So you're telling me that in a holiday season where Sony released not one, not two, but three new product skus (Slim, Pro and PSVR) it should be within the realm of expectation that they should lose the HW NPDs in every single month?
(The fact that the Pro's audience is people who already have PS4s is precisely the point. These sales should be in addition to, rather than substitutes for, your normal holiday demand for consoles.)
Nobody is saying that the Pro should be outselling the Xbox by itself. But it, plus never-lower prices on the Slim, plus interest around PSVR, should be able to give them the marginal increase in sales sufficient to beat the Xbox.
And if the answer is really "no silly, you shouldn't expect the Pro to sell more than 50k units in its debut November" then the Pro REALLY has problems. If Sony isn't going to move more than 1m of these worldwide annually, what incentive will there be for developers to invest resources into investing in the platform? You'll see only the laziest implementations, and then it won't even be serving the niche enthusiast community well.