Metalmurphy said:
Yet it's reason enough to start shouting "BS" and "Fucking liers!"?
If you're referring to the moron troll, he was a moron troll. If you're referring to my posts, read them again.
kaching said:
Maybe you should look up the definition of "extrapolation". It most certainly is an estimation.
An extrapolation has an MOE/CI, an estimation does not. An extrapolation relies on a known data sample, an estimation can rely on either a known data sample or simply a heuristic.
In the case of the extrapolations we are talking about, they are accurate enough for all three major companies and virtually every publisher (save Codemasters which inexplicably uses VG CHARZTTZRZ periodically) to use
over internal shipment numbers. This indicates that every major company accepts either on faith or based on information we do not have access to that the MOE/CIs are tight enough that the numbers are true.
This is even more true for Japanese retail tracking, which is better both in terms of data availability to us and data accuracy to begin with.
Look, I know that Sales-Age is a time honored tradition for many of you but patching together sales from incomplete, estimated data isn't really any kind of valid or fair-minded way to question the integrity of someone's statements who doesn't have a track record of misleading people.
We have complete NPD numbers for Ratchet, although they can't be posted. We have complete Japanese numbers within 10k for Ratchet. We have its entire European chart performance, and we have the rough (within a few thousand) lower limit to charts.
We also have the historical performance of every single title ever to indicate that the idea that a game sells 2x in Europe as it does in the US is highly unlikely barring cases where the game is Euro-developed, Euro-centric, or bundled.
These are shipped numbers. No one other than dolts are questioning Ted Price's integrity. I am stating that the numbers he is giving are true, they just don't mean what some people might assume them to mean. They are sales to retailers.
The one poster that isn't an idiot and questioned anyone's integrity was referring to Sony's practice of listing shipments in "shipments to an internal Sony warehouse" rather than "shipments to retailers". This was deceptive. They no longer do this. I think the poster that did do this is probably not a troll, or at least that wasn't his/her intention.
The fact that this number is shipments is not a knock against Ratchet. It's still an awesome milestone. We also know that Ratchet WILL sell a million units. That's great based on release date and userbase.