Media Create Sales: Week 28, 2017 (Jul 10 - Jul 16)

bigjig

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Aug 8, 2011
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Whelp I missed out on a Switch. Went to my local Yamada Denki at opening. About 30-35 or so in line. No lottery or anything just a good old fashioned run for glory. I reckon maybe 10-15 were sold. Lot of disappointed faces, lot of lost sales. Sucks to know this was my last good chance to get a Switch for the foreseeable future because they rarely ever get them in stock at this location.

Ah well, might as well get DQXI and try again at Odyssey's launch. Hopefully the lack of popularity for 3D Mario will give me a better chance.
 
Jun 18, 2015
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Whelp I missed out on a Switch. Went to my local Yamada Denki at opening. About 30-35 or so in line. No lottery or anything just a good old fashioned run for glory. I reckon maybe 10-15 were sold. Lot of disappointed faces, lot of lost sales. Sucks to know this was my last good chance to get a Switch for the foreseeable future because they rarely ever get them in stock at this location.

Ah well, might as well get DQXI and try again at Odyssey's launch. Hopefully the lack of popularity for 3D Mario will give me a better chance.
This upsets me. Nintendo needs to fix this
 
Aug 30, 2007
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Sub 100K would be really disappointing but it's still nice to see some extra supply. Hopefully we won't go back to sub 30K weeks anytime soon because demand is going to remain high for the rest of the year and that just won't cut it.
 

D.Lo

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Aug 20, 2006
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Looks like there were only 50 at Bic in the raffle.

Quite a few people picked a pre-ordered one up at Yodabashi while I was in line for some extra merch.
 

bigjig

Member
Aug 8, 2011
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Check tomorrow some stores are seeing two shipment/sales days.
Unfortunately I've got plans for the morning and won't be free until mid-afternoon. By that time any additional shipment will be long gone
 
May 8, 2015
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Doesn't sound like there were a lot of bundles made. At this point, I think I'm fully expecting a disastrous number like 45k for next week. Hope I'm wrong.
 

Mory Dunz

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Jun 12, 2012
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Doesn't sound like there were a lot of bundles made. At this point, I think I'm fully expecting a disastrous number like 45k for next week. Hope I'm wrong.
I think it'll be low but 45k is too low. That's barely better than these weeks and next week has the pre made bundles.
 

Vena

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Sep 2, 2014
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There are restocks all over for launch day, even locations with limited restock rates, and there are *two* major sales periods for stock right off the bat.

That's more than ARMS (and probably MK) but some of you are predicting numbers *less* than ARMS. What logic leads one to this nonsense of a conclusion?
 

fredrancour

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Jun 11, 2009
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There are restocks all over for launch day, even locations with limited restock rates, and there are *two* major sales periods for stock right off the bat.

That's more than ARMS (and probably MK) but some of you are predicting numbers *less* than ARMS. What logic leads one to this nonsense of a conclusion?
Neogaf collapses under the weight of its own cynicism sometimes
 

KtSlime

Member
Feb 28, 2009
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There are restocks all over for launch day, even locations with limited restock rates, and there are *two* major sales periods for stock right off the bat.

That's more than ARMS (and probably MK) but some of you are predicting numbers *less* than ARMS. What logic leads one to this nonsense of a conclusion?
It is also discounting how many preorders there were, the number of system available for lottery and the number actually sold will be very different this week.
 

Vena

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Sep 2, 2014
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It is also discounting how many preorders there were, the number of system available for lottery and the number actually sold will be very different this week.
Yes, of course, I am merely pointing at the more usual data points we follow. When you include that information, it of course becomes even more absurd.
 

notaskwid

Member
Oct 20, 2015
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Considering that the preorders were open in many cases for less than one day, I'm not sure how big that number can be.
 

MoonFrog

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Jul 25, 2015
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Any sales(x) if x < +infinity will generate disappointment.
Hmmm...I wonder what would really not disappoint.

Is 500k disappointing? I'd imagine no?

400k? No, again

300k? No, again

250k? No, again, but perhaps this is a turning point?

200k? No, but perhaps not happy either

150k? No, but not happy either

100k? Maybe yes? Still a big leap from previous weeks. So in context, "Yes, but muted disappointment"

75k? Yes

50k? Yes
 

ggx2ac

Member
Apr 5, 2016
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Hmmm...I wonder what would really not disappoint.

Is 500k disappointing? I'd imagine no?

400k? No, again

300k? No, again

250k? No, again, but perhaps this is a turning point?


200k? No, but perhaps not happy either

150k? No, but not happy either

100k? Maybe yes? Still a big leap from previous weeks. So in context, "Yes, but muted disappointment"

75k? Yes

50k? Yes
That's where you're wrong. We'd have people wondering what Nintendo were doing holding back stock for so long.

Which means I'd have to revise the statement:

Any sales(x) if x <= +infinity will generate disappointment.
 

MoonFrog

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Jul 25, 2015
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That's where you're wrong. We'd have people wondering what Nintendo were doing holding back stock for so long.

Which means I'd have to revise the statement:

Any sales(x) if x <= +infinity will generate disappointment.
This is probably actually true....

Is there a middle point though? Like 250k perhaps, where it isn't too big and isn't too small?

Hmmm....
 

Eliseo

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Feb 2, 2016
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That's where you're wrong. We'd have people wondering what Nintendo were doing holding back stock for so long.

Which means I'd have to revise the statement:

Any sales(x) if x <= +infinity will generate disappointment.
Is that a squid jumping?
 

ggx2ac

Member
Apr 5, 2016
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This is probably actually true....

Is there a middle point though? Like 250k perhaps, where it isn't too big and isn't too small?

Hmmm....
You'd have to find a formula, graph it (you can use Wolfram Alpha), see if it has an inflection point.

The simplest case is a concave parabola where the minimum value of the y-axis* would be the inflection point.

The hard part is applying real data to get an approximate answer to apply to the real world.

*x is sales, y is disappointment. (Axes)

Edit: Note that the parabola example would need to be between 0 < y < +infinity , otherwise you'd end up with two lines that cut through the x-axis which means there'd be two sales figures that would provide the minimum levels of disappointment.
 

KtSlime

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Feb 28, 2009
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I imagine that if they had not done any bundles then the average weekly shipment to Japan would be about 45k, the sales dropped a bit 10 weeks ago to about 28k a week. So if all those went to making bundles then I should expect somewhere around 210k, if it is too far off that mark I will be a bit confused as to what is going on with the manufacturing and shipping of the Switch.
 

ggx2ac

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Apr 5, 2016
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I imagine that if they had not done any bundles then the average weekly shipment to Japan would be about 45k, the sales dropped a bit 10 weeks ago to about 28k a week. So if all those went to making bundles then I should expect somewhere around 210k, if it is too far off that mark I will be a bit confused as to what is going on with the manufacturing and shipping of the Switch.
The interesting part was the NPD figures that were leaked

NPD US Sales figures said:
Switch
Mar: 910,545
Apr: 280,897
May: 165,038
Jun: 215,582
So this shows what is most likely that the April shipments are indicative of the Switch units that were shipped by air because May had a huge shortage.

The average of April, May, June would be around 220k in the US.

So, the question is whether or not the drop in sales for those months in Japan was either due to component shortages which affected manufacturing or the manufacturing of Splatoon 2 bundles reduced their output having to hold back units for sale.
 

Geg

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Nov 26, 2014
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I didn't see anything about it here, but did the eshop in Japan crash last night/this morning when Splatoon 2 went up like what's happening now in NA?
 

L~A

Member
Jan 19, 2013
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I know, I meant did it happen for the release in Japan too?
Nope, no downtime then.

***

Nintendo eShop Sales: July 13th to July 19th

Nintendo Switch

(=) 01. Minecraft: Nintendo Switch Edition (Mojang) [12.5.2017]
(+1) 02. Snipperclips: Cut it out, together! (Nintendo) [03.3.2017]
(N) 03. Levels+: Addictive Puzzle Game (flow) [13.7.2017]
(N) 04. ACA NeoGeo Fatal Fury Special (Hamster) [13.7.2017]
(=) 05. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) [28.4.2017]
(-4) 06. Implosion (Flyhigh Works) [06.7.2017]
(B) 07. Kamiko (Flyhigh Works) [13.4.2017]
(-1) 08. ARMS (Nintendo) [16.3.2017]
(-5) 09. Shephy (Arc System Works) [06.7.2017]
(=) 10. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) [03.3.2017]

Nintendo 3DS

(=) 01. Kirby’s Blowout Blast (Nintendo) [04.7.2017]
(=) 02. The Battle Cats POP (Ponos) [31.5.2015]
(+2) 03. Hey! Pikmin (Nintendo) [13.7.2017]
(-1) 04. Dragon Quest XI (Square-Enix) [29.7.2017]
(+3) 05. Ever Oasis (Nintendo) [13.7.2017]
(B) 06. ByeBye! BoxBoy! (Nintendo) [02.2.2017] (was on sale)
(-3) 07. Ice Station Z (Wobbly Tooth) [06.4.2017]
(-2) 08. Professor Layton and the Miracle Mask (Level-5) [06.2.2013] (was on sale)
(+1) 09. Professor Layton anf the Azran Legacy (Level-5) [28.2.2013] (was on sale)
(N) 10. Layton's Mystery Journey: Katrielle and the Millionaires' Conspiracy (Level-5) [20.7.2017]

Wii U

(=) 01. Minecraft: Wii U Edition (Microsoft) [17.12.2015]
(=) 02. Discovery (Rainy Frog) [31.8.2016] (was on sale)
(+1) 03. Splatoon (Nintendo) [28.5.2015]
(-1) 04. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) [03.3.2017]
(+3) 05. Plantera (Rainy Frog) [01.2.2017]
(-1) 06. Mario Kart 8 (Nintendo) [29.5.2014]
(-1) 07. Kirby Super Star (Nintendo, Virtual Console) [01.5.2013]
(+2) 08. Super Mario World (Nintendo, Virtual Console) [27.4.2013]
(B) 09. Art Academy: Sketchpad (Nintendo) [08.8.2013]
(-1) 10. Super Mario RPG (Nintendo, Virtual Console) [05.8.2015]

https://topics.nintendo.co.jp/c/article/12893624-683f-11e7-8cda-063b7ac45a6d.html
 

CANLI

Member
Dec 4, 2006
538
0
0
Brussels
Nintendo eShop Sales: July 13th to July 19th

Nintendo Switch

(=) 01. Minecraft: Nintendo Switch Edition (Mojang) [12.5.2017]
(+1) 02. Snipperclips: Cut it out, together! (Nintendo) [03.3.2017]
(N) 03. Levels+: Addictive Puzzle Game (flow) [13.7.2017]
(N) 04. ACA NeoGeo Fatal Fury Special (Hamster) [13.7.2017]
(=) 05. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe (Nintendo) [28.4.2017]
(-4) 06. Implosion (Flyhigh Works) [06.7.2017]
(B) 07. Kamiko (Flyhigh Works) [13.4.2017]
(-1) 08. ARMS (Nintendo) [16.3.2017]
(-5) 09. Shephy (Arc System Works) [06.7.2017]
(=) 10. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild (Nintendo) [03.3.2017]

Nintendo 3DS

(=) 01. Kirby’s Blowout Blast (Nintendo) [04.7.2017]
(=) 02. The Battle Cats POP (Ponos) [31.5.2015]
(+2) 03. Hey! Pikmin (Nintendo) [13.7.2017]
Really sad to that Super Ping pong trick shot isn't at the top 10. I love playing this game on my switch.
And what the heck at battle cats still second.
 

hiska-kun

Member
Mar 9, 2012
3,567
0
445
Spain
First Day Sell-through {2017.07.20}

[3DS] Layton's Mystery Journey: Katrielle and The Millionaire's Conspiracy <ADV> (Level 5) (¥4.444) - 40%

[PS4] Under Night In-Birth Exe:Latest <FTG> (Arc System Works) (¥6.800) - 50%

[3DS] Sumikko Gurashi: Koko, Dokonan Desu? <ETC> (Nippon Columbia) (¥4.800) - 20% long seller, no worries

[NSW] Fate/Extella: The Umbral Star # <ACT> (Marvelous) (¥7.800) - 30%

[NSW] [PS4] Cars 3: Driven to Win <RCE> (Warner Entertainment Japan) (¥5.700) - 20%

Rabbids Land:

[3DS] Kouekizaidan Houjin Nihon Kanji Nouryoku Kentei Kyoukai: Kanken Training 2 <EDU> (Imagineer) (¥3.800) - 10%
 

KtSlime

Member
Feb 28, 2009
9,062
0
0
Tokyo
First Day Sell-through {2017.07.20}

[3DS] Layton's Mystery Journey: Katrielle and The Millionaire's Conspiracy <ADV> (Level 5) (¥4.444) - 40%

[PS4] Under Night In-Birth Exe:Latest <FTG> (Arc System Works) (¥6.800) - 50%

[3DS] Sumikko Gurashi: Koko, Dokonan Desu? <ETC> (Nippon Columbia) (¥4.800) - 20% long seller, no worries

[NSW] Fate/Extella: The Umbral Star # <ACT> (Marvelous) (¥7.800) - 30%

[NSW] [PS4] Cars 3: Driven to Win <RCE> (Warner Entertainment Japan) (¥5.700) - 20%

Rabbids Land:

[3DS] Kouekizaidan Houjin Nihon Kanji Nouryoku Kentei Kyoukai: Kanken Training 2 <EDU> (Imagineer) (¥3.800) - 10%
Layton is number one on the AppStore, I wonder if people are buying it there, that's where I got it. I hope they are, there can't be enough Arimura Kasumi.

Oh and Splatoon finally showed up at 4PM. Excuse me.
 

mugwhump

Member
Nov 6, 2005
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Surrey, BC, Canada, NA
The interesting part was the NPD figures that were leaked



So this shows what is most likely that the April shipments are indicative of the Switch units that were shipped by air because May had a huge shortage.
I don't think so, I think the only reason they shipped those units by air was so they could get those sales within the Fiscal Year and have better numbers to tell shareholders. Don't think it would be worth it otherwise.

Part of the dropoff after April also could've been because Nintendo was blowing through the stockpile they'd accumulated before launch. They also probably started stockpiling more in May since there were no major releases.
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Mar 10, 2011
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theflyingthoughtsblog.wordpress.com
Layton is number one on the AppStore, I wonder if people are buying it there, that's where I got it. I hope they are, there can't be enough Arimura Kasumi.

Oh and Splatoon finally showed up at 4PM. Excuse me.
Just checked through AppAnnie: it's the most downloaded Paid app (not overall) and, at the moment, 39th on the Grossing chart. Also, I don't believe a 40% first day sell-through is going to be that problematic for the game, I can see it selling in the long run.

Now, Fate/Extella, instead...it's not that good, given the kind of game it is/ the potential post-launch sales it has. Not a disaster (that would've been a 20% ST IMHO), but hopefully this week's Switch sales can help it a bit more, otherwise the bomba bins risk won't be that far. And that's without questioning how many copies were shipped on the market.

Fun fact: the Switch online app is currently the second most downloaded Free app
 

ggx2ac

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Apr 5, 2016
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370
I don't think so, I think the only reason they shipped those units by air was so they could get those sales within the Fiscal Year and have better numbers to tell shareholders. Don't think it would be worth it otherwise.

Part of the dropoff after April also could've been because Nintendo was blowing through the stockpile they'd accumulated before launch. They also probably started stockpiling more in May since there were no major releases.
If they were stockpiling May's stock for June which had ARMS, that sounds really bad because we would expect July to drop back down to 165k sales.
 

Shin

Member
Feb 4, 2013
4,170
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605
Quite the spike for PS4/P, DQXI out yet as sales seems to be in an uplift in recent weeks.
 

whyreggielie

Member
Nov 25, 2012
690
3
335
I've heard of thousands in line for a hundred units. A lot of these people have no chance at buying a switch which is so disappointing. I hope they can at least reach 100k this week, they are shipping way too low to reach demand right now and judging by the numbers I've been seeing on here at each store I will truly be surprised if it even hits 100k.



EDIT: A look at the lines in Japan today: http://kotaku.com/on-splatoon-2-launch-day-japan-lines-up-for-the-switch-1797119711
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
No supply problems appear for software and peripherals so far, Nintendo shipped big amounts of them.