Weren't there predictions of 1 billion consoles sold in this gen is possible?
I really don't think that we will see more than 150m. Those are only the wet dreams of analysts. PS4 was really strong this gen and "only" sold in that 130-150m area.
Maybe 300m next gen consoles overall.
There is much more competition these days, not less. PC get's stronger again, streaming services, smartphones, ...
Really don't think that there will be more customers in the next generation.
PS5 Sony is basically firing on all cylinders. Exclusives, Launch Games, great hardware (although a bit weaker than the SX, but quite a bit better than SS). The things they are behind on, services is okay, and bc is narrow, but encompassing on most PS4 games.
The biggest thing they have going on is momentum. I think even moreso than last gen, a ps5 feels like a must have due to their first party lineup. Nintendo like.
But even nintendo doesn't reach those numbers. So chances are very slim.
Nah. For some reason or another, hardcore gaming always taps out at 150 million and well, the ps5 is pretty much a console that only gamers will love the look of. Aesthetic is still a thing and to sell iphone levels you need to be sexy in the eyes of the general non hardcore gaming public.
The data suggest that in the future, the number of PS5s could reach the order of 600 million or 700 million, four or five times the number of PS2s, which was the highest number ever for home video game consoles. Mr. Imanaka said, "If the number of transfers from PS4, which is backward compatible, is about 120 million, and if more than 100 million e-sports competition population and 400 million spectator population are added, PS5 will be 6 in total. It can be a market of more than 100 million units. "
I'm out of the loop, what does he mean with "100 million e-sports competition population"? Is there that many people on the e-sports? And how come the 3 types of "population" mentioned here don't overlap? And why would the spectator population purchase a console based on the e-sports scene?
Said it before, but I really want to know his rationale for expecting such a massive increase in market size. Just remove Sony from it and replace with any other company and it'd still be outlandish without some sort of explanation as to why such a thing is possible.
Why is this thread still alive? If we allow it, its like endorsing other crazy threads like:
-Bethesda games won't be exclusive to xbox.
-Sony isn't developing games for pc
-making multiplatform games ruins next gen
-ms is buying sega this week
-there is no xbox series s
-the new atari machine will sell more than a million units
- both new console launches have lots of great
When Emmitt Smith came into the league, he didn't tell his teammates that when all was said and done the he wanted to be be the 6th leading rusher of all time. He dreamed big and said he wanted to be number one. Just because no console has old 200m units doesn't mean it is impossible. The road to 700m starts now.
I doubt PS5 will reach 100 million units. This has nothing to do with Sony or how good or bad the PS5 is. Sony's simply going to be facing stiffer competition next gen. This is true in any industry. If a Tesla competitor came out with better specs and comparable price, quality and features, it's a fact that Tesla won't sell as many cars as they did previously.
I said it before and I'll say it again: Every generation that Sony had a 2:1 marketshare, they had some type of advantage. They either launched a year earlier or their competition made huge screw-ups. Sony has never faced competition like this before.
If I was a betting man, I'd look at the 360/PS3 situation to get a better idea how things will go this time around. Yes, Sony screwed up early in the generation but that ended up being a wash with Xbox screwing up at the end of the generation with the Kinect falling off a cliff. Sony was able to catch up and surpass MS with a strong first party lineup. But they still lost 50% marketshare from the previous generation while Microsoft almost tripled theirs. So Microsoft won that generation.
This time Microsoft has the pricing advantage and the games advantage. You can argue how we haven't seen shit from Microsoft first parties yet, but if only half of the 23 studios put out hit games that's a regular cadence of AAA games throughout the year. You can talk as much shit as you want about this, but when the next Elder Scrolls game drops it's going to make an impact and sell consoles. Starfield is going to sell boxes. Sony has never faced competition like this.
I've been gaming long enough to know that kings come and kings go. Thirty years ago I would have laughed in your face if you told me Sega would go out of the hardware business and the Walkman and VCR company would be the market leader one day. I thought the Playstation was the next Philips CDi or Panasonic 3DO. Shit, 3DO even had Naughty Dog making games for them.
Kings come and kings go. Sony won't sell 400 million consoles. They might not even reach 100 million.
I'm not gonna say it's impossible, just very unlikely.
In order for it to happen, more markets would have to be opened to their full potential. China, South America, India, etc..And considering the price of the PS5, I highly doubt that'd happen. It'd be very very difficult.
I'm saving this topic BTW. If the world doesn't end in a few years, we can go back here and either have our collective minds blown, or just laugh.
The numbers are too unrealistic, however, PS5 has crazy demand. I saw people who are not interested in gaming standing in the pre order queue.
Probably COVID is causing too much free time as it destroyed social life.