Should probably note I don't have PS2 post-March 2010. It probably doesn't have any real impact for 2012/2013, but the steep-ish Sony TTM drop in H2 2010 - H1 2011 may in part be due to that.Interesting. I wrote a column a while back in which I said something along the lines of "we've had a decade of Sony+Microsoft consoles selling at around 10mm per year" and your graph shows that the two have fallen further than that combined rate has ever been. Even lower than the transition from Xbox to Xbox 360.
I get the feeling that some publishers are getting some decent profits out of this last year of the generation, but that lull feels so uncomfortable. The best angle I could put on it would be that there is demand building up in the market's oldest customers (the ones who bought systems in 2006-2007) and they'll come out in force next year.
For the sake of Sony and Microsoft, I hope that's true. :|
Yeh, it has fallen lower than before - I would chalk that up to them pushing this generation out to being the longest we've had and the most expensive as well. I'm curious whether the $200 PS3 can do anything to at least slow that fall until October's prospective PS4 release. My expectation is a rebound as well after the new systems launch, hopefully we're right for the industry's sake.