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[FreedomFighter]

It should pass 24 once Ultra Sun/Moon is out. I don't think 25 lifetime is out of the question at all but I guess it will start slowing down next year.

It's almost sold 1m this year in the first 7 months with the holiday season still ahead and is up over last year, it should sell 24m LTD by the end of the calendar year, and if next year sales drop 50%, it would make 25m LTD, now 26m? that is probably not going to happen.

Damn, so 25mil is possible. Will be fun to see if it can make it.

 

[oti]

3DS YoY almost doubled.
If you thought the 3DS was about to die, think again.

 

[Vinnk]

Used sales are counted from all trackers,.

I honestly did not know that. Can you link me to where I might see that data? I feel foolish for not knowing this.

We know used market is huge since ever, it's not a current phenomenon.

Sorry if my post seemed in any way patronizing. But I thought those who just casually read media create threads or have never been to Japan might not realize how common the resale situation is here. It was not my intention to talk down to anyone or present this as groundbreaking new research. I am sorry if it came across that way.

 

[Zedark]

Pokken, Fire Emblem, Mario, FIFA
too good

Yeah, it has the potential to outsell 3ds if given the shipments imo. The latter half of the sentence was what I was wondering about.

 

[Busaiku]

Because they literally ended the first game without answering any of the questions left at the end.

This never stopped them (from not making games) before.

 

[jonno394]

Pokken, Fire Emblem, Mario, FIFA
too good

Outside of Mario, none of those are doing over 150k imo.

 

[Chris1964]

I honestly did not know that. Can you link me to where I might see that data? I feel foolish for not knowing this.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1078514

 

[Skullwaker]

Zelda should be around 750k Switch+Wii U+digital.

 

[lyrick]

At what time does the Japan eShop update?

Looking forward to that MHXX(NSW ver.) demo.

 

[Orgen]

I see. So BotW really is the 555K that it's showing with used sales?

No, used sales are tracked separately. Look at Chris' post.

 

[13ruce]

Zelda should be around 750k Switch+Wii U+digital.

Ah that's not that bad actually 1 million is certainly possible then sometime in Switches lifespan.

 

[test_account]

I see. So BotW really is the 555K that it's showing with used sales?

No, those are tracked seperately, and only shown at the yearly White Pages book (as far as i know. Maybe they are available for subscribers every week as well).

 

[Busaiku]

Outside of Mario, none of those are doing over 150k imo.

Fire Emblem Warriors absolutely has a shot.
Hyrule Warriors did over 100k on Wii U, and again on 3DS.

 

[L~A]

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - Road to 1 million

Switch LTD: 554 123
Wii U LTD: 133 024 (missing several weeks)
Total LTD: 687 147
Units left: 312 853
Weeks left: 21, so needs 14 897 units/week.

 

[Dark Cloud]

No, used sales are tracked separately. Look at Chris' post.

Nice, that's cool.

 

[nubbe]

At what time does the Japan eShop update?

Looking forward to that MHXX(NSW ver.) demo.

30 minutes until midnight... I hope it's then

and MH:Stories demo in the EU tomorrow

 

[Luigiv]

Switch has finally overtaken the 3DS but can it maintain the lead with the latter's price drop bump looming? Find out in the next

Spoiler

several

episode

Spoiler

s

of the GAF media create thread.

 

[noshten]

About the message from Nintendo from several weeks ago: They mention increased production for the fall, on top of increased shipments for July and August. Could we see a 3ds-like situation where massive numbers are throughout the fall and monstrous numbers during december? Would be awesome.

Well it could be that the forecast is extremely conservative. If the beat it by 30-50% they'd need to ship around 13-15 million for the fiscal year. To match the type of sales 3DS had during it's launch in Japan they need to ship 4 million by the end of 2017.
Currently Switch to me seems to be heading towards 3.5 million minimum for 2017 and 4.5 million maximum. They need to sell around 100K per week in the fall to be in a position to sell more than 4.5 million this year, even if December planned stock is over 1 million.


Currently MC numbers show a 61% attach rate for Splatoon 2, does MC count Amazon Digital copies?

 

[jonno394]

Fire Emblem Warriors absolutely has a shot.
Hyrule Warriors did over 100k on Wii U, and again on 3DS.

It definitely has a shot, I just don't think it will. Pokken also has a shot seeing as it did around 100k on Wii U (I think) but I think 150k is the ceiling on both.

 

[Busaiku]

It definitely has a shot, I just don't think it will. Pokken also has a shot seeing as it did around 100k on Wii U (I think) but I think 150 is the ceiling on both.

Pokkén is not the same situation, since it is still a port.
Fire Emblem Warriors is a new game, and Fire Emblem is bigger than The Legend of Zelda.

 

[Chris1964]

Fire Emblem is not bigger than The Legend of Zelda.

 

[Dark Cloud]

I wonder how Mario and Rabbids will do in Japan. I hope it does decently well.

 

[13ruce]

Pokkén is not the same situation, since it is still a port.
Fire Emblem Warriors is a new game, and Fire Emblem is bigger than The Legend of Zelda.

Uhm? Zelda main games sell more still.

 

[Vinnk]

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1078514

Thank you very much. I guess I have seen these before. Some of these games moved a crazy amount of used copies. Do we have any more current numbers?

I'll take the L for the last line of my post.

 

[Skittzo0413]

I wonder how Mario and Rabbids will do in Japan. I hope it does decently well.

It's being published by Nintendo in Japan next year, right? I think in that case it will be properly marketed and do fairly well.

 

[Ridley327]

It's being published by Nintendo in Japan next year, right? I think in that case it will be properly marketed and do fairly well.

Yeah, I want to say that's it's on the calendar for February.

 

[Chris1964]

Thank you very much. I guess I have seen these before. Some of these games moved a crazy amount of used copies. Do we have any more current numbers?

If we are lucky at this year's White Paper.

 

[Dark Cloud]

It's being published by Nintendo in Japan next year, right? I think in that case it will be properly marketed and do fairly well.

Well damn I feel like I know nothing lol. I didn't know it wasn't coming until February. 😑

 

[Lonely1]

Do we expect the PS4 to maintain an increased baseline from now on?

 

[ethomaz]

A confession: I don't get what people see in dragon quest.

Play one game... it is an amazing franchise.

 

[Zedark]

Switch has finally overtaken the 3DS but can it maintain the lead with the latter's price drop bump looming? Find out in the next

Spoiler

several

episode

Spoiler

s

of the GAF media create thread.

I forgot there's still a week in between now and the price drop. With the mention from the retailer blog Chris referenced of possibly over 100k switch shipments this week and maybe the week after as well, Switch could stay ahead for the next few weeks (also dependent on the weekly shipments after that of course).

 

[jonno394]

I forgot there's still a week in between now and the price drop. With Chris' retailer blog mention of possible over 100k switch shipments this week and maybe the week after as well, Switch could stay ahead for the next few weeks (also dependant on the weekly shipments after ter that of course).

If Switch sells 100k next week then 60k the week after, Switch and 3DS will be pretty much level after the first week of 3DS price cut. It's after that when 3DS might surge ahead as it has another 100k+ week

 

[Shin]

Were there TV commercials in Japan for Crash or didn't Sony push it at all?
Their YouTube channel only has 2 videos of it and generally speaking I didn't see or hear much about the Japanese release of the game.
Hopefully it's like the original and it keeps selling well, which I do think will happen.

 

[LordKano]

Do we expect the PS4 to maintain an increased baseline from now on?

I doubt that, considering the weak upcoming lineup.

 

[Jawbreaker]

PS4 is a beast.

Spoiler

Nice hold for DQXI.

 

[Dark Cloud]

Play one game... it is an amazing franchise.

Yeah Dragon Quest is great. I just love that old classic feel of the games.

 

[Graphics Horse]

I forgot there's still a week in between now and the price drop. With Chris' retailer blog's mention of possible over 100k switch shipments this week and maybe the week after as well, Switch could stay ahead for the next few weeks (also dependent on the weekly shipments after that of course).

On target for outselling the Wii U this year!

 

[Eolz]

Bic Camera lotteries will give a more clear picture now that the sample is big enough but early hints from retailer blogs so far are that this will be a big week for Switch shipments, likely bigger than Splatoon 2 launch.

Damn that's great.

You'd be wrong. Crash was actually one of the few western game franchises to see success in Japan. The first Crash was actually the first foreign game to receive a Gold Prize for selling over 500,000 units there.

Crash definitely sold well, but there's no nostalgia for it in Japan. That's the point.

 

[Sayad]

So about 500k of DQXI sales are digital?!

 

[Skullwaker]

So about 500k of DQXI sales are digital?!

The 3m number was shipped (+digital I believe).

 

[Busaiku]

So about 500k of DQXI sales are digital?!

No, those numbers are shipments.

 

[Zedark]

So about 500k of DQXI sales are digital?!

No, that 3 million number includes unsold shipped units and digital. 500k is store inventory plus digital.

 

[Sayad]

Oh! Thank for the clarification.

 

[L~A]

Nintendo 3DS - Road to 24 million

LTD: 23 158 040
Units left: 841 960
Weeks left: 21, so 40 093 units on average.

3DS really needs to get a strong headstart thanks to the Sumemr holidays, as I expected September/October to be pretty rough for hardware (all platforms).

2DS is really doing its job so far, sales would be down YoY if not for it. And amusing that N2DSXL has already sold half as much as the 2DS in just two weeks.

 

[Sammy Samusu]

They are shipping a lot more Switches now. Good!

It's still sold out though and I doubt that will change anytime soon. Maybe early next year?

Spoiler

(just in time for the revision lmao)

 

[Vena]

Do we expect the PS4 to maintain an increased baseline from now on?

Weak line up for the rest of the year isn't going to help.

 

[Alrus]

Good HW numbers this week.

DQ holding decently too.

Crash unsurprisingly not selling well.

 

[darkstar0155]

Ah that's not that bad actually 1 million is certainly possible then sometime in Switches lifespan.

No way that BotW Switch+WiiU wont hit 1mil during the switches life. I would say this is a given. The real question is if it can do it this year imo.

 

[Graphics Horse]

Weak line up for the rest of the year isn't going to help.

Everybody's Knack 2 Sport

 

[Memento]

Surprised by Crash numbers. I thought it would do 100k+ easily. Oh well.

Great second week for DQXI.