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[remember_spinal]

So far, the biggest 2023 titles we know of which do you think will be the sales king?

• Hogwarts Harry Potter might be in contention with Spider-man (marvel) for biggest IP, The advantage is its on all major platforms even switch
• Breath of The Wild, it’s Nintendo, it’s Zelda, coming off 28m copies sold, although this one isn’t releasing on new hardware
• Spider-Man 2, Sonys biggest game and probably the most popular superhero IP today, can it do better than 2018 at over 20m?
• Starfield, biggest single player xbox exclusive and next big Todd Howard original IP, can it live up to Skyrims whopping 30M+ game sales?

 

[Woopah]

BOTW2 will sell the most in 2023, but Spiderman 2 will probably sell the most lifetime (especially factoring in PC sales).

 

[BennyBlanco]

BOTW obviously. There are 4 billion switches out there and it will keep selling for years.

 

[ckaneo]

Hogwarts Legacy if it's decent because it's multiplatform.

But BOTW2 is probably the safest choice

 

[Mr Hyde]

Botw followed by Spiderman. Starfield is nothing to scoff at either. First new IP from Bethesda in a over a decade will probably move lots of units.

 

[Kimahri]

BOTW2 will sell the most in 2023, but Spiderman 2 will probably sell the most lifetime (especially factoring in PC sales).

Naah, if it ends up like Skyrim it'll have legs and about 50 re-releases. Should collect some sales.

 

[Robb]

I voted StarField but I think I was a bit trigger happy.

I think StarField will sell the most over time but by the end of 2023 I think BotW2 will have sold the most.

 

[KàIRóS]

I just know Howgarts Legacy isn't the answer.

 

[tmlDan]

If Hogwarts is good it will crush them all, BOTW2 is a safe bet because its established but i hated BOTW1 - it's overrated trash so im biased lol

 

[remember_spinal]

I also think its important to note that the vast majority of Starfields sales will probably come from PC since its on Gamepass.

 

[T4keD0wN]

Hogwarts most likely since its on the most platforms. Starfield is on second most platforms so it should be second. Most interesting is botw sequel vs spider-man 2.

 

[CaptainSlayAHo]

Hogwarts



Botw- switch only
Starfield- series x/s and pc
Spiderman 2- ps5 only
Hogwarts-ps4, ps5, xbox one, series s/x, switch, pc

Starfield is coming to game pass day one so it won't even come close to the other ones

 

[spawn]

Spiderman 2 if it's releasing on pc same time as ps5. If not then Hogwarts Legacy since it's the only multi-platform game

 

[March Climber]

I just know Howgarts Legacy isn't the answer.

Don't underestimate the millions of Potter fans, especially since they've been waiting on a game like this for years. If they had made a good Harry Potter MMO when the time was right, it could have actually been a WoW killer.

 

[Esca]

Long as Hogwarts isn't ready or should make bank being multiplatform.
I imagine botw can win it with how many units the first sold.
Spiderman will sell well but will be in ps5 only for a bit till pc.
Starfield will see really well on the pc but I think Gamepass will eat into sales too much to come out on top

 

[Woopah]

Naah, if it ends up like Skyrim it'll have legs and about 50 re-releases. Should collect some sales.

Starfield will be on far fewer platforms than Skyrim and is on Gamepass too. I don't think it will have anywhere near the same longevity in terms of sales.

 

[anthony2690]

I'm going with Hogwarts Legacy.
I think Harry Potter fans have been clamouring for a high quality title.
& The game is appealing to lots of people like myself who are not fans off the IP.

 

[R6Rider]

Spider-Man 2

 

[Captain Toad]

Spider-Man, BotW 2, Starfield, Hogwarts in that order.

Hogwarts is the biggest unknown though. I just don't think it'll be all that good and just being set in the Harry Potter world won't be enough to put it past the others. It's not like it's the first ever HP game.

 

[Bernd Lauert]

Starfield will have the most players, that's for sure.

 

[CaptainSlayAHo]

Starfield will have the most players, that's for sure.

This.

Most players, fewest sales.

Don't mean that negatively, it's my most anticipated game, but I won't be buying it due to gamepass lol

 

[Pallas]

Why is this even a discussion? BOTW2 will melt anything else.

Take Zelda out and I’ll probably say Spider-Man 2 because it’s Spider-Man alone it will sell pretty good but it’s not like the previous game bad or anything so that helps too.

Hogwarts will live or die with how they manage that game.

Starfield will have legs due to the modding community and it being a lot easier accessible but probably won’t be breaking any sales records.

 

[Beer Baelly]

Hogwarts will fail because Rowling is a transphobe

 

[remember_spinal]

I'm going with Hogwarts Legacy.
I think Harry Potter fans have been clamouring for a high quality title.
& The game is appealing to lots of people like myself who are not fans off the IP.

The official youtube premiere trailer has 28m views lol

I know its not indicative of sales but Potter fans are hungry

 

[Nankatsu]

Hogwarts Legacy if it truly turns out to be good.

 

[HeisenbergFX4]

This.

Most players, fewest sales.

Don't mean that negatively, it's my most anticipated game, but I won't be buying it due to gamepass lol

I usually buy games that are even on Gamepass if I know I will play it a lot but not sure yet on Starfield

But I totally agree with you

 

[remember_spinal]

Why is this even a discussion? BOTW2 will melt anything else.

Take Zelda out and I’ll probably say Spider-Man 2 because it’s Spider-Man alone it will sell pretty good but it’s not like the previous game bad or anything so that helps too.

Hogwarts will live or die with how they manage that game.

Starfield will have legs dye to the modding community and it being a lot easier accessible but probably won’t be breaking any sales records.

I dont think its a lock for zelda. Breath of the Wild is an outlier of the series and this one isn’t launching with new Hardware. Its the only game in the series that sold more than 16m copies

 

[Jaybe]

All will sell well but BOTW2 will be king. I think it will release along with the Switch 2 and be compatible with Switch 1. Regardless, they will build it in a way that Switch 2 benefits it such as dynamic resolution scaling, and it will get a bump with the new hardware. Over 20 million.

Starfield will do plenty but is on Game Pass and isn’t on PlayStation. Doubt it cracks 12 mil first year. Could be a buggy boring mess for all we know with a microtransaction store menu included to add extra offence. I highly doubt it will be locked to game pass but… I bet someone at Microsoft has considered making it game pass only to drive subscription numbers up.

Spiderman will be a big hit. But it will be the third game of that formula and I think a bit of been there done that sets in with these. I’m sure HFW is still a ways off HZD sales as an example. Spiderman 2 hits a ceiling at 15 million, PC included, in its first 3 years.

Harry Potter… I wish it success. If it’s good, I’ll buy a copy. Sales wise, They botched missing Christmas and having a less cluttered holiday season. Probably doesn’t crack 10 million definitely not 12.

 

[CaptainSlayAHo]

I usually buy games that are even on Gamepass if I know I will play it a lot but not sure yet on Starfield

But I totally agree with you

I might buy it if it was possibly leaving at some point, but it being a Microsoft game it's cemented in.

 

[remember_spinal]

All will sell well but BOTW2 will be king. I think it will release along with the Switch 2 and be compatible with Switch 1. Regardless, they will build it in a way that Switch 2 benefits it such as dynamic resolution scaling, and it will get a bump with the new hardware. Over 20 million.

Starfield will do plenty but is on Game Pass and isn’t on PlayStation. Doubt it cracks 12 mil first year. Could be a buggy boring mess for all we know with a microtransaction store menu included to add extra offence. I highly doubt it will be locked to game pass but… I bet someone at Microsoft has considered making it game pass only to drive subscription numbers up.

Spiderman will be a big hit. But it will be the third game of that formula and I think a bit of been there done that sets in with these. I’m sure HFW is still a ways off HZD sales as an example. Spiderman 2 hits a ceiling at 15 million, PC included, in its first 3 years.

Harry Potter… I wish it success. If it’s good, I’ll buy a copy. Sales wise, They botched missing Christmas and having a less cluttered holiday season. Probably doesn’t crack 10 million definitely not 12.

You dont think a multiplatform Harry Potter game can outsell jedi fallen order?

 

[TrueLegend]

Starfield will outsell them all one day. I am serious. Even it is the worst launch in gaming history it will. It has the full power of Nexus Mods behind it. It's literally failure proof.

 

[Chukhopops]

I voted Hogwarts because it’s gonna be multiplat and launch before the other ones.

Long run I think Starfield will top everything because of expansions, rereleases, VR mods, porn mods etc.

Im also curious how Spider-Man will fare, first one came out right between Infinity War and Endgame which was peak capeshit interest, whereas the new one will release in a much more cape-saturated and cape-fatigued market. It will sell of course but less than the first one.

 

[SteelCurtain 59]

Assuming the games all review relatively similar (because a game reviewing terribly or GOAT caliber would have a drastic impact on the sales, and we can't know how good these games will be), my guess on sales would be.

1. Harry Potter - (multiplatform and huge IP)
2. Breath of the Wild 2 - (The vast vast vast majority of people playing Switch are doing so for the high quality exclusives, the first one sold and reviewed extremely well, and people love Zelda)
3. Spider Man 2 - (People love Spiderman games and the first one was very good and very popular, but unlike the BotW on the Switch there are tons of 3rd party games competing with it, plus a lower portion of people by Playstations for exclusives when compared to why people buy Nintendo consoles)
4. Starfield - (New IP, Least popular console, Same issues Spider man 2 faces, and will be on Game Pass Day 1)

That being said, all 4 of these games are ones I'll be buying and playing on Day 1 (technically will be playing Starfield via Game Pass but I would've bought it if I needed to)

 

[Soapbox Killer]

Breath of The Wild, it’s Nintendo, it’s Zelda, coming off 28m copies sold, although this one isn’t releasing on new hardware

Don't be too cocky StarFox, Lets see how you handle our new ships!

 

[CaptainSlayAHo]

Starfield will outsell them all one day. I am serious. Even it is the worst launch in gaming history it will. It has the full power of Nexus Mods behind it. It's literally failure proof.

It's on game pass, not going to happen.

 

[KàIRóS]

Don't underestimate the millions of Potter fans, especially since they've been waiting on a game like this for years. If they had made a good Harry Potter MMO when the time was right, it could have actually been a WoW killer.

So you dead ass think a semi Harry Potter game is going to win against Zelda? I'm actually interested in Howgarts Legacy but let's be realistic here.

Being multiplatform is not necessarily going to give it more sales, it's not like people go and buy 1 copy for PS5 and then a copy for PC they buy 1 copy for whatever platform they have or feel most comfortable playing in, on the other hand we have a first party title with BOTW2, a must have game for every Switch sold and Nintendo is probably around the corner on finally releasing more powerful hardware.

 

[CatLady]

BotW2. To me Starfield is the biggest game, but it is exclusive to Xbox and PC and on Game Pass and Game Pass PC. I'm buying the game to have a physical copy, but I don't know how many others will when they can play it for *Free on Game Pass.

I'm also buying BotW2. It's the only Nintendo game I'm really interested in. I believe about 98% of the gazillion Switch owners will also be buying it so it should comfortably outsell Spiderman and Harry Potter.

 

[StreetsofBeige]

Actual sale copies = BOTW2.

But in the long term, I'd go with Starfield for most copies out there (sold or GP). Even though it's only an Xbox and PC game, there's a shitload of GP users and Bethesda games sell for eons since their games come out so infrequently.

 

[Markio128]

Starfield will outsell them all one day. I am serious. Even it is the worst launch in gaming history it will. It has the full power of Nexus Mods behind it. It's literally failure proof.

I doubt it - most will play Starfield on gamepass I reckon. I think BOTW2 will eclipse it in lifetime sales just because of how many Switch’s are out there. Hogwarts sales really depends on how good it is, which is a bit of an unknown at the moment. Spider-Man 2 will likely sell 15-20 mil lifetime.

 

[hemo memo]

If Starfield wasn't an exclusive then that would be an easy prediction but probably Hogwarts Legacy.

 

[SLB1904]

Spiderman 2 will destroy everything. No contest lol

 

[Xyphie]

I think BOTW2 will generate the most revenue because it'll sell all its units at full price.

 

[Jaybe]

You dont think a multiplatform Harry Potter game can outsell jedi fallen order?

That’s a Good benchmark for comparison. What’s JFO done, 10 million by March 2020 from Wiki? Had some things going for it. November release, last Star Wars movie, critically acclaimed, first excellent single player Star Wars game in ages.

I think HP will sell well. But don’t think it will hit 10 mil within 2 years. But it certainly could. My guess is it ends up around 8.5. Likely has a million or two more from $15to 20 sales as it’s tail. If the game is excellent and the switch port is as well, that could push it. Such an enormous install base. It’s a great IP but many great IPsdon’t translate well to video game sales. I think Avalanche is competent studio but but not a stellar one. And I know some disagree, but I still think the subscription services impact game sales overall even games not on the service. Hence less overall game sales (yes, there are some exceptions)

 

[March Climber]

So you dead ass think a semi Harry Potter game is going to win against Zelda? I'm actually interested in Howgarts Legacy but let's be realistic here.

Being multiplatform is not necessarily going to give it more sales, it's not like people go and buy 1 copy for PS5 and then a copy for PC they buy 1 copy for whatever platform they have or feel most comfortable playing in, on the other hand we have a first party title with BOTW2, a must have game for every Switch sold and Nintendo is probably around the corner on finally releasing more powerful hardware.

It's entirely possible.

The issue here is that you are approaching the subject with the mentality of a gamer. So of course it doesn't make sense from your point of view that a Harry Potter game could beat Zelda. It's in the same vein of when this forum conveniently puts on their blinders when anyone starts discussing how much money a game makes when ported to mobile devices(like Apex and CoD). I guess we will see what happens.

 

[remember_spinal]

I voted Hogwarts because it’s gonna be multiplat and launch before the other ones.

Long run I think Starfield will top everything because of expansions, rereleases, VR mods, porn mods etc.

Im also curious how Spider-Man will fare, first one came out right between Infinity War and Endgame which was peak capeshit interest, whereas the new one will release in a much more cape-saturated and cape-fatigued market. It will sell of course but less than the first one.

it will get boosted by Across the Spider-verse movies

 

[Trogdor1123]

Picked spider man but could see botw for sure

 

[The_Mike]

Botw followed by Spiderman. Starfield is nothing to scoff at either. First new IP from Bethesda in a over a decade will probably move lots of units.

I'm pretty sure that even if Starfield fails it will still be a commercial success given it has slapped Bethesda on it.

I imagine there's a lot of pre orders on the game and we haven't even seen proper gameplay lol.

 

[fran.fernandez]

Hog ward or spider…

Actually Zelda don’t sell that much only the last one was a lucky .

 

[killatopak]

Depends on how many times Todd Howard want to rerelease Starfield.

 

[Jigsaah]

I'm would go with Starfield, but Gamepass, you know? Quality Fallout-esque games have been due for a resurgence but I feel Gamepass will blunt the actual sales of the game. I'll be buying it for sure, gamepass or not. I don't think most people will though.

Spiderman 2, I think it will sell like bonkers. I don't believe it's been long enough that Spiderman has been out of the spotlight, though. They will have to pull off something new.

BOTW will sell well, I don't think it sells as much as the original. The novelty has past.

Hogwarts is the new kid on the block, but I don't know that it has mainstream draw as a video game. I don't see it selling more than Spiderman. Brand recognition advantage goes to Spiderman.

So yea. Spiderman 2 more than likely.