Media Create Sales: Week 20, 2013 (May 13 - May 19)

jesusraz

Member
Apr 27, 2006
2,402
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0
37
Manchester, England
www.cubed3.com
All this talk of DKCR3D not performing as well as the Wii game is interesting because personally I feel it has a stronger chance of making it to the million mark. Part of me thinks that the crossover between Wii and 3DS owners may not be as big as some believe, meaning a large chunk of the userbase may never have had chance to try the game.
 

Road

Member
Jan 21, 2008
7,602
0
0
Brazil
sites.google.com
Prediction League June, 2013

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 03 to Jun 30):

[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) -
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) -
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) -
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) -
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) -

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Deadline: May, 29th 09:00 am (EST) (when Famitsu or Media Create first make their weekly sales public)

Attention:
  • Remember for some games it's not only the 1st week.
  • Multiplatform games are the combined available sales of each platform.
Rules:
  • The official monthly hardware sales will be the sum of weekly numbers for all versions of the system available from Famitsu.
  • The official monthly software sales will be the latest total or the sum of the weekly numbers if the title is release before the period available from the Famitsu Top 30.
  • The official monthly sales for multi-platform releases will be the combined available sales of each platform shown in the title entry.
  • The official monthly sales for games with multiple versions will be the combined available sales of each version shown in the title entry.
  • Any game missing in the Famitsu top 30 will be taken out of the predictions.
  • Any item missing in your prediction will be considered as if you had predicted zero for its sales.
 

Soriku

Junior Member
Aug 22, 2012
15,519
0
455
Well at least SMT IV is pretty much guaranteed to do really well (even if the numbers are not crazy) and it seems Atlus shipped enough copies this time. So it won't be hurt by shortages like SJ was.

I mean some people predicted the game wouldn't even break 200k.
I think that's just a case of people not knowing how a main SMT would sell...and it has been 10 years since Nocturne (SJ isn't that great of a comparison).

200k FW / 300k LTD would be amazing. That's Persona 4 levels of popularity. I guess the accessibility as well as increased popularity for the overall series could push SMT IV that far.
 

hiska-kun

Member
Mar 9, 2012
3,567
0
445
Spain
Prediction League June, 2013

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 03 to Jun 30):

[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) -
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) -
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) -
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) -
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) -
Where is The Last of Us? :(
 

hiska-kun

Member
Mar 9, 2012
3,567
0
445
Spain
It may very well outsell the last two, but does it make any difference? I mean, Japan...
[PS3] Uncharted 3: Drake's Deception # <ADV> (Sony Computer Entertainment) {2011.11.02} (¥5.980) - 124.989 / NEW

Of course it won't sell this, but... Hey, can surprise.
 

darkside31337

Tomodachi wa Mahou
May 31, 2011
34,803
0
645
It may very well outsell the last two, but does it make any difference? I mean, Japan...
Why wouldn't it? I think the game does pretty decent. Western games have grown drastically, like CoD has dramatically increased sales basically every single year this gen and the UC games did pretty well.
 

Bruno MB

Member
Jan 3, 2012
4,307
0
650
Majorca - Spain
Prediction League June, 2013

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 03 to Jun 30):

[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 225.000
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 100.000
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 177.000
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 98.000
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 115.000
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
All this talk of DKCR3D not performing as well as the Wii game is interesting because personally I feel it has a stronger chance of making it to the million mark. Part of me thinks that the crossover between Wii and 3DS owners may not be as big as some believe, meaning a large chunk of the userbase may never have had chance to try the game.
Platforming was a genre that worked on Wii. If DK didn't make 1 million there a 2-years late port to another Nintendo system won't make it either.
 
Mar 4, 2009
3,617
0
0
Pescara, Italy
I may want to fix these later.

Predictions:

[3DS]Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 405.000
[3DS]New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 132.000
[PS3]Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 97.000
[PS3]Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 78.000
[PSP+PSV]Toukiden (4 days) - 99.000
 

zroid

Banned
Nov 7, 2011
76,132
1
0
Prediction League June, 2013

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 03 to Jun 30):

[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 300,000
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 125,000
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 150,000
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 85,000
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 125,000
 

saichi

Member
Apr 8, 2010
2,736
0
0
I'm not sure where people get this idea that a "remake" could sell a million copies/better than original because it's on 3DS and whatever reason they come up with.

The only remakes that sell over 1 million copies in Japan are Pokemon, DQ and FFIII. Almost all of them are on DS (DQ7 remake is on 3DS) and all of them sell significant less than the original.

For DKCR3D to outsell DKCR and sell more than 1 million copies in Japan alone, it would be making history.
 

zroid

Banned
Nov 7, 2011
76,132
1
0
Well, Marvelous is doing pretty damn well with its Wii->Vita ports.

Still, I agree regarding DKCR because there's more audience overlap than with Wii/Vita, and the game already sold alarmingly well to begin with.
 

Alrus

Member
Apr 4, 2010
9,787
0
595
Belgium
I believe Kirby Super Star Ultra did more than a million, but it was Kirby in Japan.
Yes it did. But then again it was a much older game so a part of the audience might have considered the DS version as a new entry in the franchise.
 

MasterSheen

Member
Feb 3, 2012
2,104
0
400
[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D - 240k
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey - 105k
[PS3] Gundam Breaker - 200k
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy - 75k
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden - 90k
 

cw_sasuke

If all DLC came tied to $13 figurines, I'd consider all DLC to be free
Sep 9, 2006
27,410
1
0
Really great SMT4 result if true, Shin EO also gears up to be one if not the best selling EO game till now. Wonder what Atlus will have in store for 3DS after they owned the summer on the system....Devil Survivor 2 got pushed back a little and after that they have nothing planned for the 3DS.

Guess they will switch emphasis from 3DS to PS3/consoles with a Persona 5 unveil rumored to happen any time soon. Still, with this sales i wouldnt be surprised to see even Persona in some for on the 3DS.

How many teams do they have ? Right now they are finishing Shin EO and will probably have EO V out in 18 months or so. SMT x FE and Persona 5. Probably not much workforce left for other projects.
 

lunchwithyuzo

Banned
Jun 20, 2010
11,040
0
0
Really great SMT4 result if true, Shin EO also gears up to be one if not the best selling EO game till now. Wonder what Atlus will have in store for 3DS after they owned the summer on the system....Devil Survivor 2 got pushed back a little and after that they have nothing planned for the 3DS.

Guess they will switch emphasis from 3DS to PS3/consoles with a Persona 5 unveil rumored to happen any time soon. Still, with this sales i wouldnt be surprised to see even Persona in some for on the 3DS.

How many teams do they have ? Right now they are finishing Shin EO and will probably have EO V out in 18 months or so. SMT x FE and Persona 5. Probably not much workforce left for other projects.
I'm expecting another P3 remake/conversion for 3DS to co-promote the film this fall. Seems like too perfect an opportunity to pass over.

If SMTIV does this well I half wonder if they'll port Nocturne too? I also wonder about non SMT/EO stuff (Radiant Historia, Trauma Center, Growlanser, Vanillaware games, Sting games, etc)? A lot of that might make a good fit for 3DS?
 

BriBri

Member
Jul 6, 2012
2,187
0
0
www.japanesenintendo.com
High hopes for DK

[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D - 375k
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey - 105k
[PS3] Gundam Breaker - 155k
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy - 75k
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden - 105k
+ [3DS] Kuma Tomo - 10k :)
+ [3DS] Gyrozetter - bomba
 
Jan 20, 2013
2,361
0
0
twitter.com
Prediction League June, 2013

[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 250,000
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 101,500
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 150,079
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 42,500
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 92,500
 

metalslimer

Member
Jun 9, 2012
26,506
0
0
[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 310k
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 95k
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 163k
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 70k
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 125k
 

Nekki

Member
Aug 31, 2011
1,500
0
490
Prediction League June, 2013

[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 325k
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 105k
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 120k
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 55k
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 100k
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
Prediction League June, 2013

[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 321.098
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 89.012
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 123.456
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 67.890
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 123.456
 

ohlawd

Member
May 28, 2012
21,824
0
0
www.neogaf.com
SMT making a comeback, putting SMT-for-babies Persona back in its place?!?!
Still in the middle of Nocturne doe.

_______

I don't know what I'm doing.

[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 400k
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 130k
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 170k
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 90k
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 80k
 

L Thammy

Member
Nov 4, 2012
15,052
0
0
Prediction League June, 2013

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 03 to Jun 30):

[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 297,151
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 93,142
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 62,281
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 50,583
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 70,575



I don't know what I'm doing.
Just take numbers and multiply them arbitrarily. That's kind of like predicting.
 

michaelius

Member
Jan 5, 2012
15,207
931
610
[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 350,000
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 70,000
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 100,000
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 55,000
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 120,000
 

lunchwithyuzo

Banned
Jun 20, 2010
11,040
0
0
[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 333,333
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 99,999
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 88,888
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 66,666
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 111,111
 

Road

Member
Jan 21, 2008
7,602
0
0
Brazil
sites.google.com
Dengeki Sales: Week 20, 2013 (May 13 - May 19)


Code:
TW(LW) SYS TITLE                                                 SALES       LTD   CHG  SELLTHROUGH        RELEASE  PUBLISHER

 1(  ) PSP Summon Night 5                                      103,897     *NEW*       [~75% => 139,000] 2013-05-16 Bandai Namco
 2( 1) 3DS Tomodachi Collection: Shin Seikatsu                  67,417   924,902 (-35%)                  2013-04-18 Nintendo
 3( 2) 3DS Luigi's Mansion: Dark Moon                           19,472   715,035 (-37%)                  2013-03-20 Nintendo
 4( 3) 3DS Animal Crossing: New Leaf                            16,115 3,159,866 (-35%)                  2012-11-08 Nintendo
 5(  ) PS3 Muv-Luv Alternative: Total Eclipse                   15,693     *NEW*       [~85% => 18,000]  2013-05-16 5pb.
 6( 4) PS3 Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen                           8,429   179,055 (-49%)                  2013-04-25 Capcom
 7( 5) 3DS Dragon Ball Heroes: Ultimate Mission                  4,306   191,040 (-42%)                  2013-02-28 Bandai Namco
 8( 9) 3DS New Super Mario Bros. 2                               3,881 1,948,084 (-31%)                  2012-07-28 Nintendo
 9(10) WII Taiko Drum Master Wii: Chougoukaban                   3,775   470,041 (-19%)                  2012-11-29 Bandai Namco
10( 7) PS3 Tomb Raider                                           3,312    52,716 (-44%)                  2013-04-25 Square Enix

11(14) 3DS Mario Kart 7                                          2,913 2,019,486 (-26%)                  2011-12-01 Nintendo
12(13) PSP Pro Baseball Spirits 2013                             2,815   150,493 (-31%)                  2013-03-20 Konami
13( 8) PS3 Naruto Shippuden: Ultimate Ninja Storm 3              2,644   120,830 (-55%)                  2013-04-18 Bandai Namco
14(12) 3DS Run For Money Tousouchuu: Shijou Saikyou no Hu...     2,618   511,038 (-37%)                  2012-07-05 Bandai Namco
15(17) 3DS Taiko Drum Master: Chibi Dragon to Fushigina Orb      2,465   472,729 (-31%)                  2012-07-12 Bandai Namco
16(18) PS3 One Piece: Pirate Warriors 2                          2,450   398,330 (-32%)                  2013-03-20 Bandai Namco
17(11) PSP 7th Dragon 2020-II                                    2,442   108,643 (-46%)                  2013-04-18 SEGA
18(20) 3DS Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate [Best Price!]               2,370   275,886 (-18%)                  2012-11-15 Capcom
19(15) PSV PhotoKano Kiss                                        2,307    45,685 (-39%)                  2013-04-25 Kadokawa Games
20(16) PS3 Pro Baseball Spirits 2013                             2,061   166,029 (-43%)                  2013-03-20 Konami

21(24) WIU New Super Mario Bros. U                               2,006   522,398 (-17%)                  2012-12-08 Nintendo
22(22) PS3 Steins;Gate: Senkei Kousoku no Phenogram              1,915    43,398 (-29%)                  2013-04-25 5pb.
23(27) PSP Sword Art Online: Infinity Moment                     1,881   205,647 (-17%)                  2013-03-14 Bandai Namco
24(19) 3DS Detective Conan: Marionette Symphony                  1,878    22,006 (-43%)                  2013-04-25 Bandai Namco
25(  ) 360 Muv-Luv Alternative: Total Eclipse                    1,833     *NEW*                         2013-05-16 5pb.
26(28) PS3 Kingdom Hearts HD 1.5 ReMIX                           1,806   207,228 (-18%)                  2013-03-14 Square Enix
27(25) 3DS Professor Layton and the Azran Legacies               1,800   225,022 (-25%)                  2013-02-28 Level 5
28(21) 3DS Dragon Quest VII: Eden no Senshitachi                 1,782 1,232,897 (-35%)                  2013-02-07 Square Enix
29(23) 3DS Cardfight!! Vanguard: Ride to Victory!!               1,739    67,235 (-33%)                  2013-04-11 FuRyu
30( 6) PSP Kud Wafter: Converted Edition                         1,592     8,039 (-75%)                  2013-05-09 Prototype

31(38) PS3 Call of Duty: Black Ops II - Dubbed Version           1,578   156,381 (-11%)                  2012-12-20 Square Enix
32(37) WIU Dragon Quest X: Mezameshi Itsutsu no Shuzoku O...     1,565    57,464 (-12%)                  2013-03-30 Square Enix
33(34) PSV Soul Sacrifice                                        1,522   195,017 (-18%)                  2013-03-07 SCE
34(40) PSV Muramasa Rebirth                                      1,512    75,797 (-14%)                  2013-03-28 Marvelous AQL
35(30) 3DS Super Mario 3D Land                                   1,450 1,842,947 (-28%)                  2011-11-03 Nintendo
36(29) PS3 Mugen Souls Z                                         1,417    21,370 (-33%)                  2013-04-25 Compile Heart
37(32) 3DS Paper Mario: Sticker Star                             1,378   557,140 (-27%)                  2012-12-06 Nintendo
38(33) PSV One Piece: Pirate Warriors 2                          1,371   107,641 (-26%)                  2013-03-20 Bandai Namco
39(44) PS3 Dynasty Warriors 8                                    1,294   310,290 (-17%)                  2013-02-28 Koei Tecmo
40(31) WIU Game & Wario                                          1,256    49,419 (-36%)                  2013-03-28 Nintendo

41(43) 3DS Aikatsu! Cinderella Lesson                            1,200   121,905 (-25%)                  2012-11-15 Bandai Namco
42(45) PSP Uta no Prince-sama: All Star                          1,192    84,807 (-22%)                  2013-03-07 Broccoli
43(36) 3DS Fantasy Life                                          1,178   289,529 (-34%)                  2012-12-27 Level 5
44(42) WIU Nintendo Land                                         1,165   320,355 (-27%)                  2012-12-08 Nintendo
45(41) 3DS Puyo Puyo!! 20th Anniversary [Special Price]          1,145    62,616 (-29%)                  2012-12-13 SEGA
46(46) WII Super Smash Bros. Brawl                               1,047 2,396,084 (-30%)                  2008-01-31 Nintendo
47(26) PSP Horizon on the Middle of Nowhere                      1,044    36,287 (-55%)                  2013-04-25 Kadokawa Games
48(49) 3DS Pretty Rhythm: My Deco Rainbow Wedding                1,017    56,437 (-20%)                  2013-03-20 Takara Tomy
49(59) NDS Pokémon Black Version 2                               1,011 1,599,313  (-5%)                  2012-06-23 Pokemon Co.
50(53) PSV Phantasy Star Online 2: Special Package                 967    98,104                         2013-02-28 SEGA

  (  ) NDS Pokémon White Version 2                                 884 1,400,402 (-13%)                  2012-06-23 Pokemon Co.
  (  ) WII Mario Kart Wii                                          865 3,573,889                         2008-04-10 Nintendo
  (  ) 360 Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen                             480    11,245 (-28%)                  2013-04-25 Capcom
  (  ) NDS Dragon Quest VI: Realms of Revelation [Ultimat...       425   142,619  (-6%)                  2011-02-03 Square Enix
  (  ) 360 Tomb Raider                                             180     5,339 (-44%)                  2013-04-25 Square Enix

*Sellthrough rounded to the nearest 5% => estimated copies shipped.
Other software (first week / LTD):

2006-11-30 [PS2] Summon Night 4 (Banpresto) - 114,000 / 195,000


TOTAL SOFTWARE
Code:
-------------------------------------------
| SYSTEM | THIS WEEK | LAST WEEK | CHANGE |
-------------------------------------------
| 3DS    |   159,881 |   236,872 |   -33% |
| PSP    |   145,610 |    60,238 |  +142% |
| PS3    |    79,653 |    89,863 |   -11% |
| PSV    |    21,796 |    28,950 |   -25% |
| WII    |    15,362 |    21,767 |   -29% |
| NDS    |     7,896 |     9,699 |   -19% |
| WIU    |     7,872 |    10,699 |   -26% |
| 360    |     5,565 |     4,310 |   +29%
-------------------------------------------
| ALL    |   443,635 |   462,398 |    -4% |
-------------------------------------------
HARDWARE
Code:
-------------------------------------------
| SYSTEM | THIS WEEK | LAST WEEK | CHANGE |
-------------------------------------------
| 3DSLL  |    24,838 |    32,990 |   -25% |
| 3DS    |    11,884 |    14,510 |   -18% |
| PS3    |    10,794 |    13,803 |   -22% |
| PSV    |    10,699 |    12,164 |   -12% |
| PSP    |     6,621 |     6,560 |    +1% |
| WIU    |     6,167 |     8,030 |   -23% |
| WII    |       851 |     1,255 |   -32% |
| 360    |       376 |       424 |   -11% |
-------------------------------------------
| ALL    |    72,230 |    89,736 |   -20% |
-------------------------------------------
Dengeki Sales: Week 19, 2013 (May 06 - May 12)

Previous Dengeki Posts (Thanks Cap. Smoker!)
2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013
 

fek

Member
Apr 24, 2013
1,769
0
365
[3DS] Donkey Kong Country Returns 3D (18 days) - 320,000
[3DS] New Etrian Odyssey (4 days) - 100,000
[PS3] Gundam Breaker (4 days) - 150,000
[PS3] Atelier Escha & Logy (4 days) - 70,000
[PSP+PSV] Toukiden (4 days) - 80,000
 

hiska-kun

Member
Mar 9, 2012
3,567
0
445
Spain
This isn't the first time it is mentioned and I still don't see it. Why do you think this one is going to sell better than EO IV?
I don't know if it will sell better than EO IV, but there're a lot of chances to sell really well. I think the changes they added (the history, voices, anime cutscenes...) can attract more people into the series.
 
Apr 10, 2008
4,037
0
765
Buenos Aires
Question for people living in Japan: has Game & Wario been discounted?
On Amazon it has the standard 20% discount, but maybe it has price collapsed at other stores?


Where did this impression come from that DK3D might sell 300k+? Must have missed some data
Personally I think it will sell 300-350K LTD. It is releasing too soon after the Wii version. But I thought Luigi Mansion 2 would sell 500k tops so what do I know.