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NPD Sales Results for January 2014 [Up3: PS4/XB1 #1/#2 best selling; Poke/SM3DW/ALBW]

20 to 25 is still an increase. You can bet TLoU was even more expensive. It's not as crazy as it was during the transition from PS2 to PS3, but budgets are still going up. Next year sees a bunch of pretty expensive games.

While it's an increase, we don't really know why there was increase. It could be that they put in a lot more people on the game, there were changes mid-development, etc.
 

quest

Not Banned from OT
Ugh, I hate that Digital sales aren't tracked because from here on out retail sales are always going to decrease and not knowing digital sales paints a very one sided picture that the market is declining.

Just look at PC. Retail sales are abysmal, but if you track player counts for games like BF4, PC is usually not far from the top. So I don't think a decline in retail sales, especially compared to a month last year that actually had a new title released on PS360 (DmC) to no "new" title this past month, is indicative of anything until we know how much digital sales make up. I mean if Nintendo can sell nearly a 100,000 digital copies of Fire Emblem (on a system with no account system), I think it is fair to say other titles can do similar or better numbers on platforms that are a little more digital friendly.

But since there are no numbers, people will just continue to believe the market is in a decline, despite having two of the most successful console launches ever, both of which offer every game released digitally.

I just don't see DD sales taking off right now for 2 reasons. First pricing is more expensive or the same as retail with out a physical disc to resell. The other is many just saw there PS3 and 360 DD library become meaningless with out BC. Make people much more hesitant to buy DD right now.
 

jayu26

Member
Drive by shit posts. When talking from a tech point, there is a legit reason to talk about Next Gen as PS4/Xbone as next gen, but for sales, it's such a cop out.

Whoa whoa, take it easy buddy. That was a joke. I understand what s/he was trying to say.

Edit: actually, if it is not a next gen from tech perspective and does not get most big next gen games, then it should not expect next gen sells.
 

Branduil

Member
Can someone explain to me the doom and gloom over last gen numbers?

I don't know if it's doom and gloom as much as "wow the market for those consoles is dying fast." Although it shouldn't be too surprising given that anyone who still wanted them could have bought them on sale this past Christmas.
 
Creamsugar is an NPD leaker.

Tim Dog is a salty X1 fanboy of nearly misterxmedia calibre. Nad incase you don't know...misterxmedia is just about the most batshit crazy Xbox fan there is.

4b2LhfF.gif

Yaaaaassss. They shall deliver moist tears full of NaCL and dying dreams...legendary.
 

Baby Milo

Member
PS3 and 360 need price drops badly

went to go replace my PS3 the other day and was like whaaaaaat at the price. I have no clue why i thought they were cheaper.
 
I just don't see DD sales taking off right now for 2 reasons. First pricing is more expensive or the same as retail with out a physical disc to resell. The other is many just saw there PS3 and 360 DD library become meaningless with out BC. Make people much more hesitant to buy DD right now.

Sony was talking about their high digital game sales numbers the other day. Even a backwards company like Nintendo gets about 10% of sales through their DD stores.
 

quest

Not Banned from OT
seems like a bit of 'deflection' - peeps are shifting attention away from xbone's bad sales and making the headline about the overall market folding in on itself. LOL

It is because at least for another year publishers will depend on gen 7 sales to stay in the black. If gen 7 sales fall off the cliff it could be a blood bath this fall for publishers who won't have gen 7 sales to lean on.
 
Well so far the Wii U has been remarkably consistent as a benchmark for "abysmal." So using Wii U sales as a measure of abysmality, the XboxOne sold 2.86 Wii Us this month, which for a brand new console is probably not a good sign.
Haha, I like that explanation, but surely there is a more "standardized" way to read these numbers, right?

I want to get good at NPDs!
 
numbers are for 5 days of tracking so hard to say just yet

Feb numbers will be far more telling
These games are heavily front-loaded but I was really interested in how it would do. So far it's the closest example of the type of late, full price ports that also bombed hard on Wii U, but TR has clear technical improvements over the original release.

This could stop more last gen up-ports before they begin.
 
While it's an increase, we don't really know why there was increase. It could be that they put in a lot more people on the game, there were changes mid-development, etc.
Well we definitely know for a fact that ND is growing at a steady rate. Even with multiple teams the general team size likely increased as well. More people working on a game = higher budget ;)
 

Speevy

Banned
I don't even know what's happening in this topic.

People don't know what to make of these numbers. Foreboding statements about the death of consoles. General public not interested, instead interested in $1,000 computers.
 

StevieP

Banned
I don't see it that way. Even the inferior Xbone is selling at a record pace. The WiiU was a crap console that never should have been released. Last generation has lasted too long and is quickly dying out. Personally I'm giddy with all the great games that will release in the next couple of years. The industry seems to be shedding some of its AAA pretentions and more games are being made. If the PS4 wasn't selling out I'd agree with you, though.

There are LESS packaged games being made, LESS risks being taken by all major publishers, and all numbers are pretty shit. The is a looming contraction in all traditional gaming markets and much as last generation there will be job loss. This also won't be the first generation in history where developer costs don't rise, for those that preach that line of thinking. And outside the time when the fire sales begin, the ps360 likely can't be cost reduced enough to sell for 99 bucks. None of the new consoles can be cost reduced without taking further losses and 2/3 of them are selling like shit. Kids are not playing as much on traditional devices (Nintendo barely being a factor doesn't help here as AAA is almost solely focused on 16-30 year old males) and this means the contraction will continue to worsen over time. And the idustry is healthy? Not even close
 
I just don't see DD sales taking off right now for 2 reasons. First pricing is more expensive or the same as retail with out a physical disc to resell. The other is many just saw there PS3 and 360 DD library become meaningless with out BC. Make people much more hesitant to buy DD right now.

I won't say that certain games are more effect by DD than others and the market is growing on console .
For eg this gen i will be buying all my fighting games on DD and i sure good amount of fighting games fan like that also .
Even if we only make up 20% or 25% and a game sells 250 ,000 that is 50,000 ( $3 million ) and that data is missing from NPD .
 

Eusis

Member
Gaming as a hobby is fine, it is the AAA business that is going sour. And that's fine. There are almost no mid tier publishers left, we are overdue for a correction that brings back middle-budget games.
It'll be interesting if Japan actually DOES take to the PS4 unlike the last generation of consoles, and so it's more relevant to develop for consoles than it has been for a long, long time. Granted they'd also need mid tier games that appealed worldwide, but if the bottom really does fall out for AAA gaming (or budgets get so big that the large base can't support it anymore) there might be a vacuum left to fill to some extent.

Wonder what the best selling games of the 8-bit and 16-bit generations were actually...
 
sörine;100751717 said:
Closer to 30-35% overall I believe. I think it's roughly 25-30% for PlayStation though.


I thought that was last year with Wii U?
Sounds about right for PS and their games. Beyond was 20% US and 80% the rest for example. So 25-30 makes sense as an average.
 

Replicant

Member
It is because at least for another year publishers will depend on gen 7 sales to stay in the black. If gen 7 sales fall off the cliff it could be a blood bath this fall for publishers who won't have gen 7 sales to lean on.

The lack of logic in this disturb me. Those who own gen 7 consoles will not suddenly abandon their console if they haven't purchased gen 8 console. And even if they have bought gen 8 console, some won't necessarily stop buying gen 7 games yet. Some people will still buy Dark Souls 2, South Park, Persona 5 and other gen 7 games despite owning PS4 or Xbone. Just because the console sales go down, it doesn't mean it'll be the case for individual softwares. And looking at software sales data, many of gen 7 games are still outselling the gen 8 games.
 

RexNovis

Banned
Well, the truth is that the hardcore market isn't contracting at all. Software sales are still very high.

But publishers will plead poverty and then microtransaction us to death.

And lo the prophet didst speak and bestoweth upon us the #truthfact. Praise be to you O famous one.
 

sörine

Banned
It'll be interesting if Japan actually DOES take to the PS4 unlike the last generation of consoles, and so it's more relevant to develop for consoles than it has been for a long, long time. Granted they'd also need mid tier games that appealed worldwide, but if the bottom really does fall out for AAA gaming (or budgets get so big that the large base can't support it anymore) there might be a vacuum left to fill to some extent.

Wonder what the best selling games of the 8-bit and 16-bit generations were actually...
I think Japan's looking towards the west primairily to make PS4/X1 a success. If one or both falter here I sort of wonder how that impacts development plans for Capcom, Sega, Konami, Square Enix and Namco Bandai then? They're all already looking pretty lukewarm on supporting the systems outside SE.
 

Lynn616

Member
MS will have to make expensive moves if this keeps up and that will obviously eat into the profits of a division that is already being questioned by investors.

If they are making a profit why do they have to make moves?

Software & services don't matter at all, right.

What? Profit is all that matters.

They say they are, but looking at their marketing and NFL deal and TitanFall money bags and buying up Gears, I don't think they are in making money just yet.

I dont know if they are or not. I am just saying if they are making a profit on the X1 then it doesnt matter if the PS4 is far ahead or not.
 

quest

Not Banned from OT
The lack of logic in this disturb me. Those who own gen 7 consoles will not suddenly abandon their console if they haven't purchased gen 8 console. And even if they have bought gen 8 console, some won't necessarily stop buying gen 7 games yet. Some people will still buy Dark Souls 2, South Park, Persona 5 and other gen 7 games despite owning PS4 or Xbone. Just because the console sales go down, it doesn't mean it'll be the case for individual softwares. And looking at software sales data, many of gen 7 games are still outselling the gen 8 games.

Well considering only 1 title had over 100k sales on a platform this month I would say it is already happening. New console sales lead to new software sales.
 
I just don't see DD sales taking off right now for 2 reasons. First pricing is more expensive or the same as retail with out a physical disc to resell. The other is many just saw there PS3 and 360 DD library become meaningless with out BC. Make people much more hesitant to buy DD right now.

Then explain how Fire Emblem opened with 63,000 sales digitally with no discount, and if you lose the system it's gone forever? Why do PC games have such a large amount of players online when retail sales aren't even worth tracking and most stores have stopped carrying them?

I think people are more willing to buy digitally than you think. Going to the store to buy games has become a hassle for many people, and it is just easier to click download and be done. I know for a fact Tomb Raider was hard to find at retailers, Best Buy near me didn't even stock it. Game Stop got like 6 copies. So instead of hunting it down it would have been easier just to download it. I just think people are really understating the digital side of things. Buying things digita;ly is quick, easy, always in stock, and doesn't require you to leave the house (you can even buy PSN codes from Amazon).
 

thefit

Member
I feel like SE mega under shipped Tomb Raider or something because I've never seen it in stores.

I thought that was just me but yeah I've yet to see it for either console at my Target, I'm sure I could walk into a gamestop (yuk) and find one but a big retailer not having it on hand is bizarre.
 

quest

Not Banned from OT
If so MS has absolutely nobody to blame besides themselves. They sure know how to ruin a good thing.

You are correct. The Kinect was the best and worst thing to happen to MS. It helped push the 360 a few extra years. But they got addicted to chasing the casual money leading to the 499.99 Xbone with Kinect. It was just not smart to chase the casual money so quickly unless the price point was going to be Wii like.
 

Replicant

Member
Well considering only 1 title had over 100k sales on a platform this month I would say it is already happening. New console sales lead to new software sales.

Or maybe there's just no gen 7 software that people are genuinely interested in for this month? Most of those games were already out for months.
 
dvmMOcx.gif


Good to see the predictions most of us made many months ago even before PS4 released that Microsoft will only have North America as it's strongest market and lose every other market in one fell swoop.

Even in North America it will be a complete disaster compared to 360 marketshare now playing a distant second for the entirety of this gen.

Can't wait for 3rd parties to completely ignore the considerably weaker platform and no need to go for parity holding back PS4/PC.
 
139233060995krexg.jpg


1) Call of Duty Ghosts: ~0.33 million

2) NBA 2K14

3) Battlefield 4: (somewhere less than 0.22 milllion)

4) Assassin's Creed IV: (somewhere less than 0.22 million)

5) Grand Theft Auto V: ~0.17 million

6) Madden NFL 25: ~0.15 million

7) Minecraft

8) FIFA 14

9) LEGO Marvel Super Heroes

10) Tomb Raider 2013
Definitive Edition: <0.085 million (Creamsugar)

XX) Wii Fit U: <0.020 million (Creamsugar)
 

jayu26

Member
I dont know if they are or not. I am just saying if they are making a profit on the X1 then it doesnt matter if the PS4 is far ahead or not.

If you are not sure that they are making money, then your conjecture (that they don't need to do anything) falls apart. Conversely, none of us know how the numbers look from MS perspective. So there is that...
 

Mrbob

Member
I personally don't believe there is a decline in "core" gaming, just a shift in market. When the Wii launched Steam wasn't a thing. Steam is easily replacing the lost market share the Wii gave up. Plus this market share is more important for "core" gaming anyway since Steam is for gamers. If anything, Steam + PS4 + XB1 will keep pace with the numbers of Wii + PS3 + 360. Though I don't consider any loss of Wii sales a contraction in the type of games I care about.
 
Well, the truth is that the hardcore market isn't contracting at all. Software sales are still very high.

But publishers will plead poverty and then microtransaction us to death.

Oh boy now you are bringing out the conspiracy nut in all of us. They probably do want us to think the market is in decline, digital sales are meaningless, and there is growing need to change their business model to make games more accessible and offer more things behind microtransactions to "expand or enhance" that experience.
 

quest

Not Banned from OT
Then explain how Fire Emblem opened with 63,000 sales digitally with no discount, and if you lose the system it's gone forever? Why do PC games have such a large amount of players online when retail sales aren't even worth tracking and most stores have stopped carrying them?

I think people are more willing to buy digitally than you think. Going to the store to buy games has become a hassle for many people, and it is just easier to click download and be done. I know for a fact Tomb Raider was hard to find at retailers, Best Buy near me didn't even stock it. Game Stop got like 6 copies. So instead of hunting it down it would have been easier just to download it. I just think people are really understating the digital side of things. Buying things digita;ly is quick, easy, always in stock, and doesn't require you to leave the house (you can even buy PSN codes from Amazon).

Pre-ordering from amazon or other online retailers almost as easy and you can sell off when finished with it. Also many games are discounted by online retailers on pre-orders saving even more money. Then add in the couple a times a year buy 2 get 1 free deals from retailers including target at the PS4 launch.

PC is completely different your purchases don't become useless when you buy a new PC thanks to BC.
 
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