- Aug 24, 2016
Former Vice President Joe Biden has retaken the lead in the Democratic primary race for president as Senator Elizabeth Warren’s numbers have plummeted, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll released today. Biden receives 24 percent of the vote among Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic, while South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg gets 16 percent, Warren receives 14 percent, and Sen. Bernie Sanders gets 13 percent. Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who just entered the race, receives 3 percent as do Sen. Kamala Harris and Sen. Amy Klobuchar. Sen. Cory Booker, businessman Andrew Yang, former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro, and Sen. Michael Bennet each receive 2 percent. No other candidate tops one percent. Eleven percent are undecided. In an October 24 poll, Warren received 28 percent, Biden had 21 percent, Sanders was at 15 percent, and Buttigieg got 10 percent. “Biden is back on top of the pack but now there is a 3-way race for second. Buttigieg has broken into the top tier, apparently at the expense of Warren, who has taken a dive after being hammered for being too far left on health care and other issues,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy. When voters were asked their second choice, Warren came out ahead with 20 percent, Biden got 12 percent, Sanders got 11 percent, and Buttigieg received 10 percent.
Pete Bootyedge: 16%
Mike Bloomberg: 3%
Kamala Harris: 3%
Amy Klobuchar: 3%
Cory Booker: 2%
Andrew Yang: 2%
Mike Bennet: 2%
Julian Castro: 2%
Tulsi Gabbard: 1%
Wouldn't vote: 1%
11% of voters are undecided.
Men: 10% Undecided
Women: 11% undecided
White: 8% undecided
Black: 22% Undecided
46% of Democrat voters think Biden has the best chance to win. Warren and Sanders both get 10% each, 6% for Pete Bootyedge. Last poll has Biden at 42%, Warren at 20%, Bernie at 14% and Pete at 2%, meaning Biden and Pete increased their likelihood of beating Trump from the last poll while Warren and Bernie dropped.
52% of voters think medicare for all is bad.
So, I know this will hurt a lot of people but I think it's time for Tulsi Gabbard to drop out. Along with her everyone at 2% since they can't get anywhere. I would have also said those with 3% as well, but outside Bloomberg most of those candidates are already nearly out of money so they'll be dropping out shortly by force, except Klobuchar who seems to be doing very well in the background without anyone knowing.
22% of black voters are undecided, that's open to any candidate that would like to take them. Most of those are men so leaving them there could cause them to leak to the republican side of the isle as we've been seeing. Biden has the plurality of course, or rather the majority of the ones that did decide.
Warren has been knocked down and Bernie while not having as severe a drop, is also in pretty poor shape. It seems like unless either of them can expand and take the traditional/moderate/leaning/blue dog democrat voters from Biden they are going to be sunk. It's starting to get to a point where even if one of the two drop out they still won't have the pull to beat Biden, and the radical left is more unpopular than ever now. One of the two will have to shave off some of that base to attract more moderate democrats or they may as well drop out.
Pete Bootyedge is still low but did gain an increase for some reason, I guess his good showing in Iowa is convincing some people, though traditionally in recent history winning Iowa means you lose the nomination but we'll see, we still have around 2 months until the vote and one (or 2?) more debates before then.
Mike Bloomberg is now at 3% of the vote, Deval Patrick is barely at 1%, so it seems that Mikes strategy of paying his way in and betting big on Super Tuesday along with Alabama and SC may be a good strategy if this ins't just a short-term bump. This is actually concerning, because couldn't he buy the superdelegates as well? At least the ones not already given to Biden? Hmmm.
Despite missing like 4 debates, and barely being on the news, Mike Bennet is still in the race somehow, that's pretty interesting. I guess he got access to some big donors to keep him running. But for how long?
1% of voters wouldn't vote for ANYONE that's currently running. I expect that number to increase as the field narrows unless we actually start seeing real debates during the debates to have candidates actually stand out instead of parroting the same issues and policies like abortions at birth, and taking all the guns and giving illegals free everything.
On that note, the desperation that caused several candidates to push Medicareforall was short lives as it's now unpopular with the majority of the parties base, not including the radical left which still supports it.