Media Create Sales: November 22-28

Jun 7, 2004
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rosjos44 said:
MHP3 - 2.27 to 2.3 million sold for next weeks figures. I do not think it will surpass black and white sales but it will be close. I think this one is more front loaded simply because how 2, 2G gained popularity over time.
The first week sales could definitely be close, but I don't think the LTD will be anything close to Pokemon at all. Especially not when a lot of people will also be waiting on the budget release and/or 3rd G.
 
Nov 4, 2009
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duckroll said:
The first week sales could definitely be close, but I don't think the LTD will be anything close to Pokemon at all. Especially not when a lot of people will also be waiting on the budget release and/or 3rd G.
The reason I think LTD might be above it is because of what happened to 2nd and 2nd G. I think most people won't want to wait it out this time since they've been "bitten" by the bug, so to speak.
 
Jun 7, 2004
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BladeoftheImmortal said:
The reason I think LTD might be above it is because of what happened to 2nd and 2nd G. I think most people won't want to wait it out this time since they've been "bitten" by the bug, so to speak.
Pokemon B&W is likely to end up with over 5 million LTD. If you add MHP2, MHP2G, MHP2G The Best, and MHP2G The Best Reprint, you will get over 5 million LTD. Think about that for a moment.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
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21. / 00. [PSP] Shin Koihime Musou: Otome Ryouran Sangokushi Engi - Shu-Hen (Yeti) {25/11/10}
22. / 23. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) {10/04/08}
23. / 27. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) {03/12/09}
24. / 00. [360] DoDonPachi Daifukkatsu (Cave) {25/11/10}
25. / 15. [PS3] Dragon Ball: Raging Blast 2 (Bandai Namco) {11/11/10}
26. / 00. [PSP] Kingdom: Ikkitousen no Ken (Konami) {25/11/10}
27. / 22. [WII] Wii Fit Plus (Nintendo) {01/10/09}
28. / 34. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) {27/05/10}
29. / 00. [PSP] Miyako (Idea Factory) {25/11/10}
30. / 12. [PSP] Criminal Girls (Nippon Ichi Software) {18/11/10}
31. / 16. [PS2] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) {18/11/10}
32. / 39. [NDS] Art Academy (Nintendo) {19/06/10}
33. / 21. [NDS] More! Stitch! DS Scribble Battle Through Rhythm DS (Disney Interactive) {18/11/10}
34. / 37. [NDS] New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) {25/05/06}
35. / 28. [NDS] Tamagotchi no Narikiri Challenge (Bandai Namco) {11/11/10}
36. / 00. [PSP] Tears to Tiara: Kakan no Daichi Portable (Aqua Plus) {25/11/10}
37. / 10. [PS3] Record of Agarest War 2 (Compile Heart) {18/11/10}
38. / 07. [360] Call of Duty: Black Ops (Subtitled Edition) (Square Enix) {18/11/10}
39. / 00. [PSP] Ishin Renka: Ryouma Gaiden (D3 Publisher) {25/11/10}
40. / 31. [PSP] Monster Hunter Freedom Unite [PSP the Best Reprint] (Capcom) {24/12/09}
41. / 44. [NDS] Friend Collection (Nintendo) {18/06/09}
42. / 36. [PS3] Beat Sketch! (SCE) {21/10/10}
43. / 13. [PS3] Gekiatsu!! Pachi Game Tamashi: CR Evangelion - Hajimari no Fukuin (Fields) {18/11/10}
44. / 20. [WII] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) {18/11/10}
45. / 30. [NDS] Kingdom Hearts Re:coded (Square Enix) {07/10/10}
46. / 25. [WII] FlingSmash (Nintendo) {18/11/10}
47. / 00. [WII] Anpanman Niki Noki Party (Agatsuma Entertainment) {25/11/10}
48. / 32. [PS3] Resident Evil 5: Gold Edition [PlayStation 3 the Best] (Capcom) {11/11/10}
49. / 00. [NDS] Gokujou!! Mecha Mote Iinchou: MM My Best Friend! (Konami) {25/11/10}
50. / 38. [NDS] One Piece: Gigant Battle (Bandai Namco) {09/09/10}

00. / 00. [ALL] Weekly Software Sales (All Publishers) {22/11/10} - 1.479.110 / 51.773.408 (+62%)


NDS - 14
PSP - 12
WII - 12
PS3 - 9
360 - 2
PS2 - 1
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
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duckroll said:
Pokemon B&W is likely to end up with over 5 million LTD. If you add MHP2, MHP2G, MHP2G The Best, and MHP2G The Best Reprint, you will get over 5 million LTD. Think about that for a moment.
LTD or YTD? There are 4 more weeks for 2010 (5 for Media Create) and it is at 4,5 million.
 
Apr 20, 2006
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duckroll said:
Pokemon B&W is likely to end up with over 5 million LTD. If you add MHP2, MHP2G, MHP2G The Best, and MHP2G The Best Reprint, you will get over 5 million LTD. Think about that for a moment.
all i think about is why you combined the sales of p2 and p2g but not pokemon black/white and the inevitable pokemon gray version?
 
Jun 7, 2004
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Kenka said:
Yeah. But the fronloaded nature of this entry of the series has me worried. What's the eaning of it ?
If Pokemon Black and White were 3DS games instead, would they have sold 2.6 million in 2 days? Probably not, because they wouldn't have had the prior build up with a previous series. BW were able to have a lot of their sales early on because the Pokemon fanbase already had their DS systems as a result of buying 1 of the 5 previously released versions on DS.

BW will do fine this holiday. I think it'll only pass 100K once in December, but that's really all it needs. I don't expect Pokemon Gray for another 18 months at the very least, and I think that'll end up being a 3DS-only title. BW will sell for a long time.
 
Jun 7, 2004
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It's interesting how I have no idea what some people are trying to discuss any longer. My example was a simple and specific one meant to point out that in order for MPH3 to even have any remote hope of outselling Pokemon B/W, it would need to pretty much hit the max ceiling of total potential consumers who would buy a MHP game today - and possibly more than that.
 

Road

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Dengeki Sales, Nov 22 - 28, 2010:

01. / 00. [PS3] Gran Turismo 5 (SCE) - 398,035 / 398,035
02. / 00. [NDS] Super Robot Taisen L (Bandai Namco) - 117,723 / 117,723
03. / 00. [WII] Mario Sports Mix (Nintendo) - 83,968 / 83,968
04. / 03. [WII] Super Mario All-Stars: Limited Edition (Nintendo) - 52,487 / 612,196
05. / 00. [PSP] Dangan-Ronpa (Spike) - 32,915 / 32,915
06. / 01. [PS3] Call of Duty: Black Ops (Subtitled Edition) (Square Enix) - 28,806 / 154,019
07. / 02. [NDS] Super Fossil Fighters (Nintendo) - 28,335 / 73,941
08. / 00. [NDS] Power Pro Kun Pocket 13 (Konami) - 23,722 / 23,722
09. / 09. [NDS] Pokemon Black (Pokemon) - 21,829 / 2,336,635
10. / 00. [PSP] Little Busters! Converted Edition (Prototype) - 21,724 / 21,724
11. / 07. [NDS] Tongari Boushi to Mahou no Omise (Konami) - 21,583 / 90,889
12. / 16. [WII] Wii Party (Nintendo) - 21,340 / 1,200,339
13. / 11. [NDS] Pokemon White (Pokemon) - 19,265 / 2,152,829
14. / 18. [WII] Wii Sports Resort (Nintendo) - 19,140 / 2,028,032
15. / 04. [PSP] Pro Evolution Soccer 2011 (Konami) - 16,784 / 54,651
16. / 00. [PS3] Trinity: Souls of Zill O'll (Koei Tecmo) - 16,595 / 16,595
17. / 05. [PSP] Tactics Ogre: Let Us Cling Together (Square Enix) - 16,394 / 216,221
18. / 00. [NDS] Minna to Kimi no Piramekino! (Bandai Namco) - 13,444 / 13,444
19. / 00. [PSP] Shin Koihime Musou: Otome Ryouran Sangokushi Engi - Shu-Hen (Yeti) - 13,181 / 13,181
20. / 13. [PS3] Pro Evolution Soccer 2011 (Konami) - 12,406 / 340,047



Other software (first week / LTD):
[PS2] Gran Turismo 4 (SCE) - 692,000 / 1,043,000
[PS3] Final Fantasy XIII (Square Enix) - 1,456,000 / 1,889,000
[PS3] Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots (Konami) - 474,000 / 703,000
[PS3] Fist of the North Star: Ken's Rage (Koei) - 405,000 / 566,000
[NDS] Super Robot Taisen K (Bandai Namco) - 111,000 / 199,000




1) Sell-through
- [PS3] Gran Turismo 5 ~80%
- [NDS] Super Robot Taisen L ~70%
- [WII] Mario Sports Mix ~20%




Code:
Hardware |  This Week |  Last Week |    YTD     |    LTD
------------------------------------------------------------
PSP      |     70,894 |     96,282 |  2,079,338 | 15,468,730
PS3      |     67,892 |     25,868 |  1,394,422 |  5,879,120
NDS      |     53,612 |     37,402 |  2,372,066 | 31,336,771
WII      |     42,309 |     26,575 |  1,358,866 | 10,904,302
360      |     	4,512 |      6,474 |    219,213 |  1,427,868
PS2      |     	1,281 |      1,043 |     	| 	
------------------------------------------------------------
Total    |    240,500 |    193,644 |
http://research.ascii.jp/elem/000/000/062/62612/index.html
http://ascii.jp/elem/000/000/574/574673/
http://news.dengeki.com/elem/000/000/325/325459/

Nov 15 - 21, 2010
Nov 08 - 14, 2010
Nov 01 - 07, 2010
Oct 25 - 31, 2010
Oct 18 - 24, 2010
Oct 11 - 17, 2010
Oct 04 - 10, 2010
 
Jun 7, 2004
31,867
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1,520
Tokyo
www.twitter.com
Did some game shopping last night. All stores were packed, which means the holiday is under full swing. Noticed quite a few PSP and Wii systems getting sold. With the Wii, people tend to buy the red system with either Super Mario Collection, Wii Sports Resort, NSMB Wii or Mario Kart Wii. With the PSP, it's tougher to say since MHP3 is still sold out, but I'm sure other games like Tactics Ogre are top picks, as well as the newer colors. Actually haven't noticed many DS or PS3 systems selling, but I'm sure they're selling well too.

I expect Ni no Kuni and Donkey Kong Returns to have good starts.

New games/prices at the Sofmap bomba bin:

Wario Land Shake - ¥980
Madworld - ¥1480
The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks - ¥980
Dragon Quest Monsters Joke 2 - ¥1980 (new version coming out soon)
Inazuma Eleven 3 - ¥1980
Shin Sangoku Musou Multiraid (PS3) - ¥1980
 
Apr 18, 2005
18,797
0
0
Famitsu Nov 1-7

01./01. [PSP] God Eater Burst (Namco Bandai Games) - 64,412 / 331,590 (-76%)
02./02. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) - 55,109 / 284,185 (-76%)
03./03. [WII] Super Mario Collection Special Pack (Nintendo) - 49,850 / 453,016 (-51%)
04./04. [NDS] Pokemon Black/White (Nintendo/Pokemon Co.) - 48,426 / 4,344,728 (-21%)
05./00. [PS3] Fallout: New Vegas (Bethesda Softworks) - 40,260 / NEW
06./00. [NDS] Radiant Historia (Atlus Co.) - 34,084 / NEW
07./00. [360] Fallout: New Vegas (Bethesda Softworks) - 27,068 / NEW
08./11. [WII] Wii Party (Nintendo) - 20,018 / 1,118,423 (-3%)
09./07. [WII] Kirby's Epic Yarn (Nintendo) - 17,687 / 190,794 (-27%)
10./05. [NDS] Golden Sun: Dark Dawn (Nintendo) - 13,360 / 60,763 (-72%)

11./12. [PS3] Naruto: Ultimate Ninja Storm 2 (Namco Bandai Games) - 8,628 / 97,369 (-57%)
12./13. [PS3] Vanquish (SEGA) - 7,625 / 75,345 (-52%)
13./20. [PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 2 G (BEST Reprint) (Capcom) - 7,080 / 485,527 (-11%)
14./16. [NDS] Kingdom Hearts Re:coded (Square Enix) - 6,827 / 190,710 (-38%)
15./08. [NDS] Solatorobo: Sore kara Coda e (Namco Bandai Games) - 6,009 / 29,735 (-75%)
16./17. [PSP] Lord of Arcana (Square Enix) - 4,884 / 131,083 (-55%)
17./00. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 4,470 / 825,129
18./25. [NDS] One Piece: Gigant Battle (Namco Bandai Games) - 4,452 / 223,331 (-5%)
19./19. [PS3] Medal of Honor (Electronic Arts Victor) - 4,440 / 40,293 (-54%)
20./00. [NDS] New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) - 4,276 / 5,931,335
21./10. [PSP] Dream C Club Portable (D3 Publisher) - 4,072 / 25,490 (-81%)
22./21. [PS3] Beat Sketch! (SCEI) - 3,972 / 31,430 (-46%)
23./00. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) - 3,894 / 2,878,283
24./06. [360] Fable III (Microsoft Game Studios) - 3,866 / 29,314 (-85%)
25./00. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) - 3,638 / 3,986,503
26./00. [NDS] Eigokoro Kyoushitsu DS (Art Academy) (Nintendo) - 3,401 / 204,647
27./00. [NDS] Do-Konjou Shougakussei: Bon Bita - Hadaka no Choujou Ketsusen!! Bita vs. Dokuro Dei! (Namco Bandai Games) - 3,393 / NEW
28./24. [PS3] Red Dead Redemption (Rockstar Games) - 3,198 / 109,340 (-37%)
29./00. [PSP] Monster Hunter Diary: Poka Poka Airu Village (Capcom) - 3,051 / 481,191
30./00. [PSP] Dragon Ball Z: Tenkaichi Tag Team (Namco Bandai Games) - 2,847 / 44,012



Famitsu Nov 8-14

01./00. [PSP] Tactics Ogre: Let Us Cling Together (Square Enix) - 181,942 / NEW
02./00. [PS3] Dragon Ball: Raging Blast 2 (Namco Bandai Games) - 54,214 / NEW
03./00. [NDS] Tongari Boushi to Mahou no Omise (Magician's Quest 2) (Konami) - 44,295 / NEW
04./03. [WII] Super Mario Collection Special Pack (Nintendo) - 43,685 / 496,701 (-12%)
05./04. [NDS] Pokemon Black/White (Nintendo/Pokemon Co.) - 38,282 / 4,383,010 (-21%)
06./01. [PSP] God Eater Burst (Namco Bandai Games) - 28,694 / 360,284 (-55%)
07./02. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) - 22,958 / 307,143 (-58%)
08./08. [WII] Wii Party (Nintendo) - 18,971 / 1,137,394 (-5%)
09./00. [WII] Wii Sports Resort (Nintendo) - 14,020 / 1,964,959
10./09. [WII] Kirby's Epic Yarn (Nintendo) - 10,835 / 201,629 (-39%)

11./05. [PS3] Fallout: New Vegas (Bethesda Softworks) - 9,781 / 50,041 (-76%)
12./00. [PSP] God of War: Ghost of Sparta (SCEI) - 9,769 / NEW
13./00. [NDS] Tamagotchi no Narikiri Challenge (Endless Challenge) (Namco Bandai Games) - 8,974 / NEW
14./06. [NDS] Radiant Historia (Atlus Co.) - 8,973 / 43,057 (-74%)
15./00. [PS3] Resident Evil 5: Alternative Edition (BEST) (Capcom) - 7,505 / 20,529
16./00. [PSP] Renai (Love) Banchou: Inochi Meishi, Koiseyo Otome! Love is Power!!! (Idea Factory) - 7,031 / NEW
17./00. [360] Forza Motorsport 3 Ultimate Edition (Microsoft Game Studios) - 5,749 / NEW
18./13. [PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 2 G (BEST Reprint) (Capcom) - 5,587 / 491,114 (-21%)
19./00. [PS3] Mafia II (Take-Two Interactive) - 5,507 / NEW
20./10. [NDS] Golden Sun: Dark Dawn (Nintendo) - 4,803 / 65,566 (-64%)
21./11. [PS3] Naruto: Ultimate Ninja Storm 2 (Namco Bandai Games) - 4,733 / 102,102 (-45%)
22./25. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) - 4,417 / 3,990,920 (+21%)
23./23. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) - 4,281 / 2,882,564 (+10%)
24./14. [NDS] Kingdom Hearts Re:coded (Square Enix) - 4,274 / 194,984 (-37%)
25./17. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 4,195 / 829,324 (-6%)
26./20. [NDS] New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) - 3,623 / 5,934,958 (-15%)
27./12. [PS3] Vanquish (SEGA) - 3,561 / 78,906 (-53%)
28./18. [NDS] One Piece: Gigant Battle (Namco Bandai Games) - 3,395 / 226,726 (-24%)
29./00. [PS3] Shin Sangoku Musou Online: Blue Sky, Chaotic Dance (Koei-Tecmo) - 3,210 / NEW
30./26. [NDS] Eigokoro Kyoushitsu DS (Art Academy) (Nintendo) - 3,103 / 207,750 (-9%)



Famitsu Nov 15-21

01./00. [PS3] Call of Duty: Black Ops (Subtitled Edition) (Square Enix) - 152,160 / NEW
02./00. [NDS] Super Kasekihorida (Super Fossil Fighters) (Nintendo) - 47,706 / NEW
03./01. [PSP] Tactics Ogre: Let Us Cling Together (Square Enix) - 39,487 / 221,429 (-78%)
04./04. [WII] Super Mario Collection Special Pack (Nintendo) - 38,441 / 535,142 (-12%)
05./00. [360] Call of Duty: Black Ops (Subtitled Edition) (Square Enix) - 38,328 / NEW
06./05. [NDS] Pokemon Black/White (Nintendo/Pokemon Co.) - 37,706 / 4,420,716 (-2%)
07./00. [PSP] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) - 34,906 / NEW
08./03. [NDS] Tongari Boushi to Mahou no Omise (Magician's Quest 2) (Konami) - 23,131 / 67,426 (-48%)
09./00. [PSP] Criminal Girls (Nippon Ichi Software) - 19,958 / NEW
10./08. [WII] Wii Party (Nintendo) - 19,377 / 1,156,771 (+2%)

11./00. [PS3] Agarest Senki 2 (Compile Heart) - 19,277 / NEW
12./06. [PSP] God Eater Burst (Namco Bandai Games) - 17,233 / 377,517 (-40%)
13./00. [360] Kinect Adventures! (Microsoft Game Studios) - 16,911 / NEW
14./00. [PS3] Gekiatsu!! Pachi Game Tamashi: CR Shinseiki Evangelion: Hajimari no Fukuin (Fields) - 16,885 / NEW
15./07. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) - 15,864 / 323,007 (-31%)
16./00. [PS2] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) - 14,002 / NEW
17./02. [PS3] Dragon Ball: Raging Blast 2 (Namco Bandai Games) - 13,806 / 68,020 (-75%)
18./09. [WII] Wii Sports Resort (Nintendo) - 11,551 / 1,976,510 (-18%)
19./00. [PSP] Hisshou Pachinko*Pachi-Slot Kouryaku Series Portable Vol. 2: Shinseiki Evangelion: Hajimari no Fukuin (D3 Publisher) - 10,758 / NEW
20./00. [WII] Winning Eleven Playmaker 2011 (Konami) - 9,556 / NEW
21./10. [WII] Kirby's Epic Yarn (Nintendo) - 8,852 / 210,481 (-18%)
22./00. [360] DanceMasters (Konami) - 7,282 / NEW
23./00. [NDS] More! Stitch! DS Rhythm de Rakugaki Daisakusen (Disney Interactive Studios) - 7,165 / NEW
24./00. [PS3] The Sims 3 (Electronic Arts Victor) - 6,359 / NEW
25./18. [PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 2 G (BEST Reprint) (Capcom) - 6,088 / 497,202 (+9%)
26./00. [WII] Tataite Hazumu: Super Smash Ball Plus (FlingSmash) (Nintendo) - 5,670 / NEW
27./15. [PS3] Resident Evil 5: Alternative Edition (BEST) (Capcom) - 5,040 / 25,569 (-33%)
28./13. [NDS] Tamagotchi no Narikiri Challenge (Endless Challenge) (Namco Bandai Games) - 4,861 / 13,835 (-46%)
29./23. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) - 4,360 / 2,886,924 (+2%)
30./25. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 4,311 / 833,635 (+3%)



Recent Famitsu Top 30s

Oct 18-24, 2010
Oct 25-31, 2010
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
Road said:
1) Sell-through
- [PS3] Gran Turismo 5 ~80%
- [NDS] Super Robot Taisen L ~70%
- [WII] Mario Sports Mix ~20%
As usually initial shipments estimates from azalyn match the real so that 1,5-1,8 million for MHP3 must not be very far from reality.

Any idea why we never get shipments for Nintendo titles?
 
Apr 17, 2005
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1,200
Road said:
Dengeki Sales, Nov 22 - 28, 2010:

03. / 00. [WII] Mario Sports Mix (Nintendo) - 83,968 / 83,968

1) Sell-through
- [WII] Mario Sports Mix ~20%
420k shipped lol

Kurosaki Ichigo said:
Thinking about Kinectimals!! Ninokuni, Shiren, DKC Returns, AC Brotherhood (360 too?) and we could have MHP3rd 2nd week given the popularity.
Nothing for/against predicting for these I guess?
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
Kurosaki Ichigo said:
Nothing for/against predicting for these I guess?
Are we sure Assassin's Creed for 360 will enter 20?

420k shipped lol
Media Create first week sellthrough of previous Mario Sports titles on Wii.

{17/09/07 - 23/09/07} 06. [WII] Mario Strikers: Charged (Nintendo) {20/09/07} - 27.946 / 27.946 / 17,85%
{19/11/07 - 25/11/07} 06. [WII] Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games (Nintendo) {22/11/07} - 62.550 / 62.550 / 25,74%
{16/06/08 - 22/06/08} 03. [WII] Super Mario Stadium: Family Baseball (Nintendo) {19/06/08} - 58.080 / 58.080 / 43,08%
{12/01/09 - 18/01/09} 01. [WII] New Play Control! Mario Power Tennis (Nintendo) {15/01/09} - 56.509 / 56.509 / 53,69%
{02/11/09 - 08/11/09} 10. [WII] Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Winter Games (Nintendo) {05/11/09} - 21.541 / 21.541 / 19,45%
{22/11/10 - 28/11/10} 03. [WII] Mario Sports Mix (Nintendo) {25/11/10} - 84.983 / 84.983
 
Apr 17, 2005
6,476
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1,200
Forgot about this with the spanish state of alarm meltdown :lol

Prediction League (06/12-12/12)

[NDS] Ni no Kuni: The Ebony Wizard (Level 5) -
[NDS] Shiren the Wanderer 5: Fortune Tower and the Dice of Fate (Chunsoft) -
[PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 3rd - Week 2 (Capcom) -
[WII] Donkey Kong Country Returns (Nintendo) -
[PS3] Assassin’s Creed: Brotherhood (Ubisoft) -
 
Apr 18, 2005
18,797
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Moor-Angol said:
if you have problem, from september i started saving the top30 chart every week (if i need to know 1st week for a DS game below 40k or PSP game below 20k), so feel free to ask me if you need
Thanks! :) I'm good now (had trouble with Nov 1-7, but found enough info to work with), and I'll start saving them weekly, too, just in case. In previous cases, I could skip a few weeks, and then go back to Google to find the pages. This time, though, the pages were saying they expired...
 
Aug 4, 2005
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Prediction League (06/12-12/12)

[NDS] Ni no Kuni: The Ebony Wizard (Level 5) - 269.000
[NDS] Shiren the Wanderer 5: Fortune Tower and the Dice of Fate (Chunsoft) - 76.000
[PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 3rd - Week 2 (Capcom) - 533.000
[WII] Donkey Kong Country Returns (Nintendo) - 241.000
[PS3] Assassin’s Creed: Brotherhood (Ubisoft) - 84.000
 
Dec 18, 2004
1,611
1
1,295
cvxfreak said:
Sports Mix will do well this holiday. There's no need to worry about that game.
Not so sure about this, could go either way.

1. Arashi is busy hyping Hyping Donkey Kong, Sport Mix isn't getting first tier advertising treatment(golden sun level commercials)

2. the game's only been out for a week but already managed to make it onto the nomination list for games that went against sales exceptions from retailers(Literally translated crappy sales, games of 2010).
 
Jun 7, 2004
31,867
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FINALFANTASYDOG said:
Not so sure about this, could go either way.

1. Arashi is busy hyping Hyping Donkey Kong, Sport Mix isn't getting first tier advertising treatment(golden sun level commercials)

2. the game's only been out for a week but already managed to make it onto the nomination list for games that went against sales exceptions from retailers(Literally translated crappy sales, games of 2010).
Those people are overreacting.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
CaptYamato said:
Are those GT numbers only for a few days and not the whole week?
Media Create
{27/12/04 - 28/11/10} 0009. [PS2] Gran Turismo 4 (SCE) {28/12/04} - 634.769 / 1.041.000 (=27/12/04-28/12/04+7=6 days)
{22/11/10 - 28/11/10} 0009. [PS3] Gran Turismo 5 (SCE) {25/11/10} - 430.707 / 430.707 (=22/11/10-25/11/10+7=4 days)

Famitsu
{22/12/97 - 14/02/10} 0006. [PS1] Gran Turismo (SCE) {23/12/97} - 648.650 / 2.186.375 (=22/12/97-23/12/97+7=6 days)
{06/12/99 - 31/12/00} 0010. [PS1] Gran Turismo 2 (SCE) {11/12/99} - 748.581 / 1.460.687 (=06/12/99-11/12/99+7=2 days)
{23/04/01 - 12/07/09} 0006. [PS2] Gran Turismo 3: A-Spec (SCE) {28/04/01} - 468.391 / 1.438.743 (=23/04/01-28/04/01+7=2 days)
{27/12/04 - 12/07/09} 0012. [PS2] Gran Turismo 4 (SCE) {28/12/04} - 663.543 / 1.066.749 (=27/12/04-28/12/04+7=6 days)
 
Dec 18, 2004
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Anybody have any guess on what's behind monster hunter's shipment problems? On purpose?


Amazon is sold out till the 17th, many retailer blogs are reporting they are now on taking reservations for the 4th shipment/5th shipment(having already completely sold out of reservation slots for the other shipments).
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
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FINALFANTASYDOG said:
Anybody have any guess on what's behind monster hunter's shipment problems? On purpose?

Amazon is sold out till the 17th, many retailer blogs are reporting they are now on taking reservations for the 4th shipment/5th shipment(having already completely sold out of reservation slots for the other shipments).
If retailers take reservations for 4th and 5th shipment this means they know how big 2nd and 3rd shipment are and maybe when they will be delivered. Since we entered the busy December season and disk printing cycles can't change so easily it has more to do with bad shipment programming from Capcom / Sony.
 
Dec 18, 2004
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Chris1964 said:
If retailers take reservations for 4th and 5th shipment this means they know how big 2nd and 3rd shipment are and maybe when they will be delivered.
According to 2ch Aggregate blogs: Amazon went like this

First day amount
↓
Sold out
↓
December, 3rd Shipment
↓
Sold Out
↓
December, 6th Shipment
↓
Sold Out
↓
December, 10th Shipment
↓
Sold Out
↓
December, 13th Shipment
↓
Sold Out
↓
December, 15th Shipment
↓
Sold Out
↓
December, 17th Shipment <- now
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
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2009 47 {16/11/09 - 22/11/09} 00. [ALL] Weekly Software Sales (All Publishers) {16/11/09} - 754.473 / 52.927.212
2009 48 {23/11/09 - 29/11/09} 00. [ALL] Weekly Software Sales (All Publishers) {23/11/09} - 1.103.204 / 54.030.416
2009 49 {30/11/09 - 06/12/09} 00. [ALL] Weekly Software Sales (All Publishers) {30/11/09} - 2.723.462 / 56.753.878
2009 50 {07/12/09 - 13/12/09} 00. [ALL] Weekly Software Sales (All Publishers) {07/12/09} - 2.165.545 / 58.919.423
2009 51 {14/12/09 - 20/12/09} 00. [ALL] Weekly Software Sales (All Publishers) {14/12/09} - 3.945.539 / 62.864.962
2009 52 {21/12/09 - 27/12/09} 00. [ALL] Weekly Software Sales (All Publishers) {21/12/09} - 3.267.504 / 66.132.466
2009 53 {28/12/09 - 03/01/10} 00. [ALL] Weekly Software Sales (All Publishers) {28/12/09} - 2.423.932 / 68.556.398

2010 47 {22/11/10 - 28/11/10} 00. [ALL] Weekly Software Sales (All Publishers) {22/11/10} - 1.479.110 / 51.773.408
2010 48 {29/11/10 - 05/12/10}
2010 49 {06/12/10 - 12/12/10}
2010 50 {13/12/10 - 19/12/10}
2010 51 {20/12/10 - 26/12/10}
2010 52 {27/12/10 - 02/01/11}

Next week software sales YTD 2010 will be over 2009 but NSMBW and FFXIII come out at week 49 and 51 so unless 2010 shows amazing holiday sales, 2009 will win.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
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Predictions

[NDS] Ni no Kuni: The Ebony Wizard (Level 5) - 210.987
[NDS] Shiren the Wanderer 5: Fortune Tower and the Dice of Fate (Chunsoft) - 56.789
[PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 3rd - Week 2 (Capcom) - 567.890
[WII] Donkey Kong Country Returns (Nintendo) - 123.456
[PS3] Assassin’s Creed: Brotherhood (Ubisoft) - 34.567
 
Mar 11, 2005
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Celsior said:
So will GT5 break a mil?
Big games on PS3 have a first week sales/total sales ranging from ~0.55 (Winning Eleven 2010) to ~0.8 (Finaly Fantasy)

That gives a LTD for GT5 from 550k (FF XIII-legs) to 750k (WE 2K10-legs). I'm leaning to believe that the game will have pretty good legs, becoming the second best-selling PS3 game above MGS4 (~720k).

But to reach one million, it'll need to show really unusual legs for a game on PS3, a ration under 0.45. I'd bet a cent on no.
 
Apr 18, 2005
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Koren said:
Big games on PS3 have a first week sales/total sales ranging from ~0.55 (Winning Eleven 2010) to ~0.8 (Finaly Fantasy)
1st Week Ratios for PS3 Games > 500K LTD:

PS3 Final Fantasy XIII - 79.7%
PS3 Yakuza 4: Heir to the Legend - 71.4%
PS3 Hokuto no Ken: Musou - 70.5%
PS3 Yakuza 3 - 70.1%
PS3 Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriot - 67.4%
PS3 Resident Evil 5 - 61.8%


FFXIII is a big outlier (though expected for the series). Outside of that, it would put GT5 at 600-700K, if Famitsu 1st week = MC 1st week, and it doesn't go outside the current range of PS3 > 500K LTD titles.

Edit:
For GT series, GT4 was the worst % at 62.2%, which would be at the upper end of that range.
 
Jun 2, 2005
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Chris1964 said:
Predictions

[NDS] Ni no Kuni: The Ebony Wizard (Level 5) - 210.987
[NDS] Shiren the Wanderer 5: Fortune Tower and the Dice of Fate (Chunsoft) - 56.789
[PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 3rd - Week 2 (Capcom) - 567.890
[WII] Donkey Kong Country Returns (Nintendo) - 123.456
[PS3] Assassin’s Creed: Brotherhood (Ubisoft) - 34.567
I'm hoping for more sales than that for Ni No Kuni, but yah never know I guess. Donkey Kong should be in that range, but I think it'll have great legs through the holidays and reach 600-700k overall.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
Older releases for the predicted games

{27/11/95 - 24/12/95} 0055. [SFC] Shiren the Wanderer 2 (Chunsoft) {01/12/95} - 99.678 / 196.195
{18/11/96 - 15/12/96} 0070. [NGB] Shiren the Wanderer GB (Chunsoft) {22/11/96} - 53.413 / 103.238
{25/09/00 - 31/12/01} 0024. [N64] Shiren the Wanderer 2: Oni Shuurai Shiren Shiro! (Chunsoft) {27/09/00} - 117.982 / 283.991
{16/07/01 - 31/03/02} 0050. [NGB] Shiren the Wanderer GB2: Sabaku no Majou (Chunsoft) {19/07/01} - 77.607 / 174.317
{04/02/02 - 29/12/02} 0075. [SDC] Shiren the Wanderer Gaiden: Jokenji Asuka Kenzan! (Sega) {07/02/02} - 25.512 / 50.750
{11/12/06 - 30/12/07} 0143. [NDS] Shiren the Wanderer DS (Sega) {14/12/06} - 79.932 / 195.052
{02/06/08 - 28/12/08} 0063. [WII] Shiren the Wanderer 3 (Sega) {05/06/08} - 58.507 / 97.227
{10/11/08 - 27/12/09} 0254. [NDS] Shiren the Wanderer DS 2: Demon Castle of the Desert (Sega) {13/11/08} - 47.429 / 99.814
{25/01/10 - 14/02/10} 0338. [PSP] Shiren the Wanderer 3 Portable (Spike) {28/01/10} - 14.005 / 21.800
{22/02/10 - 27/06/10} 0290. [NDS] Shiren the Wanderer 4: God’s Eye and the Demon’s Navel (Spike) {25/02/10} - 40.664 / 84.922

Second week
{15/03/04 - 21/03/04} 04. [PS2] Monster Hunter (Capcom) {11/03/04} - 54.636 / 175.276
{24/01/05 - 30/01/05} 07. [PS2] Monster Hunter G (Capcom) {20/01/05} - 30.413 / 158.464
{05/12/05 - 11/12/05} 10. [PSP] Monster Hunter Freedom (Capcom) {01/12/05} - 53.365 / 171.682
{20/02/06 - 26/02/06} 04. [PS2] Monster Hunter 2 (Capcom) {16/02/06} - 95.444 / 463.501
{26/02/07 - 04/03/07} 03. [PSP] Monster Hunter Freedom 2 (Capcom) {22/02/07} - 156.666 / 902.979
{31/03/08 - 06/04/08} 01. [PSP] Monster Hunter Freedom Unite (Capcom) {27/03/08} - 552.701 / 1.375.966
{27/04/09 - 03/05/09} 06. [WII] Monster Hunter G (Capcom) {23/04/09} - 34.571 / 177.423
{03/08/09 - 09/08/09} 03. [WII] Monster Hunter 3 (Capcom) {01/08/09} - 137.933 / 720.481
{28/06/10 - 04/07/10} 18. [360] Monster Hunter Frontier Online (Capcom) {24/06/10} - 9.977 / 92.467
{30/08/10 - 05/09/10} 01. [PSP] Monster Hunter Diary: Pokapoka Ailu Village (Capcom) {26/08/10} - 76.248 / 355.769
{04/10/10 - 10/10/10} 00. [360] Monster Hunter Frontier Online (Season 9.0 Premium Package) (Capcom) {29/09/10} - 2.201 / 19.914

0003. [SFC] Donkey Kong Country (Nintendo) {26/11/94} - 257.121 / 3.000.000
0011. [NGB] Donkey Kong Land (Nintendo) {27/07/95} - 0 / 1.070.000

{20/11/95 - 29/12/96} 0026. [SFC] Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddy Kong's Quest (Nintendo) {21/11/95} - 254.708 / 1.534.793
{18/11/96 - 15/12/96} 0099. [NGB] Donkey Kong Land 2 (Nintendo) {23/11/96} - 17.479 / 55.753
{18/11/96 - 27/12/98} 0027. [SFC] Donkey Kong Country 3: Dixie Kong's Double Trouble (Nintendo) {23/11/96} - 130.630 / 1.199.720
{06/12/99 - 31/12/00} 0009. [N64] Donkey Kong 64 (Nintendo) {10/12/99} - 162.262 / 848.375
{24/01/00 - 31/12/00} 0047. [NGB] Donkey Kong Land 3 (Nintendo) {28/01/00} - 48.924 / 208.356
{15/01/01 - 31/03/02} 0041. [NGB] Donkey Kong Country (Nintendo) {21/01/01} - 33.866 / 238.775
{08/12/03 - 26/12/04} 0055. [GBA] Donkey Kong Country (Nintendo) {12/12/03} - 37.666 / 251.878
{28/06/04 - 25/12/05} 0136. [GBA] Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddy Kong's Quest (Nintendo) {01/07/04} - 20.886 / 103.780
{13/12/04 - 25/12/05} 0033. [GCN] Donkey Kong: Jungle Beat (Nintendo) {16/12/04} - 46.594 / 220.132
{16/05/05 - 25/12/05} 0215. [GBA] Donkey Kong: King of Swing (Nintendo) {19/05/05} - 12.904 / 48.749
{28/11/05 - 31/12/06} 0140. [GBA] Donkey Kong Country 3: Dixie Kong's Double Trouble (Nintendo) {01/12/05} - 11.795 / 100.175
{06/08/07 - 28/12/08} 0135. [NDS] Donkey Kong: Jungle Climber (Nintendo) {09/08/07} - 38.229 / 204.689
{08/12/08 - 27/12/09} 0054. [WII] New Play Control! Donkey Kong: Jungle Beat (Nintendo) {11/12/08} - 25.216 / 114.657

{26/11/07 - 13/01/08} 0039. [360] Assassin's Creed (Ubisoft) {29/11/07} - 34.054 / 51.823
{28/01/08 - 28/12/08} 0077. [PS3] Assassin's Creed (Ubisoft) {31/01/08} - 36.898 / 82.459
{30/11/09 - 17/01/10} 0056. [360] Assassin's Creed II (Ubisoft) {03/12/09} - 28.085 / 38.771
{30/11/09 - 28/03/10} 0060. [PS3] Assassin's Creed II (Ubisoft) {03/12/09} - 55.789 / 109.026
{21/12/09 - 24/10/10} 0240. [PSP] Assassin's Creed: Bloodlines (Ubisoft) {23/12/09} - 0 / 39.202
{02/08/10 - 24/10/10} 0160. [PS3] Assassin's Creed II: Special Edition (Ubisoft) {05/08/10} - 6.067 / 24.350
 
May 25, 2009
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duckroll said:
The first week sales could definitely be close, but I don't think the LTD will be anything close to Pokemon at all. Especially not when a lot of people will also be waiting on the budget release and/or 3rd G.
Thats how I feel on the whole situation too. Pokemon has to much of a culture phenomena behind it that MH cannot match.

I also hope Wifi play is available in this release. Its the only reason why I have not gotten the other two (well I should say play the other two as much). My friends live far away since I moved.
 

Road

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Jan 21, 2008
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Brazil
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FINALFANTASYDOG said:
According to 2ch Aggregate blogs: Amazon went like this

First day amount
&#8595;
Sold out
&#8595;
December, 3rd Shipment
&#8595;
Sold Out
&#8595;
December, 6th Shipment
&#8595;
Sold Out
&#8595;
December, 10th Shipment
&#8595;
Sold Out
&#8595;
December, 13th Shipment
&#8595;
Sold Out
&#8595;
December, 15th Shipment
&#8595;
Sold Out
&#8595;
December, 17th Shipment <- now
December, 21st now.

Maybe Capcom just hates Amazon.
 
Jun 15, 2007
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Jun 15, 2007
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Ok, got ya....just thought it had done better. I mean obviously the whole 2D vs. 3D thing is in effect, but the sales of NSMBW are sooo much higher. The disparity between 2D Mario sales and 3D Mario sales is much larger than in Japan than in the US...
 
Oct 4, 2009
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MikeE21286 said:
Ok, got ya....just thought it had done better. I mean obviously the whole 2D vs. 3D thing is in effect, but the sales of NSMBW are sooo much higher. The disparity between 2D Mario sales and 3D Mario sales is much larger than in Japan than in the US...
It is but even in US , 2d Mario smoke the 3d one.
 
Apr 18, 2005
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So Amazon's final Lightning Deal for today was StressEraser Portable Biofeedback device. Basically a portble pulse-ox monitor designed to help you relax easier. This is what the Vitality Sensor will do. The Lightning Deal sold out. Hardly a strong measure, but it does show that there are some people out there looking for how to relax.

I still think Wii 2 in Fall 2011 in Japan and Spring 2012 elsewhere (or Spring/Fall 2012 with 3DS's delay) would be best, but maybe Vitality Sensor will do something for Wii. It'd have almost no use in traditional games, but if Nintendo can get it out there and hype it enough to make people aware of it, maybe. Hopefully they'll push it to the next system and use that as part of the "excuse" to come out with a new system, though. :D