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Sales-Age Media Create Sales: Week 13, 2017 (Mar 27 - Apr 02)

L~A

Member
Jan 19, 2013
12,188
0
610
I think Splatoon 2 will be bigger than Odyssey in Japan (since that is what the statement pertains to) personally. Seeing Super Mario 3D World sales (a hair short of 100k), Splatoon 2 outselling Super Mario Odyssey seems like a very distinct possibility.
It's not really a distinct possibility, it's a gurantee. No 3D Mario has ever sold nearly as much as Splatoon since 64 (though the two Galaxy games did manage to crack 1m).
 

Hero

Member
Jun 6, 2004
14,960
2
1,360
Sure, but given the Switch is still behind the Wii U's failed launch and the 3DS's first good month, there's still a lot more catch up to do for Switch right?

Totals after 5 weeks of sales:
792,954 - 3DS
694,370 - Wii U
565,013 - Switch
501,262 - Vita
470,011 - PS4
It would mean something if stock was sitting on shelves, but it's not. I wouldn't be surprised if Nintendo allocated a little less to Japan since Splatoon 2 is going to be a definite system seller in the summer months and make sure other regions like NA have more units in the important launch period.
 

random25

Member
May 23, 2014
12,784
0
0
I think Splatoon 2 will be bigger than Odyssey in Japan (since that is what the statement pertains to) personally. Seeing Super Mario 3D World sales (a hair short of 100k), Splatoon 2 outselling Super Mario Odyssey seems like a very distinct possibility.
3D Mario is not as big in Japan as 2D Mario, so that pretty much guarantees it.
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Mar 10, 2011
22,885
0
865
29
theflyingthoughtsblog.wordpress.com
It was about 5k higher, adjusting with 13k is a bit overdoing it.
They also went with adjustments for several games as well: Zelda at 20,966 (29,307 for Famitsu), 1-2-Switch at 11,784 (16,517 for Famitsu), plus a big weekly drop for Bomberman (-49%, 3,859); less for DQH I-II (-26%, 3,062). Puyo Puyo Tetris saw a mere 14% drop, at 2,812, hero XD

EDIT: Actually, it's possible they went with adjustments especially for software. There were several Switch games higher on Famitsu than MC
 

Dark Cloud

Member
Feb 2, 2016
12,012
0
295
Splatoon 2 will definitely outsell Super Mario Odyssey and pretty much any Switch game. If Pokémon gets announced it would be the only game that has a chance.
 

darkstar0155

Member
Aug 15, 2012
1,151
0
0
420k for Zelda. Nice. Should take about 3 weeks to reach 500k, but Switch needs to be on stock.

While almost impossible at this point, I'm still on board to 1 million for Zelda train lol.
Im 100% in agreement it will cross 1million when its all said and done. May take a year plus, but I feel pretty good that it will happen.
 

frankie_baby

Member
May 3, 2007
18,401
0
0
Im 100% in agreement it will cross 1million when its all said and done. May take a year plus, but I feel pretty good that it will happen.
It all depends how well it holds up when mario kart launches and eats its lunch, the wii u version will probably finish up at about 150k so 850k from the switch version is still a big ask
 

TAS

Member
Nov 21, 2005
923
0
1,245
Sure, but given the Switch is still behind the Wii U's failed launch and the 3DS's first good month, there's still a lot more catch up to do for Switch right
The Wii U didn't have a failed launch--it was actually quite good. The problem was right after the holiday season, sales fell off a cliff and never recovered.
 

mickagau33

Member
Nov 12, 2012
1,002
0
0
Splatoon 2 will definitely outsell Super Mario Odyssey and pretty much any Switch game. If Pokémon gets announced it would be the only game that has a chance.
If we speak Japan only, the last Animal Crossing game, New Leaf, outsold Pokemon X/Y and Sun/Moon (not by much)
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
The Wii U didn't have a failed launch--it was actually quite good. The problem was right after the holiday season, sales fell off a cliff and never recovered.
If you count only first 2 weeks then yes, Wii U had a good launch.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
If Pokemon Stars isn't real I doubt Nintendo will leave Switch only with Mario Odyssey for holidays.
 

hiska-kun

Member
Mar 9, 2012
3,567
0
515
Spain
They also went with adjustments for several games as well: Zelda at 20,966 (29,307 for Famitsu), 1-2-Switch at 11,784 (16,517 for Famitsu), plus a big weekly drop for Bomberman (-49%, 3,859); less for DQH I-II (-26%, 3,062). Puyo Puyo Tetris saw a mere 14% drop, at 2,812, hero XD

EDIT: Actually, it's possible they went with adjustments especially for software. There were several Switch games higher on Famitsu than MC
On the Famitsu's comment, they say that this week starts the new fiscal year. So probably they're adjusting the numbers.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
With Mario Superstars sell through retailers must hope for Miitopia like legs in Golden Week.
 

ShyMel

Member
Oct 25, 2014
1,116
0
0
How does Blue Reflection compare to Yori no nai Kuni?
04./00. [PS4] Yoru no Nai Kuni # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.10.01} (¥7.344) - 35.907 / NEW
05./00. [PSV] Yoru no Nai Kuni # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.10.01} (¥6.264) - 32.904 / NEW

03./00. [PS4] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 34.592 / NEW
08./00. [PSV] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 13.850 / NEW

Quite a drop between the Vita versions of the two games.
 

Kresnik258

Member
Jan 25, 2014
9,210
0
0
04./00. [PS4] Yoru no Nai Kuni # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.10.01} (¥7.344) - 35.907 / NEW
05./00. [PSV] Yoru no Nai Kuni # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.10.01} (¥6.264) - 32.904 / NEW

03./00. [PS4] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 34.592 / NEW
08./00. [PSV] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 13.850 / NEW

Quite a drop between the Vita versions of the two games.
If we're making that comparison, then neither version picked up the PS3's sales either:

14./00. [PS3] Yoru no Nai Kuni # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.10.01} (¥7.344) - 10.416 / NEW
 
Sep 25, 2016
1,744
52
280
Nintendo will try to revive 3d Mario sales with Odyssey like Zelda but it has no chance against Splatoon in Japan.
I know it's not a barometer of sales but I couldn't believe my eyes when I saw the Mario Odyssey trailer Youtube views - almost 19 million vs 12 and 10 million views for the two main Zelda trailers.

I wonder if it's possible that like Pokemon Go, Super Mario Run has given Mario a whole new boost and new audience. I imagine a young kid liking Run and then seeing the Odyssey trailer and immediately being blown away by it and wanting it.
 

Fisico

Member
Jul 9, 2012
2,539
0
425
Japan
twitter.com
So in January I (and many others) predicted sales number for Switch in 2017.
Back then I was expecting 2-2.5M but looking at the sales and overall enthusiasm in Japan for the console I think it's safe to say that it will be higher than that.

The question is how high though, >3M is probably à lock but can it reach 4M or even more?
 

ShyMel

Member
Oct 25, 2014
1,116
0
0
If we're making that comparison, then neither version picked up the PS3's sales either:

14./00. [PS3] Yoru no Nai Kuni # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.10.01} (¥7.344) - 10.416 / NEW
Woops, I completely forgot there was a PS3 version.
 

Dystify

Member
Jan 21, 2011
2,754
0
0
twitter.com
There's likely smash as well
I personally think Smash is gonna be their big late Summer / Fall title. Announcement at or near E3 (including another Nintendo World Championship?) and release early September or so.

Pokémon Stars and Mario Odyssey will be plenty for the Christmas season, especially if they also market Zelda/MK8DX/Splatoon and whatever else they have. There's also Xenoblade 2 and some other unannounced games.
 

darkstar0155

Member
Aug 15, 2012
1,151
0
0
It all depends how well it holds up when mario kart launches and eats its lunch, the wii u version will probably finish up at about 150k so 850k from the switch version is still a big ask
I completely think MK8D will sell great, but I don't really see it affecting BoTW sales too much, very different games and they will both be "must haves". I can very easily see a scenario where BoTW still sells to 25% of new switch buyers even after MK8D launches.

I will be surprised if by next summer BoTW isn't sitting right around 1mil when you combine switch and wii u sales.
 

Dark Cloud

Member
Feb 2, 2016
12,012
0
295
I know it's not a barometer of sales but I couldn't believe my eyes when I saw the Mario Odyssey trailer Youtube views - almost 19 million vs 12 and 10 million views for the two main Zelda trailers.

I wonder if it's possible that like Pokemon Go, Super Mario Run has given Mario a whole new boost and new audience. I imagine a young kid liking Run and then seeing the Odyssey trailer and immediately being blown away by it and wanting it.
I think it has more to do with it being the 3D Mario game people have wanted since Sunshine (sandbox) and it garnered so much positivity.
 

frankie_baby

Member
May 3, 2007
18,401
0
0
I completely think MK8D will sell great, but I don't really see it affecting BoTW sales too much, very different games and they will both be "must haves". I can very easily see a scenario where BoTW still sells to 25% of new switch buyers even after MK8D launches.

I will be surprised if by next summer BoTW isn't sitting right around 1mil when you combine switch and wii u sales.
I could see zelda holding up that much after mk and before splatoon but it'll probably start to slip more then
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
Famitsu Sales: Week 14, 2017 (Mar 27 - Apr 02)

01./01. [3DS] Monster Hunter Double Cross <ACT> (Capcom) {2017.03.18} (¥5.800) - 121.847 / 1.392.179 <80-100%> (-52%)
02./00. [PS4] Warriors Stars # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 42.559 / NEW <60-80%>
03./00. [3DS] Mario Sports Superstars <SPT> (Nintendo) {2017.03.30} (¥4.980) - 31.007 / NEW <20-40%>
04./00. [PS4] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 29.897 / NEW <60-80%>
05./02. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 20.966 / 328.587 <80-100%> (-41%)
06./00. [PSV] Warriors Stars # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 15.796 / NEW <60-80%>
07./00. [PSV] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 15.295 / NEW <60-80%>
08./00. [PSV] Re:Zero - Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu - Death or Kiss # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥7.500) - 13.020 / NEW <60-80%>
09./03. [NSW] 1-2-Switch <ETC> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥4.980) - 11.784 / 150.574 <80-100%> (-36%)
10./04. [PS4] Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Wildlands <ACT> (Ubisoft) {2017.03.09} (¥8.400) - 11.486 / 151.359 <80-100%> (-35%)
11./06. [3DS] Pokemon Sun / Moon # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2016.11.18} (¥4.980) - 9.046 / 3.727.572 <80-100%> (-12%)
12./00. [PSV] Chaos;Child: Love Chu Chu!! # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 6.991 / NEW <60-80%>
13./09. [PS4] NieR: Automata <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.02.23} (¥7.800) - 6.660 / 260.872 <80-100%> (-19%)
14./05. [PS4] Horizon: Zero Dawn # <RPG> (Sony Interactive Entertainment) {2017.03.02} (¥6.900) - 6.520 / 174.276 <80-100%> (-37%)
15./12. [3DS] Super Mario Maker for Nintendo 3DS <ACT> (Nintendo) {2016.12.01} (¥4.700) - 6.516 / 1.112.392 <80-100%> (+1%)
16./00. [PS4] Re:Zero - Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu - Death or Kiss # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥7.500) - 6.195 / NEW <60-80%>
17./08. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 + II.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts \ Kingdom Hearts Re:Chain of Memories> \ Kingdom Hearts HD II.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts II \ Kingdom Hearts II: Final Mix+ \ Kingdom Hearts: Birth by Sleep>> <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.03.09} (¥6.800) - 5.903 / 95.556 <80-100%> (-31%)
18./11. [WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 5.874 / 86.405 <80-100%> (-14%)
19./07. [PSV] Accel World Vs. Sword Art Online: Millennium Twilight <RPG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2017.03.16} (¥6.800) - 4.977 / 49.798 <80-100%> (-45%)
20./00. [PS4] Chaos;Child: Love Chu Chu!! # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 4.147 / NEW <60-80%>
21./10. [NSW] Super Bomberman R <ACT> (Konami) {2017.03.03} (¥4.980) - 3.859 / 67.008 <80-100%> (-48%)
22./20. [3DS] Mario Kart 7 <RCE> (Nintendo) {2011.12.01} (¥4.571) - 3.652 / 2.692.872 <80-100%> (-5%)
23./16. [3DS] Yo-Kai Watch 3: Sukiyaki <RPG> (Level 5) {2016.12.15} (¥4.800) - 3.642 / 695.806 <80-100%> (-16%)
24./13. [PS4] Accel World Vs. Sword Art Online: Millennium Twilight <RPG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2017.03.16} (¥7.600) - 3.441 / 39.478 <80-100%> (-47%)
25./19. [PS4] Grand Theft Auto V [New Price Edition] <ACT> (Take-Two Interactive Japan) {2015.10.08} (¥4.990) - 3.327 / 238.566 <80-100%> (-14%)
26./22. [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf - Welcome amiibo <ETC> (Nintendo) {2016.11.23} (¥2.700) - 3.269 / 159.818 <80-100%> (-5%)
27./17. [NSW] Dragon Quest Heroes I & II for Nintendo Switch <Dragon Quest Heroes: The World Tree's Woe and the Blight Below \ Dragon Quest Heroes II> <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.03.03} (¥8.800) - 3.062 / 42.306 <60-80%> (-26%)
28./14. [PS4] Senran Kagura: Peach Beach Splash # <ACT> (Marvelous) {2017.03.16} (¥6.980) - 2.933 / 57.383 <80-100%> (-50%)
29./23. [NSW] Puyo Puyo Tetris <PZL> (Sega) {2017.03.03} (¥4.990) - 2.812 / 26.955 <60-80%> (-14%)
30./30. [WIU] Minecraft: Wii U Edition <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2016.06.23} (¥3.600) - 2.769 / 306.146 <80-100%> (+12%)

Top 30

PS4 - 11
3DS - 7
NSW - 5
PSV - 5
WIU - 2

HARDWARE
Code:
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
|System |  This Week |  Last Week |  Last Year |     YTD    |  Last YTD  |     LTD     |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
| 3DS # |     36.332 |     51.289 |     25.520 |    666.535 |    452.690 |  22.577.948 |
|  NSW  |     32.262 |     79.493 |            |    556.633 |            |     556.633 |
| PS4 # |     28.308 |     30.479 |     33.440 |    614.909 |    454.366 |   4.536.525 |
| PSV # |      7.330 |      7.529 |     17.741 |    197.388 |    379.678 |   5.444.807 |
|  PS3  |      1.516 |      1.818 |      1.170 |      9.995 |     22.397 |  10.267.714 |
|  WIU  |        523 |        383 |      2.678 |     15.927 |    154.669 |   3.295.665 |
| XB1 # |        242 |         85 |         87 |      3.943 |      2.154 |      76.891 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
|  ALL  |    106.513 |    171.076 |     80.636 |  2.065.330 |  1.465.954 |  46.756.183 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
| XB1 S |        242 |         71 |            |      3.171 |            |       4.889 |
|PS4 Pro|      5.796 |      5.632 |            |     96.190 |            |     213.240 |
|  PS4  |     22.512 |     24.847 |     33.440 |    518.719 |    454.366 |   4.323.285 |
|  PSV  |      7.330 |      7.529 |     17.741 |    197.388 |    379.678 |   5.444.807 |
|  2DS  |      7.675 |      9.392 |            |    169.559 |            |     466.706 |
| n-3DS |     28.657 |     41.897 |     25.070 |    496.976 |    416.137 |   5.190.965 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
 

Waji

Member
Sep 17, 2015
1,658
0
0
Lyon, France
Since Nintendo wants to spread releases, when exactly do you see Smash, Pokemon "Stars", Mario Odyssey, Xenoblade 2... assuming they are all released before the end of December ?
For some reason I feel like one or some of the big games could end up between January and March 2018 or even later.

And what seems the most probable month for Splatoon, I'd really like it to be released before August, how likely is it ? If there's any indicator to guess that.
 

Eolz

Member
Jun 1, 2014
10,193
20
475
Just realised MK8D launch is aligned with Golden Week... this will be funny
Not their first golden week after all, smart move :p

It's an emergency! Quick someone mention
Monster Hunter for PS4
NO


edit for above:
All those games in 2017. Pokemon in November, Mario too, Xenoblade 2 in October, FE Warriors at the end of August, Smash in September.
 

fredrancour

Member
Jun 11, 2009
10,902
0
0
Since Nintendo wants to spread releases, when exactly do you see Smash, Pokemon "Stars", Mario Odyssey, Xenoblade 2... assuming they are all released before the end of December ?

For some reason I feel like one of the big games could end up between January and March 2018 or even later.
they could give first-party titles a month each starting in July:
July: Splatoon 2
August: Fire Emblem Warriors
September: Smash Deluxe
October: Mario Odyssey
November: Pokemon Stars
December: Xenoblade


With arms in june and mario kart legs carrying the console through may?