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2014 (entire year) NPD Predictions - Closes Feb 12th

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Deleted member 125677

Unconfirmed Member
[360] 1900K
[3DS] 3500K
[PS3] 1700K
[PS4] 4000K
[WIU] 1500K
[XB1] 3500K
[PSV] 650K
 

donny2112

Member
The full year predictions are still opened through tomorrow evening, so just keeping it visible for those wanting to predict for the year.
 
With January's results in, how are you all feeling about your predictions? :\

Badly :(

Starting to wish we didn't have to predict non-PS4/XB1 numbers. Last gen is looking to get scary low. Wii U continues it irrelevancy and 3DS is going to likely signify every pillar of Nintendo's strategy crumbling from beneath them
 

prag16

Banned
Now that this got bumped, interesting seeing all the predictions again (and how horribly far off many of them are likely including mine). Do we have YTD approximations through November in the other topics? Later when I'm not on mobile maybe I'll look.
 

jvm

Gamasutra.
Now that this got bumped, interesting seeing all the predictions again (and how horribly far off many of them are likely including mine). Do we have YTD approximations through November in the other topics? Later when I'm not on mobile maybe I'll look.

Here is the post I originally put here, by mistake.
 
Here is the post I originally put here, by mistake.

feels bad knowing I'm probably going to nail PS4/XB1 and whiff horribly on everything else

edit:

Potentially significant sales-related events for 2014
(No guarantee these'll all happen in 2014. Also, this list is not meant to be comprehensive.)

PS4 - FFXV

KuGsj.gif
 

donny2112

Member
NeoGAF Aggregate Predictions - 2014

1. PS4 - 5008K
2. XB1 - 3850K
3. 3DS - 3266K
4. 360 - 1832K
5. WIU - 1443K
6. PS3 - 1346K



Values used for 2014 NPD Predictions (from monthly NPD prediction thread previous month results)

1. PS4 - 4.68m
2. XB1 - 4.36m
3. 3DS - 2.58m
4. WIU - 1.57m
5. 360 - 1.32m
6. PS3 - 740K


NeoGAF Prediction Results - 2014

Units

1. Derphoof - 1,940,000
2. MasterSheen - 1,960,000
3. Bruno MB - 2,160,000
4. sacrificengineer - 2,520,000
5. 1st Course - 2,570,000
5. astrogamer - 2,570,000
7. Aquamarine - 2,585,000
8. RamzaIsCool - 2,610,000
9. Skeff - 2,656,000
10. GAF_Agg - 2,768,200
11. Zero-Crescent - 2,770,000
11. archnemesis - 2,770,000
13. ascii42 - 2,810,000
14. Chobel - 2,826,000
15. DaBoss - 2,970,000
16. Jonsoncao - 3,070,000
17. Hiro_Kunimi_80 - 3,150,000
18. perfectchaos007 - 3,160,000
19. noobie - 3,190,000
20. Lexxus - 3,230,000
21. dolemite - 3,250,000
22. shinra-bansho - 3,263,000
23. Road - 3,414,000
24. Lebon14 - 3,560,000
25. Canis lupus - 3,570,000
26. donny2112 - 3,580,000
27. sergioalb64 - 3,590,000
28. skedar897 - 3,660,000
29. HalfBaked - 3,690,000
30. Dysun - 3,710,000
31. Hoho for breakfast - 3,790,001
32. pieatorium - 3,820,000
33. sjagolinzer - 3,890,000
34. SwiftDeath - 3,910,000
35. prag16 - 3,930,000
36. GrayDock - 4,010,000
37. Maiti - 4,070,000
37. Roboleon - 4,070,000
39. Chuck Norris - 4,160,000
40. GhaleonEB - 4,220,000
41. Jamix012 - 4,225,000
42. michaelius - 4,319,000
43. Dangoesforth - 4,450,000
44. Maxxan - 4,710,000
45. bakman21 - 4,920,000
46. terrisus - 4,970,000
47. baekshi - 4,996,000
48. Gianni Merryman - 5,030,000
49. jvm - 5,159,000
50. BlackBuzzard - 5,350,000
51. Daemul - 5,830,000
52. Dragonborn - 6,050,000
53. JaguarCROW - 6,180,000
54. DarkJedi24 - 6,250,000

Congratulations, Derphoof! :D
 

donny2112

Member
Overall, the top rankers were much closer than last years', (#1's unit diff in 2013 would've been #43 in 2014) so that's some good improvement! The 2015 thread will probably go up in a few days, and it'll close Feb. 3rd (i.e. a few days after the monthly thread starts).

I apparently don't exist any more :(

Your prediction was after the cut-off.
 
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