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James Cameron's Avatar - The real discussion thread without Scullibundo

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PhoenixDark said:
I don't know a single person interested in this film. In fact, every time the trailer/commercial comes on I hear someone laugh about the cartoony characters. There aren't any big name stars in the film either; it's banking entirely on the track record of a director who hasn't done anything in more than a decade. His box office record is not as impressive as people make it out to be.


:lol

Really? I don't know about that.
 
PhoenixDark said:
I don't know a single person interested in this film. In fact, every time the trailer/commercial comes on I hear someone laugh about the cartoony characters. There aren't any big name stars in the film either; it's banking entirely on the track record of a director who hasn't done anything in more than a decade. His box office record is not as impressive as people make it out to be.

LOL

How can we make predictions till we hear reviews... you guys are doing this waayy too early.
 
I doubt it'll make more than 250 mill here in the states, but we shall see. It is almost upon us.


Personally, I'm waiting for Battle Angel. He should have gone with that first.
 
PhoenixDark said:
His box office record is not as impressive as people make it out to be.
Is this the part where we post how much Cameron's movies have cost and how much they subsequently made? Because I can accommodate. Lemme know.
 
Oh man, I just can't wait to see this Thursday, if only to know if all these people that think "it looks like complete shit" are going to eat the crowbag. It's going to be interesting for sure.
 
Binabik15 said:
Personally I´d be more interested in gore or female genitalia than male nudity, but hey, if other people enjoy frontal male nudity, who am I to disapprove.

:lol

I wasn't being literal. Show some Blue Boobs Cameron!
 
Karma Kramer said:
LOL

How can we make predictions till we hear reviews... you guys are doing this waayy too early.


last I checked the highest grossing movies of the year were Transformers 2 and Twilight 2..go read those reviews...
 
PhoenixDark said:
His box office record is not as impressive as people make it out to be.

Terminator
Budget US $6.5 million
Gross revenue $78,371,200

Aliens
Budget $18,500,000
Gross revenue $131,060,248

Terminator 2
Budget US$102 million
Gross revenue $519,843,345

Titanic
Budget US$ 200 million
Gross revenue US$ 1,848,813,795(Highest EVER grossed)

Yeah, not impressive at all.
 
GhaleonEB said:
Is this the part where we post how much Cameron's movies have cost and how much they subsequently made? Because I can accommodate. Lemme know.

You have numbers for Aliens?

edit: nm

Avatar has a huge budget, and as such is more comparable to T2 and True Lies. True Lies didn't do particularly well, and T2 was a hit but it was also a pretty hyped film. I don't see that with Avatar. It's not going to do well
 
Karma Kramer said:
LOL

How can we make predictions till we hear reviews...
Indeed, all the highest grossing movies got the best reviews and all the lowest grossing movies got the worst reviews.


...
 
Karma Kramer said:
LOL

How can we make predictions till we hear reviews... you guys are doing this waayy too early.
because all the biggest movies of the year have had stellar reviews?


edit: It appears I'm slower than Eli Manning
 
rhino4evr said:
:lol

I wasn't being literal. Show some Blue Boobs Cameron!

Cat alien boobs? That´s not really better :lol

PennyArcade.jpg
 
rhino4evr said:
:lol

I wasn't being literal. Show some Blue Boobs Cameron!
I was actually suprised there was not at least a "partial nudity" disclaimer for all the boobs and ass that's apparently shown through the film (at least, thats the impression I got from those who went to see the 15 minute preview).

Maybe it doesn't count because they're furries/aliens/CGI? :lol
 
PhoenixDark said:
His box office record is not as impressive as people make it out to be.


Darklord said:
Terminator
Budget US $6.5 million
Gross revenue $78,371,200

Aliens
Budget $18,500,000
Gross revenue $131,060,248

Terminator 2
Budget US$102 million
Gross revenue $519,843,345

Titanic
Budget US$ 200 million
Gross revenue US$ 1,848,813,795(Highest EVER grossed)

Yeah, not impressive at all.

PhoenixDark said:
You have numbers for Aliens?

edit: nm


:lol
 
CassidyIzABeast said:
so if avatar gets good reviews it won't gross any money?


that sounds about right.

I think the film will do well..but obviously not Titanic numbers. I don't even think it will finish in the top 3 of 2009.
 
PhoenixDark said:
I have nothing against it and I'm not trolling it. I just find everything I've seen and read about it to be disappointing, and I would be utterly shocked if it's successful in the US bo.

Fair enough. But you should want it to do good if it means that more sci-fi flicks will be green-lit, particularly ones so ambitious. We really don't get enough of that genre - District 9 and Moon were dual breaths of fresh air this year.
 
kaching said:
Indeed, all the highest grossing movies got the best reviews and all the lowest grossing movies got the worst reviews.


...

1) All of those were sequels

2) It matters cause of REPEAT viewings... if this is damn good... PEOPLE will see this more then once
 
PhoenixDark said:
I don't know a single person interested in this film. In fact, every time the trailer/commercial comes on I hear someone laugh about the cartoony characters. There aren't any big name stars in the film either; it's banking entirely on the track record of a director who hasn't done anything in more than a decade. His box office record is not as impressive as people make it out to be.

I'm actually thinking that Sherlock Holmes could wind up making more money than Avatar. If it's any good that is. It seems like something that could really take off.
 
PhoenixDark said:
I have nothing against it and I'm not trolling it. I just find everything I've seen and read about it to be disappointing, and I would be utterly shocked if it's successful in the US bo.


What do you consider successful in the US? I'd say at least $200 Million.
 
I don't think the fate of science fiction in Hollywood is really resting on this movie's shoulders.....and I'm not really sure that people who liked Moon and District 9 want more films that are like 75% CG motion-capture. The charm of those films is that effects were used sparingly and that they were heavily grounded in a reality we know. If you want more movies like Moon you should probably spend $15 on the Moon DVD rather than seeing Avatar.

If Avatar is a huge success it's also equally as likely that plenty of other dumb cash-in garbage will get greenlit (Rolland Emmerich's Isaac Asimov's Foundation).
 
border said:
I don't think the fate of science fiction in Hollywood is really resting on this movie's shoulders.....and I'm not really sure that people who liked Moon and District 9 want more films that are like 75% CG motion-capture. The charm of those films is that effects were used sparingly and that they were heavily grounded in a reality we know.

It's also equally as likely that plenty of other dumb cash-in garbage will get greenlit (Rolland Emmerich's Isaac Asimov's Foundation).

This is the first really big ORIGINAL Science Fiction film since Star Wars... the industry is definitely looking at it
 
Well, just went out and got my LIEMAX tickets for opening night. The IMAX tickets were only 50 cents more than the regular 3d ones, so I ponied up. Sure, its not a real sized IMAX screen, but the sound is impressive and you reserve your seating position ahead of time. The minor extra cost means I dont have to speed home from work praying I dont hit traffic now.
 
Karma Kramer said:
This is the first really big ORIGINAL Science Fiction film since Star Wars... the industry is definitely looking at it


I agree. I'm just wondering what dollar figure the industry is looking for it to make in order to green light some other ORIGINAL science fiction films.
 
PhoenixDark said:
You have numbers for Aliens?

edit: nm

Avatar has a huge budget, and as such is more comparable to T2 and True Lies. True Lies didn't do particularly well, and T2 was a hit but it was also a pretty hyped film. I don't see that with Avatar. It's not going to do well
So you pluck one movie not on the list to make your point that "His box office record is not as impressive as people make it out to be."

Pretty weak stuff, PD. This is True Lies:

Budget: $115 million

Domestic: $146,282,411
+ Foreign: $232,600,000

= Worldwide: $378,882,411
 
someone on the imdb message boards (aka the scum of internet film talk) said that he called up his IMAX and they said that they just were canceling some IMAX 3D screenings because they won't get prints in time. :lol
 
mckmas8808 said:
I agree. I'm just wondering what dollar figure the industry is looking for it to make in order to green light some other ORIGINAL science fiction films.
I don't have high hopes for this movie, box office-wise. I don't think it's likely that it'll make back it's budget in theaters (isn't it 500 billion?). Maybe with DVD/BluRay sales down the line...
 
Dax01 said:
I don't have high hopes for this movie, box office-wise. I don't think it's likely that it'll make back it's budget in theaters (isn't it 500 billion?). Maybe with DVD/BluRay sales down the line...
237 million
 
Crazy baseless predictions are A GO:

$75 million weekend
$265 total domestic gross (if it gets good word of mouth)
$625 total worldwide gross
 
Karma Kramer said:
This is the first really big ORIGINAL Science Fiction film since Star Wars... the industry is definitely looking at it
That's pushing things a bit much, especially considering all the stuff that has happened since Star Wars.

Jurassic Park.....Terminator series....The Matrix.....

Independence Day's inflation-adjusted domestic total is 500 million dollars (so is Ghostbusters). Avatar will probably be lucky to crack 300 or 350.....and even the most optimistic poster here is not going over 400.

What I think this line of argument misses is that the only reason Avatar is an original production is because it's James Cameron. Even if it does well I don't think anyone is going to hand Duncan Jones 300 million dollars to make his own CG motion-capture epic.
 
border said:
That's pushing things a bit much, especially considering all the stuff that has happened since Star Wars.

Jurassic Park.....Terminator series....The Matrix.....

Independence Day's inflation-adjusted domestic total is 500 million dollars. Avatar will probably be lucky to crack 300 or 350.....and even the most optimistic poster here is not going over 400.

What I think this line of argument misses is that the only reason Avatar is an original production is because it's James Cameron. Even if it does well I don't think anyone is going to hand Duncan Jones 300 million dollars to make his own CG motion-capture epic.

Most people are not predicting over 400 million because not many films have crossed that threshold domestically. But at the same time, if Transformers 2 can do it, then maybe this can too.

I am not going to throw out predictions lightly, because honestly I see this going one of two directions. Either it will start big and fizzle very quickly like Watchmen did, or it will plow on through and be the biggest grosser this year. I dont think it will bomb bomb though. It will easily crack $100 million, and at the low end just squeak to around $200 million. Modest expectations I would put this as grossing $250 to $350 million. If it breaks $400 million though I would call it huge.

Was I vague enough in my expectations?
 
DanielPlainview said:
the most epic TV spot yet, saw it last night during the Office.
Definitely epic. They managed to cram so much awesomeness in only 30 seconds. :D

From this and the other trailers I can piece together that it seems
like one of the battles, not sure if it's the "big one", seems to involve the Na'vi bringing down one of the large shuttles.
 
Karma Kramer said:
This is the first really big ORIGINAL Science Fiction film since Star Wars... the industry is definitely looking at it
I wouldn't use the term original, but whatever, the better it does the sooner I get Battle Angel. Unless they push that back and go with Avatar 2, then RAGE!
 
Combine said:
Definitely epic. They managed to cram so much awesomeness in only 30 seconds. :D

After I realized what happened in that very last scene I exploded into excitement and yelled "WHAAT??!!!"

As in holy shit that was fucking awesome
 
Memphis Reigns said:
After I realized what happened in that very last scene I exploded into excitement and yelled "WHAAT??!!!"

As in holy shit that was fucking awesome
That is kind of a really really big spoiler though if you piece things together.

Quaritch escapes from the destruction of the Dragon in his AMP suit which no doubt is the lead in for his fight with Jake
 
Darklord said:
Terminator
Budget US $6.5 million
Gross revenue $78,371,200

Aliens
Budget $18,500,000
Gross revenue $131,060,248

Terminator 2
Budget US$102 million
Gross revenue $519,843,345

Titanic
Budget US$ 200 million
Gross revenue US$ 1,848,813,795(Highest EVER grossed)

Yeah, not impressive at all.

I think True Lies is his "least" successful film, and that still made back over 3x it's budget.
 
Karma Kramer said:
1) All of those were sequels

2) It matters cause of REPEAT viewings... if this is damn good... PEOPLE will see this more then once
Sorry, all of what were sequels? What do sequels have to do with you claiming no one should make BO predictions until reviews come in?

And if this is damn good, I'll see it again...in the comfort of my own home.
 
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