It's not really a distinct possibility, it's a gurantee. No 3D Mario has ever sold nearly as much as Splatoon since 64 (though the two Galaxy games did manage to crack 1m).
-
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It's not really a distinct possibility, it's a gurantee. No 3D Mario has ever sold nearly as much as Splatoon since 64 (though the two Galaxy games did manage to crack 1m).
Nintendo will try to revive 3d Mario sales with Odyssey like Zelda but it has no chance against Splatoon in Japan.
It would mean something if stock was sitting on shelves, but it's not. I wouldn't be surprised if Nintendo allocated a little less to Japan since Splatoon 2 is going to be a definite system seller in the summer months and make sure other regions like NA have more units in the important launch period.
...J-Jesus, the first week with major differencies between the two trackers, lol
frankie_baby
Member
Wasnt their switch figure a chunk higher than MC? Probably an adjustment I'd guess
It was about 5k higher, adjusting with 13k is a bit overdoing it.
3D Mario is not as big in Japan as 2D Mario, so that pretty much guarantees it.
ZSaberLink
Media Create Maven
So Famitsu actually has the 3DS outselling the Switch then...
frankie_baby
Member
Ah ok must have been imagining things was thinking about 20k
I was starting to get worried, with all the discrepancies they have, Switch was mysteriously equal on both.
Now it make sense.
They also went with adjustments for several games as well: Zelda at 20,966 (29,307 for Famitsu), 1-2-Switch at 11,784 (16,517 for Famitsu), plus a big weekly drop for Bomberman (-49%, 3,859); less for DQH I-II (-26%, 3,062). Puyo Puyo Tetris saw a mere 14% drop, at 2,812, hero XD
EDIT: Actually, it's possible they went with adjustments especially for software. There were several Switch games higher on Famitsu than MC
Dark Cloud
Member
Splatoon 2 will definitely outsell Super Mario Odyssey and pretty much any Switch game. If Pokémon gets announced it would be the only game that has a chance.
Monster Hunter, Animal Crossing etc
darkstar0155
Member
Im 100% in agreement it will cross 1million when its all said and done. May take a year plus, but I feel pretty good that it will happen.
have a look at the japanese youtube channel of Nintendo. Check the views for both trailers. yea I know views!=sales. still..
Splatoon 2 will destroy Japan.
frankie_baby
Member
It all depends how well it holds up when mario kart launches and eats its lunch, the wii u version will probably finish up at about 150k so 850k from the switch version is still a big ask
TAS
Member
The Wii U didn't have a failed launch--it was actually quite good. The problem was right after the holiday season, sales fell off a cliff and never recovered.
mickagau33
Member
If we speak Japan only, the last Animal Crossing game, New Leaf, outsold Pokemon X/Y and Sun/Moon (not by much)
Dark Cloud
Member
I don't see Animal Crossing coming this year. Monster Hunter could have a chance though.
frankie_baby
Member
There's likely smash as well
Dark Cloud
Member
I 100% agree. There's definitely more than Odyssey.
On the Famitsu's comment, they say that this week starts the new fiscal year. So probably they're adjusting the numbers.
fredrancour
Member
jeez we're gonna start seeing "it prints money" gifs again at that rate.
Leona Lewis
Banned
NieR went up :-0
Must've been supply constrained. It was always 80-100% sold in prior weeks.
Must've been supply constrained. It was always 80-100% sold in prior weeks.
Ah, misunderstood your post. I thought you were saying only Pokemon will outsell Splatoon 2
04./00. [PS4] Yoru no Nai Kuni # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.10.01} (¥7.344) - 35.907 / NEW
05./00. [PSV] Yoru no Nai Kuni # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.10.01} (¥6.264) - 32.904 / NEW
03./00. [PS4] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 34.592 / NEW
08./00. [PSV] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 13.850 / NEW
Quite a drop between the Vita versions of the two games.
Kresnik258
Member
If we're making that comparison, then neither version picked up the PS3's sales either:
14./00. [PS3] Yoru no Nai Kuni # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.10.01} (¥7.344) - 10.416 / NEW
Polygonal_Sprite
Gold Member
I know it's not a barometer of sales but I couldn't believe my eyes when I saw the Mario Odyssey trailer Youtube views - almost 19 million vs 12 and 10 million views for the two main Zelda trailers.
I wonder if it's possible that like Pokemon Go, Super Mario Run has given Mario a whole new boost and new audience. I imagine a young kid liking Run and then seeing the Odyssey trailer and immediately being blown away by it and wanting it.
So in January I (and many others) predicted sales number for Switch in 2017.
Back then I was expecting 2-2.5M but looking at the sales and overall enthusiasm in Japan for the console I think it's safe to say that it will be higher than that.
The question is how high though, >3M is probably à lock but can it reach 4M or even more?
Back then I was expecting 2-2.5M but looking at the sales and overall enthusiasm in Japan for the console I think it's safe to say that it will be higher than that.
The question is how high though, >3M is probably à lock but can it reach 4M or even more?
Woops, I completely forgot there was a PS3 version.
I personally think Smash is gonna be their big late Summer / Fall title. Announcement at or near E3 (including another Nintendo World Championship?) and release early September or so.
Pokémon Stars and Mario Odyssey will be plenty for the Christmas season, especially if they also market Zelda/MK8DX/Splatoon and whatever else they have. There's also Xenoblade 2 and some other unannounced games.
darkstar0155
Member
I completely think MK8D will sell great, but I don't really see it affecting BoTW sales too much, very different games and they will both be "must haves". I can very easily see a scenario where BoTW still sells to 25% of new switch buyers even after MK8D launches.
I will be surprised if by next summer BoTW isn't sitting right around 1mil when you combine switch and wii u sales.
Dark Cloud
Member
I think it has more to do with it being the 3D Mario game people have wanted since Sunshine (sandbox) and it garnered so much positivity.
ArkhamFantasy
Member
Nier went up!
Lostconfused
Member
Thread only made it to 3 pages so far too.
frankie_baby
Member
I could see zelda holding up that much after mk and before splatoon but it'll probably start to slip more then
Famitsu Sales: Week 14, 2017 (Mar 27 - Apr 02)
01./01. [3DS] Monster Hunter Double Cross <ACT> (Capcom) {2017.03.18} (¥5.800) - 121.847 / 1.392.179 <80-100%> (-52%)
02./00. [PS4] Warriors Stars # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 42.559 / NEW <60-80%>
03./00. [3DS] Mario Sports Superstars <SPT> (Nintendo) {2017.03.30} (¥4.980) - 31.007 / NEW <20-40%>
04./00. [PS4] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 29.897 / NEW <60-80%>
05./02. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 20.966 / 328.587 <80-100%> (-41%)
06./00. [PSV] Warriors Stars # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 15.796 / NEW <60-80%>
07./00. [PSV] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 15.295 / NEW <60-80%>
08./00. [PSV] Re:Zero - Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu - Death or Kiss # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥7.500) - 13.020 / NEW <60-80%>
09./03. [NSW] 1-2-Switch <ETC> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥4.980) - 11.784 / 150.574 <80-100%> (-36%)
10./04. [PS4] Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Wildlands <ACT> (Ubisoft) {2017.03.09} (¥8.400) - 11.486 / 151.359 <80-100%> (-35%)
11./06. [3DS] Pokemon Sun / Moon # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2016.11.18} (¥4.980) - 9.046 / 3.727.572 <80-100%> (-12%)
12./00. [PSV] Chaos;Child: Love Chu Chu!! # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 6.991 / NEW <60-80%>
13./09. [PS4] NieR: Automata <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.02.23} (¥7.800) - 6.660 / 260.872 <80-100%> (-19%)
14./05. [PS4] Horizon: Zero Dawn # <RPG> (Sony Interactive Entertainment) {2017.03.02} (¥6.900) - 6.520 / 174.276 <80-100%> (-37%)
15./12. [3DS] Super Mario Maker for Nintendo 3DS <ACT> (Nintendo) {2016.12.01} (¥4.700) - 6.516 / 1.112.392 <80-100%> (+1%)
16./00. [PS4] Re:Zero - Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu - Death or Kiss # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥7.500) - 6.195 / NEW <60-80%>
17./08. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 + II.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts \ Kingdom Hearts Re:Chain of Memories> \ Kingdom Hearts HD II.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts II \ Kingdom Hearts II: Final Mix+ \ Kingdom Hearts: Birth by Sleep>> <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.03.09} (¥6.800) - 5.903 / 95.556 <80-100%> (-31%)
18./11. [WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 5.874 / 86.405 <80-100%> (-14%)
19./07. [PSV] Accel World Vs. Sword Art Online: Millennium Twilight <RPG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2017.03.16} (¥6.800) - 4.977 / 49.798 <80-100%> (-45%)
20./00. [PS4] Chaos;Child: Love Chu Chu!! # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 4.147 / NEW <60-80%>
21./10. [NSW] Super Bomberman R <ACT> (Konami) {2017.03.03} (¥4.980) - 3.859 / 67.008 <80-100%> (-48%)
22./20. [3DS] Mario Kart 7 <RCE> (Nintendo) {2011.12.01} (¥4.571) - 3.652 / 2.692.872 <80-100%> (-5%)
23./16. [3DS] Yo-Kai Watch 3: Sukiyaki <RPG> (Level 5) {2016.12.15} (¥4.800) - 3.642 / 695.806 <80-100%> (-16%)
24./13. [PS4] Accel World Vs. Sword Art Online: Millennium Twilight <RPG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2017.03.16} (¥7.600) - 3.441 / 39.478 <80-100%> (-47%)
25./19. [PS4] Grand Theft Auto V [New Price Edition] <ACT> (Take-Two Interactive Japan) {2015.10.08} (¥4.990) - 3.327 / 238.566 <80-100%> (-14%)
26./22. [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf - Welcome amiibo <ETC> (Nintendo) {2016.11.23} (¥2.700) - 3.269 / 159.818 <80-100%> (-5%)
27./17. [NSW] Dragon Quest Heroes I & II for Nintendo Switch <Dragon Quest Heroes: The World Tree's Woe and the Blight Below \ Dragon Quest Heroes II> <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.03.03} (¥8.800) - 3.062 / 42.306 <60-80%> (-26%)
28./14. [PS4] Senran Kagura: Peach Beach Splash # <ACT> (Marvelous) {2017.03.16} (¥6.980) - 2.933 / 57.383 <80-100%> (-50%)
29./23. [NSW] Puyo Puyo Tetris <PZL> (Sega) {2017.03.03} (¥4.990) - 2.812 / 26.955 <60-80%> (-14%)
30./30. [WIU] Minecraft: Wii U Edition <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2016.06.23} (¥3.600) - 2.769 / 306.146 <80-100%> (+12%)
Top 30
PS4 - 11
3DS - 7
NSW - 5
PSV - 5
WIU - 2
HARDWARE
01./01. [3DS] Monster Hunter Double Cross <ACT> (Capcom) {2017.03.18} (¥5.800) - 121.847 / 1.392.179 <80-100%> (-52%)
02./00. [PS4] Warriors Stars # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 42.559 / NEW <60-80%>
03./00. [3DS] Mario Sports Superstars <SPT> (Nintendo) {2017.03.30} (¥4.980) - 31.007 / NEW <20-40%>
04./00. [PS4] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 29.897 / NEW <60-80%>
05./02. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 20.966 / 328.587 <80-100%> (-41%)
06./00. [PSV] Warriors Stars # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 15.796 / NEW <60-80%>
07./00. [PSV] Blue Reflection: Maboroshi ni Mau - Shoujo no Ken # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 15.295 / NEW <60-80%>
08./00. [PSV] Re:Zero - Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu - Death or Kiss # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥7.500) - 13.020 / NEW <60-80%>
09./03. [NSW] 1-2-Switch <ETC> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥4.980) - 11.784 / 150.574 <80-100%> (-36%)
10./04. [PS4] Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon: Wildlands <ACT> (Ubisoft) {2017.03.09} (¥8.400) - 11.486 / 151.359 <80-100%> (-35%)
11./06. [3DS] Pokemon Sun / Moon # <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2016.11.18} (¥4.980) - 9.046 / 3.727.572 <80-100%> (-12%)
12./00. [PSV] Chaos;Child: Love Chu Chu!! # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥6.800) - 6.991 / NEW <60-80%>
13./09. [PS4] NieR: Automata <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.02.23} (¥7.800) - 6.660 / 260.872 <80-100%> (-19%)
14./05. [PS4] Horizon: Zero Dawn # <RPG> (Sony Interactive Entertainment) {2017.03.02} (¥6.900) - 6.520 / 174.276 <80-100%> (-37%)
15./12. [3DS] Super Mario Maker for Nintendo 3DS <ACT> (Nintendo) {2016.12.01} (¥4.700) - 6.516 / 1.112.392 <80-100%> (+1%)
16./00. [PS4] Re:Zero - Kara Hajimeru Isekai Seikatsu - Death or Kiss # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥7.500) - 6.195 / NEW <60-80%>
17./08. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 + II.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts HD I.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts \ Kingdom Hearts Re:Chain of Memories> \ Kingdom Hearts HD II.5 ReMIX <Kingdom Hearts II \ Kingdom Hearts II: Final Mix+ \ Kingdom Hearts: Birth by Sleep>> <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.03.09} (¥6.800) - 5.903 / 95.556 <80-100%> (-31%)
18./11. [WIU] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 5.874 / 86.405 <80-100%> (-14%)
19./07. [PSV] Accel World Vs. Sword Art Online: Millennium Twilight <RPG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2017.03.16} (¥6.800) - 4.977 / 49.798 <80-100%> (-45%)
20./00. [PS4] Chaos;Child: Love Chu Chu!! # <ADV> (5pb.) {2017.03.30} (¥7.800) - 4.147 / NEW <60-80%>
21./10. [NSW] Super Bomberman R <ACT> (Konami) {2017.03.03} (¥4.980) - 3.859 / 67.008 <80-100%> (-48%)
22./20. [3DS] Mario Kart 7 <RCE> (Nintendo) {2011.12.01} (¥4.571) - 3.652 / 2.692.872 <80-100%> (-5%)
23./16. [3DS] Yo-Kai Watch 3: Sukiyaki <RPG> (Level 5) {2016.12.15} (¥4.800) - 3.642 / 695.806 <80-100%> (-16%)
24./13. [PS4] Accel World Vs. Sword Art Online: Millennium Twilight <RPG> (Bandai Namco Games) {2017.03.16} (¥7.600) - 3.441 / 39.478 <80-100%> (-47%)
25./19. [PS4] Grand Theft Auto V [New Price Edition] <ACT> (Take-Two Interactive Japan) {2015.10.08} (¥4.990) - 3.327 / 238.566 <80-100%> (-14%)
26./22. [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf - Welcome amiibo <ETC> (Nintendo) {2016.11.23} (¥2.700) - 3.269 / 159.818 <80-100%> (-5%)
27./17. [NSW] Dragon Quest Heroes I & II for Nintendo Switch <Dragon Quest Heroes: The World Tree's Woe and the Blight Below \ Dragon Quest Heroes II> <RPG> (Square Enix) {2017.03.03} (¥8.800) - 3.062 / 42.306 <60-80%> (-26%)
28./14. [PS4] Senran Kagura: Peach Beach Splash # <ACT> (Marvelous) {2017.03.16} (¥6.980) - 2.933 / 57.383 <80-100%> (-50%)
29./23. [NSW] Puyo Puyo Tetris <PZL> (Sega) {2017.03.03} (¥4.990) - 2.812 / 26.955 <60-80%> (-14%)
30./30. [WIU] Minecraft: Wii U Edition <ADV> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2016.06.23} (¥3.600) - 2.769 / 306.146 <80-100%> (+12%)
Top 30
PS4 - 11
3DS - 7
NSW - 5
PSV - 5
WIU - 2
HARDWARE
Code:
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
|System | This Week | Last Week | Last Year | YTD | Last YTD | LTD |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
| 3DS # | 36.332 | 51.289 | 25.520 | 666.535 | 452.690 | 22.577.948 |
| NSW | 32.262 | 79.493 | | 556.633 | | 556.633 |
| PS4 # | 28.308 | 30.479 | 33.440 | 614.909 | 454.366 | 4.536.525 |
| PSV # | 7.330 | 7.529 | 17.741 | 197.388 | 379.678 | 5.444.807 |
| PS3 | 1.516 | 1.818 | 1.170 | 9.995 | 22.397 | 10.267.714 |
| WIU | 523 | 383 | 2.678 | 15.927 | 154.669 | 3.295.665 |
| XB1 # | 242 | 85 | 87 | 3.943 | 2.154 | 76.891 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
| ALL | 106.513 | 171.076 | 80.636 | 2.065.330 | 1.465.954 | 46.756.183 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+
| XB1 S | 242 | 71 | | 3.171 | | 4.889 |
|PS4 Pro| 5.796 | 5.632 | | 96.190 | | 213.240 |
| PS4 | 22.512 | 24.847 | 33.440 | 518.719 | 454.366 | 4.323.285 |
| PSV | 7.330 | 7.529 | 17.741 | 197.388 | 379.678 | 5.444.807 |
| 2DS | 7.675 | 9.392 | | 169.559 | | 466.706 |
| n-3DS | 28.657 | 41.897 | 25.070 | 496.976 | 416.137 | 5.190.965 |
+-------+------------+------------+------------+------------+------------+-------------+Since Nintendo wants to spread releases, when exactly do you see Smash, Pokemon "Stars", Mario Odyssey, Xenoblade 2... assuming they are all released before the end of December ?
For some reason I feel like one or some of the big games could end up between January and March 2018 or even later.
And what seems the most probable month for Splatoon, I'd really like it to be released before August, how likely is it ? If there's any indicator to guess that.
For some reason I feel like one or some of the big games could end up between January and March 2018 or even later.
And what seems the most probable month for Splatoon, I'd really like it to be released before August, how likely is it ? If there's any indicator to guess that.
Eolz
Member
Not their first golden week after all, smart move
NO
edit for above:
All those games in 2017. Pokemon in November, Mario too, Xenoblade 2 in October, FE Warriors at the end of August, Smash in September.
Monster Hunter is not coming to PS4.
fredrancour
Member
they could give first-party titles a month each starting in July:
July: Splatoon 2
August: Fire Emblem Warriors
September: Smash Deluxe
October: Mario Odyssey
November: Pokemon Stars
December: Xenoblade
With arms in june and mario kart legs carrying the console through may?