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Predictions for PSP sales by end of 2005
- Thread starter kard
- Start date
UltimateMarioMan
Member
Poorly.
michael000
Banned
Sales in my household for 2005 will be a definite 1. I also forsee but am praying against the high probability of exchange due to some kind of hardware issue :lol
soundwave05
Member
I'm really not sure what their shipments would be. I would assume PSP would be close to 9-10 million by year end though and will begin to outsell the Nintendo DS slightly-to-moderately in US, moreso in Europe, and about even in Japan.
UltimateMarioMan
Member
Your kidding yourselves if you think the PSP will outsell the DS ever. Sony will be lucky if they can sell 15 million in its lifetime. Which in my book is still a success considering its going against what most casual gamers see as the new Gameboy.
soundwave05
Member
UltimateMarioMan said:
In Europe, I think its very likely the PSP will outsell the DS considerably. Europe is Sony country.
In the US, I think Nintendo is too slow getting software out. Sony could have a better launch lineup right from March than Nintendo has been able to get all together since launching here last November.
Japan I think will be tougher for Sony, but even there the more recent sales numbers show the PSP beginning to outsell the GBA SP and closing the gap between it and the DS.
The big problems with the DS I see right now is at $150 its overpriced compared to what Sony is offering for only $50 more, and secondly the software lineup is somewhat lukewarm and their release schedule isn't looking that hot right now either.
UltimateMarioMan said:
I'm as big an NDS fan as they come, and even I know it's going to do better than 15 million in it's lifetime, man.
Don't worry though, it's not going to outsell the NDS (and it should be especially spanked if Sony can't get their manufacturing plans in order by holliday 05)
Kobun Heat
Member
While I believe the number of PSPs that will have sold by the end of this year is roughly equal to the number Sony can produce, I still have to laugh every time I hear the "PSP is a 10 year product" line. Maybe it is in the sense that they're still selling PSone games...
soundwave05
Member
With the announcement of Grand Theft Auto for the PSP coming this spring, I think that's gonna be huge.
Madden NFL 2006 when it comes out on the PSP will also be huge. Obviously Gran Turismo Portable as well, but that's probably next fall.
For people who like the types of games they get on the PS2 (and to a lesser extent the XBox) ... they're gonna love the PSP.
Madden NFL 2006 when it comes out on the PSP will also be huge. Obviously Gran Turismo Portable as well, but that's probably next fall.
For people who like the types of games they get on the PS2 (and to a lesser extent the XBox) ... they're gonna love the PSP.
Kobun Heat
Member
Yeah, I know Kutaragi said it. I just don't think it should be taken at face value -- everybody knows the portable hardware life cycle tends to be around three or four years. If the PSP is off-the-charts successful then MAYBE they'll be able to stretch it to 2010 before they absolutely have to release a new handheld.Speevy said:
mashoutposse
Ante Up
Like the others, I expect ~10 million units to have been sold by December.
sonycowboy
Member
Midas said:
IAWTP 100%
It's the only correct answer. Although, this is NOT to say that you will NEVER see them on shelves. It's just that they won't last long on the shelves without constant replenishment. Also, stores will presumably stock up closer to the holidays so they may not be that hard to find in August or September, but then the holiday sales will eat up whatever inventory might be out there and then some.
DS has excellent Japanese support, arguably a bit better than PSP. It falls down in terms of western support though, Nintendo needs to do some major work there because PSP's western software lineup kills it. DS is close to mobile solutions, Nintendo should look more into bringing over cross mobile/DS software development (especially in Europe). This is actually happening already in Japan.soundwave05 said:
Crazy Harry
Member
I think they wont get higher than 5M this year
sonycowboy
Member
jarrod said:
The absolute most interesting thing to me about the whole DS vs PSP argument is how Nintendo was able to line up such incredible support for their system so quickly. Support they've never had in the past. And publishers that were very, very quick to begin a TON of development. It's like
1) Sony must have said something to third parties that pushed them to the DS. Whether that was pushing the multimedia stuff too far or being too cocky in discussions, I just don't know.
2) Nintendo was the most active they've ever been in drumming up 3rd party support since the NES. They clearly were caught off guard by Sony and the PSP and worked their asses off to convince third parties to join them.
It's probably a mix of both, plus other factors, but clearly Nintendo has acted aggressively to protect their market.
Drinky Crow
Banned
I'll bet it outsells the DS 3:1 Christmas 2005, at LEAST.
Sony: Actually, I'm betting the DS has marginally better software support because it takes a much smaller budget to develop for and has a very simple hardware configuration with a common processor. The "oh, devs want to try something new" is just producer/director level rhetoric; in the end, it's all about the bottom line, and, well, it doesn't get more bottom line than the DS hardware.
Sony: Actually, I'm betting the DS has marginally better software support because it takes a much smaller budget to develop for and has a very simple hardware configuration with a common processor. The "oh, devs want to try something new" is just producer/director level rhetoric; in the end, it's all about the bottom line, and, well, it doesn't get more bottom line than the DS hardware.
PSP won't be a 10-year product. Sony's said the same bullshit for all their products (PS1, PS2 and PSP). It'll be a 4-6 year cycle like everything else. That said, I think they'll sell whatever they ship. That'll be 3M by the end of this fiscal year, and IMO, they'll want 15-20M for this coming fiscal year. They squeezed out 10M in the first year of the PS2's life, and I trust the PSP will be able to ramp up production quicker than that, so that's my guess. 15-20M, and they'll sell them all. I also believe they'll want a number this big b/c if they're really coming with GT4 and GTA in year one, that's huge. You don't use those titles to build userbase, you sell those systems to a userbase of at least 5M. IMO, GTA will be an early-Summer/late-Spring release, so could they sell 5M by that time? That would mean 2M units between March and when GTA launches (May?). Bah, enough guessing.
JPN: 5M
US: 10M
EU: 5M
Wow, those figures could be high, but who cares? PEACE.
JPN: 5M
US: 10M
EU: 5M
Wow, those figures could be high, but who cares? PEACE.
CVXFREAK said:
Because of hardware production limitations? Because if PSP gets to 3 million by the end of March, which it will do if it launches in Europe and America before the end of March, and then you're allotting only another 3 million by the end of the year?
I mean, that's absurd.
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