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Sales-Age Media Create Sales: Week 32, 2017 (Aug 07 - Aug 13)

Skittzo0413

Member
Jan 8, 2016
9,666
4
0
So the Switch is about 120k higher than the 3DS launch aligned, though the 3DS number increases by 196k next week. That means if the Switch gets >76k again next week it will remain ahead of the 3DS post price cut.

Which is very impressive.
 

KtSlime

Member
Feb 28, 2009
9,062
2
0
Tokyo
That exactly my point only Sunday counts as holiday this week while Monday and Tuesday counts as holiday next week.

Which one do you believe affect more sales? Next week is suppose to be the holiday week people are expecting.

If his comment was about next week then I won't even reply but I expect next week to shows more than 42k units sold for PS4 due holiday week like I expected a big drop below 40k this week.

Week 33 tends to be stronger than week 32, however they are usually both very close, and when obon is spread between week 32 and 33 week 32 tends to be a bit stronger. I imagine this week will be stronger in general, but they are so close it will only be different by a few ten thousand machines total.
 

Skittzo0413

Member
Jan 8, 2016
9,666
4
0
yes, but the following week is big too for 3DS.

Right, 100k again, but if the Switch keeps up the numbers we've been seeing lately as a result of increased production then it really won't be that far behind. Might even overtake it again in the weeks following that one.
 

L~A

Member
Jan 19, 2013
12,188
0
610
07./04. [3DS] Great Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney 2 - Naruhodou Ryuunosuke no Kakugo <ADV> (Capcom) {2017.08.03} (¥5.800) - 10.770 / 80.618 (-85%)

Yup, second week wasn't going to be pretty. Guess price drops are inevitable, no way it sells through FW shipments without some "extra help" from retailers.
 

hiska-kun

Member
Mar 9, 2012
3,567
0
685
Spain
Switch vs 3DS

Code:
------------------------------------------------------------- 
|    |    Nintendo 3DS   |   Nintendo Switch |  Difference  | 
|    |    (2011/02/26)   |    (2017/03/03)   |              | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| 
|Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |   NSW - 3DS  | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
|  22|   31.826|1.289.741|   89.314|1.286.300|        -3.441|
|  23|   16.415|1.306.156|   61.933|1.348.233|        42.077|
|  24|    4.132|1.310.288|   87.798|1.436.031|       125.743|
|  25|  196.077|1.506.365|         |         |              |
|  26|  105.639|1.612.004|         |         |              |
|  27|   60.781|1.672.785|         |         |              |
|  28|   54.744|1.727.529|         |         |              |
|  29|   49.076|1.776.605|         |         |              |
|  30|   58.837|1.835.442|         |         |              |
|  31|   70.159|1.905.601|         |         |              |
|  32|   58.504|1.964.105|         |         |              |
|  33|   53.540|2.017.645|         |         |              |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|

New Comparison:


PS4 vs PS3

Code:
------------------------------------------------------------- 
|    |   PlayStation 3   |   PlayStation 4   |  Difference  | 
|    |    (2006/11/11)   |    (2014/02/22)   |              | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| 
|Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |   PS4 - PS3  | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
| 180|   25.590|5.019.022|   93.356|5.095.722|        76.700|
| 181|   25.629|5.044.651|   52.939|5.148.661|       104.010|
| 182|   32.874|5.077.525|   42.462|5.191.123|       113.598|
| 183|   26.185|5.103.710|         |         |              |
| 184|   20.463|5.124.173|         |         |              |
| 185|   19.075|5.143.248|         |         |              |
| 186|   20.987|5.164.235|         |         |              |
| 187|   18.951|5.183.186|         |         |              |
| 188|   17.676|5.200.862|         |         |              |
| 189|   17.175|5.218.037|         |         |              |
| 190|   19.578|5.237.615|         |         |              |
| 191|   20.077|5.257.692|         |         |              |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|

MK8 DX vs MK8

Code:
------------------------------------------------------------- 
|    |   Mario Kart 8    |  Mario Kart 8 DX  |  Difference  | 
|    | [WIU] (2014/05/29)| [NSW] (2017/04/28)|              | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| 
|Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   | MK8DX – MK8  | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| 
|  1 |  325.892|  325.892|  284.823|  284.823|       -41.069|
|  2 |   73.051|  398.943|   90.652|  375.475|       -23.468|
|  3 |   42.261|  441.205|   36.440|  411.915|       -29.290| 
|  4 |   28.112|  469.316|   28.781|  440.696|       -28.620| 
|  5 |   23.520|  492.837|   26.993|  467.689|       -25.148|  
|  6 |   19.386|  512.223|   20.984|  488.673|       -23.550|  
|  7 |   15.143|  527.366|   16.596|  505.270|       -22.096|  
|  8 |   14.992|  542.358|   16.822|  522.091|       -20.267|  
|  9 |   18.129|  560.487|   13.545|  535.636|       -24.851| 
| 10 |   18.067|  578.554|   14.423|  550.059|       -28.495| 
| 11 |   20.860|  599.414|   13.436|  563.495|       -35.919| 
| 12 |   28.221|  627.635|   11.554|  575.048|       -52.587| 
| 13 |   12.075|  639.710|   12.980|  588.028|       -51.682| 
| 14 |   11.148|  650.858|   13.841|  601.869|       -48.989|
| 15 |    8.221|  659.079|   13.764|  615.633|       -43.446|
| 16 |    6.839|  665.918|   17.262|  632.894|       -33.024|
| 17 |    6.396|  672.313|         |         |              |
| 18 |    5.936|  678.250|         |         |              |
| 19 |    4.517|  682.767|         |         |              |
| 20 |    3.996|  686.763|         |         |              |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|

Dragon Quest Comparison

Code:
------------------------------------------------------------------
|    | Dragon Quest VIII |  Dragon Quest IX  |  Dragon Quest XI  | 
|    | [PS2]  2004/11/27 | [NDS]  2009/07/11 |[3DSPS4] 2017/07/29| 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|
|Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|
|  1 |2.167.072|2.167.072|2.318.932|2.318.932|2.099.203|2.099.203| 
|  2 |  476.281|2.643.353|  612.671|2.931.603|  508.512|2.607.714|
|  3 |  203.618|2.846.971|  270.305|3.201.908|  207.762|2.815.476|
|  4 |  152.295|2.999.266|  179.612|3.381.520|         |         |
|  5 |  104.211|3.103.477|  135.649|3.517.169|         |         |
|  6 |   71.019|3.174.496|  126.682|3.643.851|         |         |
|  7 |   37.507|3.212.003|   79.103|3.722.954|         |         |
|  8 |   23.858|3.235.861|   71.318|3.794.272|         |         |
|  9 |        ?|        ?|   50.063|3.844.335|         |         |
| 10 |        ?|        ?|   36.877|3.881.212|         |         |
| 11 |        ?|        ?|   32.603|3.913.815|         |         |
| 12 |        ?|        ?|   30.086|3.943.901|         |         |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|
|Year|   YTD   |   LTD   |   YTD   |   LTD   |   YTD   |   LTD   | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|   
|Total        -|3.319.607|        -|4.143.999|        -|2.815.476|      
------------------------------------------------------------------
 

z0m3le

Banned
Jun 16, 2011
3,883
1
0
37
Seattle, WA
www.notenoughshaders.com
Right, 100k again, but if the Switch keeps up the numbers we've been seeing lately as a result of increased production then it really won't be that far behind. Might even overtake it again in the weeks following that one.

ah was mis-remembering and had it around 150k the following week. Yeah it should be able to keep up, especially because after that it falls mostly in the 40k-60k until the holidays and Switch should pick up holiday sales around the same time since Odyssey releases in that same week?
 

noshten

Member
Oct 20, 2014
4,207
637
615
So the Switch is about 120k higher than the 3DS launch aligned, though the 3DS number increases by 196k next week. That means if the Switch gets >76k again next week it will remain ahead of the 3DS post price cut.

Which is very impressive.

As I said before the launch 4 million is the minimum I expect from the Switch for 2017 in Japan. The stock troubles will hopefully be resolved and it can match 3DS's crazy December 2011

Just a reminder 3DS sold over 1 million in December 2011 and had MH, MK7 release right before the holidays. Outside of December months if supply issues are resolved Switch should easily maintain parity with post-price cut 3DS. The only question remaining is whether Nintendo is able to ship more than 1 million units for December, which other unannounced games are coming in 2017 and whether they might do some more aggressive bundling for the holidays if stock permits.

Code:
--------------------------
|    |    Nintendo 3DS   |   
|    |    (2011/02/26)   | 
|----|---------|---------|
|Week|  Weekly |   LTD   | 
|----|---------|---------|
|  31|    4.132|1.310.288|
|  32|  196.077|1.506.365|
|  33|  105.639|1.612.004|
|  34|   60.781|1.672.785|
|  35|   54.744|1.727.529|
|  36|   49.076|1.776.605|
|  37|   58.837|1.835.442|
|  38|   70.159|1.905.601|
|  39|   58.504|1.964.105|
|  40|   53.540|2.017.645|
|  41|   55.025|2.072.670|
|  42|   73.933|2.146.603|
|  43|   65.041|2.211.644|
|  44|  145.271|2.356.915|
|  45|  103.962|2.460.877|
|  46|   96.219|2.557.096|
|  47|  120.920|2.678.016|
|  48|  205.962|2.883.978|
|  49|  350.321|3.234.299|
|  50|  367.691|3.601.990|
|  51|  482,200|4,084,190|
|  52|  197,952|4,282,142|
|----|---------|---------|
 
Nov 4, 2009
13,029
1
0
Amazes me how well Nintendo does in Japan compared to Sony but Sony usually outsells more in the rest of the world to make up for the losses in Japan.

Edit: I'm still amazed at how well the ps3 did in Japan, too.
 

noobie

Member
Aug 16, 2008
2,296
0
1,135
www.facebook.com
Switch vs 3DS
PS4 vsPS3

Code:
------------------------------------------------------------- 
|    |   PlayStation 3   |   PlayStation 4   |  Difference  | 
|    |    (2006/11/11)   |    (2014/02/22)   |              | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| 
|Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |   PS4 - PS3  | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
| 180|   25.590|5.019.022|   93.356|5.095.722|        76.700|
| 181|   25.629|5.044.651|   52.939|5.148.661|       104.010|
| 182|   32.874|5.077.525|   42.462|5.191.123|       113.598|
| 183|   26.185|5.103.710|         |         |              |
| 184|   20.463|5.124.173|         |         |              |
| 185|   19.075|5.143.248|         |         |              |
| 186|   20.987|5.164.235|         |         |              |
| 187|   18.951|5.183.186|         |         |              |
| 188|   17.676|5.200.862|         |         |              |
| 189|   17.175|5.218.037|         |         |              |
| 190|   19.578|5.237.615|         |         |              |
| 191|   20.077|5.257.692|         |         |              |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|

Thanks for keep updating PS4 v PS3. I think PS4 should settle above 25k in no release weeks.
 

frankie_baby

Member
May 3, 2007
18,400
1
0
Right, 100k again, but if the Switch keeps up the numbers we've been seeing lately as a result of increased production then it really won't be that far behind. Might even overtake it again in the weeks following that one.

This week should be big again surely? Then next week is MonHun and bundles so can see a big hardware number again
 

ethomaz

is mad because DF didn't do a video on a video of a video of a video on PS5
Mar 19, 2013
43,005
46,443
1,310
39
Brazil
Week 33 tends to be stronger than week 32, however they are usually both very close, and when obon is spread between week 32 and 33 week 32 tends to be a bit stronger. I imagine this week will be stronger in general, but they are so close it will only be different by a few ten thousand machines total.
I agree but every stronger week 32 happened when you have more holidays days in week 32... this year is the first (since 2006 I guess?) that the august 15 happens in a Tuesday... that is why I expect week 33 to be stronger than week 32.
 

Skittzo0413

Member
Jan 8, 2016
9,666
4
0
This week should be big again surely? Then next week is MonHun and bundles so can see a big hardware number again

This week yeah, but we're comparing to this same week being 150k for 3DS and then next week (non-holiday for Switch) being 105k. Who knows how the Switch stock will be after this week.

I'm just going by hiska-kun's charts by the way.
 

L~A

Member
Jan 19, 2013
12,188
0
610
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - Road to 1 million units

Switch LTD = 560 764
Wii U LTD = 133 024 (hasn't charted in ages)
Combined LTD = 693 788
Units left = 306 212
Weeks left in 2017 = 20 weeks, so 15 310 units/week for 1m this year.
 

frankie_baby

Member
May 3, 2007
18,400
1
0
This week yeah, but we're comparing to this same week being 150k for 3DS and then next week (non-holiday for Switch) being 105k. Who knows how the Switch stock will be after this week.

I'm just going by hiska-kun's charts by the way.

As I'm saying though next week has the monhun bundle so numbers should be good, after that who knows but i think it is clear the 25k dolldrums are a thing of the past, i could buy a week maybe 2 boost from stockpilling but this is too sustained to be anything but an increase in production
 

Eolz

Member
Jun 1, 2014
10,192
21
605
ARMS is hyping a new character, let's see if this drives even a little momentum.

I don't see Arms doing any comeback anywhere tbh, and this kind of stuff should help more western sales.
It's still a fighting game, despite the usual audience improvements from Nintendo. Content was too light at launch compared to Splatoon, and the genre is still a particular one for this region.
 

noshten

Member
Oct 20, 2014
4,207
637
615
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - Road to 1 million units

Switch LTD = 560 764
Wii U LTD = 133 024 (hasn't charted in ages)
Combined LTD = 693 788
Units left = 306 212
Weeks left in 2017 = 20 weeks, so 15 310 units/week for 1m this year.

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - Road to 1 million units

Switch LTD = 560 764
Wii U LTD = 133 024 (hasn't charted in ages)
Combined LTD = 693 788
Units left = 306 212
Weeks left in 2017 = 20 weeks, so 15 310 units/week for 1m this year.

Assuming 4 million Switches are sold in 2017:
Switch Rest of 2017 = 2564K
Zelda: BotW attach rate needed for 1 million = 11.9%

Assuming 4.5 million Switches are sold in 2017:
Switch Rest of 2017 = 3064K
Zelda: BotW attach rate needed for 1 million = 9.9%

Assuming 5 million Switches are sold in 2017
Switch Rest of 2017 = 3564K
Zelda: BotW attach rate needed for 1 million = 8.5%


Obviously 5 million is the absolute maximum I think we could see in 2017 more realistic would be between 4.3-4.7 million if manufacturing and stock issues are resolved.
With Nintendo doing bundles for Arms/MK8D it's not out of the question to see a Zelda bundle for the holidays. DLC will be dropping and Nintendo know that a lot of people will be buying Splatoon 2 even if it's not bundled. Even if a theoretical bundle is available for one week looking at those 3DS 2011 December numbers it can do a lot in terms of getting Zelda past 1 million.
 

Skittzo0413

Member
Jan 8, 2016
9,666
4
0
As I'm saying though next week has the monhun bundle so numbers should be good, after that who knows but i think it is clear the 25k dolldrums are a thing of the past, i could buy a week maybe 2 boost from stockpilling but this is too sustained to be anything but an increase in production

Ah I forgot about Monster Hunter bundles, and yeah I definitely agree that the production has clearly increased at this point but we don't know for sure what the new baseline will be. It could be as low as 40k or as high as 80k. Hopefully on that higher end.
 

frankie_baby

Member
May 3, 2007
18,400
1
0
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - Road to 1 million units

Switch LTD = 560 764
Wii U LTD = 133 024 (hasn't charted in ages)
Combined LTD = 693 788
Units left = 306 212
Weeks left in 2017 = 20 weeks, so 15 310 units/week for 1m this year.

I think it happening this year is gonna be too difficult now, chuck in a guess at the digital (50k?) And should make it by the end of the FY
 

frankie_baby

Member
May 3, 2007
18,400
1
0
Ah I forgot about Monster Hunter bundles, and yeah I definitely agree that the production has clearly increased at this point but we don't know for sure what the new baseline will be. It could be as low as 40k or as high as 80k. Hopefully on that higher end.

I'm thinking high 50s, perhaps it could be more but they'll have to start stockpilling for xmas soon
 

JonnyDBrit

Member
May 14, 2015
7,470
5
0
Switch vs 3DS

Code:
------------------------------------------------------------- 
|    |    Nintendo 3DS   |   Nintendo Switch |  Difference  | 
|    |    (2011/02/26)   |    (2017/03/03)   |              | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------| 
|Week|  Weekly |   LTD   |  Weekly |   LTD   |   NSW - 3DS  | 
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|
|  22|   31.826|1.289.741|   89.314|1.286.300|        -3.441|
|  23|   16.415|1.306.156|   61.933|1.348.233|        42.077|
|  24|    4.132|1.310.288|   87.798|1.436.031|       125.743|
|  25|  196.077|1.506.365|         |         |              |
|  26|  105.639|1.612.004|         |         |              |
|  27|   60.781|1.672.785|         |         |              |
|  28|   54.744|1.727.529|         |         |              |
|  29|   49.076|1.776.605|         |         |              |
|  30|   58.837|1.835.442|         |         |              |
|  31|   70.159|1.905.601|         |         |              |
|  32|   58.504|1.964.105|         |         |              |
|  33|   53.540|2.017.645|         |         |              |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|--------------|

New Comparison:

What's crazy is that if Switch's legs continue to hold - praying that the stock levels can keep up - then it's not actually going to be that far behind the 3DS. Without a price drop too. I can hear the war chest swelling from here...
 

encephalon

Member
Feb 19, 2010
6,089
1
0
Woah Amazon Japan has a switch in stock.

I'm going to be responsible and wait so I can regret this moment when Xenoblade comes out.
 

encephalon

Member
Feb 19, 2010
6,089
1
0
76k I think



Switch is region free, so as long as you have one, you'll be fine.

I live in Japan. My current plan is to harass my local "countryside" Tsutaya once a week to ask if they have any in stock. They said they get a couple here and there and implied they sit on the shelf for a little while, so hopefully this works out for me in November or so.
 

Skittzo0413

Member
Jan 8, 2016
9,666
4
0
Yeah I was looking at that. They really nailed it with that franchise I suppose. Wow.

Again the majority of Switch units were Splatoon 2 bundles so that number isn't terribly surprising.

Chris didn't say that, I said it, and only as a hypothetical number that would match what chris heard from early reports from retailer blogs.

Yeah and I mistakenly perpetuated it :(

What's crazy is that if Switch's legs continue to hold - praying that the stock levels can keep up - then it's not actually going to be that far behind the 3DS. Without a price drop too. I can hear the war chest swelling from here...

The really crazy part is that the only thing preventing the Switch from thrashing the 3DS's numbers is the lack of stock. That was not a problem with the 3DS at this point.
 

JonnyDBrit

Member
May 14, 2015
7,470
5
0
71k, but that would likely mean it will be overtaken the week after since they sold 105k 3ds the week after

Yep. It'll almost certainly be behind the 3DS, but depending on stock levels and legs, it may not be too far behind. Depending on the subsequent situation week by week, Switch could either fall further behind or have the chance to get back ahead again. It's at Week 35 that things really begin to tick upward for the 3DS to a new level again.

Edit:
The really crazy part is that the only thing preventing the Switch from thrashing the 3DS's numbers is the lack of stock. That was not a problem with the 3DS at this point.

Oh yeah, I think I spotted some mention of a news station going to 48 stores and they're still sold out. So even with the new level of stock, it's still limited. Absolutely nuts.
 

Chû Totoro

Member
Mar 13, 2006
5,568
0
1,415
Seing this level and still loteries it seems 100k could have been the weekly sales number for Switch for like 2-3 months... Can't wait to see December Switch sales (all over the world not only JPN).

This console really is something :O

and I'm not sure ARMS is good or just ok. Maybe with upcoming content we'll see if they can hope having a solid base for a sequel.
Right now I'm enjoying the game but it's not like I want to play it as much as... Splatoon ^^
 

Dre3001

Member
Feb 20, 2010
1,204
0
650
I think Switch stock is stabilizing now and should be regularly around 50-70k a week.

The fact that people are still lining up for the system and it's selling out just shows the insane demand.

The Switch is moving from the category of supply constrained to insane demand.