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Nintendo FY3/2019 Q4 Earnings Release, Switch HW 16.95M, FY3/2020 forecast Switch HW 18M

CyberPanda

Banned
Mar 4, 2019
10,891
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For the fiscal year ended March 31st, 2019:

Code:
+------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|                 |  This Quarter | FY Cumulative          |FY3/19 Forecast|FY3/20 Forecast|
+------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Net Sales       |   ¥203,265M   | ¥1,200,560M   (~$10.7B)| ¥1,200,000M   | ¥1,250,000M   |
| Operating Income|    ¥29,672M   |  ¥249,701M    (~$2.23B)|   ¥225,000M   |   ¥260,000M   |
| Net Profit      |    ¥25,224M   |  ¥194,009M    (~$1.73B)|   ¥165,000M   |   ¥180,000M   |
+------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Balance Sheet Details:
  • Capital Adequacy Ratio: 83.4%
  • Current Assets: 1,344,972¥ million
  • Current Liabilities: 245,009¥ million
  • Cash and deposits: 845,550¥ million
  • Shareholder's equity: 1,422,260¥ million
  • Inventories: 135,470¥ million
Hardware sales units: https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/index.html

Code:
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|      Switch     |  This Quarter | FY Cumulative |      LTD      |FY3/19 Forecast|FY3/20 Forecast|
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Hardware (units)|      2.46M    |     16.95M    |     34.74M    |      17.0M    |      18.0M    |
| Software (units)|     23.91M    |    118.55M    |    187.52M    |     110.0M    |     125.0M    |
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(Software sales units include both packaged and downloadable versions of software.)
###
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|       3DS       |  This Quarter | FY Cumulative |      LTD      |FY3/19 Forecast|FY3/20 Forecast|
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Hardware (units)|      0.24M    |      2.55M    |     75.08M    |       2.6M    |       1.0M    |
| Software (units)|      2.14M    |     13.22M    |    378.12M    |      13.0M    |       5.0M    |
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(Software sales units include both packaged and downloadable versions of software.)
###
+------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|                                       |  This Quarter  | FY Cumulative |
+------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Smart devices, IP related income, etc.|    ¥12,624M    |   ¥46,008M    |
+------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(Includes income from smart-device content and royalty income.)

Supplemental information:
https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2019/190425_3e.pdf

Code:
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
|                                          | This Quarter  | FY Cumulative |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Proportion of overseas sales             |     78.7%     |     77.9%     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Proportion of overseas(outside of Japan) sales to total sales)
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Proportion of hardware sales             |     51.1%     |     58.4%     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Proportion of hardware(including accessories) sales to total
dedicated videogame platform sales)
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Proportion of first party software sales |     80.3%     |     83.8%     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Proportion of first-party software sales to total dedicated video
game software sales)
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Digital Sales                            |    ¥34.6B     |    ¥118.8B     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Digital sales include downloadable versions of packaged software,
download-only software, add-on content and Nintendo Switch Online.)
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Proportion of Digital Sales              |     37.2%     |     24.8%     |
+--------------------------------------------------------------------------+
(※ Proportion of digital sales to total dedicated
video game software sales )
Code:
+--------------------------------------------------+
| Switch HW Shipments WW |    Units   | Percentage |
+--------------------------------------------------+
| Japan                  |    8.23M   |     24%    |
| The Americas           |   14.01M   |     40%    |
| Other                  |    12.5M   |     36%    |
+--------------------------------------------------+
###
+----------------------------------------------------------------+
| New Titles (Switch)    | This Quarter  | FY Cumulative |  LTD  |
+----------------------------------------------------------------+
| Japan                  |      53       |      215      |  298  |
| The Americas           |      68       |      280      |  385  |
| Other                  |      64       |      269      |  379  |
+----------------------------------------------------------------+

Million-Seller Titles of Nintendo Products (this fiscal year):
Code:
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Title                                   |  FY Japan   | FY Overseas |  FY Global  | Global LTD  |
+-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze    |    0.29M    |    1.96M    |    2.25M    |    2.25M    |
| Mario Tennis Aces                       |    0.55M    |     2.09M    |    2.64M    |    2.64M    |
| Mario Kart 8 Deluxe                     |    0.89M    |    6.57M    |     7.47M    |   16.69M    |
| The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild |    0.47M    |    3.83M    |    4.3M    |   12.77M    |
| Super Mario Oddysey                     |    0.34M    |    3.7M    |    4.04M    |   14.44M    |
| Splatoon 2                              |    0.83M    |    1.86M    |    2.69M    |    8.7M    |
| Octopath Traveler                       |     0.0M    |    1.17M    |    1.17M    |    1.17M    |
| Super Mario Party                       |    1.22M    |    5.18M    |     6.4M    |     6.4M    |
| Pokémon Let's Go Pikachu/Eevee          |    1.93M    |    8.7M    |    10.63M    |    10.63M    |
| Super Smash Bros. Ultimate              |    3.53M    |    10.28M    |   13.81M    |   13.81M    |
| Nintendo Labo Toy-Con 01: Variety Kit   |    0.33M    |    0.76M    |    1.09M    |    1.09M    |
| Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker          |    0.24M    |    0.94M    |    1.18M    |    1.18M    |
| Mario Kart 7 (3DS)                      |    0.07M    |     1.15M    |    1.21M    |   18.26M    |
| New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe          |    0.69M    |     2.63M    |    3.31M    |   3.31M    |
| Kirby Star Allies                       |    0.36M    |     0.94M    |    1.3M    |   2.56M    |
| Yoshi's Crafted World                   |    0.14M    |     0.96M    |    1.11M    |   1.11M    |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+


Top selling title sales units as of March 31st, 2019:

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html

Code:
+----------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Switch - Top Selling Titles (units)      | This Quarter|     LTD     |
+----------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Mario Kart 8 Deluxe                      |    1.67M    |   16.69M    |
| Super Mario Odyssey                      |    0.68M    |   14.44M    |
| Super Smash Bros. Ultimate               |   1.73M    |   13.81M    |
| The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild  |     1.09M    |   12.77M    |
| Pokémon Let's Go Pikachu/Eevee           |    0.63M    |    10.63M    |
| Splatoon 2                               |     0.43M    |    8.7M    |
| Super Mario Party                        |     1.1M    |     6.4M    |
| New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe             |    3.31M    |    3.31M    |
| 1-2-Switch                               |    0.11M    |    2.97M    |
| Mario Tennis Aces                        |    0.11M    |    2.64M    |
+----------------------------------------------------------------------+
###
+----------------------------------------------------------------------+
| 3DS - Top Selling Titles (units)         | This Quarter|     LTD     |
+----------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Mario Kart 7                             |    0.15M    |   18.26M    |
| Pokémon X/Y                              |    0.02M    |   16.39M    |
| Pokémon Sun/Moon                         |    0.01M    |   16.15M    |
| Pokémon Omega Ruby/Alpha Sapphire        |    0.02M    |   14.19M    |
| New Super Mario Bros. 2                  |    0.08M    |   13.16M    |
| Super Mario 3D Land                      |    0.09M    |   12.5M    |
| Animal Crossing: New Leaf                |    0.11M    |    12.21M    |
| Super Smash Bros. for Nintendo 3DS       |     0.04M    |    9.49M    |
| Pokémon Ultra Sun/Ultra Moon             |    0.09M    |    8.37M    |

News:
Combined with steadily-growing sales of titles released during previous fiscal
years and titles released by other software publishers, the total number of million-seller titles during this fiscal year recorded 23.

Nintendo Entertainment System: NES Classic Edition
and Super Nintendo Entertainment System: Super NES Classic Edition recorded total sales of 5.95 million units.

Turning to our digital business for dedicated video game platforms, sales of download versions of packaged software and download-
only software for Nintendo Switch showed especially good growth, bringing digital sales to 118.8 billion yen (95.4% increase on a
year-on-year basis).
 

mejin

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numbers are really great.

Although, I thought they were doing better on hardware. It's on par with ps4 right now, but next year new gen will arrive and it will complicate things by a lot.
 

CyberPanda

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Mar 4, 2019
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numbers are really great.

Although, I thought they were doing better on hardware. It's on par with ps4 right now, but next year new gen will arrive and it will complicate things by a lot.
The numbers really are great. The software attach rate is insane for the Switch right now, and Nintendo just surpassed 8 million YTD for Switch in Japan. In another couple of weeks and they should have passed PS4 YTD.
 

Hudo

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Jul 26, 2018
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Are the numbers for Captain Toad including the Wii U and 3DS SKUs?
 

ethomaz

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Mar 19, 2013
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So they missed the updated forecast by a finger.

The new forecast is way more sensate I believe they could even do better like around 18.5m to 19m this year.
 
Last edited:

Elios83

Member
Jun 30, 2004
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Ouch they missed even the revised forecast.
20m truly was a pipe dream. They went from expecting something a bit better than Wii U during the first year to crazy high expectations. It seems like they're just not really good at forecasting their own success LOL.
Btw this year if they introduce new hardware models and cut the entry price, Switch should do really well and 18m seems a realistic figure to me.
With PS4 and Xbox One declining this is the best chance Switch has to shine, it could really well be its peak year before next gen consoles from Sony and Microsoft take sales and mindshare.
 

Aceofspades

is a 9 year old console warrior
Mar 31, 2015
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Playstation is the ONLY gaming brand with WW appeal. look how Switch sales is concentrated in two regions USA/JP.
Playstations usually sell around 35-40% in these two markets and get the remaining from the rest of the world.

good numbers for the Switch but way below expectations.
 

Mozza

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Jun 1, 2018
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numbers are really great.

Although, I thought they were doing better on hardware. It's on par with ps4 right now, but next year new gen will arrive and it will complicate things by a lot.

I am not convinced the new consoles from Sony or Microsoft will make that much of a difference to the Switch as it's catering to a different demographic.
 

mejin

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I am not convinced the new consoles from Sony or Microsoft will make that much of a difference to the Switch as it's catering to a different demographic.

That's a good point.

IMHO Switch is kind of second option cause it is the only one with portability. The biggest games from 3rd parties aren't coming cause of limitations of hardware. So, it just placed right in the market cause it has nintendo games and it is a viable second option for every other console/pc system.

But I think we can't ignore the life cycle of the consoles in the market, they are clearly running out of gas. So, people focus on what is "new" at the moment. Switch is this option right now. Maybe, 2019 will be its peak year in sales, maybe its next year, even with the the next playstation and xbox.

Anyway, with new hardwares in the market, Switch will not be the novelty anymore, it won't be alone anymore and for the mass market a new rush for next gen always come around. We will probably need to see what Nintendo plans to do too.
 

blu

Wants the largest console games publisher to avoid Nintendo's platforms.
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Labo and Captain Toad :messenger_smiling_hearts:
 
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