Parmenides said:-PS3s threat is 3DS not Wii.
PS3 is mainly the recipient of 360 ports (not going to 3DS instead) and Japanese-focused, console-focused titles (probably not going to 3DS instead). In short, there is no realistic "battle" between handhelds and PS3 brewing except in the sense that they both take consumers time in the overall video game marketplace.
Parmenides said:-To be fair,Wii was never a threat;in fact the PS3 has lived under the shadow of DS/PSP.
To be fair, third-parties pretty much never tried on Wii, and in terms of total software, Wii doubles PS3 from Nintendo's graph. It then follows that is Wii can sell so much software that if third-parties had tried harder to bring the experiences they are used to making to the Wii early on to build an audience, then they would've done much better on the platform, very likely selling a whole lot more than they ever did on PS3, in total.
To say it was "never" a threat in terms of third-party potential is ignoring what actually happened in terms of development and "push" from publishers.
Parmenides said:- However,as far as I know,Japanese third parties are moving slowly towards the PS3.In my opinion,PS3 third-party software sales will obliterate sales on handhelds.
They've been moving toward the PSP, in terms of number of releases, since early last year. Chris1964 and myself have both discussed the strange lack of DS releases since early last year. Not sure where you see a movement toward PS3, though. As for your "opinion," *shrugs* we'll see, but that seems exceedingly unlikely.
Parmenides said:- PS3 user base stands at 6.2 million (PS360 sold 7.8 million)
DS reached 6.2m in 15 months from launch, and it hardly rocketed out of the gate to begin with. And as we've seen with the more popular systems, low total userbase doesn't prevent games from selling big. PS3 has a declining FF title as its only million-seller after 4 years. I wouldn't be surprised to see one or more million-selling 3DS title(s) in 2011.
Parmenides said:Third party software sales will decide the winner.
They didn't with either "winner" this generation, though. PSP had better third-party sales than NDS early on, and the Wii situation is already discussed.