in the combined PSP LTD. It's exactly the same as the normal PSP LTD.

Fixed and that. There aren't any other errors. sNot that it makes a big difference. That's what happen when you hurry to go home from work.

 

[duckroll]

I can't fault anyone for forgetting about the Go, since it seems the Japanese market already has. :lol

 

[Chris1964]

That's not the only problem. I have 13.432.819 for PSP + PSP Go. Thats a 64k difference. :/

Check geimin.net. They had updated PSP LTD until 2007 and added 63.481 systems to the running sum.

 

[danielijohnson]

Here we go.

Week 2:
Week 1:

Am I going crazy? Isn't this graph missing Sunshine?

 

[Parl]

So, basically Media Create predicts a no-holiday effect at all. Why should it be?

The holiday effect was part of the reason FF13 didn't fall so much from its bigger predecessors.

 

[manueldelalas]

There's a problem in the combined PSP LTD. It's exactly the same as the normal PSP LTD.

I thought this was sarcasm :lol

 

[Kishgal]

Am I going crazy? Isn't this graph missing Sunshine?

Apparently, Sunshine sold 790k LTD, so you can imagine it at the very far left!

 

[DDayton]

Apparently, Sunshine sold 790k LTD, so you can imagine it at the very far left!

I wonder what Super Mario USA sold...

 

[danielijohnson]

Apparently, Sunshine sold 790k LTD, so you can imagine it at the very far left!

I'll assume that's why it was left off.:lol

What's REALLY impressive is that every single DS/Wii game gained over last weeks sales.

*Note* There is a question as to whether Layton did better this week, since it was 11 on the charts last week, but either way the numbers are so close that it either gained a little, or stayed the same.

 

[duckroll]

With Famitsu leaks supposedly plugged, I guess we won't find out how ToG did after its first week for a long time. :lol

 

[Moor-Angol]

50. / 00. [WII] Minna ga Shuyaku no NHK Kouhaku Quiz Kassen (Nintendo)

probably the biggest bomba for a nintendo game...

 

[Kenka]

With Famitsu leaks supposedly plugged, I guess we won't find out how ToG did after its first week for a long time. :lol

In a week or so when we get official numbers.

Will NSMB Wii reach SMW ?

 

[Yoshi]

Pokémon Gold / Silver sales are also awesome, I wonder how they compare to the other Pokémons and big RPGs? It's a remake but it seems to sell about on par with what Dragon Quest usually does oO. More than 100.000 units after having sold more than 3 millions is incredible imo.

 

[Oxx]

I know this is a bit of an exceptional week, and I'm sure it has happened before, but... DS hardware in third position is a bit of a shock.

 

[Nirolak]

In a week or so when we get official numbers.

Will NSMB Wii reach SMW ?

At this rate, it has a chance to beat Super Mario Land.

Albeit it might be a while.

 

[Chris1964]

With Famitsu leaks supposedly plugged, I guess we won't find out how ToG did after its first week for a long time. :lol

We already know what Graces sold at its second week.
http://thedrill.no-blog.jp/
(A little different Media Create numbers from the actual so that Media Create doesn't shut them down)

 

[Nirolak]

We already know what Graces sold at its second week.
http://thedrill.no-blog.jp/
(A little different Media Create numbers from the actual so that Media Create doesn't shut them down)

So is Graces looking like its LTD will be less than ToS: DotNW?

 

[duckroll]

We already know what Graces sold at its second week.
http://thedrill.no-blog.jp/
(A little different Media Create numbers from the actual so that Media Create doesn't shut them down)

Wow. That's pretty shit. It's going to struggle hard to even do 200k.

 

[gkryhewy]

In a week or so when we get official numbers.

Will NSMB Wii reach SMW ?

Will it reach it? It might pass it in 3 weeks.

 

[wrowa]

My god. ToG is a complete bomb. And surely the last Tales the Wii got. I hope Team Destiny isn't going to suffer from this.

 

[Kenka]

Another question :

will FF XII end in the top 5 software YTD ? From what I remember, Poké, DQIX, Tomodatchi and Mario will end up ahead. Is there another piece of software that did sell more this year ?

 

[ZoddGutts]

Yikes at ToG. It preform worse than I thought for it's second weak.

 

[The Hermit]

Incredible PS3 and Wii Performance...

 

[Road]

Another question :

will FF XII end in the top 5 software YTD ? From what I remember, Poké, DQIX, Tomodatchi and Mario will end up ahead. Is there another piece of software that did sell more this year ?

Yes, it will. And no, there isn't. WSR is the closest, but I doubt it'll outsell FFXIII within the year (it will in the long run, probably, though.)

 

[Bel Marduk]

We already know what Graces sold at its second week.
http://thedrill.no-blog.jp/
(A little different Media Create numbers from the actual so that Media Create doesn't shut them down)

Wait...how does this add up? ToG sold 143k FW in MC so 24700 sold should mean LTD at this point are at 167700 not 158300. Or am I missing something?

 

[Road]

So, basically Media Create predicts a no-holiday effect at all. Why should it be?

Yes, it will. But it won't matter much because the problem is not that people don't want to buy FF, but that whoever wants to buy it will have cheaper used copies available as an option after the first week.

Wait...how does this add up? ToG sold 143k FW in Famitsu so 24700 sold should mean LTD at this point are at 167700 not 158300. Or am I missing something?

That blog works with MC numbers but the guy alters them (add or subtract a little), probably so MC won't go after him.

 

[Sage00]

Wait...how does this add up? ToG sold 143k FW in Famitsu so 24700 sold should mean LTD at this point are at 167700 not 158300. Or am I missing something?

They change the numbers slightly. A ~10k deviation is well within the norm over a 2 week period.

 

[velvet_nitemare]

Y2Kev was right...Tales of disGraces indeed.

 

[Bel Marduk]

Eh...10k difference still seems like much with this game so will wait for real numbers. I was expecting a 30k second week to put it at 173k.

 

[Brofist]

Yes, it will. But it won't matter much because the problem is not that people don't want to buy FF, but that whoever wants to buy it will have cheaper used copies available as an option after the first week.

I think the effect of used copied at this point is being overestimated. We are probably talking a swing of 1-2k in sales at best in next weeks numbers. In a month or so new sales may hit the skids because of the amount of used copies.

 

[Sage00]

Eh...10k difference still seems like much with this game so will wait for real numbers. I was expecting a 30k second week to put it at 173k.

Well that would mean an even bigger deviation in SW3's numbers, since it's above ToG in the MC chart. There's no basis in believing it did higher over lower, or the same.

 

[Road]

Tales of Graces debuted way higher than MW2 and one week later than SW3 and is already below both. You know how this will end.

 

[Jaruru]

wow, NSMBWii's number looks sooooo good. (clap for FFXIII too)
keep it on! glad to see all those holiday sales figure

 

[schuelma]

I'm happy to see the PSPgo also got a nice holiday push.

Souldriver how could Wii have its highest sales in 2 years the same week the PS3 had its highest week ever. I don't get it!

 

[schuelma]

Yup Graces is indeed headed towards bomba territory. I think it will crawl past 200K since I think that was the shipment, but that's about it.

On another note, SW3 held up pretty well and could get past 250K if it has a good couple weeks.

Oh and Taiko 2 Wii could pass 200K in the next 2 weeks which would be pretty impressive given where it started.

 

[Sage00]

That's a very good point. How do total hardware sales this week compare to historical highs? The power of all markets old and new, core and casual, existing as one, beautiful. :'(

 

[thestopsign]

That's a very good point. How do total hardware sales this week compare to historical highs? The power of all markets old and new, core and casual, existing as one, beautiful. :'(

I'm sure the 2005 holiday season blows this out of the water. The DS sold 600k alone in one week. The 2006 season would probably be a runner up.

 

[Chris1964]

Since Media Create is again our official tracker .

After 3 weeks:
[WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) - 567.890 / 1.933.827
[NDS] New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) - 244.882 / 1.478.608

After 27 weeks:
[NDS] Friend Collection (Nintendo) - 165.575 / 2.089.946
[NDS] Animal Crossing: Wild World (Nintendo) - 36.610 / 2.746.097

After 15 weeks:
[NDS] Pokemon Heart Gold / Soul Silver (Pokemon Co.) - 111.454 / 3.339.872
[NDS] Pokemon Diamond (Pokemon Co.) - 94.370 / 2.479.819
[NDS] Pokemon Pearl (Pokemon Co.) - 78.398 / 2.054.443

After 12 weeks:
[WII] Wii Fit Plus (Nintendo) - 92.561 / 1.201.258
[WII] Wii Fit (Nintendo) - 62.769 / 1.484.015

After 4 weeks:
[NDS] Professor Layton and the Flute of Malevolent Destiny (Level 5) - 54.128 / 496.000
[NDS] Professor Layton and the Last Time Travel (Level 5) - no numbers (18th position)
[NDS] Professor Layton and the Diabolical Box (Level 5) - 83.293 / 527.177
[NDS] Professor Layton and the Curious Village (Level 5) - 45.344 / 266.017

 

[schuelma]

Since Media Create is again our official tracker .

I will never give in, and will put my hands over my ears until we get the Famitsu numbers a week later!