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10% of Illinois GOP primary voters won't vote for candidate if delegate isn't white.

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We exploit a natural experiment to study voter taste-based discrimination against nonwhite political candidates. In Illinois Republican presidential primary elections, voters do not vote for presidential candidates directly. Instead, they vote delegate-by-delegate for delegate candidates listed as bound to vote for particular presidential candidates at the Republican nominating convention. To maximize their support for their preferred presidential candidate, voters must vote for all that candidate’s delegates. However, some delegates’ names imply they are not white. Incentives for statistical discrimination against nonwhite delegates are negligible, as delegates have effectively no discretion, and taste-based discrimination against them is costly, as it undermines voters’ preferred presidential candidates. Examining within-presidential-candidate variation in delegate vote totals in primaries from 2000–2016, we estimate that about 10 percent of voters do not vote for their preferred presidential candidate’s delegates who have names that indicate the delegates are nonwhite, indicating that a considerable share of voters act upon racially-discriminatory tastes. This finding is robust to multiple methods for measuring delegate race, to controls for voters’ possible prior information about delegates, to ballot order, and to other possible confounds we consider. Heterogeneity across candidates and geographies is also broadly consistent with taste-based theories.

Illinois Republicans won't vote for the candidate they support if the delegate they're voting for has a non-white sounding name.

This is.........................................

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers2.cfm?abstract_id=2919664
 

whitehawk

Banned
And that's only 10℅ that will admit it.

Esit: Ah, based on Name type test, not a regular survey. More accurate.
 

Dyle

Member
I remember the good old days this time last year when we were speculating that Trump wouldn't clinch the GOP nomination because of this.

How naive we were...
 

Guevara

Member
It's actually worse than it sounds: not just that they won't vote for a candidate who is non-white.

They won't even vote for the DELEGATE of their preferred candidate, if that DELEGATE is non-white.
 
They are voting against the candidate they support because some of their candidates' supporters have non-white names.

It's madness.



This is statistical analysis of voting, not a poll.

I noticed this last October/November when there was a woman running named Sara Wojcicki Jimenez.

Now... she also had the only 'vote for me' sign that had a picture of herself on the signage.

Why you might ask?

JOmeXcQ.jpg

Because she knew that she needed to show people she is a white woman and not some minority figure.
 
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