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Media Create Sales: Week 3, 2016 (Jan 18 - Jan 24)

Chezzymann

Member
Feb 18, 2013
15,475
2
490
At this point some random guy could make a home made console and it could sell more than the Xbox One. No really I'm serious. He could probably just have a few people helping him out to manufacture them. It's just about 15 per day so it wouldn't be too bad.
 

frankie_baby

Member
May 3, 2007
18,401
0
0
I'm actually wondering if discontinued/untracked systems like the Wii or psp could be selling more than the bone
 

ZOONAMI

Junior Member
Nov 4, 2013
9,396
0
0
Saint Paul, MN
Media Create should track down the 52 Xbox one owners and let them know they are 1 of only 52 people who bought one in all of Japan over the last week. Maybe that would generate some word of mouth lol.
 

mckmas8808

Member
May 24, 2005
42,068
4,784
1,630
At this point some random guy could make a home made console and it could sell more than the Xbox One. No really I'm serious. He could probably just have a few people helping him out to manufacture them. It's just about 15 per day so it wouldn't be too bad.
More like 8 per day right?
 

Shenmue

Banned
Jul 23, 2015
2,468
0
0
Lol, I didn't even think about Taiwan. Maybe Yakuza 8!
Taiwan outlawed all kinds of arcades, gambling places, and pool halls. That would make for a pretty tame Yakuza.

I guess you could just walk around night markets all night.
 

Mory Dunz

Member
Jun 12, 2012
14,205
0
0
Next to the weekly Splatoon circle jerk, XB1 sales talk is probably the worst thing in these threads. It's been like 6 years since the Xbox brand had any semblance of relevancy in the Japanese gaming market. Microsoft's hardware sales fell off a cliff long ago, and that's saying something given that wasn't the tallest of points to drop from. XB1 debuted to numbers closer to failed hardware revisions than a new platform. So I find it hard to be surprised by its continued abysmal performance. It's like digging up a corpse every three weeks to go, "Yeah, you're still dead." This isn't even a spectacular failure either, as Microsoft hasn't made a significant investment in trying to make XB1 a success in the country. They didn't have a bunch of the AAA Japanese game space making exclusives for them this time around.
I kind of feel similarly. Honestly, I don't even read the sales for xbox1 when I'm scrolling down. I barely read PS3 sales either. Certain things aren't all that interesting anymore in MC, when there's nothing to change it the future, i.e. xbox1 sales and PS3 sales at this point in its life. Also, Wii U sales are trending toward predictableness too.

Stuff that's still interesting for me.
PS4 Hardware,
3DS and Vita HW, (basically how well they continue to hold. And 3DS is the market leader, so it has to get attention)
Wii U software, PS4 Software (especially the upcoming "big games"), 3DS software.

I didn't find much wrong with the splatoon stuff last year. If it was MK8, it'd be excessive since good sales were expected, but splatoon kind of came out of no where. Like yokai 1.
 

twothunder

Member
Jun 20, 2010
3,230
0
0
Pretty slow week.

01./00. [PS4] Yakuza: Kiwami <ADV> (Sega) {2016.01.21} (¥6.490) - 103.256 / NEW
02./00. [PS3] Yakuza: Kiwami <ADV> (Sega) {2016.01.21} (¥6.490) - 60.427 / NEW
Yakuza did pretty decent for a remake, I guess. Yakuza 6 sales will be interesting

03./00. [3DS] Hyrule Warriors Legends # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2016.01.21} (¥5.800) - 54.479 / NEW
expected a bit more of it.

08./06. [WIU] Splatoon # <ACT> (Nintendo) {2015.05.28} (¥5.700) - 13.764 / 1.215.154 (-25%)
10./07. [3DS] Yo-Kai Watch Busters: Red Cat Team / White Dog Squad <ACT> (Level 5) {2015.07.11} (¥4.600) - 10.608 / 2.172.431 (-28%)
11./09. [PSV] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition <ADV> (Sony Computer Entertainment) {2015.03.19} (¥2.400) - 10.431 / 631.491 (-21%)

Even the games with legs slowing down quite a bit. Not unexpected though.

WIU | 11.298
XB1 | 52
Wii-U going back down. and XB1... a new low.

lets hope next week will be a bit better
 
Mar 31, 2013
1,893
0
0
36
France
Yakuza still relevant year after year. 160K for a full price remake is definilty promising for Yakuza 6.

There was the Jump Festa trailer as well, but I think the core issue is that there's not much game to show off.
I very much agree, my point was that Setsuna is certainly a very modest game.
 

noobie

Member
Aug 16, 2008
2,296
0
775
www.facebook.com
Is there any release schedule for PS4 and 3DS? I think in next couple of months PS4 might top hardware chat in more weeks than 3DS. But I don't have any idea of 3DS release in February and March

Because the bar is going to be too low
 

Mory Dunz

Member
Jun 12, 2012
14,205
0
0
Is there any release schedule for PS4 and 3DS? I think in next couple of months PS4 might top hardware chat in more weeks than 3DS. But I don't have any idea of 3DS release in February and March

Because the bar is going to be too low
February has pokemanz.

That's all i know off the top of my head.

edit
oh yea, sfv
 

Ryng_tolu

Banned
Jul 7, 2015
5,237
0
0
Italy
twitter.com
Is there any release schedule for PS4 and 3DS? I think in next couple of months PS4 might top hardware chat in more weeks than 3DS. But I don't have any idea of 3DS release in February and March

Because the bar is going to be too low
2DS release. No way PS4 beat 3DS that month.
 

Vena

Member
Sep 2, 2014
16,385
0
0
Ehh given the current trend, I don't see the PS4 overtaking the 3DS in any upcoming month for the early year unless things drastically start to change. This is a week, for example, of full decline across the board and yet the 3DS is still hanging higher (by varying degrees depending on tracker) despite its only relevant release being a port.

The 3DS's baseline this year is simply holding higher than I had expected as last year it was still riding N3DS launch, this year its just riding... magic clouds, I guess. While the PS4 really hasn't made much progress/gained any substantial upward moment from its price-drop, its just hanging to what appears to be the same ~20k baseline.

The launch of the 2DS with Pokemon anniversary will give a that month a very strong shot in the arm, to the point where I think it will be impossible for it to lose. Launching on the tail end of February may also cause that release to heavily affect March.
 

saichi

Member
Apr 8, 2010
2,736
0
0
Is there any release schedule for PS4 and 3DS? I think in next couple of months PS4 might top hardware chat in more weeks than 3DS. But I don't have any idea of 3DS release in February and March
As likely as KanColle Kai becomes an evergreen title for Vita like MineCraft..
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Dec 17, 2008
11,738
0
0
Kiwami is a remake, not a "remaster."

If Yakuza 6 doesn't do 200k+ FW, something's wrong:

[PS3] Yakuza 5 # <ADV> (Sega) {2012.12.06} (¥8.800) - 356.757 / NEW <65,80%>
If Yakuza 6 has only a 200k+ first week and not 300k+ it's heading for a big decline.
 

Mory Dunz

Member
Jun 12, 2012
14,205
0
0
I doubt it will get one. Pokkén is the closest thing to a big game it has this year in JP as far as we know, right? I expect Zelda to do worse than SMM and a bit better than DKTF.
huh? Isn't that an insanely huge range?

not the latest number, but in all of 2014, Tropical Freeze did:

069. [WIU] Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze <ACT> (Nintendo) {2014.02.13} (¥5.985) - 116.273 / 116.273

116k.

And Mario Maker may well get to 1 million.


So...

~120k < Zelda < 1 million?

guess I can't argue with that.
 

noshten

Member
Oct 20, 2014
3,844
1
350
Sofia
Zelda TP doing anything more than 150K is going to be crazy.
Zelda U depends on what exactly the NX is, for example if it's a handheld released by the end of the year with Zelda U port than there is no way Zelda on Wii U even surpasses 300K.
 

Mory Dunz

Member
Jun 12, 2012
14,205
0
0
Zelda TP doing anything more than 150K is going to be crazy.
Zelda U depends on what exactly the NX is, for example if it's a handheld released by the end of the year with Zelda U port than there is no way Zelda on Wii U even surpasses 300K.
Yeah, the NX question makes Zelda sales hard to predict.

I've been wondering if Zelda U had a chance at outselling Skyward Sword.

By the end of 2013, SS had done:
701. [WII] The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2011.11.23} (¥6.800) - 5.096 / 357.374

That may be tough. But maybe I'm underestimating console zelda.
 

maxcriden

Member
Sep 15, 2013
34,165
1
715
www.neogaf.com
huh? Isn't that an insanely huge range?

not the latest number, but in all of 2014, Tropical Freeze did:

069. [WIU] Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze <ACT> (Nintendo) {2014.02.13} (¥5.985) - 116.273 / 116.273

116k.

And Mario Maker may well get to 1 million.


So...

~120k < Zelda < 1 million?

guess I can't argue with that.
Sorry. I meant, just a bit better than DKTF. That's what I was trying to say with "a bit better than DKTF." I should have said a lot worse than SMM.
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Mar 10, 2011
22,885
0
865
28
theflyingthoughtsblog.wordpress.com
This week's Famitsu features December retail+digital top 30 (period tracked: November 30th, 2015 - January 3rd, 2016). While we wait for the full top 30, here's numbers for digital sales of games on Nintendo consoles, credits to BriBri (warning: digital numbers from Famitsu are estimates, not 100% reliable)


Monster Hunter X - 173,074
Minecraft: Wii U Edition - 77,233
Monster Strike - 11,822
Super Mario Maker - 8,401
Splatoon - 7,507
Animal Crossing: Happy Home Designer - 4,805
Mario & Luigi: Paper Jam - 4,336
Yokai Watch Busters - 3,984
Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 3,568
Genei Ibun Roku #FE - 2,613
Rhythm Tengoku The Best+ - 2,394
Disney Magic Castle: My Happy Life 2 - 2,116
 

Bruno MB

Member
Jan 3, 2012
4,307
0
660
Majorca - Spain
This week's Famitsu features December retail+digital top 30 (period tracked: November 30th, 2015 - January 3rd, 2016). While we wait for the full top 30, here's numbers for digital sales of games on Nintendo consoles, credits to BriBri (warning: digital numbers from Famitsu are estimates, not 100% reliable)


Monster Hunter X - 173,074
That is more in line (284.618 LTD) with what the eShop rankings showed because November digital sales estimates were lower than I expected even if they were tracked for just 2 days.

Code:
[B]November, 2015[/B]

[3DS] Monster Hunter X # <ACT> (Capcom) {2015.11.28} (¥6.264) - 1.542.104 (111.544) / 1.653.648 [NEW]

[B]December, 2015[/B]

[3DS] Monster Hunter X # <ACT> (Capcom) {2015.11.28} (¥6.264) - 1.049.460 (173.074) / 1.222.534 [2.876.182 LTD]

[B]January, 2016[/B] 

[3DS] Monster Hunter X # <ACT> (Capcom) {2015.11.28} (¥6.264) - 124.248 (______) / 124.248 [3.000.430 LTD]
Sell-through is already over 3 million units if we include what the game has sold (retail) in January.

I figure out that shipments will be around 3,3 million by the end of the fiscal year, 800.000 units over Capcom's forecast.
 

Bruno MB

Member
Jan 3, 2012
4,307
0
660
Majorca - Spain
Now that I remember, the last time we got the results for our monthly predictions was in May. The prediction league for the month of January was never posted. Road has been missing from these threads for a long time so I suppose he must be very busy, so if there is no objection I could temporarily take over the prediction league.

My primary intention was to calculate all the missing results, but honestly, it is much more work than I expected and no one will care about predictions made several months ago. So I will post June 2015 results because they are already done, but the next results will be for the month of November.

Prediction League June 2015 Results

Congratulations to:

- hiska-kun, for winning by units!
- hiska-kun, for winning by mean error%!

Code:
    BY UNITS                                        BY MEAN ERROR %               

    1      145.323      hiska-kun                   1       19,58%     hiska-kun
    2      172.345      1st Course                  2       24,05%   BlowoverKing
    3      185.009      Hellraider                  3       25,65%      Yeshua
    4      197.323     BlowoverKing                 4       26,51%       XDDX
    5      212.323        DrWong                    5       27,09%       Orgen
    6      230.323     MasterSheen                  6       29,09%    1st Course
    7      239.047        Orgen                     7       30,98%    MasterSheen
    8      245.323       casiopao                   8       31,44%    Hellraider
    9      258.323       Xenoboy                    9       31,48%       Road
    10     261.128        Fisico                    10      33,25%      sörine
    11     271.549       Bruno MB                   11      33,44%      DrWong
    12     273.271         XDDX                     12      34,50%     casiopao
    13     276.338         Road                     13      34,77%       Xbro
    14     285.323       random25                   14      36,00%      Xenoboy
    15     294.353        sörine                    15      36,79%      Fisico
    16     298.747         Xbro                     16      37,11%    astrogamer
    17     307.225        Yeshua                    17      41,71%       Eolz
    18     381.973      astrogamer                  18      42,41%    michaelius
    19     405.415         Eolz                     19      44,24%     Bruno MB
    20     424.973      michaelius                  20      45,92%     random25


                                                         Famitsu    Yeshua     Eolz   astrogamerBlowoverKing  sörine   random25  casiopao  Xenoboy    DrWong  1st Coursemichaelius  Orgen      Xbro   Hellraider Bruno MB   Fisico     Road
[3DS] Dragon Ball Z Extreme Butouden                      95.613    70.000    46.640    75.000     99.000    114.832   120.000   110.000   105.000   109.000   110.000    90.000   107.000   100.000   100.000    90.000    95.000    88.888
[3DS] Rhythm Heaven The Best +                           274.638   150.000   145.541   131.000    274.000    231.995   250.000   220.000   225.000   246.000   220.000   120.000   301.000   210.000   250.000   215.000   222.222   111.111
[PS4] Devil May Cry 4 Special Edition                     38.783    30.000    66.666    57.000     60.000     45.459    80.000    60.000    54.000    59.000    40.000    70.000    53.000    70.000    60.000    70.000    65.000    33.333
[3DS] Popolocrois Story of Seasons                        54.212    45.000    55.555    48.000     57.000     63.923    60.000    85.000   101.000    66.000    50.000    40.000    56.000    50.000    80.000    70.000    44.442    66.666
[ALL] Final Fantasy XIV: Heavensward                      49.065    50.000    79.797    83.000     77.000     98.491   100.000    70.000    83.000    94.000   110.000    80.000    79.000    90.000    80.000   115.000   101.826    88.888
[3DS] Fire Emblem Fates: Black Kingdom / White Kingdom   353.201   250.000   197.971   211.000    222.000    204.812   250.000   280.000   250.000   283.000   360.000   180.000   228.000   200.000   300.000   275.000   248.007   333.333
[PSV] Persona 4 Dancing All Night                         95.157   130.000    83.000    78.000     85.000     76.868    60.000    65.000    95.000    72.000    65.000    80.000    65.000    95.000   120.000    80.000    81.000    66.666

TOTAL ABS. DIFF.                                                   307.225   405.415   381.973    197.323    294.353   285.323   245.323   258.323   212.323   172.345   424.973   239.047   298.747   185.009   271.549   261.128   276.338
MEAN ERROR %                                                        25,65%    41,71%    37,11%     24,05%     33,25%    45,92%    34,50%    36,00%    33,44%    29,09%    42,41%    27,09%    34,77%    31,44%    44,24%    36,79%    31,48%

MasterSheen    XDDX   hiska-kun
  106.000     85.555   120.000
  205.000     90.500   230.000
   65.000     47.777    50.000
   80.000     55.000    59.000
   63.000     70.000    69.000
  286.000    340.000   320.000
   78.000     60.000    88.000

  230.323    273.271   145.323
   30,98%     26,51%    19,58%
Code:
STATISTICS                                             FAMITSU GAF_AVG MIN     MAX     UNDER   OVER    CLOSEST BY
[3DS] Dragon Ball Z Extreme Butouden                   95.613  97.096  46.640  120.000 40%     60%     95.000 fisico
[3DS] Rhythm Heaven The Best +                         274.638 202.418 90.500  301.000 95%     5%      274.000 BlowoverKing
[PS4] Devil May Cry 4 Special Edition                  38.783  56.812  30.000  80.000  10%     90%     40.000 1st Course
[3DS] Popolocrois Story of Seasons                     54.212  61.629  40.000  101.000 30%     70%     55.000 XDDX
[ALL] Final Fantasy XIV: Heavensward                   49.065  84.100  50.000  115.000 0%      100%    50.000 Yeshua
[3DS] Fire Emblem Fates: Black Kingdom / White Kingdom 353.201 260.956 180.000 360.000 95%     5%      360.000 1st Course
[PSV] Persona 4 Dancing All Night                      95.157  81.177  60.000  130.000 90%     10%     95.000 Xenoboy
 

Ōkami

Member
May 10, 2015
3,585
1
0
Famitsu's Top 30 for December 2015 (30/11 - 3/1)
  1. [3DS] Monster Hunter X – 1,222,534 (1,049,460 physical, 173,074 digital)
  2. [3DS] Monster Strike – 789,010 (777,188 physical, 11,822 digital)
  3. [3DS] Yo-kai Watch Busters – 370,477 (309,034 physical, 8,401 digital)
  4. [WIU] Super Mario Maker – 317,435 (309,034 physical, 8,401 digital)
  5. [WIU] Splatoon – 313,455 (305,948 physical, 7,507 digital)
  6. [3DS] Mario & Luigi: Paper Jam – 203,721 (199,385 physical, 4,336 digital)
  7. [PS4] Fallout 4 – 191,407 (175,361 physical, 16,046 digital)
  8. [3DS] Animal Crossing: Happy Home Designer – 165,511 (160,706 physical, 4,805 digital)
  9. [PSV] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition – 148,401 (141,812 physical, 6,589 digital)
  10. [3DS] Disney Magical World 2 – 138,457 (136,341 physical, 2,166 digital)
  11. [3DS] Rhythm Heaven: The Best Plus – 128,336 (125,942 physical, 2,394 digital)
  12. [PSV] Mobile Suit Gundam: Extreme VS Force – 97,488 (92,973 physical, 4,515 digital)
  13. [WIU] Minecraft: Wii U Edition – 77,233 (N/A physical, 77,233 digital)
  14. [3DS] Sumikko Gurashi: Omise Hajimerun Desu – 68,692 (68,001 physical, 691 digital)
  15. [PS4] Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege – 56,501 (48,698 physical, 7,903 digital)
  16. [PSV] Valkyrie Drive Bhikkhuni – 56,411 (53,975 physical, 2,436 digital)
  17. [PS4] Star Wars Battlefront – 50,185 (46,205 physical, 3,980 digital)
  18. [PS4] Call of Duty: Black Ops III – 49,319 (46,038 physical, 3,281 digital)
  19. [PSV] Steins;Gate 0 – 48,569 (44,485 physical, 4,084 digital)
  20. [PSV] Miracle Girls Festival – 46,096 (43,034 physical, 3,062 digital)
  21. [PS4] Gravity Rush Remastered – 44,356 (35,865 physical, 8,491 digital)
  22. [PS4] Minecraft: PlayStation 4 Edition – 41,972 (28,807 physical, 13,165 digital)
  23. [3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Tri Force Heroes – 39,916 (38,481 physical, 1,435 digital)
  24. [3DS] Mario Kart 7 – 39,795 (38,534 physical, 1,261 digital)
  25. [PS4] Steins;Gate 0 – 37,530 (34,916 physical, 2,614 digital)
  26. [PSV] Exist Archive – The Other Side of the Sky – 35,601 (32,623 physical, 2,978 digital)
  27. [WIU] Genei Ibun Roku #FE – 35,513 (32,900 physical, 2,613 digital)
  28. [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf – 34,730 (31,162 physical, 3,568 digital)
  29. [PSV] The Idolmaster: Must Songs – 33,902 (31,237 physical, 2,665 digital)
  30. [3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 – 33,887 (32,840 physical, 1,047 digital)
Digital couldn't save Sharp FE, first results we have for Minecraft Wii U as well.

Was half expecting to see Final Fantasy VII on PS4 there, but whatever.

mpl pls.
 

Sterok

Member
Nov 3, 2014
3,182
0
0
I still can't believe Splatoon and Mario Maker moved in perfect lockstep over the holidays. How did they get so much synergy with each other?

Minecraft U sales seem to be off to a solid start. Which we already knew, but it's nice to get a more solid estimate.
 

Ōkami

Member
May 10, 2015
3,585
1
0
Minecraft digital

PS4: 138.679
PSV: 328.193
WIU: 77.233

I may be missing many months, Hiska might have more up to date data, PS3's most recent data is several months old.

On Famitsu retail + digital Minecraft Vita will be hitting 900k next week, will be interesting to see how it goes after Dragon Quest Builders.
 

JonnyDBrit

Member
May 14, 2015
7,470
1
0
I still can't believe Splatoon and Mario Maker moved in perfect lockstep over the holidays. How did they get so much synergy with each other?

Minecraft U sales seem to be off to a solid start. Which we already knew, but it's nice to get a more solid estimate.
Assuming most people bought standalone systems, then those two games are gonna be what's most prominent, both on shelves and in terms of advertising. What it seems to indicate is that people buying the system wanted at least two games to play on it, so when they bought Splatoon (which I would not doubt as being the primary draw), they then bought SMM in addition to make the best of a single purchase.

Also, definitely interested in seeing where Minecraft Wii U goes. Could easily imagine there being overlap for those who've bought SMM but haven't played Minecraft yet.
 

hiska-kun

Member
Mar 9, 2012
3,567
0
445
Spain
Famitsu again, they tracked 52 weeks for 2015, but for December Monthly digital and retail sales they're adding week 53 (week 1 2016 for them).

I have updated digital numbers for Minecraft on my computer, I'll post them when I'll be at home.
 

ULTROS!

People seem to like me because I am polite and I am rarely late. I like to eat ice cream and I really enjoy a nice pair of slacks.
Aug 17, 2009
24,975
807
1,350
Philippines
psnprofiles.com
Who are those 52 people who bought an Xbox One last week?
 

BroodShadow

Member
Feb 22, 2015
441
0
0
How do late VN ports generally do on the vita?I'm not sure if that's a ok number or not for Muv-Luv since the sell through is great but the number of units sold seems very low.

That being said it's also 9800 Yen
 

hiska-kun

Member
Mar 9, 2012
3,567
0
445
Spain
I'll attend the Media Create Seminar on the 18th next month.

On the seminar they will talk about 2015 sales and trends, also 2016 predictions based on these trends.
PS3 => PS4 transition
NX and PS4VR challenge and opportunities
Minecraft success.
The best 3 Smartphone apps, and users evolution
And others
 

L~A

Member
Jan 19, 2013
12,188
0
610
Sweet! I hope you'll post a report somewhere, if you have the time.

Also, Capcom updated its list of million-sellers (as of December 2015). Financial results for Q1-2 2015/16.


Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate "above" MH4, but both are at 4.1 millions.
Monster Hunter X at 3.2 millions.

SFIV 3DS at 1.2 million?
 

1st Course

Member
Aug 10, 2012
5,977
0
0
Sweet! I hope you'll post a report somewhere, if you have the time.

Also, Capcom updated its list of million-sellers (as of December 2015). Financial results for Q1-2 2015/16.


Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate "above" MH4, but both are at 4.1 millions.
Monster Hunter X at 3.2 millions.

SFIV 3DS at 1.2 million?
New title:
MHX 3200K

Changes from September 2015

MH4U +200K
RE5 +100K
RE6 +100K
SFIV +100K
RER +100K
RER2 +100k
REHD +100K