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Morning Consult Poll: Bernie leads post NH with 29%, Biden falls to 19%, Bloomberg rises one point behind with 18%.

Afro Republican

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According to a Morning Consult poll conducted Wednesday, the Vermont independent is the first choice for 29 percent of Democratic primary voters, up 4 percentage points since polling conducted Feb. 4-9. Biden’s support fell 3 points during that time to 19 percent, leaving him 1 point ahead of former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg.

Former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg of Indiana, who placed second in New Hampshire but leads Sanders by a whisker in the race for Democratic National Convention delegates, saw no change in his first-choice support, while the Granite State’s third-place finisher, Amy Klobuchar, improved 2 points, to 5 percent. She trails Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) by 5 points.

The survey of 2,639 registered voters nationwide who indicated they may vote in the Democratic primary or caucuses in their state has a 2-point margin of error.



Of course this is one poll, and Biden is still leading in most, but it does help Bernie that he has two primaries where he had a good ranking.

It also shows that Pete and Warren aren't going anywhere nationwide, while Pete isn't really fully in the hole yet, this is a bad sign for Warren who was planning on coming back on ST, she would have to spend a lot of money she doesn't have in order to make it all the way there and campaign hard enough to win a state.

This also goes for Bloomberg, because we don't know if his ST strategy will work or if his poll numbers will translate to votes. Since many states on ST are winner take all there is zero sharing of delegates in those winner take all states so you have to actually win.

Considering how close she was to Warren and Iowa and her strong showing in New Hampshire, I'm surprised Morning Consult has her so low.

The question for Bernie is, can he do well in Nevada and South Carolina?

Against Hillary Bernie lost important key areas that gave her the win in a caucus that had less than 13,000 voters involved. This is why Bidens head start there is really bad for most candidates.

While I think Nevada "may" have slightly higher turnout this year there's a chance it won't.


Then there's South Carolina where Hillary destroyed Bernie even if you removed the black vote. Socialism doesn't work there and it was a anti-communist battleground from the 70's to early 90's. This is where Biden can shine as well as moderates like Amy and rich guys like Bloomberg and Steyer, although whether the later 2 can translate polls to votes is still a mystery for now.
 
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cryptoadam

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Bill de Blasio endorsed Bernie and will be in Nevada with him. What's going on here?

Probably some former Obama era hire is gossiping about Trump and Bernie and Dems are getting behind Bernie for Impeachment 2: Impeached Harder starring Bernie Sanders.
 

DunDunDunpachi

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Bill de Blasio endorsed Bernie and will be in Nevada with him. What's going on here?

I still think some establishment Dems are playing a shell game and want to pick the loser in order to damage/break the loser's bloc in the current Democrat internal power-struggle.

i.e. establishment Dems start backing Bernie so that he's the one to get the nomination and then lose. I wouldn't expect de Blasio to champion for Bernie nor his progressive supporters after a 2020 loss, it'll switch to finger-pointing and posturing.
 

Patriots7

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Looks like it’s going to be Bernie v Trump.

Should have had Rudy dig up some dirt on Bernie and just let Biden implode as expected, lol. Losing to crazy Bernie is going to be quite a show.
 

DeafTourette

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How the heck Bloomberg surged like that? Oh wait... All the ads he bought...

I've long not liked him... Mostly because of his "stop and frisk" policy.

Trevor Noah encapsulated my thoughts in this video ...

 
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Afro Republican

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I think Nevada with Steyer will be the first time we gain evidence that tells us whether those brought poll numbers actually translate to votes. If they don't we should disregard the polls for Bloomberg.
 
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How the heck Bloomberg surged like that? Oh wait... All the ads he bought...

I've long not liked him... Mostly because of his "stop and frisk" policy.

Trevor Noah encapsulated my thoughts in this video ...

If that stat is real and Bloomberg is legit already at 17%, it goes to show the average voter probably cares more about TV ads than the politician himself.

The guy hasn't been in any debates, hasn't show his face anywhere and just joined in this year.

Yet already at 17%?
 
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