analog_future
Resident Crybaby
because not everyone can afford $20,000 gaming machines like certain gaffers I know.
TIL you can only sell gaming consoles for either $400 or $20,000
because not everyone can afford $20,000 gaming machines like certain gaffers I know.
The whole idea of a Pro Dock with any additional processing power (beyond upscaling) is terrible, IMO, unless said dock can operate as a completely independent console. Accessories always end up remaining niche, so they'd be halving their production capacity, increasing their costs, complicating their distribution, muddling their message to consumers, and when all is said and done you'll end up with piles of unwanted pro docks on walmart shelves creating more ewaste and eating into Nintendo's profit margins, all for features that most devs won't even bother with because they're only available to 20% of the installed base, if that. (Willing to eat crow, of course, I just don't see it).You don't think Nintendo can produce something comparable to a Series S @ $399 in 2024? I think they can, and still have healthy profit margins (economies of scale will help a lot in their case). Here's what I see the Switch 2 being:
>Hybrid (of course)>Portable component with a modest screen size and resolution. ~ 20w total power usage (undocked & discharged). 6 GB LPDDR5. GPU ~ 1 TF (slightly stronger but not terribly much), some form of DLSS3 for frame generation. CPU with 8-core setup, dual-threaded. Targeting ~ 30% boost to Switch-level gaming performance on average resolution-wise, ~ 50% boost framerate-wise. 256 GB internal storage.>Docked component: 6-8 GB GDDR6 (leaning with 6 GB). GPU ~ 2-3 TF, DLSS 3.2. Pixel and texture fillrate comparable to Series S. Primitive culling & rasterization comparable to Series S. Used exclusively by games when Switch 2 is docked (Portable's GPU is either disabled or only used for OS UI stuff), alongside some components in the portable (mainly CPU & some LPDDR5 RAM). Thunderbolt 4.0 interconnect, full-rate. Proprietary connection w/ some stupid encryption. Slot for faster and larger-capacity microSD cards to expand storage options. RJ-45 ethernet port on back. Additional cooling (better fan & heat sink for the GPU) built-in.>Two SKUs: #1 Portable & Joy-Cons only (no dock), $249. #2 Portable & Dock, $399. Dock also sold separately, $199At the volume Nintendo will be making these things, I think these specs and prices are more than doable.
its an inside joke. OverHeat recently admitted he's on divorce watch after he spent $20k on his pc without telling his wife.TIL you can only sell gaming consoles for either $400 or $20,000
Yep, I meant "relative performance", and somewhere between PS4 and PS5; probably, as you said, closer to PS4, or between PS4 and Series S. I miss a Nintendo Hardware, and I really hope to be surprisedYou don't think Nintendo can produce something comparable to a Series S @ $399 in 2024? I think they can, and still have healthy profit margins (economies of scale will help a lot in their case). Here's what I see the Switch 2 being:
>Hybrid (of course)>Portable component with a modest screen size and resolution. ~ 20w total power usage (undocked & discharged). 6 GB LPDDR5. GPU ~ 1 TF (slightly stronger but not terribly much), some form of DLSS3 for frame generation. CPU with 8-core setup, dual-threaded. Targeting ~ 30% boost to Switch-level gaming performance on average resolution-wise, ~ 50% boost framerate-wise. 256 GB internal storage.>Docked component: 6-8 GB GDDR6 (leaning with 6 GB). GPU ~ 2-3 TF, DLSS 3.2. Pixel and texture fillrate comparable to Series S. Primitive culling & rasterization comparable to Series S. Used exclusively by games when Switch 2 is docked (Portable's GPU is either disabled or only used for OS UI stuff), alongside some components in the portable (mainly CPU & some LPDDR5 RAM). Thunderbolt 4.0 interconnect, full-rate. Proprietary connection w/ some stupid encryption. Slot for faster and larger-capacity microSD cards to expand storage options. RJ-45 ethernet port on back. Additional cooling (better fan & heat sink for the GPU) built-in.>Two SKUs: #1 Portable & Joy-Cons only (no dock), $249. #2 Portable & Dock, $399. Dock also sold separately, $199At the volume Nintendo will be making these things, I think these specs and prices are more than doable.
Bruh, no. You're not getting 4K 60 FPS with even Series S-level games on Switch 2, even with a souped-up dock. Maybe some of the less technical Switch games running in BC can hit 4K 60 with DLSS 3.0, but I think that'd require the system to be docked.
That said, I think Switch 2 is going to be a good bit more powerful than some are thinking, particularly when it's docked. It'll blow past Steam Deck in some areas (GPU, CPU, memory bandwidth), but be beaten in others (storage, RAM capacity (I'm thinking 6 GB LPDDR6 & 6 GB GDDR6, vs Steam Deck's 16 GB LPDDR5 for example).
Not between PS4 and PS5; Switch 2 isn't touching PS5 in terms of performance, unless you're talking relative performance and with a really small screen so you don't notice the pixelation even with DLSS 3.0 or better in there.
However, somewhere between PS4 and Series S? I'm 100% expecting that for the Switch 2. IMO, it'll be ~ around PS4 (not exactly; for example weaker TF and less memory bandwidth) undocked, but roughly Series S-level when docked. And with DLSS 3.2, able to outperform Series S a bit better in resolution, likely quite a bit better in framerates. But even docked, I don't see it getting in the Series X or PS5 ballpark on average, let alone the most technically demanding games, even considering docked mode with DLSS.
Of course altogether I think docked it'll cost more than a Series S ($399 vs. $299 or $349), but you're getting the convenience of actual hybridization and, obviously, Nintendo's 1P exclusives. If it can perform at or slightly above Series S levels when docked, expect Switch 2 to get A LOT more Japanese & Western 3P AAA support.
Ironically, I don't see that helping the Series S tho. In fact, it'll probably kill off any remaining market relevance it has, but that should at least lead to more Series X (and PS5, and Switch 2) sales .
Nintendo was just three years bleeding money... do you even realize how many tech companies achieve that?Goodluck selling to mainstream at 500 usd. Youre nintendo, not apple.
This isn't a thought problem.... its a physics or real-world problem.I genuinely am starting to think people who say this won't be somewhat competitive with PS and Xbox are fooling themselves. At the very least, Switch 2 seems like it'll be trading blows with the Series S.
And as gimped a product that's turned out to be, it's still getting a shit ton of 3P support, including from Western and Japanese AAA, stuff that's traditionally skipped Nintendo's platforms the past 15 years.
Bring the heat, Nintendo.
Many people who were not gamers in the past managed to grow up with a Playstation or Xbox just fine... myself includedI would fully recommend to anyone not yet in gaming, as opposed to Xbox or PlayStation.
+ DLSS 3.5
RIP PS5/Xbox S/X
SNES had more ram, a far better GPU, and a superior sound chip than both the Genesis and PC-Engine... Which makes sense, as those 2 released in the 80s while SNES had the advantage of being a 1990s systemSNES was on scale with Genesis & PC-Engine, like the N64 was with PS1 and Saturn, and Gamecube with PS2 & Xbox.
The whole idea of a Pro Dock with any additional processing power (beyond upscaling) is terrible, IMO, unless said dock can operate as a completely independent console. Accessories always end up remaining niche, so they'd be halving their production capacity, increasing their costs, complicating their distribution, muddling their message to consumers, and when all is said and done you'll end up with piles of unwanted pro docks on walmart shelves creating more ewaste and eating into Nintendo's profit margins, all for features that most devs won't even bother with because they're only available to 20% of the installed base, if that. (Willing to eat crow, of course, I just don't see it).
And even if Nintendo did bet on a pro dock, there's no way you'll see those devices at those prices. This is the company that charges nearly $100 for a dummy dock, and $350 for the upgraded version of current hardware. You think next gen is going to walk the price of baseline hardware back to $250 and sell a dock with actual hardware inside for $200? I wish I could believe it, but $400 seems much more likely for console alone, even if it is more inline with a Lite than a Switch.
To be fair, I wouldn't put it past Nintendo to do something that crazy, but it wouldn't go well (again, line me up for crow if I'm wrong). And I doubt it aligns with their core values anyway. They'll want to go for simplicity of message, ease of use, and as few moving parts as possible. Much more likely, we'll see an all-in-one hybrid like the Switch for $400.
Bet Spencer didn't know by gimping his console with the S, he basically guaranteed parity with Nintendo on 3rd party.I genuinely am starting to think people who say this won't be somewhat competitive with PS and Xbox are fooling themselves. At the very least, Switch 2 seems like it'll be trading blows with the Series S.
And as gimped a product that's turned out to be, it's still getting a shit ton of 3P support, including from Western and Japanese AAA, stuff that's traditionally skipped Nintendo's platforms the past 15 years.
Bring the heat, Nintendo.
I love all these rumors cause the conversations are fun but nooooo. At the very most you'll get 700MHz in handheld mode. Maybe 2.6GHz is what it runs BEFORE being underclocked, I can see that, but 2.6GHz would kill a battery so fast
Anyone thinking that this is getting near a Series S must be having a joke.
The Rog Ally has 45min battery life at 30w and although ARM and Nvidia is better then x86 and AMD when it comes to performance per watt it's not a increase of 4x.
The only thing I can see it beating a Series S is available RAM.
This isn't a thought problem.... its a physics or real-world problem.
look at the NS2 as a 15-20W in portable mode system, and then a 30-40W in docked mode system. How powerful comes down to that. And yes, you are limited in either direction by thermals. You put in a cooling system that fits in a handheld, which ends up limiting how high you can push it in docked mode.
It's going to end up being something that is about as powerful as a PS4. Thinj Ps4 1.8TF, NS2 2.5TF. But that is going to be just fine being that it only needs to drive an at best 1080p screen in port mode, which would be reconstructed from a 480p/540p base, and then in docked mode, it would be pushing a 900p/1080p base reconstructed to 2160p using Dlss.
SNES had more ram, a far better GPU, and a superior sound chip than both the Genesis and PC-Engine... Which makes sense, as those 2 released in the 80s while SNES had the advantage of being a 1990s system
N64 crushed both PS1 and saturn too, as you can see by the smoother polys, lack of texture warping, texture filtering (though not an advantage in all cases) and more polys being pushed on screen
Gamecube couldn't touch Xbox, but it did smash PS2 in power.
Bet Spencer didn't know by gimping his console with the S, he basically guaranteed parity with Nintendo on 3rd party.
I was talking generally Kepler is usually right on with their information - look at their history. And if both Kepler and Kopite nods towards the same thing. Its most likely accurate.Check the reddit thread, folks there have stated that kopite7kimi has gotten plenty of things wrong in the past, including details on the T239 SoC itself.
Whens the last time a really premium ninty product actually sell. It sure was not the gamecube or wiiu. Casuals come and go. They dont stick around like the diehard blues.
Its a double-edged sword.Agreed here. I would hope Nintendo open up a TDP of roughly 40 watts docked, assuming they can do a dock with additional processing in it (think something like an eGPU, which is how I tried describing it earlier). In portable mode it can go for those lower wattage usages, and keep it under 20 watts when it starts discharging.
The thing though, is that Nintendo's going to have tech that in some ways is just simply better at various things than what the Series S, Series X and PS5 had going into them when their specs were more or less finalized by end of 2019/early 2020. In terms of raw power, there's no chance Switch 2 matches up to any of them. But none of those systems have features like DLSS built into them the way Switch 2 will inevitably have.
I'm just picturing, and hopeful, Nintendo can make a Switch 2 that, when docked, can perform at a level around the Series S. I think they can deliver that at a $399 MSRP.
Its a double-edged sword.
its not going to be, a super powerful console with dlss on top of it. Its going to be, thanks to dlss we don't need to have a super powerful console.
Nintendo wants a handheld that can allow for PS5 ports. All they need is to be able to run internally at 360p - 648p before dlss to 1080p.
It depends on the game. dead space remake has fsr down scaled to 936p at 60fps basically the same as dlss. developers seem to be using FSR ,more and more on ps5 which is basically the same as DLSS just not as good.Its a double-edged sword.
its not going to be, a super powerful console with dlss on top of it. Its going to be, thanks to dlss we don't need to have a super powerful console.
Nintendo wants a handheld that can allow for PS5 ports. All they need is to be able to run internally at 360p - 648p before dlss to 1080p.
I genuinely am starting to think people who say this won't be somewhat competitive with PS and Xbox are fooling themselves. At the very least, Switch 2 seems like it'll be trading blows with the Series S.
And as gimped a product that's turned out to be, it's still getting a shit ton of 3P support, including from Western and Japanese AAA, stuff that's traditionally skipped Nintendo's platforms the past 15 years.
Bring the heat, Nintendo.
The Series S is 2019 AMD RDNA2 technology. A Switch 2 with even half the TF (and keep in mind, TF is hardly important for actual gaming performance as-is) of Series S can match up with it when DLSS 3.x gets factored into the picture. The important thing would be to make sure there's enough RAM, and at least some type of decent storage (no SSD, but at least allow support for higher-speed SDXC microSD cards) in there, and a good enough CPU.
RAM doesn't have to be the biggest bottleneck; personally I think 12 GB could get things done, if you split it 6 GB LPDDR5, and in some enhanced dock, 6 GB GDDR6. So the complication could end up being the CPU.
It will most likely have BC. Furukawa himself said at some investors meeting that they want the transition to be as smooth as possible. That sounds pretty much like BC to me. Question is how they will go about it for physical games. Will the new Switch come with support for your Switch 1 game cartridges or will there be some sort of download scheme for your physical games or something?Please have backwards compatibility.
400$ why?
SNES's GPU compared to PC Engine is sort of like Nvidia compared to AMD, where yeah, the AMD GPU may do raster just as good if not better but is lacking the hardware features that can make Nvidia special.but GPU (although these systems didn't really have GPUs the way we know them today)? It depends.
Meanwhile the Genesis actually could do "blast processing", which basically was like a per-pixel like effect using DMA (something like a predecessor to modern-day direct framebuffers introduced with the Atari Jaguar)
they can do 399 base and 499 oled and sell like hot cakesBecause if you adjust for inflation 399$ will be the highest priced launch Nintendo ever done. At least since the GameCube.
In this digital foundry timestamped video you can see 540p being reconstructed to 1080p using dlss 2.0 with great results. I imagine you are right and 480p would work just as fine.That is true. And, as such, I'm assuming assets would not have to be as large, so lower RAM capacity needed. RAM bandwidth could also be scaled back some.
Guess it would come down to how low an internal resolution games could get away with before there's too little pixel data to sufficiently work with, even having DLSS 3.2 or what-have-you. There is likely a floor limit that can't get dropped below, and I have a feeling 360p would be below that floor. But 480p could be right at the floor level to get by.
These games are already made with the ability to scale built in. Texture rez, geometry detail, density, asset rez...etc, can all be scaled. And as long as the switch version doesn't have some stupid parity clause, it would be easy for devs to just cut out features of the game that may be too hard to port down from the PS5SX versions.Just spitballing here; I don't know much about the internal, technical workings of DLSS, particularly what's specifically new and improved in the 3x line when it comes to resolution upsampling. Though, I know frame generation is a big feature of the 3x spec.
EDIT: Although I'm also thinking...if the RAM capacity and bandwidth is notably less, wouldn't devs have to re-scale their textures and certain other assets to fit in the new footprint? That could be asking for a lot of work on the part of devs, there's likely only so much they can further compress certain texture assets before needing to draw up new ones, which can become time-consuming.
When it comes to supporting games or ports, funny enough... the most important thing is actually the CPU followed by RAM quantity. Those are things you just cant cheat your way out of. You have to be close enough to the spec of whatever you are porting from. Bandwidth isn't that important, it hinges on what resolution you are chasing. If the NS2 is trying to run internally at under 720p... it would need less bandwidth than even the PS4 to do that.So, that could be a situation where the Switch 2 has a much more conservative GPU for internal rendering (and upscaling making up the difference thanks to DLSS), but would need enough RAM and bandwidth to still make that feasible anyhow.
Yes, Dlss is better than FSR.. but that is not what is important here. What you should be looking at, is if on the PS5, a dev has to use FSR with an internal rez of 900p to get 60fps@1440p or whatever, what do you think they would've to do on a console that is less than a quarter the power of the PS5?It depends on the game. dead space remake has fsr down scaled to 936p at 60fps basically the same as dlss. developers seem to be using FSR ,more and more on ps5 which is basically the same as DLSS just not as good.
A game that has never sold big numbers, is going to be a Switch 2 system seller, somehow I do not believe you.Metroid Prime 4 alone will sell the system for $349.99 I just know it
If cooling is decent and new dock is better designed (say with a fan), they might be able to push 30-40w in docked mode.Anyone thinking that this is getting near a Series S must be having a joke.
The Rog Ally has 45min battery life at 30w and although ARM and Nvidia is better then x86 and AMD when it comes to performance per watt it's not a increase of 4x.
The only thing I can see it beating a Series S is available RAM.
Jokes aside, this mashine will be weaker even from xss, that is weaker from last gen xbox one x;D+ DLSS 3.5
RIP PS5/Xbox S/X
Samsung and Nvidia aren't really working together anymore. It's not a rumor that the 5nm Ampere+ was cancelled, it straight up was. The next Tegra model was going to be called Atlan and was supposed to use that 5nm Ampere+ but it was cancelled a d replaced with the 4 TSCM based Thor. I believe it had to do with the bad yield rate when it came to the 30 series. It's why I believe the previous rumor that Nintendo and Nvidia moved away from the 8nm model, just not this oneI've joined team 5nm, but I'm leaning towards it being Samsung 5nm.
The physical size of the T234 is just way too big for a switch, and even after removing the unnecessary elements and then adding more SMs (the custom T239) I still think it would be too big on the same 8nm node, it needs a shrink.
We even had a "twitter leaker" post something about it being on Samsung's 5nm but then said some gibberish about NVIDIA cancelling it.
My buying Pro version with OLED and more storage for sure!they can do 399 base and 499 oled and sell like hot cakes
Switch launched back in March 2017 for $299 and If we adjust that price for inflation it gives us $375; a $25 premium on top of that for the base model tracks. Oh and those who think that Nintendo will keep the $299 in this inflationary economy are in for a rude awakening, just like those who thought the PSVR2 will be priced at $400. Sure, they'll eventually release a Switch 2 lite at $299 as a mid-refresh option alongside a more premium oled model.they can do 399 base and 499 oled and sell like hot cakes
Bunch of optimists.
Yeah but it's not a NVIDIA exclusive decision, the Thor model is going to be some AI dev kit SoC so they have the room to absorb the costs of 4nm, where Samsung 8nm can port to Samsung 5nm in a more straightforward manner than a switch from Samsung to tsmc.Samsung and Nvidia aren't really working together anymore. It's not a rumor that the 5nm Ampere+ was cancelled, it straight up was. The next Tegra model was going to be called Atlan and was supposed to use that 5nm Ampere+ but it was cancelled a d replaced with the 4 TSCM based Thor. I believe it had to do with the bad yield rate when it came to the 30 series. It's why I believe the previous rumor that Nintendo and Nvidia moved away from the 8nm model, just not this one
probably cause we had 3 generations in Nintendo console tear downs and neogaf paying a company to get the actual specs and they were always worse case scenario. so people are probably just tired pf the same old people over hyping the specs because they are delusional. lets be honest Nintendo hasn't cared about actually giving powerful hardware or for 20 years since the GC came out.Well you got to think .. what’s the point of not wanting the blue sky rumors to be true? Why would someone not want every console to be the best it could possibly be?
There is only one reason I can think of ...
DLSS in handheld to reach 1080p said:Quality: 1280 x 720
Performance: 960 x 540
Ultra perf: 640 x 360
i'm pretty sure Nintendo will deliver on thatJust give me a machine where 1440p and 60 fps is the standard then I am happy.
Before anyone screams that would cost too much, keep in mind that Nintendo games do not require anywhere NEAR the processing power of PS5/XSX games.
No reason they couldn't make Tears of the King run at 4K/60 (or at least 1440p) with PS4 level specs. DLSS should make this feasible.
And I will be one happy motherfucker! Nintendo will end upo back in my life. Played Tears of the Kingdom on Yuzu emulation and had a blast.i'm pretty sure Nintendo will deliver on that
I've been saying this for years. Ideally Nintendo would forgo a "pro" dock and instead offer a set-top box alternative (like the Nvidia Shield) that can run at much higher wattages.I’m started to wonder if Switch will be sold as two separate devices
1) A handheld
2) A console
They can have a “cheaper” handheld while simultaneously going significantly more powerful with a more expensive dock
This seems like a winning strategy to me, rather than combining the two devices and forcing consumers to pay for both.
I suspect many audiences play either entirely handheld or docked, but seldom overlap both