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More next-gen analyst stuff
- Thread starter Vieo
- Start date
I'd like to see the details of their studies. Their work is very interesting if you knoe wich technique and stats they used for their projections.
Personnally i think it sounds about right for the PS3 here but for the Rev, i think it's a wild card they can't really forsee "logically" except if they think out of the box completely.
Personnally i think it sounds about right for the PS3 here but for the Rev, i think it's a wild card they can't really forsee "logically" except if they think out of the box completely.
Scalemail Ted
Member
:yawn
Wyzdom said:
There ya go: http://www.instat.com/catalog/Ccatalogue.asp?id=162#IN0602145ME
It'll cost you $2,695 though
John Harker
Definitely doesn't make things up as he goes along.
they just base it off historical data (see: current generation), and poll a few people as to their "future purchases" to get a kind of "sample market" for NA.
They just take the historical data and so some kinda up/down ratio thingy math to the poll results.
So, in essence, not much every changes on these polls because it takes the current market and just asks people what they currently own if they'll buy the sequal platform.
Major yawner.
They just take the historical data and so some kinda up/down ratio thingy math to the poll results.
So, in essence, not much every changes on these polls because it takes the current market and just asks people what they currently own if they'll buy the sequal platform.
Major yawner.
Jim said:There ya go: http://www.instat.com/catalog/Ccatalogue.asp?id=162#IN0602145ME
It'll cost you $2,695 though
Hmmm, not if i register with my company...
But meh, i'm too lazy to go through the whole process only for this analysis.
And LOL at those taking analyst for cowards. Those are educated people with quite high grades. There's proven, logical and sophisticated methods they use to make PROJECTIONS. It's not the true, just the likely futur according to what's going now and in the past that you can count on.
They sure can make far more precise and accurate predictions than most of you.
PhoenixDark
Banned
Their marketshare predictions seem good to me. The PS3 is going to win this gen imo, but it won't be a massive owning like last gen.
PS3 - 55%
Xbox 360: 30%
Revolution: 15%
At the most, the Revolution could wind up with 20% of the market.
PS3 - 55%
Xbox 360: 30%
Revolution: 15%
At the most, the Revolution could wind up with 20% of the market.
Schattenjäger
Gabriel Knight
Escape Goat
Member
Obviously GAFers know more of business operations and economics than trained analysts. Obviously they may not be right but come on, they have more information and resources than we do.
Schattenjäger
Gabriel Knight
the main gist of their information and resources come from past trends.. which isnt a good basis for any speculation in this industry..Teh Hamburglar said:
PjotrStroganov
Member
Teh Hamburglar said:
Many analysts have a double agenda. The stockmarket is influenced by them and a lot of money is riding on some of these predictions.
Schattenjäger
Gabriel Knight
that too...PjotrStroganov said:
MrSardonic
The nerdiest nerd of all the nerds in nerdland
Scalemail Ted said:
*scratches ass*
DarkMage619
$MSFT
Can this analysis be made without knowing the price of the PS3 and more importantly the shipping numbers? If the PS3s price is prohibitive, or if they can't keep supply channels filled will they still control 50+% of the market?
The Dark One
The Dark One
sonycowboy
Member
[Nintex] said:
MAN MAN MAN
It's just so obvious that analysts can't comprehend how wonderful the Rev will be and how it will remake gaming. Luckily, we have scores of pre teen Nintendo fans to tell us this.
VIVA LA REVALUSHUN!! WILDCARD!!! DIDN"T THE DS TEACH YOU ANYTHING!!!?!?!?
Seriously though, I'd probably lower the PS3 and correspondingly rise the 360 & Revolution, but I agree with the general conclusion, based on what we know right now, which obviously can change once more details and some actual sales info comes out.
sonycowboy
Member
Deku said:
Are you new here?
Since when aren't PR's new stories? News is new information. And, the numbers themselves aren't PR, their part of a report that In-Stat is selling. The PR was just a way to let folks know that the report is out there, not some hyperbole to tickle folks into spending $3G's by having a sexy headline.
Kleegamefan
K. LEE GAIDEN
The thing is, you can find an analist report to support or disprove your agenda of choice.....they have been all over the place.....
Although it might be pretty telling that no matter what report you read, they never have Nintendo in 1st place...
*runs*
Although it might be pretty telling that no matter what report you read, they never have Nintendo in 1st place...
*runs*
Really, I don't think either MS or Ninty even think they'll win, or aim to win. I very much doubt they are aiming for a 100M+ userbase. Like everyone else they're results indicate Sony first, Microsoft second, Nintendo third - Sonys lead reduced. Seems fairly in-line with expectations for the longest time now.
Really alot of it is null until the price of the PS3+Rev are known. A $500 PS3 + $300 Rev is going to cede alot more ground than $400/$200. Also the actual function of the Rev just sits as a big unknown. I think it could do anything from outright second to distant third, depending on how intuitive and exploited it is. And Blu-ray could be a bigger factor than anyone is admitting right now.
Really alot of it is null until the price of the PS3+Rev are known. A $500 PS3 + $300 Rev is going to cede alot more ground than $400/$200. Also the actual function of the Rev just sits as a big unknown. I think it could do anything from outright second to distant third, depending on how intuitive and exploited it is. And Blu-ray could be a bigger factor than anyone is admitting right now.